European Organization For Research And Treatment Of Cancer Risk Research Articles

Comparison of expected treatment outcomes, obtained using risk models and international guidelines, with observed treatment outcomes in a Dutch cohort of patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer treated with intravesical chemotherapy

To compare the risks according to the American Urological Association (AUA), EAU, European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) and Club Urológico Español de Tratamiento Oncologico (CUETO) classifications with real outcomes in a cohort of patients in the Netherlands, and to confirm that patients who were undertreated according to these risk models have worse outcomes than adequately treated patients. Patients treated with complete transurethral resection of bladder tumour and intravesical chemotherapy were included. Not all patients would have received intravesical chemotherapy had they been treated to current standards, and thus comparison of the observed outcomes in our Dutch cohort vs expected outcomes based on the EORTC risk tables and CUETO scoring model was possible. The cohort was reclassified according to the definitions of five index patients (IPs), as defined by the AUA guidelines, and three risk groups, defined according to the EAU guidelines, to compare the outcomes of undertreated patients with those of adequately treated patients. A total of 1001 patients were available for comparison with the AUA definitions and 728 patients were available for comparison with the EORTC and CUETO models. There was a large overlap between the observed outcomes and expected recurrence and progression probabilities when comparison was made using the EORTC risk tables. The observed recurrence outcomes were in general higher than the expected probabilities according to the CUETO risk classification, especially in the long term. No differences in progression were found when comparing these two models to the Dutch cohort. Patients who were undertreated according to the guidelines showed, in general, a higher risk of developing recurrence and progression. Limitations are i.a. its retrospective nature and the differences in grading system. Comparisons between the observed outcomes in our Dutch cohort and the expected outcomes based on EAU and CUETO risk models and the EORTC and AUA guidelines showed that lack of adherence to existing guidelines translates into worse outcomes.

The Effect of Age on the Efficacy of Maintenance Bacillus Calmette-Guérin Relative to Maintenance Epirubicin in Patients with Stage Ta T1 Urothelial Bladder Cancer: Results from EORTC Genito-Urinary Group Study 30911

BackgroundAlthough maintenance bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) is the recommended treatment in high-risk non–muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC), its efficacy in older patients is controversial. ObjectiveTo determine the effect of age on prognosis and treatment outcome in patients with stage Ta T1 NMIBC treated with maintenance BCG. Design, setting, and participantsA total of 957 patients with intermediate- or high-risk Ta T1 (without carcinoma in situ) NMIBC were randomized in European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) trial 30911 comparing six weekly instillations of epirubicin, BCG, and BCG plus isoniazid followed by three weekly maintenance instillations over 3 yr. Outcome measurements and statistical analysisCox multivariate proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the relative importance of age for recurrence, progression, overall survival, and NMIBC-specific survival with adjustment for EORTC risk scores. Results and limitationsOverall, 822 eligible patients were included: 546 patients in the BCG with or without INH arms and 276 in the epirubicin arm. In patients treated with BCG with or without INH, 34.1% were >70 yr of age and 3.7% were >80 yr. With a median follow-up of 9.2 yr, patients >70 yr had a shorter time to progression (p=0.028), overall survival (p<0.001), and NMIBC-specific survival (p=0.049) after adjustment for EORTC risk scores in the multivariate analysis. The time to recurrence was similar compared with the younger patients. BCG was more effective than epirubicin for all four end points considered, and there was no evidence that BCG was any less effective compared with epirubicin in patients >70 yr. ConclusionsIn intermediate- and high-risk Ta T1 urothelial bladder cancer patients treated with BCG, patients >70 yr of age have a worse long-term prognosis; however, BCG is more effective than epirubicin independent of patient age. Patient summaryIntravesical bacillus Calmette-Guérin for non–muscle-invasive bladder cancer is less effective in patients >70 yr of age, but it is still more effective than epirubicin. Trial registrationThis study was registered with the US National Cancer Institute clinical trials database (protocol ID: EORTC 30911; http://www.cancer.gov/clinicaltrials/search/view?cdrid=77075&version=HealthProfessional&protocolsearchid=12442243#StudyIdInfo_CDR0000077075).

