Estimation Of Evapotranspiration Research Articles

Dynamic land cover evapotranspiration model algorithm: DyLEMa

This study presents the “Dynamic Land Cover Evapotranspiration Model Algorithm: DyLEMa” for continuous spatiotemporal evapotranspiration (ET) estimates across diverse land uses. DyLEMa employs a coupled Random Forest model with a novel dynamic recalibrating strategy to improve pre-optimized seasonal hyperparameters following satellite acquisition alongside land cover classes. An analysis of feature importance indicated the significant variability in ET processes across different land cover classes and seasons. Hence, DyLEMa was applied to 20 years of daily 30x30 m pixel resolution Landsat-derived ET data in Illinois to address spatial and temporal discontinuities due to cloud contamination and sensor failures. DyLEMa performance was evaluated on Eddy Covariance measurements to find out that DyLEMa predictions reduced the average PBIAS error from + 31 % to −7% compared to existing US Geological Survey ET products. Spatially, DyLEMa underscores the value of a land cover-aware approach in ET estimation under varied cloud cover rates and their ability to preserve landscape features. However, the performance of DyLEMa was affected by the quality of land cover classification, suggesting the need for a refined region-specific land cover classification. DyLEMa’s flexibility and performance suggest its applicability to other regions and satellite datasets, offering a promising reduction in uncertainty of ET estimates with impacts on environmental and water resources assessments on regional scales.

Temperature-based Evapotranspiration in the WSVI Drought Index Implementation

Drought is a natural hazard that affects environmental and socio-economic development. In this study, the Water Surplus Variability Index (WSVI), which is based on both precipitation and Penman-Monteith (PM) evapotranspiration (ET) estimates, was used to quantify drought. The application of the WSVI is not possible in some locations because of the missing data for estimating ET. The key objectives of this research were to 1. compare the different temperature-based WSVIs for the 1-, 3-, 6- and 12-month timescales with the original PM-based WSVI; 2. improve the WSVI by replacing the full-set PM equation with the corresponding temperature-based ET equation, such as Hargreaves, adjusted Hargreaves, Thornthwaite, modified Thornthwaite or temperature-based PM; and 3. compare the best temperature-based WSVI with the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). The set of meteorological data was obtained from several stations from Pannonian Basin (Budapest, Debrecen, Novi Sad and Sombor). According to statistical indicators, the Hargreaves-based WSVI (WSVIH) was ranked first or second for each time period at all locations. The WSVIH was additionally tested using the SPI for each location and each timescale. The obtained results indicated the capability of the WSVIH to quantify drought frequency, duration and severity identified by the SPI. Finally, the WSVI can be recommended using the Hargreaves equation instead of the full-set PM equation in future WSVI implementations in the Pannonian Basin.

Assessment of crop water requirement and irrigation scheduling of potato using weather models under sub temperate climatic condition of North-Western Himalaya

To optimize irrigation water and enhance yield, appropriate amount of irrigation water and its scheduling according to real time weather data can help in reducing crop water foot prints. The evapotranspiration (ET) based irrigation scheduling using present weather conditions reflecting changed climatic scenarios in the study regions in the past few decades has proved to be sagacious use of water. To study the ET based irrigation scheduling, field experiment conducted with the treatments comprising four ET based weather models irrigation scheduling methods viz. no irrigation or rainfed, Thornthwaite, Hargreaves method, Temperature and modified Penman Monteith under sowing windows of 20th December and 20th January were conducted at research farm, of Department of Agronomy, CSK HPKV, Palampur, Himachal Pradesh during Rabi season of 2015-16. The estimated crop evapo-transpiration (ETc) with different ET estimation methods under North Western Himalayas showed variation during crop season. The highest estimated ET was observed in December as compared to January sown potato crop with Hargreaves method (376.8 mm) followed by Temperature (354 mm), Thornthwaite (329.5 mm) and the lowest in modified Penman Monteith methods (241.9 mm). The estimated ETc from pan evaporation observed to be the highest to the tune of (382.3 mm) compared to other methods of ETc estimation. The crop coefficients modeled at different pheno-phases were used for estimating water requirement of potato crop. It was found that irrigation scheduling based on modified Penman Monteith of ET estimation saved one irrigation to the tune of 60 mm during crop period without affecting significantly growth, and tuber yield of the potato as compared to other methods, viz., However, the irrigation schedule based on Thornthwaite method has recorded highest total potato tuber yield (171.76 q ha-1) being at par with irrigation schedules worked out from other ET estimation methods. The total water footprints were the lowest in modified Penman Monteith to the tune of 300 liters per kg of potato yield compared to other methods.

