Estimated Generation Time Research Articles

Internal solitary waves in the central Andaman sea observed by combining mooring data and satellite remote sensing

The behavioral characteristics of internal solitary waves (ISWs) in the central Andaman Sea were revealed by analyzing multisource satellite remote sensing images combined with synchronous mooring data. The relationship between the generation time and tides of ISWs in the central Andaman Sea was analyzed and discussed. The ISWs in the central Andaman Sea exhibit a notable semidiurnal tidal cycle, primarily occurring during the spring tide. Additionally, it was observed that larger currents can generate ISWs with larger amplitudes. The propagation velocity of the ISWs initially increases and then decreases from the source, with no significant overall change in the deep areas. Based on the analysis of satellite remote sensing images that cover the source of ISWs in the central Andaman Sea, the generation time of ISWs was estimated. A comparison was made between the estimated generation time and the tidal flow predicted from the TPXO 9 global tidal model at the location of the ISW source. It was found that ISWs are generated when the westward tidal flow reaches its maximum. The ISWs in the central Andaman Sea are generated between the islands of Car Nicobar and Teresa Island. They propagate eastward into the Andaman Sea, grow in amplitude, split into multiple waves, dissipate, and vanish in the waters near the Danao Islands. The entire life cycle of these waves lasts for approximately 3∼4 days.

Transmission chains of the first local outbreak cause by Delta VariantB.1.617.2 COVID-19 in Guangzhou, Southern China

BackgroundThe first local outbreak of Delta Variant B.1.617.2 COVID-19 of China occurred in Guangzhou city, south China, in May 2021. This study analyzed the transmission chains and local cluster characteristics of this outbreak, intended to provide information support for the development and adjustment of local prevention and control strategies.MethodsThe transmission chains and local cluster characteristics of 161 local cases in the outbreak were described and analyzed. Incubation period, serial interval and generation time were calculated using the exact time of exposure and symptom onset date of the cases. The daily number of reported cases and the estimated generation time were used to estimate the effective reproduction number (Rt).ResultsWe identified 7 superspreading events who had more than 5 next generation cases and their infected cases infected 70.81%(114/161) of all the cases transmission. Dining and family exposure were the main transmission routes in the outbreak, with 29.19% exposed through dining and 32.30% exposed through family places. Through further analysis of the outbreak, the estimated mean incubation period was 4.22 (95%CI: 3.66–4.94) days, the estimated mean generation time was 2.60 (95%CI: 1.96–3.11) days, and the estimated Rt was 3.29 (95%CI: 2.25–5.07).ConclusionsClassification and dynamically adjusted prevention and control measures had been carried out according to analysis of transmission chains and epidemical risk levels, including promoting nucleic acid screening at different regions and different risk levels, dividing closed-off area, controlled area according to the risk of infection, raising the requirements of leaving Guangzhou. By the above control measures, Guangzhou effectively control the outbreak within 28 days without implementing a large-scale lockdown policy.

Legacy effects of earthworms on soil microbial abundance, diversity, and community dynamics

The earthworm species Lumbricus terrestris L. feeds on plant litter mixed with surrounding soil. Here, we analyzed with a mesocosm approach and soil incubations how that activity and subsequent ageing of casts (feces) affects the abundance and diversity of the soil microbiome. Earthworms were fed either with straw of sainfoin (SA, Onobrychis viciifolia; C/N ratio 22) or winter wheat (WW, Triticum aestivum, C/N ratio 101). The gut transit increased the abundances of bacteria and fungi, but reduced archaea. As indicated at the DNA and RNA level, main beneficiaries of the facilitated access to nutrients were members of Bacteroidota, especially Flavobacteriales with an estimated generation time of only 2 h. While Alphaproteobacteria were reduced, Gammaproteobacteria also increased in abundance and activity. SA was more nutritious for L. terrestris, and supported a higher bacterial abundance, probably because more N was available for growth and denitrification. During cast ageing, prokaryotic community compositions became increasingly similar to bulk soil communities. However, they remained distinguishable even after 168 d, suggesting that effects can last beyond a vegetation period. Dry-wet conditions preserved these differences better than continuous moisture. During ageing, more complex prokaryotic networks were detected with WW and dry-wet conditions. Thus, N and water limitations appeared to enhance cooperation rather than competition between the prokaryotes. Overall, this study demonstrates that earthworm soil interactions strongly affect the diversity and temporal dynamics of the soil microbiome. Legacy effects of earthworm activities should thus be kept in mind when investigating the environmental variation of soil microbiomes.