Ki-67 is an independent indicator in non–muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC); Combination of EORTC risk scores and Ki-67 expression could improve the risk stratification of NMIBC

ObjectiveTo prove the predicting role of Ki-67 expression and to demonstrate that the combination of European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk scores and Ki-67 staining status could improve the risk stratification in a large series of patients with non–muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). Material and methodsFrom October 2002 to July 2010, in our cohort, 332 patients who were treated with transurethral resection of the bladder tumor were diagnosed with NMIBC by histopathologic analysis. Two experienced uropathologists rereviewed the slides. The EORTC risk scores for recurrence and progression were determined. Ki-67 expression was evaluated using immunohistochemical studies and scored for intensity and area of staining. We correlated Ki-67 expression scores with clinical and pathologic variables. We evaluated the prognosis role of EORTC risk scores, Ki-67 staining, and their combination on tumor recurrence-free survival and progression-free survival (PFS) by univariate analysis, multivariate analysis, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves. ResultsWith a median follow-up of 47 (range, 2–124) months, 119 patients (35.8%) had tumor recurrence and 40 patients (12%) had tumor progression. Ki-67 positivity (Ki-67>25%) was reported in 108 tumors (32.5%), and it was significantly associated with high EORTC risk scores for both tumor recurrence and progression. In univariate analysis, multifocality, tumor size, tumor stage, tumor grade, and Ki-67 staining correlated with recurrence-free survival, whereas tumor size, tumor stage, tumor grade, concomitant CIS, and Ki-67 staining correlated with PFS. In multivariable analysis, Ki-67 expression was an independent risk factor for predicting tumor recurrence (hazard ratio, 2.14; P<0.0001) and progression (hazard ratio: 2.97, P = 0.004). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that combining EORTC risk scores and Ki-67 staining led to more accurate prediction for tumor recurrence and progression (log-rank test; P<0.0001). ConclusionsKi-67 positivity is prognostic for predicting tumor recurrence and progression. Combination of EORTC risk scores with Ki-67 expression could improve the risk stratification for both recurrence and progression in NMIBC.

Accuracy of the EORTC risk tables and of the CUETO scoring model to predict outcomes in non-muscle-invasive urothelial carcinoma of the bladder

Background:The European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk tables and the Spanish Urological Club for Oncological Treatment (CUETO) scoring model are the two best-established predictive tools to help decision making for patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). The aim of the current study was to assess the performance of these predictive tools in a large multicentre cohort of NMIBC patients.Methods:We performed a retrospective analysis of 4689 patients with NMIBC. To evaluate the discrimination of the models, we created Cox proportional hazard regression models for time to disease recurrence and progression. We incorporated the patients calculated risk score as a predictor into both of these models and then calculated their discrimination (concordance indexes). We compared the concordance index of our models with the concordance index reported for the models.Results:With a median follow-up of 57 months, 2110 patients experienced disease recurrence and 591 patients experienced disease progression. Both tools exhibited a poor discrimination for disease recurrence and progression (0.597 and 0.662, and 0.523 and 0.616, respectively, for the EORTC and CUETO models). The EORTC tables overestimated the risk of disease recurrence and progression in high-risk patients. The discrimination of the EORTC tables was even lower in the subgroup of patients treated with BCG (0.554 and 0.576 for disease recurrence and progression, respectively). Conversely, the discrimination of the CUETO model increased in BCG-treated patients (0.597 and 0.645 for disease recurrence and progression, respectively). However, both models overestimated the risk of disease progression in high-risk patients.Conclusion:The EORTC risk tables and the CUETO scoring system exhibit a poor discrimination for both disease recurrence and progression in NMIBC patients. These models overestimated the risk of disease recurrence and progression in high-risk patients. These overestimations remained in BCG-treated patients, especially for the EORTC tables. These results underline the need for improving our current predictive tools. However, our study is limited by its retrospective and multi-institutional design.