Reconstructing monthly 0.25° terrestrial evapotranspiration data in a remote arid region using Bayesian-driven ensemble learning method

This study presents a Bayesian-driven ensemble learning framework to minimize errors in evapotranspiration (ET) data assimilation, thereby generating a continuous-scale ET estimation with improved accuracy for the data-scarce arid Central Asia (CA). Five state-of-the-art gridded ET products were extensively tested and utilized to reconstruct new long-term ET data at grid scale, including two Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS)-Land Surface Models (LSM) (Catchment and NOAH), two reanalysis products (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis 5 (ERA5) and Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications – ver. 2 (MERRA2)), along with the Global Land Evaporation Amsterdam (GLEAM) satellite ET product ver. 3.6b. Taylor Skill Score was employed to evaluate the input gridded ET datasets, using in situ measurements across four arid biomes — cropland, shrubland, farmland, and grassland —as benchmarks. Bayes-Markov Chain Monte Carlo (Bayes-MCMC)-derived logarithmically transformed predictors from the posterior ensemble anomalies were standardized to resolve the mismatches in the cumulative distribution functions of ET data relating to the in situ observations. We found that the constrained residual errors were more profound between 45th and 95th percentiles for the rescaled total ET anomalies across all the input ET datasets at 95 % confidence interval. Moreover, the weighted ensemble estimates derived from the Bayes-MCMC were instrumental in correcting ET anomalies, leading to the robust reconstruction of a more reliable ensemble mean ET data for Central Asia (CAETens) at monthly temporal and 0.25° spatial resolutions, spanning from 2003 to 2020. Overall, CAETens exhibited superior performance, achieving the highest averaged Kling-Gupta Efficiency of 0.75 and registering the lowest Root Mean Square Error of 6.85 mm/m compared to the standalone gridded ET products. Comparisons of spatial distributions of fine-scale features, and evaluations using standard metrics revealed that all ET products varied significantly (p < 0.05) by biome types. Remarkably, only CAETens exhibited a reasonable low positive bias and pronounced ability to resolve the complex spatiotemporal patterns associated with the input gridded ET products. The study bridges the gap in continuous ET monitoring for sustainable water resources management in CA.

Improving parameterization of an evapotranspiration estimation model with eddy covariance measurements for a regional irrigation scheduling program

Actual evapotranspiration (ETa) is an essential variable in linking energy cycles, carbon, and water, yet challenging to measure. Inputs uncertainty and deficiencies in the key elements of hydrologic models are fundamental challenges for optimizing model performance. Furthermore, the performance of land surface model-based ETa, reanalysis, and remote sensing products varies with spatiotemporal scales. Here, we evaluate sources of bias in the regional Wisconsin Irrigation and Scheduling Program (WISP) model and develop a correction using eddy covariance (EC) observations. ETa, observations were made for five years (2018–2022) using EC systems in agricultural fields in Wisconsin. WISP model ETa bias was linked to underestimation of net longwave radiation (LWnet) that was traced to incorrect specification of effective clear sky atmospheric emissivity (εa,clr). Applying a correction to the εa,clr led to reduced WISP model percent bias (pbias) and error for both LWnet and ETa. The calibrated model more accurately represented observed ETa. The results indicate that explicit treatment of the LWnet balance decreases the uncertainty of model parameters and improves the WISP model performance at independent sites. Applying this improved model parameterization reduced the bias of LWnet radiation from 62.8% to -6.2%, which improved the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) from -0.08 to 0.52 for ETa on training sites. Additionally, overall pbias was significantly reduced (p = 0.035) for validation sites after WISP correction. Hence, WISP performance improved for different crop types when optimal regional parameters were used, confirming the physical parameters' reliability. Our results highlight that model development should focus on energy balance parameterizations to improve ET simulation and the accuracy of hydrologic and climatic simulations for understanding critical processes underlying hydrologic and climatic variability and change over land.