Genomic insights into the historical and contemporary demographics of the grey reef shark.

Analyses of genetic diversity can shed light on both the origins of biodiversity hotspots, as well as the conservation status of species that are impacted by human activities. With these objectives, we assembled a genomic dataset of 14,935 single nucleotide polymorphisms from 513 grey reef sharks (Carcharhinus amblyrhynchos) sampled across 17 locations in the tropical Indo-Pacific. We analysed geographic variation in genetic diversity, estimated ancient and contemporary effective population size (Ne) across sampling locations (using coalescent and linkage disequilibrium methods) and modelled the history of gene flow between the Coral Triangle and the Coral Sea. Genetic diversity decreased with distance away from the Coral Triangle and north-western Australia, implying that C. amblyrhynchos may have originated in this region. Increases in Ne were detected across almost all sampling locations 40,000-90,000 generations ago (approximately 0.6-1.5 mya, given an estimated generation time of 16.4 years), suggesting a range expansion around this time. More recent, secondary increases in Ne were inferred for the Misool and North Great Barrier Reef sampling locations, but joint modelling did not clarify whether these were due to population growth, migration, or both. Despite the greater genetic diversity and ancient Ne observed at sites around Australia and the Coral Triangle, remote reefs around north-western New Caledonia had the highest contemporary Ne, demonstrating the importance of using multiple population size assessment methods. This study provides insight into both the past and present demographics of C. amblyrhynchos and contributes to our understanding of evolution in marine biodiversity hotspots.

Understanding how fast SARS-CoV-2 variants transmit from household studies

Understanding how fast SARS-CoV-2 variants transmit from household studies

More accurate measurement of temperature in potato drills increases predicted potato cyst nematode population growth

ABSTRACTPotato cyst nematodes (PCN) are economically important pests of potato plants worldwide that can result in yield losses exceeding 80%, with an estimated cost of £50 million annually in the United Kingdom alone. The life cycle of PCN, and in particular the hatching of eggs and development and survival of juveniles, is sensitive to temperatures in the soil. Despite this fact, relatively little is known about temperatures inside potato drills and how these may differ to temperatures in the surrounding soil. We monitored the temperature inside potato drills at 19 sites across the United Kingdom and used a published temperature‐driven process‐based PCN life cycle model to compare predictions of PCN population dynamics driven by these temperatures to predictions based on modelled soil temperatures derived from the HadUK‐Grid climate. We found that mean soil temperatures derived from the climate model were lower than those observed inside potato drills; thus, using temperatures measured directly in potato drills resulted in increased estimates of population growth and shorter estimated generation times than when using modelled soil temperatures. This finding suggests that greater understanding of the temperature inside potato drills is required if we are to make accurate predictions about the effects of temperature on PCN populations.

Influenza in the COVID-19 era: principles of modern pharmacotherapy

Influenza is one of the most common infectious diseases and a significant public health problem. Every year, the influenza virus causes 3–5 million severe cases, millions hospitalizations and approximately 650,000 deaths. According to WHO four new influenza strains are projected to circulate in the 2020–2021 epidemic season. Influenza A and B strains are: A/Guangdong-Maonan/ SWL1536/2019 (H1N1) pdm09, A/Hong Kong/2671/2019 (H3N2), B/Washington/02/2019 (Victoria lineage), B/ Phuket/3073/2013 (Yamagata lineage). In this context, the problem of prescribing rational antiviral therapy is particularly importance. COVID-19, along with influenza, is a group of respiratory viral infections, but important differences exist in terms of viral agents and the spread of infection. Important differences include the rate of transmission. The average incubation period and generation time (the time between infecting one person and infecting another) for influenza are shorter. COVID-19 may be more severe, causing complications and deaths in 3–4% of cases. The estimated generation time for COVID 19 is 5-6 days, while for influenza it is 3 days. According to the latest data, the reproductive number, i.e., the number of people who can be infected by one patient, is in the range of 2 to 2.5 in COVID 19, which is higher than in influenza. Only a laboratory test can accurately identify the type of pathogen and distinguish it from influenza and other respiratory viruses. Neuraminidase inhibitors are currently first-line drugs recommended by WHO for the treatment and prevention of influenza.