Is Urinary Soluble Fas an Independent Predictor of Non-Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer? A Prospective Chart Study

Objectives: To evaluate whether soluble Fas (sFas) in urine is an independent predictor of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). Methods: We performed a prospective chart review which included 128 subjects with NMIBC and 88 controls. The first morning voided urine sample (10-20 ml) was obtained from preoperative patients and controls. Expression levels of sFas in urine were analyzed using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Clinical and pathological data, European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk group category, follow-up data and urinary sFas values were gathered from each patient, and each prognostic outcome was evaluated. Results: sFas levels were significantly higher in the urine of patients with NMIBC than of those without NMIBC (p = 0.000). The level was significantly higher in cases with a higher stage or grade or high-risk and recurrent disease than in those with a lower stage or grade or low-risk and nonrecurrent disease (each p < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier estimates revealed a significant difference in time to recurrence based on sFas levels in the urine of the NMIBC patients (log-rank test; p = 0.000). On multivariate Cox regression analysis, EORTC risk group category (hazards ratio [HR] = 3.250, p = 0.000) and urinary sFas level (HR = 1.403, p = 0.015) were the independent predictors of NMIBC recurrence. Conclusions: Our study indicated that urinary sFas assay results may help identify NMIBC patients at risk of tumor recurrence. These data can be used to design a future follow-up schedule and treatment strategy for NMIBC patients.

1701 ACCURACY OF THE EORTC RISK TABLES AND OF THE CUETO SCORING MODEL TO PREDICT OUTCOMES IN NON MUSCLE-INVASIVE UROTHELIAL CARCINOMA OF THE BLADDER

Background: The European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk tables and the Spanish Urological Club for Oncological Treatment (CUETO) scoring model are the two best-established predictive tools to help decision making for patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). The aim of the current study was to assess the performance of these predictive tools in a large multicentre cohort of NMIBC patients. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis of 4689 patients with NMIBC. To evaluate the discrimination of the models, we created Cox proportional hazard regression models for time to disease recurrence and progression. We incorporated the patients calculated risk score as a predictor into both of these models and then calculated their discrimination (concordance indexes). We compared the concordance index of our models with the concordance index reported for the models. Results: With a median follow-up of 57 months, 2110 patients experienced disease recurrence and 591 patients experienced disease progression. Both tools exhibited a poor discrimination for disease recurrence and progression (0.597 and 0.662, and 0.523 and 0.616, respectively, for the EORTC and CUETO models). The EORTC tables overestimated the risk of disease recurrence and progression in high-risk patients. The discrimination of the EORTC tables was even lower in the subgroup of patients treated with BCG (0.554 and 0.576 for disease recurrence and progression, respectively). Conversely, the discrimination of the CUETO model increased in BCG-treated patients (0.597 and 0.645 for disease recurrence and progression, respectively). However, both models overestimated the risk of disease progression in high-risk patients. Conclusion: The EORTC risk tables and the CUETO scoring system exhibit a poor discrimination for both disease recurrence and progression in NMIBC patients. These models overestimated the risk of disease recurrence and progression in high-risk patients. These overestimations remained in BCG-treated patients, especially for the EORTC tables. These results underline the need for improving our current predictive tools. However, our study is limited by its retrospective and multi-institutional design.

Who needs numbers more: patients or doctors?

Who needs numbers more: patients or doctors?

Multicenter Validation of Cyclin D1, MCM7, TRIM29, and UBE2C as Prognostic Protein Markers in Non-Muscle–Invasive Bladder Cancer

Transcripts from the four genes encoding cyclin D1, MCM7, TRIM29, and UBE2C have previously been included in gene expression signatures for outcome prediction in stage Ta/T1 urothelial carcinomas. We investigated the prognostic value of the protein expressions in Ta/T1 urothelial carcinomas patients. We used four different tissue microarrays (TMAs) with a total of 859 Ta/T1 urothelial carcinomas from Danish, Swedish, Spanish, and Taiwanese patient cohorts with long-term follow-up. Protein expression was measured by IHC, and antibody specificity was validated by Western blotting. We found the expression of cyclin D1, MCM7, TRIM29, and UBE2C to be significantly associated with progression to muscle-invasive bladder cancer (log-rank test; P < 0.001) in the Danish training cohort (n = 283). Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified cyclin D1 (P = 0.003), TRIM29 (P = 0.001), and UBE2C (P < 0.001) as independent prognostic markers. The prognostic value of the four proteins was validated in a joint validation cohort from Sweden, Spain, and Taiwan (n = 576). Computer-assisted image analysis of the prognostic markers produced results comparable to those obtained by manual scoring. Finally, a four-protein maximum-likelihood classifier was trained on the Danish training cohort and applied to the validation cohort. The four protein markers may help optimize treatment of patients with Ta/T1 bladder cancer. Additional prospective studies are needed for further validation of their clinical relevance.