Improved hydrological modelling and ET estimation in watershed with irrigation interference

Evapotranspiration (ET) is the true water consumption of the watershed and is key to achieving water conservation. The accurate estimation of ET by distributed hydrological model can provide an important basis for watershed water resources management. At present, the traditional approach calibrating distributed hydrological model parameters by runoff has low accuracy in watersheds under human interference. The reason is that the measured runoff is no longer natural due to various human activities such as river water withdrawals, reservoir regulation and inter-basin water transfer. While using ET for model calibration can effectively overcome this interference, making it a more accurate approach for watersheds under human interference. Therefore, we calibrated the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model using PMLV_2 ET in Ziya River under frequent human activities. The results indicated that calibrating the model with remote sensing ET could improve the model’s simulation performance, increasing the NS from 0.65 to 0.83. However, the annual ET calculated by the model was 21.7% lower than PMLV_2 ET. The largest underestimation was for the annual ET of cropland (agricultural ET), which was underestimated by 24.4%. This is partly because the model did not account for irrigation evaporation from cropland. Therefore we used Landsat 8 data to extract the planting areas of winter wheat, which consumes the highest irrigation water in the Ziya River Basin, from 2013 to 2018. The planting areas and irrigation regimes of winter wheat were incorporated into the SWAT model to calculate the agricultural ET. The results indicate that the agricultural ET calculated by the SWAT model that considers irrigation evaporation is 6.9% lower than that of PMLV_2 ET. The simulation accuracy of ET is significantly improved. This study provides a reference for accurate estimation of agricultural ET and a basis for ET management.

Better estimation of evapotranspiration and transpiration using an improved modified Priestly-Taylor model based on a new parameter of leaf senescence in a rice field

Evapotranspiration (ET) is at the heart of the global water, energy, and carbon cycles. As ET is difficult and expensive to measure, it is crucial to develop estimation models that can be widely applied. Currently, an improved Priestley-Taylor (PT) model considers soil moisture stress, temperature constraints, and leaf senescence; however, its parameter (fs) for simulating crop senescence is based on empirical values, making it difficult to apply to different varieties and complex external conditions and thus challenging to generalize. We improved the parameters fs in the original model based on the chlorophyll decomposition that accompanies crop senescence through easily observable SPAD values (Soil-Plant Analysis Development readings) in the field. We validated the improved model by obtaining ET of different rice varieties in 2022 and 2023 using the energy balance residual method at the Free Air Concentration Enrichment Experimental (FACE) Facility located in Yangzhou City, China. The results showed that the simulation of leaf senescence using SPAD values was feasible and could be extended to different varieties. The new model using improved leaf senescence parameter for estimating ET and transpiration (T) in three plots (2022 and 2023) exhibited slightly enhanced accuracy, particularly at the later stages of crop growth. Moreover, the higher the T/ET ratio of the cropland, the more significant the improvement. This new development enhances the ability of PT models to estimate ET and T using readily available field observations and provides some suggestions for wider application in the field for other crop species.