Joint Estimation of Generation Time and Incubation Period for Coronavirus Disease 2019.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has caused a heavy disease burden globally. The impact of process and timing of data collection on the accuracy of estimation of key epidemiological distributions are unclear. Because infection times are typically unobserved, there are relatively few estimates of generation time distribution. We developed a statistical framework to jointly estimate generation time and incubation period from human-to-human transmission pairs, accounting for sampling biases. We applied the framework on 80 laboratory-confirmed human-to-human transmission pairs in China. We further inferred the infectiousness profile, serial interval distribution, proportions of presymptomatic transmission, and basic reproduction number (R0) for COVID-19. The estimated mean incubation period was 4.8 days (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.1-5.6), and mean generation time was 5.7 days (95% CI, 4.8-6.5). The estimated R0 based on the estimated generation time was 2.2 (95% CI, 1.9-2.4). A simulation study suggested that our approach could provide unbiased estimates, insensitive to the width of exposure windows. Properly accounting for the timing and process of data collection is critical to have correct estimates of generation time and incubation period. R0 can be biased when it is derived based on serial interval as the proxy of generation time.

Estimation of the Basic Reproduction Numbers of the Subtypes H5N1, H5N8, and H5N6 During the Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Epidemic Spread Between Farms.

It is important to understand pathogen transmissibility in a population to establish an effective disease prevention policy. The basic reproduction number (R0) is an epidemiologic parameter for understanding the characterization of disease and its dynamics in a population. We aimed to estimate the R0 of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) subtypes H5N1, H5N8, and H5N6, which were associated with nine outbreaks in Korea between 2003 and 2018, to understand the epidemic transmission of each subtype. According to HPAI outbreak reports of the Animal and Plant Quarantine Agency, we estimated the generation time by calculating the time of infection between confirmed HPAI-positive farms. We constructed exponential growth and maximum likelihood (ML) models to estimate the basic reproduction number, which assumes the number of secondary cases infected by the index case. The Kruskal-Wallis test was used to analyze the epidemic statistics between subtypes. The estimated generation time of H5N1, H5N8, and H5N6 were 4.80 days [95% confidence interval (CI) 4.23–5.38] days, 7.58 (95% CI 6.63–8.46), and 5.09 days (95% CI 4.44–5.74), respectively. A pairwise comparison showed that the generation time of H5N8 was significantly longer than that of the subtype H5N1 (P = 0.04). Based on the ML model, R0 was estimated as 1.69 (95% CI 1.48–2.39) for subtype H5N1, 1.60 (95%CI 0.97–2.23) for subtype H5N8, and 1.49 (95%CI 0.94–2.04) for subtype H5N6. We concluded that R0 estimates may be associated with the poultry product system, climate, species specificity based on the HPAI virus subtype, and prevention policy. This study provides an insight on the transmission and dynamics patterns of various subtypes of HPAI occurring worldwide. Furthermore, the results are useful as scientific evidence for establishing a disease control policy.

Assessing the effects of different management scenarios on the conservation of small island vulture populations

SummaryAlthough the population of Griffon VultureGyps fulvusis significantly increasing in Europe, in Italy the species is still on the Red List as ‘Critically Endangered’, with the last natural population persisting on the island of Sardinia. Several episodes of poisoning hampered the success of conservation actions implemented in the years 1987–1995. In 2005 there were estimated to be only 31–32 territorial pairs, with the population occupying the territories of Alghero and Bosa. We used a long-term dataset of reproductive records from the Sardinian Griffon Vulture populations to run a population viability analysis (PVA) to evaluate the extinction risk using the Vortex simulation software. The model estimated the probability of extinction over the next five generations (estimated generation time: 11 years, simulation time used: 55 years) as 96.4% for the Alghero population, and near-zero for the Bosa population. We used sensitivity analyses to understand how uncertainty about parameter values affect model outcomes. Population projections were evaluated under different management scenarios tackling the main threats (poisoning and human disturbance) and implementing conservation actions (supplementary feeding and restocking). Our results showed that population size is a critical factor in affecting the projections of population dynamics of Griffon Vultures. Sensitivity analyses highlighted the importance of poisoning events to population persistence and showed that juvenile and adult mortality rates had a secondary impact on population viability. The only conservation measure effective in significantly increasing stochastic growth rates in the Alghero population, whose initial population was set at five individuals, was the complete removal of poisoning events. When targeting the Bosa population (initial population size 94 individuals), supplementary feeding, mitigation of the risk of poisoning episodes, restocking, and mitigation of human disturbance in the reproductive sites significantly increased stochastic growth rate. A cost-effectiveness analysis should be performed to prioritise interventions.