Efficacy of European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk tables for the prediction of recurrence and progression of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer after intravesical pirarubicin instillation

To analyze the influence of intravesical Pirarubicin (THP) instillation on the prediction results of European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk tables and to discuss the efficacy of EORTC risk tables in clinical application. We retrospectively reviewed the clinical data of 389 patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer after TURBT treated with intravesical pirarubicin instillation. According to the EORTC Scoring System, all the cases were divided into low risk group, intermediate risk group and high risk group. The 1-year and 5-year recurrence and progression rates of each group were calculated and compared with the prediction results of the EORTC risk tables. The 1-year recurrence and progression rates of the low risk group were 8.0% and 0, those of the intermediate risk group were 31.0% and 2.8%, and those of the high risk group were 52.5% and 18.6%, respectively. The 5-year recurrence and progression rates of low risk group were 16.0% and 5.3%, those of the intermediate risk group were 42.6% and 10.7%, and those of the high risk group were 63.9% and 41.9%, respectively. The prediction results of progression rate were similar to that of the EORTC risk tables while the overall recurrence rate was lower. The EORTC risk tables can be effectively used to predict the recurrence rate and progression rate of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. However, the EORTC risk tables have a tendency to overestimate the recurrence rate. Intravesical pirarubicin instillation is helpful to reduce the recurrence rate, yet has no obvious influence on the tumor progression.

Recurrence and Progression in Non-Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Using EORTC Risk Tables

Objectives: It was the aim of this study to evaluate the recurrence and progression at 1, 3 and 5 years in patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) who underwent a transurethral resection of bladder cancer following intravesical adjuvant chemotherapy or immunotherapy if indicated and to compare them with the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk tables. Patients and Methods: Between 2002 and 2011, a total of 259 patients with NMIBC were treated with transurethral resection of bladder cancer. According to the clinical and pathological factors used by the EORTC scoring system, the patients were divided into four groups, and for each group, the probabilities of recurrence and progression were calculated. Results: The recurrence and progression rates of NMIBC of our patients were similar to those in the EORTC risk score system. Moreover, in our sample group, we found a minimally significant reduction in the recurrence rate in the intermediate- and high-risk groups. Conclusion: From the results obtained, we considered it essential to introduce the use of EORTC risk tables into our clinical practice to determine the recurrence and progression of NMIBC.

The EORTC tables overestimate the risk of recurrence and progression in patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer treated with bacillus Calmette-Guérin: external validation of the EORTC risk tables

Abstract Background European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk tables only included 171 patients treated with bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) for non–muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). Objective To evaluate the external validity of the EORTC tables in patients with NMIBC treated with BCG over 5–6 mo. Design, setting, and participants Data on 1062 patients treated with BCG were analyzed. Measurements Discrimination was assessed using the concordance index (c-index) and the prognostic separation index (PSEP). For calibration, probabilities of recurrence and progression obtained with the EORTC risk tables in our series were compared with those reported by the EORTC. Results and limitations With respect to the discriminative ability of the EORTC model, c-index was similar to those reported in the EORTC series for recurrence. However, c-indices for progression in our series were lower than c-indices reported by Sylvester et al. [1]. Although PSEP in our series was lower than in the EORTC series for recurrence at 1 yr, similar results were found at 5 yr. Regarding progression, PSEP in our series was lower than in the EORTC series. Whilst a successful stratification of recurrence and progression probability at 1 and 5 yr was achieved using the EORTC tables in our series, model calibration showed lower risks of recurrence than those reported by Sylvester et al. [1] in all groups. For progression, lower risks were found in higher-risk groups. There are some limitations in the present study. A different distribution of patients was found, with higher proportions of primary grade 3 T1 tumors and tumors in situ than in the EORTC series. An additional limitation is that prior recurrence of the EORTC table was not included in our parameters. Consequently, two separate analyses were performed for recurrence. Conclusions The EORTC model successfully stratified recurrence and progression risks in our cohort. However, the discriminative ability of the EORTC tables decreased in our patients for progression. Moreover, these tables overestimated risks of recurrence and progression after BCG therapy.

Validating the EORTC risk tables in BCG-treated patients

The European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) tables estimate risks of tumor recurrence and progression in patients following transurethral resection of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer. But how well do the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the tables stand up in patients administered bacillus Calmette–Guerin (BCG)?