An evolutionary parsimonious approach to estimate daily reference evapotranspiration

The reference evapotranspiration (ETo) is an essential component in hydrological and ecological processes. The objective of this research is to develop an explicit model to estimate ETo only using commonly measurable meteorological parameters such as relative humidity, air temperature, and wind speed, where the measurements corresponding to solar radiation are omitted. The model was generated using Genetic Programming (GP), evaluated, and validated with reference data ETo using FAO56-PM. This reference data was obtained from different climates (warm-temperate and arid-warm) and latitudes, acquired from CIMIS stations in the state of California, United States, and the El Porvenir station in the state of Coahuila, located in north-central Mexico. After applying the proposed methodology, a total of 3754 results were generated, demonstrating a significant improvement in the estimation of ETo compared to the Hargreaves–Samani model. A particularly noteworthy result revealed that our approach outperformed the Hargreaves–Samani model in the training phase by 27%, and in the testing phase by 16%, on average. In order to achieve a generalized model, a dataset encompassing meteorological stations in two different climates (warm-temperate and arid-warm) and various latitudes was utilized. The obtained outcome unveiled a highly effective model for estimating ETo in diverse climatic contexts, eliminating the need for local adjustments. This model significantly surpassed the Hargreaves–Samani model, exhibiting superior performance by 17% during the training phase and 18% during the testing phase. These results conclusively underscore the capability of our approach to provide more accurate and reliable ETo estimates. These results conclusively underscore the capability of our approach to provide more accurate and reliable ETo estimates. Finally, to validate the model, four different datasets with climates similar to those used for model creation (warm-temperate, warm-arid) and different latitudes were employed. The validation stage results clearly indicate the superiority of our reference evapotranspiration ETo11 model over the Hargreaves–Samani model by 51% in warm-temperate climates. For the dataset with arid-warm climate, our model continued to show satisfactory results, surpassing the Hargreaves–Samani model by 8%. GP emerges as an innovative and effective alternative for simplified model development. This approach introduces a novel paradigm that facilitates the efficient development of models, standing out for its simplicity and effectiveness in generating solutions.

Prediction of evapotranspiration variance in the Budyko framework with the incorporation of soil storage and runoff

Water availability needs to be accurately assessed to understand and effectively manage hydrologic environments. However, the estimation of evapotranspiration (ET) is prone to errors due to the complex interactions that occur between the atmosphere, the Earth's surface, and vegetation cover. This paper proposes a novel approach for analyzing the sources of inaccuracy in estimating the annual ET using the Budyko framework (BF), particularly temporal variability in precipitation (P), potential evapotranspiration (EP), runoff (R), and the change in soil storage (ΔS). Error decomposition is employed to determine the individual contributions of P, R, EP, and ΔS to the ET error variance at 12 locations in the state of Illinois using a dataset covering a 22-year period. To the best of our knowledge, this study represents the first BF-based investigation that considers R in the error decomposition of the predicted ET variance. The ET error variance increases with the variance in the P and R in Illinois and decreases with the covariance between these two variables. In addition, when accounting for ΔS in the BF, the scenario in which ΔS affects the total available water (i.e., P) is reliable, with a low prediction error and a 13.87 % lower root mean square error compared with the scenario in which the effect of ΔS is negligible. We thus recommend the inclusion of ΔS and R as key variables in the BF to improve water budget estimations.

Developing a New ANN Model to Estimate Daily Actual Evapotranspiration Using Limited Climatic Data and Remote Sensing Techniques for Sustainable Water Management

