Environmental Flow Assessment Research Articles

Integrated Hydrologic-Hydrodynamic Inundation Modeling in a Groundwater Dependent Tropical Floodplain

The rapid development of free and open-access hydrological models and coupling framework tools continues to present more opportunities for coupled model development for improved assessment of floodplain hydrology. In this study, we set up an Upper Zambezi hydrological model and a fully spatially hydrological-hydrodynamic coupled model for the Barotse Floodplain using GLOFRIM (GLObally applicable computational FRamework for Integrated hydrological–hydrodynamic Modelling). The hydrological and hydrodynamic models used are WFLOW and LISFLOOD-FP, respectively. The simulated flows generated by the wflow model for the upstream gauge stations before the Barotse Floodplain were quite similar and closely matched the observed flow as indicated by the evaluation statistics; Chavuma, nse = 0.738; kge = 0.738; pbias = 2.561 and RSR = 0.511; Watopa, nse = 0.684; kge = 0.816; pbias = 10.577 and RSR = 0.557; and Lukulu, nse = 0.736; kge = 0.795; pbias = 10.437 and RSR = 0.509. However, even though the wflow hydrological model was able to simulate the upstream hydrology very well, the results at the floodplain outlet gauge stations did not quite match the observed monthly flows at Senanga gauge station as indicated by the evaluation statistics: nse = 0.132; kge = 0.509; pbias = 37.740 and RSR = 0.9233. This is mainly because the representation of both floodplain channel hydrodynamics and vertical hydrological processes is necessary to correctly capture floodplain dynamics. Thus, the need for an approach that saves as a basis for developing fully spatially distributed coupled hydrodynamic and hydraulic models’ assessments for groundwater dependent tropical floodplains such as the Barotse floodplain, in closing the gap between hydrology and hydrodynamics in floodplain assessments. A fully coupled model has the potential to be used in implementing adaptive wetland management strategies for water resources allocation, environmental flow (eflows), flood control, land use and climate change impact assessments. Doi: 10.28991/HEF-2022-03-02-09 Full Text: PDF

Securing the Environmental Water Requirements of Seasonally Ponding Wetlands: Partnering Science and Management through Benefit Sharing

Although environmental flow regime assessments are becoming increasingly holistic, they rarely provoke water managers to enact the adaptive water reallocation mechanisms required to secure environmental water for wetlands. The conditions that cause science-based environmental flow assessments to succeed or fail in informing the management of environmental water requirements remain unclear. To begin to resolve these conditions, we used process tracing to deconstruct the sequence of activities required to manage environmental water in four case studies of seasonally ponding wetlands in Mediterranean and Mesoamerican watersheds. We hypothesized that, when the flexibility and equitability of the socioeconomic system do not match the complexity of the biophysical system, this leads to a failure of managers to integrate scientific guidance in their allocation of environmental water. Diagnostic evidence gathered indicates that science-management partnerships are essential to align institutional flexibility and socioeconomic equitability with the system’s ecohydrological complexity, and thus move from determination to reallocation of environmental water. These results confirm that institutions e.g., river basin organizations need to be supplemented by motivated actors with experience and skill to negotiate allocation and adaptive management of environmental water. These institutional-actor synergies are likely to be especially important in water scarce regions when the need to accommodate extreme hydrological conditions is not met by national governance capacity. We conclude by focusing on benefit sharing as a means to better describe the conditions for successful science-based environmental flow assessments that realize productive efficiency in environmental water allocation i.e., recognition of multiple values for both people and ecosystems.

Environmental flow methodology approach based on ecological impact assessment for hydroelectric power plants and hydraulic structures on stream ecosystems in Turkey.

Use areas of streams such as agricultural irrigation, drinking water and energy are important for people's needs. The uncontrolled increase in all these demands on the streams leads to a change in flow amount and regime thereof over time, causing the stream and dependent ecosystems to be adversely affected. The hydrological system and the stream ecosystems may not be significantly affected, with the removal of some water and/or the use of the stream for energy such that a stream does not differ substantially from the natural flow regime in the past. In this context, environmental flow assessments are considered, which are called the flow that should be provided in order to minimize the environmental impacts specific to each stream's flow basin characteristics and its ecosystem. The most reliable method is to determine the environmental water need in different stream systems with a holistic ecological impact assessment, as well as different scientific assessment methods. This study reveals environmental flow methodology studies, which have been revealed by integrated ecological impact assessment aiming to determine the principles and methods suitable for the geographical and climatic conditions of Turkey in order to minimize environmental risks for the design of river type hydroelectric power plants and water retention structures such as ponds and dams, which have been intensively planned, constructed and used for hydroelectric energy especially after 2010 in Turkey, and assessment of the "environmental flow" results established by these studies.