Validation of EORTC Prognostic Factors for Adults With Low-Grade Glioma: A Report Using Intergroup 86-72-51

A prognostic index for survival was constructed and validated from patient data from two European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) radiation trials for low-grade glioma (LGG). We sought to independently validate this prognostic index with a separate prospectively collected data set (Intergroup 86-72-51). Two hundred three patients were treated in a North Central Cancer Treatment Group-led trial that randomized patients with supratentorial LGG to 50.4 or 64.8 Gy. Risk factors from the EORTC prognostic index were analyzed for prognostic value: histology, tumor size, neurologic deficit, age, and tumor crossing the midline. The high-risk group was defined as patients with more than two risk factors. In addition, the Mini Mental Status Examination (MMSE) score, extent of surgical resection, and 1p19q status were also analyzed for prognostic value. On univariate analysis, the following were statistically significant (p<0.05) detrimental factors for both progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS): astrocytoma histology, tumor size, and less than total resection. A Mini Mental Status Examination score of more than 26 was a favorable prognostic factor. Multivariate analysis showed that tumor size and MMSE score were significant predictors of OS whereas tumor size, astrocytoma histology, and MMSE score were significant predictors of PFS. Analyzing by the EORTC risk groups, we found that the low-risk group had significantly better median OS (10.8 years vs. 3.9 years, p<0.0001) and PFS (6.2 years vs. 1.9 years, p<0.0001) than the high-risk group. The 1p19q status was available in 66 patients. Co-deletion of 1p19q was a favorable prognostic factor for OS vs. one or no deletion (median OS, 12.6 years vs. 7.2 years; p=0.03). Although the low-risk group as defined by EORTC criteria had a superior PFS and OS to the high-risk group, this is primarily because of the influence of histology and tumor size. Co-deletion of 1p19q is a prognostic factor. Future studies are needed to develop a more refined prognostic system that combines clinical prognostic features with more robust molecular and genetic data.

Clinical evaluation of European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer risk tables in non-muscle invasive bladder cancer

Objective To evaluate the feasibility of European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk tables in non-muscle invasive bladder cancer in Chinese patients.Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on the data from 185 patients with non-muscle invaaive urothelial bladder cancer from January 2003 to February 2009. Among the 185 patients, 128 patients were stage Ta compared with 57 patients who were stage T1. There were 87, 53 and 45 patients with grade G1, G2 and G3 respectively. Transurethral resection of the bladder tumor was performed on all the patients and all the patients received routine post-operative intravesical instillation. A telephone interview follow-up was conducted on all the patients, and the average follow-up period was 36 months. EORTC risk tables were used to calculate risk scores for recurrence and progression for each patient. The recurrence and progression rates of different risk groups were recorded and compared with the estimated rates by EORTC risk table. Statistical analysis was used for comparison. ResultsTotal 1-year recurrence rate and progression rate for these patients were 25.9% and 3.8% respectively. According to calculated values of the patients, the 1-year recurrence rates of Group 0, Group 1-4, Group 5-9, Group 10-17 were 10.4%(5/48), 21. 5%(14/65), 35. 2% (19/54), 55.6%(10/18), respectively. The 1-year progression rates of Group 0, Group 2-6, Group 7-13, Group 14-23 were 0% (0/43), 1.5% (1/67), 6. 7% (4/60), 13. 3% (2/15). There was no significant difference between the real rates and estimated rates of the EORTC risk tables (P＞0. 05). However,the 1-year recurrence and progression rates between the low risk group, the medium risk group and the high risk group showed significant differences respectively (P ＜ 0. 05 ). Conclusions The EORTC risk tables are feasible to evaluate the recurrence and progression risk of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer in the present cohort. Nevertheless, the long term value and feasibility need more research to confirm. Key words: Urinary bladder neoplasms; Carcinoma; Non muscle-invasive bladder cancer; European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer risk tables; Prognosis

Do Standardised Prognostic Algorithms Reflect Local Practice? Application of EORTC Risk Tables for Non-Muscle Invasive (pTa/pT1) Bladder Cancer Recurrence and Progression in a Local Cohort