Accurate estimations of actual evapotranspiration (ETa) are essential to various environmental issues. Artificial intelligence-based models are a promising alternative to the most common direct ETa estimation techniques and indirect methods by remote sensing (RS)-based surface energy balance models. Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are proven to be suitable for predicting reference evapotranspiration (ETo) and ETa based on RS data. This study aims to develop a methodology based on ANNs for estimating daily ETa values using NDVI and land surface temperature, coupled with limited site-specific climatic variables in a large irrigation catchment. The ANN model has been applied to the two different scenarios. Data from only the 38 days of satellite overpass dates was selected in Scenario I, while in Scenario II all datasets, i.e., the 769-day data were used. An irrigation scheme, located in the Mediterranean region of Turkiye, was selected, and a total of 38 Landsat images and local climatic data collected in 2021 and 2022 were used in the ANN model. The ETa results by the ANN model for Scenarios I and II showed that the R2 values for training (0.79 and 0.86), testing (0.75 and 0.81), and the entire dataset (0.76 and 0.84) were all remarkably high. Moreover, the results of the new ANN model in two scenarios showed an acceptable agreement with ETa-METRIC values. The proposed ANN model demonstrated the potential for obtaining daily ETa using limited climatic data and RS imagery. As a result, the suggested ANN model for daily ETa computation offers a trustworthy way to determine crop water usage in real time for sustainable water management in agriculture. It may also be used to assess how crop evapotranspiration in drought-prone areas will be affected by climate change in the 21st century.

SolarET: A generalizable machine learning approach to estimate reference evapotranspiration from solar radiation

Irrigation is the most significant consumer of freshwater worldwide. Deciding on the right amount of irrigation is crucial for sustainable water management and food production. The Penman-Monteith (P-M) reference crop evapotranspiration (ETO) is the gold standard in irrigation management and scheduling; however, its calculation requires measurements from multiple sensors over an extended reference grass surface. The cost of land, sensors, maintenance, and water to keep the grass surface green impedes having a dense network of ETO stations. To solve this challenge, this research aims to develop an input-limited ETO estimation approach based on historical weather data and machine learning (ML) algorithms to relax the need for a reference grass surface. This approach, called "SolarET," takes solar radiation (RS) data as its sole input. RS is the only meteorological driving factor of ETO that does not rely on the measuring surface. To test the generalizability of SolarET, we test its performance over unseen arbitrary locations across California. California is chosen as the case study since it is one of the world's most hydrologically altered and agriculturally productive regions. In total, 19,088,736 hourly data samples from 131 automated weather stations have been used in this study. The ML models have been trained over 114 stations and tested over 17 unseen stations, each representing a California climatic zone. Our findings point to the superiority of decision tree-based algorithms versus neural networks. SolarET works best in irrigation-oriented regions of California (e.g., Central Valley) and is less accurate in coastal and desert zones. Our results demonstrate the higher accuracy of SolarET using hourly (RMSE = 0.93 mm/day) and daily (RMSE = 0.97 mm/day) RS data in comparison to well-known empirical alternatives like Priestley-Taylor (PT) (RMSE = 1.35 mm/day) and Hargreaves-Samani (HS) (RMSE = 2.69 mm/day).

Global datasets of hourly carbon and water fluxes simulated using a satellite-based process model with dynamic parameterizations

Abstract. Diagnostic terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) forced by remote sensing observations have been a principal tool for providing benchmarks on global gross primary productivity (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET). However, these models often estimate GPP and ET at coarse daily or monthly steps, hindering analysis of ecosystem dynamics at the diurnal (hourly) scales, and prescribe some essential parameters (i.e., the Ball–Berry slope (m) and the maximum carboxylation rate at 25 °C (Vcmax25)) as constant, inducing uncertainties in the estimates of GPP and ET. In this study, we present hourly estimations of global GPP and ET datasets at a 0.25° resolution from 2001 to 2020 simulated with a widely used diagnostic TBM – the Biosphere–atmosphere Exchange Process Simulator (BEPS). We employed eddy covariance observations and machine learning approaches to derive and upscale the seasonally varied m and Vcmax25 for carbon and water fluxes. The estimated hourly GPP and ET are validated against flux observations, remote sensing, and machine learning-based estimates across multiple spatial and temporal scales. The correlation coefficients (R2) and slopes between hourly tower-measured and modeled fluxes are R2=0.83, regression slope =0.92 for GPP, and R2=0.72, regression slope =1.04 for ET. At the global scale, we estimated a global mean GPP of 137.78±3.22 Pg C yr−1 (mean ± 1 SD) with a positive trend of 0.53 Pg C yr−2 (p&lt;0.001), and an ET of 89.03±0.82×103 km3 yr−1 with a slight positive trend of 0.10×103 km3 yr−2 (p&lt;0.001) from 2001 to 2020. The spatial pattern of our estimates agrees well with other products, with R2=0.77–0.85 and R2=0.74–0.90 for GPP and ET, respectively. Overall, this new global hourly dataset serves as a “handshake” among process-based models, remote sensing, and the eddy covariance flux network, providing a reliable long-term estimate of global GPP and ET with diurnal patterns and facilitating studies related to ecosystem functional properties, global carbon, and water cycles. The hourly GPP and ET estimates are available at https://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.ecodb.00163 (Leng et al., 2023a) and the accumulated daily datasets are available at https://doi.org/10.57760/sciencedb.ecodb.00165 (Leng et al., 2023b).