Planctomycetes in Lakes: Poor or Strong Competitors for Phosphorus?

Experiments were conducted with water samples from two perialpine lakes with differing eutrophication status in order to examine the effects of inorganic-nutrient amendments (nitrogen as NO3(-) or NH4(+) and phosphorus as PO4(3-)) on the dynamics, structure, and composition of Planctomycetes and to test the hypothesis that the community structure of Planctomycetes members and that of the other bacteria (without Planctomycetes, here referred to as bacteria-wP, the most represented groups within the community) would be similarly impacted by nutrient additions. Initial samples were characterized by high total nitrogen-to-total phosphorus ratios (range, 39 to 55), suggesting P rather than N was the limiting nutrient for microbial communities. Consistent with this, P additions stimulated phytoplankton growth and affected the community structure of bacteria-wP but, surprisingly, not that of Planctomycetes. N additions did not significantly affect the community structures of bacteria-wP and Planctomycetes or the Planctomycetes phylotype composition. The estimated generation time of Planctomycetes was 123 h. These findings could suggest that the generally well-accepted statement that bacteria (as a whole) are superior to phytoplankton in the ability to obtain phosphorus under P limitation might actually not hold for Planctomycetes. Planctomycetes might be poor competitors for P that do not respond quickly to the nutrient supply, which may help explain why their abundance is low in aquatic systems. The alternative view that Planctomycetes could be strong competitors for P (storing it) is also discussed. Our findings highlight the need for further studies examining Planctomycetes-phosphorus relationships in aquatic ecosystems.

Beyond lifetime reproductive success: the posthumous reproductive dynamics of male Trinidadian guppies.

In semelparous populations, dormant germ banks (e.g. seeds) have been proposed as important in maintaining genotypes that are adaptive at different times in fluctuating environments. Such hidden storage of genetic diversity need not be exclusive to dormant banks. Genotype diversity may be preserved in many iteroparous animals through sperm-storage mechanisms in females. This allows males to reproduce posthumously and increase the effective sizes of seemingly female-biased populations. Although long-term sperm storage has been demonstrated in many organisms, the understanding of its importance in the wild is very poor. We here show the prevalence of male posthumous reproduction in wild Trinidadian guppies, through the combination of mark-recapture and pedigree analyses of a multigenerational individual-based dataset. A significant proportion of the reproductive population consisted of dead males, who could conceive up to 10 months after death (the maximum allowed by the length of the dataset), which is more than twice the estimated generation time. Demographic analysis shows that the fecundity of dead males can play an important role in population growth and selection.

Rapid juvenile development in old forest lichens

Generation time and juvenile growth rates are important but poorly known parameters in lichen population biology. By using a noninvasive method, we aimed to quantify these variables in juvenile thalli of Lobaria pulmonaria (L.) Hoffm., L. scrobiculata (Scop.) D.C., and Pseudocyphellaria crocata (L.) Vain., in situ, on twigs of Picea abies (L.) H. Karst in boreal rainforests. Growth was monitored during the summer months (May–August, 106 d), as well as in the remaining part of the year (259 d), for each of two sequential years, by means of repeated photography and imaging analysis. The mean relative thallus-area growth rates were 0.53 ± 0.02, 0.41 ± 0.02, and 0.57 ± 0.04 mm2·mm–2·year–1 (mean ±SE), respectively, in the three species, equivalent to a yearly growth of 101 ± 5%, 70 ± 6%, and 121 ± 12%. Growth was much slower during the winter (0.09–0.12 mm2·cm–2·d–1) than in summer (0.19–0.27 mm2·cm–2·d–1). Relative growth rates significantly declined with increasing thallus size. Estimated generation times in L. scrobiculata and P. crocata, based upon the first observed formation of reproductive structures, were 15–22 and 9–13 years, respectively. Studied L. pulmonaria thalli produced no diaspores during the experiment, consistent with a generation time >17 years. The relative growth rates we measured and our estimated generation times are faster than those earlier recorded. Thus, our noninvasive method can estimate parameters needed to model population growth within a reasonable period of time. The rapid juvenile development implies that the growth rates and generation times are unlikely to be the limiting factors that exclude these lichens from young forests.