A risk calculator algorithm to allow prediction of probabilities of 1- and 5-year recurrence and progression rates in individuals with pTa/pT1 bladder cancer has been proposed by the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) and was incorporated into the European Association of Urology guidelines in 2006. We attempted to validate this algorithm in a cohort of patients with known outcome. Prognostic data were collected from a consecutively presenting cohort of 109 patients with non-muscle invasive (pTa/pT1) transitional cell cancer (TCC) at a single institution between 1983 and 1985. Using the same statistical models as in the EORTC original paper, predicted probabilities of 1- and 5-year recurrence and progression were calculated. Patients were divided into four risk groups for recurrence (Ir-IVr) and progression (Ip-IVp), respectively, using six prognostic criteria. These were then compared to the probabilities predicted in the EORTC algorithm. The predicted 1- and 5-year probabilities of recurrence were significantly higher in the study population as compared to the original EORTC algorithm for all four risk groups. The predicted 1-year probabilities for progression in groups Ip/IIIp and at 5-years for groups Ip/IIp were in accordance with the original algorithm, but were higher for the other progression groups. The concordance for the model of prediction using the study group for recurrence at 1 and 5 years was 62 and 63%, respectively, and for progression was 65 and 67, respectively. We were unable to validate the proposed algorithm in our group of patients. Although our study has limitations that prevent firm conclusions on the validity of the algorithm, it does expose some of the drawbacks of standardised nomograms when applied to local clinical practice.

Molecular Grade (FGFR3/MIB-1) and EORTC Risk Scores Are Predictive in Primary Non–Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer

BackgroundThe European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) risk scores are not validated in an independent patient population. Molecular grade (mG) based on fibroblast growth factor receptor 3 (FGFR3) gene mutation status and MIB-1 expression was proposed as an alternative to pathologic grade in bladder cancer (BCa) [1]. ObjectiveTo validate the EORTC risk score and to determine its relation to mG in a series with long-term follow-up as well as to determine reproducibility of pathologic grade and mG. Design, setting, and participantsIn this multicenter study, we included 230 patients with primary non–muscle-invasive BCa (NMIBC). MeasurementsFour uropathologists reviewed the slides. FGFR3 mutation status was examined by two assays. MIB-1 was assessed by immunohistochemistry. The EORTC risk scores for recurrence and progression were determined. Multivariable analyses were used to find prognostic factors. Results and limitationsMedian follow-up was 8.62 yr (interquartile range: 6.6–11.8). FGFR3 mutations were significantly related to favorable disease parameters, whereas altered MIB-1 was frequently seen with pT1, high grade, and high EORTC risk scores. EORTC risk scores were significant in multivariable analyses for recurrence and progression. In multivariable analyses for progression and disease-specific survival, the mG had independent significance. The addition of mG to the multivariable model for progression increased the predictive accuracy from 74.9% to 81.7% (p<0.001; Mantel-Haenszel test). The mG (89%) was more reproducible than the pathologic grade (41–74%). ConclusionsWe validated the EORTC risk scores for primary NMIBC in a clinical and biomarker setting. Next to EORTC risk score, mG proved highly reproducible and predictive. Our long-term results justify an independent prospective analysis of mG and EORTC risk scores.

The Efficacy of the EORTC Scoring System and Risk Tables for the Prediction of Recurrence and Progression of Non-Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer after Intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guerin Instillation

PurposeThe European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) scoring system and risk table were introduced in the 2008 European Association of Urology guidelines on TaT1 bladder cancer. We compared the recurrence and progression rate between EORTC risk tables and author's patients who underwent transurethral resection of bladder cancer (TURB) following intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) instillation.Materials and MethodsThe medical records of 251 patients who underwent TURB and were diagnosed with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer from l993 to 2007 were analyzed. The patients were divided into 2 groups: the recurrence group and the progression group. According to the EORTC scoring system, the patients in each group were categorized in terms of number of tumors, tumor size, prior recurrence rate, T category, carcinoma in situ, and pathologic grade and the scores were summed. According to the summed scores, the recurrence group and the progression group were divided into 3 subgroups: low, intermediate, and high risk, respectively. The recurrence rate and progression rate of each group were compared with the EORTC risk tables.ResultsThe recurrence rate and progression rate were almost similar to the EORTC risk tables. However, the recurrence rate was low in the intermediate-risk group.ConclusionsClinical utilization of the EORTC scoring system and risk tables is very effective in predicting the recurrence and progression of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer and in selecting treatment.