This study constitutes an investigation into the acoustic variability of intervocalic alveolar taps in a corpus of spontaneous speech from Madrid, Spain. Substantial variability was documented in this segment, with highly reduced variants constituting roughly half of all tokens during spectrographic inspection. In addition to qualitative documentation, the intensity difference between the tap and surrounding vowels was measured. Changes in this intensity difference were statistically modeled using Bayesian finite mixture models containing lexical and phonetic predictors. Model comparisons indicate predictive performance is improved when we assume two latent categories, interpreted as two pronunciation variants for the Spanish tap. In interpreting the model, predictors were more often related to categorical changes in which pronunciation variant was produced than to gradient intensity changes within each tap type. Variability in tap production was found according to lexical frequency, speech rate, and phonetic environment. These results underscore the importance of evaluating model fit to the data as well as what researchers modeling phonetic variability can gain in moving past linear models when they do not adequately fit the observed data.
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