Genome dynamics of Bartonella grahamii in micro-populations of woodland rodents

BackgroundRodents represent a high-risk reservoir for the emergence of new human pathogens. The recent completion of the 2.3 Mb genome of Bartonella grahamii, one of the most prevalent blood-borne bacteria in wild rodents, revealed a higher abundance of genes for host-cell interaction systems than in the genomes of closely related human pathogens. The sequence variability within the global B. grahamii population was recently investigated by multi locus sequence typing, but no study on the variability of putative host-cell interaction systems has been performed.ResultsTo study the population dynamics of B. grahamii, we analyzed the genomic diversity on a whole-genome scale of 27 B. grahamii strains isolated from four different species of wild rodents in three geographic locations separated by less than 30 km. Even using highly variable spacer regions, only 3 sequence types were identified. This low sequence diversity contrasted with a high variability in genome content. Microarray comparative genome hybridizations identified genes for outer surface proteins, including a repeated region containing the fha gene for filamentous hemaggluttinin and a plasmid that encodes a type IV secretion system, as the most variable. The estimated generation times in liquid culture medium for a subset of strains ranged from 5 to 22 hours, but did not correlate with sequence type or presence/absence patterns of the fha gene or the plasmid.ConclusionOur study has revealed a geographic microstructure of B. grahamii in wild rodents. Despite near-identity in nucleotide sequence, major differences were observed in gene presence/absence patterns that did not segregate with host species. This suggests that genetically similar strains can infect a range of different hosts.

Transient sensitivities of non-indigenous shrub species indicate complicated invasion dynamics

As biological invasions increasingly affect natural systems, the need for methods that can quantify the processes responsible for invasion success has increased. Further, methods should be geared to the formulation of management strategies. Demographic analyses are designed to explore the causes and properties of population change. Matrix population models, a commonly used technique for demographic analysis, have been applied to the analysis of stage-structured populations. However, most commonly, analyses have focused on long-term outcomes dynamics (ergodic dynamics). The methods available for analysis of matrix population models have recently been extended to facilitate analysis of the transient dynamics most important to invasion analysis. In this paper we analyze the transient population dynamics of three invasive shrubs and compare them to ergodic dynamics. Cytisus scoparius, Clidemia hirta, and Ardisia elliptica come from different parts of the world and are all now found in the United States of America. They also have published transition matrices that measure the probabilities that any one life-history stage will transition to another over an annual time step. These matrices have been estimated from multi-year data collected from plots in various environments. Our comparative study of transient and ergodic dynamics of invasive shrubs shows that, for all the considered shrub species, there was a clear difference between the sensitivities drawn from these two approaches. The transient sensitivities of earlier life-history transitions showed magnified importance relative to ergodic sensitivities. This was especially true of A. elliptica for which the stable population structure was most different from the starting structure analyzed in detail here. For other species, as stable population structures were heavily weighted towards early stages, the differences in the importance of early transitions transiently and ergodically were less dramatic. Late life transitions showed magnified importance in areas towards the center of the invasion or in older invasion areas. Finally, populations with shorter estimated generation times show greater transient sensitivity to early life-history stages; but the pattern was complex and varied according to species, and was also observed across other life-history transitions. Overall, the ambiguity and complexity of the results highlight the power of considering transient population dynamics for invading species, as well as the importance of specific biological and ecological knowledge of the invading species. Although there may be commonalities across invasions, important decisions on control or inference on population dynamics should treat invasions as individual, unique events.

Reproduction, growth and secondary production of Pseudocalanus elongatus Boeck (Copepoda, Calanoida) in the southern North Sea

The seasonal cycle of population dynamics and production of the dominant copepod Pseudocalanus elongatus in the southern North Sea was described using for the first time concurrent shipboard measurements of abundance, egg production and stage durations. Biological and physical parameters were measured from February 2004 to May 2005. Highest population abundance (592*10 3 n m −2 ) was recorded in June. Maximum egg production rate (EPR) was 9.1 eggs female −1 day −1 in April 2004. High EPR occurred at several stations where Chl a concentration was low, suggesting P. elongatus to be able to use alternative food resources such as microzooplankton and detritus or to maintain high production rates by using lipid reserves. Stage durations derived from molting experiments ranged from 1 day (CII) in February up to 9.2 days (CV) in April, with fastest development for most stages occurring in April. The increasing temperature in summer did not further shorten developmental times. Therefore, food might be an important determinant of development of P. elongatus in the North Sea. Estimated generation times in August based on shipboard measurements of stage durations were 2.3 times longer than predicted from laboratory investigations and point towards the importance of field measurements when calculating secondary production.

