The moisture sorption isotherms (MSIs) of Oswin, Halsey, GAB, and linear models were compared for their ability to predict the shelf life of typical permeable packages of four dried foods (onion flakes, rice crackers, cassava-flour-based baked product, and dried tea) whose isotherm data are given in the literature. Parameters of MSI equations were used to mathematically simulate aw change of the packaged foods. The simulation model was applied to predict the times to reach the critical aw values under storage at 30 or 37°C and 65% or 85% RH. The GAB equation was best able to fit the moisture sorption data with the highest coefficient of determination (>.99) and the lowest root mean square error (≤0.01). The linear model consistently estimated the shelf life in close agreement with the GAB equation. The Oswin and Halsey equations differed with each food in their ability to estimate the shelf life accurately. Practical applications Shelf-life determination is a critical issue for packaged dried foods where the moisture sorption isotherm selected may influence its accuracy. While a convenient and simple way of estimating shelf life is required, the validity and limitations of the applied method should be examined and determined. The general versatility of the GAB equation and the tolerable validity of the linear sorption model over the low aw range were confirmed, which is useful for practical shelf-life determination of packaged dried foods.