Measurement and estimation of evapotranspiration in a maize field: A new method based on an analytical water flux model

Quantifying evapotranspiration (ET) in rainfed cropping systems can be challenging due to complicated interactions among site-specific soil, plant, and management factors. In Northeast China, ET and soil water status in maize fields often display strong spatial and temporal variations due to the changes in tillage practice, planting pattern, and maize plant density. Previous studies have shown that near-surface soil water content (θ) observations at multiple scales provide the potential to estimate surface soil water fluxes. In this study, we introduced a new method to estimate daily field ET by using a soil water flux model mainly based on the time-series of θ at a depth of 2.5 cm. The new method required a calibration of soil water diffusivity with maximum net water flux in the near-surface soil layer, which was related to precipitation redistribution below the canopy. Finally, the new method was evaluated using observed ET values over a 2-year period in a maize field, where independent measurements of soil water evaporation (E) and transpiration (T) were made with heat-pulse sensors and sap-flow gauges, respectively. Field observations showed that E dominated water loss during the seedling stage (16% of total ET). As the canopy was fully developed, E sharply decreased to a value of 0.4 mm d−1, and T accounted for about 89% of ET since the silking stage. The new method to estimate ET performed well in drying periods, while it tended to underestimate ET in wet periods with substantial infiltration into the surface layer. On rain-free days, the ET values estimated with the new method matched well with the measured E+T values, with R2 and RMSE values of 0.85 and 1.93 mm d−1. Therefore, the new approach provides an effective way to quantify maize ET.

Selection of best wavelet functions and decomposition levels for coupling with soft computing methods in estimating ETo in coastal and island regions

ABSTRACT Mass transfer-based models are among the extensively applied reference evapotranspiration (ET o ) estimation approaches that have been proven to provide reliable estimates under certain climatic and geographical conditions. A major issue with such approaches is the high variations in wind speed time series, which is a governing meteorological parameter in mass transfer-based models. few studies have focused on applying wavelet transform as a robust pre-processing technique for ETo estimation. A major question with coupling wavelet transforms with soft computing methods would be the proper choice of the wavelet function, vanishing moments and the decomposition levels. The present study aims at assessing different wavelet functions coupled with boosted regression tree (BT) models, i.e. wavelet-BT (WBT), in estimating ET o values (through mass transfer parameters) in both coastal and island regions, where it is supposed that wind speed variations are affected by sea–inland interactions and so has the sharp variations (unlike ET o ). The obtained results showed that the coupled WBT model could improve the single BT model results to a great extent, and meanwhile, the Daubechies wavelet function with six vanishing moments provided the most accurate results in all the locations. Further, the best simulation outcomes with each wavelet function were obtained when the maximum possible decomposition level was used with each function.