Monitoring Crocodylus porosus populations in the Northern Territory of Australia: a retrospective power analysis

In the Northern Territory of Australia, populations of the estuarine crocodile (Crocodylus porosus) have been subject to an annual egg harvest since the early 1980s. Since 1997, adult and juvenile crocodiles have also been harvested in some catchments. Annual surveys of crocodile populations are conducted in order to ensure that the harvest is sustainable. Boat surveys commenced in 1975 and helicopter surveys commenced in 1989. Retrospective power analysis was used to determine whether the sampling program meets the objectives of the Crocodile Management Program for the Northern Territory. Data collected during boat surveys vary in quality between river systems. The analysis of pooled data from 7 river systems with a residual standard deviation of 0.11 indicates that the power of the current spotlight survey method to detect a decline of 10% per annum in around 4 years is about 0.9. In this time the population would decline by around 33% and would fully recover in 8 years following the removal of the factor causing the decline. This allows detection of a decline within one-third, and recovery within two-thirds, of the estimated generation time of the saltwater crocodile and will allow management actions to be implemented before the impacts on populations are serious. The data from helicopter and boat surveys from a 10-year period were compared. Helicopter surveys did not provide useful management information.

Climatic warming and increased malaria incidence in Rwanda

Global climatic change is expected to increase the incidence of vector-borne diseases, especially malaria. This study assessed the contribution of climate to a malaria epidemic in Rwanda, focusing on the catchment area of one health centre where diagnosis was consistent and non-climatic variables well monitored. In late 1987 malaria incidence in the area increased by 337% over the 3 previous years. The increase was greatest in groups with little acquired immunity—children under 2 years (564%) and people in high-altitude areas (501%). Case-fatality rose significantly (relative risk=4·85, p < 0·001). 1987 also saw record high temperatures and rainfall. An autoregressive equation including lagged effects of these two variables explained 80% of the variance in monthly malaria incidence. Temperature (especially mean minimum) predicted incidence best at higher altitudes where malaria had increased most. Empirically derived relations were consistent with the estimated generation time of the disease and with the known sensitivity of the plasmodium parasite to temperature. The patterns of climatic warming between day and night and among seasons will be critical to the effect on malaria. These findings are most relevant to regions near the altitude or latitude limits of the disease, where several epidemics have lately been reported.

Phenotypic Variation and Parasitic Fitness of Races ofCochliobolus carbonumon Corn in North Carolina

Two field populations of Cochliobolus carbonum on corn (Zea mays) in the piedmont of North Carolina, where races 2 and 3 coexist, were sampled repeatedly (four times during 51 days in the Wilkes County field and three times during 32 days in the Yadkin County field) during 1987. Isolates were tested for lesion type and several polymorphic traits, including mating type, fertility, and fungicide tolerance. The relative fitness of race 3, as determined from frequency changes, was significantly lower than the fitness of race 2 in each field. The fitness values of race 3, with an estimated generation time of 7 days, were 0.82 and 0.84 versus 1.0 for race 2 [...]

Temperature-dependent reproduction and survival ofGyrodactylus salarisMalmberg, 1957 (Platyhelminthes: Monogenea) on Atlantic salmon (Salmo salarL.)

The relationship of survival and reproduction of Gyrodactylus salaris Malmberg on the Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) to water temperature (2.5-19.0 degrees C), was studied on the basis of temporal sequence of births and age at death of individual parasites on isolated salmon, and of infrapopulation growth on isolated and grouped salmon. Mean life-span of the parasite was negatively correlated with water temperature: 33.7 days at 2.5 degrees C and 4.5 days at 19.0 degrees C. The average number of offspring per parasite peaked between 6.5 and 13.0 degrees C, and was approximately 2.4 at these two temperatures. Both the period between the successive births of the offspring (max 4) and the estimated generation time were negatively correlated with temperature. The innate capacity for increase (rm) was positively correlated with temperature: from 0.02 (/parasite/day) at 2.5 degrees C to 0.22 (/parasite/day) at 19.0 degrees C. Growth of the infrapopulations was positively correlated with water temperature and was higher on isolated fish than on grouped fish, though less than the potential parasite population growth estimated from rm. In the infrapopulations the mean intensity of parasites continued to increase throughout all the experiments on both isolated fish and on grouped fish.