Applicability and improvement of different potential evapotranspiration models in different climate zones of China

BackgroundAccurate estimation of potential evapotranspiration (PET) is the key for studying land-air interaction hydrological processes. Several models are used to estimate the PET based on standardized meteorological data. Although combination-based models have the highest level performance estimation of PET, they require more meteorological data and may therefore be difficult to apply in areas lacking meteorological observation data.ResultsThe results showed significant differences in the spatial trends of PET calculated by different models in China, the Doorenbots–Pruitts model revealed the highest PET (1902.6 mm), and the Kuzmin model revealed the lowest PET (349.6 mm), with the largest difference being 5.5 times. The Romanenko and the Rohwer models were the recommended temperature-based and aerodynamic-based models. On the other hand, the Abtew model was more suitable for arid and semi-arid regions, while the Priestley–Taylor model was more suitable for humid regions. Combination-based models revealed ideal calculation accuracies, among which the Penman–Monteith model was the best option for PET calculation.ConclusionsThe accuracy range of Romanenko, Rohwer, Abten, Priestley Taylor, and Penman Monteith models improved in MPZ and TCZ is higher than that improved in TMZ and SMZ. This does not mean that the improved models have higher accuracy in MPZ and TCZ than in TMZ and SMZ. On the contrary, the original model performed poorly in MPZ and TCZ, so the improved accuracy was relatively large. The unimproved model was already more suitable in TMZ and SMZ, so the improved accuracy was relatively small. Therefore, regional calibration of the PET models can improve the accuracy and applicability of PET calculation, providing a reference for studying hydrological processes in different climatic zones.

A doubled increasing trend of evapotranspiration on the Tibetan Plateau

Estimation of evapotranspiration (ETa) change on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is essential to address the water requirement of billions of people surrounding the TP. Existing studies have shown that ETa estimations on the TP have a very large uncertainty. In this article, we discuss how to more accurately quantify ETa amount and explain its change on the TP. ETa change on the TP can be quantified and explained based on an ensemble mean product from climate model simulations, reanalysis, as well as ground-based and satellite observations. ETa on the TP experienced a significant increasing trend of around 8.4 ± 2.2 mm (10 a)−1 (mean ± one standard deviation) during 1982–2018, approximately twice the rate of the global land ETa (4.3 ± 2.1 mm (10 a)−1). Numerical attribution analysis revealed that a 53.8% TP area with the increased ETa was caused by increased temperature and 23.1% part was due to soil moisture rising, because of the warming, melting cryosphere, and increased precipitation. The projected future increase in ETa is expected to cause a continued acceleration of the water cycle until 2100.

Machine learning methods for estimating reference evapotranspiration

Precise estimation of evapotranspiration is crucial for optimizing crop water uses particularly in the context of agriculture and horticultural production. In this study, various machine learning techniques was used to determine reference evapotranspiration by leveraging historical weather data. The models tested include artificial neural networks (ANN), Lasso, Ridge, Random Forest, LGBM regressor, and Gradient boosting regressor. LGBM regressor emerged as the top-performing model, exhibiting exceptional accuracy with a testing R-squared of 1.0. ANN also demonstrated notable performance, achieving a testing R-squared of 0.99. Moreover, the Random Forest and Gradient boosting regressor models showcased strong predictive capabilities, with R2 values of 0.99 and 0.98, respectively. These models offer valuable alternatives for estimating evapotranspiration, providing robustness and adaptability to diverse environmental datasets.

Evapotranspiration prediction for European forest sites does not improve with assimilation of in situ soil water content data

Abstract. Land surface models (LSMs) are an important tool for advancing our knowledge of the Earth system. LSMs are constantly improved to represent the various terrestrial processes in more detail. High-quality data, freely available from various observation networks, are being used to improve the prediction of terrestrial states and fluxes of water and energy. To optimize LSMs with observations, data assimilation methods and tools have been developed in the past decades. We apply the coupled Community Land Model version 5 (CLM5) and Parallel Data Assimilation Framework (PDAF) system (CLM5-PDAF) for 13 forest field sites throughout Europe covering different climate zones. The goal of this study is to assimilate in situ soil moisture measurements into CLM5 to improve the modeled evapotranspiration fluxes. The modeled fluxes will be evaluated using the predicted evapotranspiration fluxes with eddy covariance (EC) systems. Most of the sites use point-scale measurements from sensors placed in the ground; however, for three of the forest sites we use soil water content data from cosmic-ray neutron sensors, which have a measurement scale closer to the typical land surface model grid scale and EC footprint. Our results show that while data assimilation reduced the root-mean-square error for soil water content on average by 56 % to 64 %, the root-mean-square error for the evapotranspiration estimation is increased by 4 %. This finding indicates that only improving the soil water content (SWC) estimation of state-of-the-art LSMs such as CLM5 is not sufficient to improve evapotranspiration estimates for forest sites. To improve evapotranspiration estimates, it is also necessary to consider the representation of leaf area index (LAI) in magnitude and timing, as well as uncertainties in water uptake by roots and vegetation parameters.

High-resolution land surface modeling of the irrigation effects on evapotranspiration over the Yellow River basin

Accurate estimation of irrigation-induced evapotranspiration (ET) is critical for understanding the terrestrial water cycle. However, current estimation has large uncertainties due to the model limitations and the lack of accurate water use data. In this study, a water-energy balanced irrigation scheme is incorporated into the Conjunctive Surface-Subsurface Process version 2 (CSSPv2) model to improve the hydrological simulations over the Yellow River basin (YRB) where irrigation is extensive. The coupled model (CSSPv2-IRR) is calibrated against long-term water use data from provincial survey, and it is used to perform a 6-km resolution simulation over the YRB during 1991–2017. The results show that the coupled model can well reproduce hydrological processes within the basin, and the simulated irrigation amount, ET and surface soil moisture largely agree with the validation datasets. Specifically, the annual irrigation amount and irrigation-induced ET changes from the CSSPv2-IRR are more reasonable than ISIMIP2a and reanalysis products, with a reduction in bias by 79.5–97.3 % and 81.2–98.8 % respectively. The CSSPv2-IRR model simulation suggests that irrigation-induced annual ET change is 26.4 mm/year during 1991–2017, contributing to an 8.9 % increase in annual ET over the YRB, and the increase can reach 44.3 % over major irrigation districts. In addition, the contribution of irrigation to long-term increasing trend in ET over the irrigation districts in the upper reach is greater than the contribution of climate change. This study suggests a growing control of irrigation on the ET over the YRB, which has implications for regional water cycle and water resources management.

Spatiotemporal trends and evapotranspiration estimation using an improvised SEBAL convergence method for the semi-arid region of Western Rajasthan, India

Abstract The study demonstrates how to estimate evapotranspiration (ET) for the Western Rajasthan region of India utilizing remotely sensed images with the Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land (SEBAL). Landsat 8 and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite inputs were used to compute seasonal and annual ET on the Google Earth Engine platform. The assessment utilizing the SEBAL algorithm, in combination with the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Penman–Monteith (PM) and Hargreaves methods, demonstrates that SEBAL has adequate reliability for estimating ET for a spatially large extent in semi-arid regions when evaluated with the Hargreaves method. The values of R2, root-mean-square error (RMSE), and mean bias error (MBE) for FAO-PM were 0.63, 1.65 mm/day, and 1.28 mm/day, respectively. For the Hargreaves method, the values of R2, RMSE, and MBE were 0.96, 0.41 mm/day, and −0.31 mm/day, respectively. The study showed that the northern region witnessed the highest ET due to the availability of abundant surface water for irrigation. Overall, the results demonstrate the SEBAL model's effectiveness in estimating evapotranspiration. A downward trend in ET is observed in the region, mainly due to changing climatic conditions.