Impact of Hydrologic Alteration on Brazos River Pelagophilic Minnows

AbstractThe lower Brazos River has been profoundly altered since the construction of multiple impoundments. The resulting river regulation poses problems for organisms adapted to a natural flow regime and is thought to play a major role in the imperilment of seven native minnows (Smalleye Shiner Notropis buccula, Sharpnose Shiner N. oxyrhynchus, Shoal Chub Macrhybopsis hyostoma, Plains Minnow Hybognathus placitus, Ghost Shiner N. buchanani, Silverband Shiner N. shumardi, and Chub Shiner N. potteri) that synchronize spawning during high flow pulses. Four of the species are presumably extirpated from the region, but their declines and losses differed across time. To address potential reasons for species' declines, we assessed pre‐ and postimpoundment changes in flow regime from five gauging stations across the lower Brazos River to identify river flow characteristics that depart from the natural preimpoundment flow regime. For the seven minnows, there was a strong relationship between the year they were last documented and their historical percentage occurrence in the lower river. Differences in flow duration curves and flow behavior were generally consistent with position in the drainage such that the greatest changes occurred in the highly fragmented upper reach of the study area. However, extensive hydrologic alteration was apparent at all five localities. The extirpated species in the lower Brazos River may have been more sensitive to altered flow regimes and accompanying geomorphic change or were population sinks dependent on recolonization or drift from upstream populations. The relationships between pelagic‐broadcast‐spawning minnows and the flow regime are complex, and nonflow variables, such as population fragmentation, thermal regimes, geomorphology, and larval habitat dynamics, should be considered in environmental flow assessments to aid our understanding of biodiversity loss in this group of species across the North American plains. Managing flows to support species that depend on natural flow regimes will require not only a better understanding of their reproductive life histories, but also the ecology and physiology of early life history stages.

New integrated hydrologic approach for the assessment of rivers environmental flows into the Urmia Lake

Recent research has greatly focused on the environmental water supplement of rivers individually and independently. However, a comprehensive and integrated view of all rivers in the basin is simultaneously required in closed basins leading to lakes and wetlands. This has affected Lake Urmia, which is the second largest saltwater lake in the world. It has been in danger of drying up in recent years as a result of not allocating the required environmental flow (e-flow) due to the increase in water resource consumption in the agricultural sector and climate changes. In this study, a method derived from the flow duration curve shifting (FDCS) method is presented in addition to explaining the possibility of providing the e-flow of rivers leading to the lake. The method can make the least amount of change in the hydrological characteristics of rivers while providing the volume of required water by the ecosystem of lakes or downstream wetlands. Unlike the conventional method which presents the results on a monthly basis, the above-mentioned method is based on daily data of hydrometric stations and can calculate the amount of the environmental requirement of rivers in real-time according to the upstream inlet of the river. This method has been used in the Urmia Lake basin. According to the results, it can provide the environmental requirement of the lake by allocating 70.5% of the annual flow of rivers and thus can save the lake and the ecosystem of the region from the current critical conditions.

Not Just Another Assessment Method: Reimagining Environmental Flows Assessments in the Face of Uncertainty

The numerous environmental flows assessment methods that exist typically assume a stationary climate. Adaptive management is commonly put forward as the preferred approach for managing uncertainty and change in environmental flows. However, we contend that a simple adaptive management loop falls short of meeting the challenges posed by climate change. Rather, a fundamental rethink is required to ensure both the structure of environmental flows assessments, along with each individual technical element, actively acknowledges the multiple dimensions of change, variability and complexity in socio-ecological systems. This paper outlines how environmental flow assessments can explicitly address the uncertainty and change inherent in adaptively managing multiple values for management of environmental flows. While non-stationarity and uncertainty are well recognised in the climate literature, these have not been addressed within the structure of environmental flows methodologies. Here, we present an environmental flow assessment that is structured to explicitly consider future change and uncertainty in climate and socio-ecological values, by examining scenarios using ecological models. The environmental flow assessment methodology further supports adaptive management through the intentional integration of participatory approaches and the inclusion of diverse stakeholders. We present a case study to demonstrate the feasibility of this approach, highlighting how this methodology facilitates adaptive management. Rethinking our approach to environmental flows assessments is an important step in ensuring that environmental flows continue to work effectively as a management tool under climate change.

Environmental Flows Assessment for Macroinvertebrates at the River Reach Scale in Different Degrees of Hydromorphological Alteration

One of the most commonly used methods of environmental flows assessment is the approach based on Habitat Suitability Modeling (HSM) and habitat preferences curves (HPCs). Relationships between organisms and physical parameters describing the habitat remain strongly nonlinear and vary depending on several factors. The most common comparisons concern analyses between natural and regulated rivers, where the degree of river channel alterations is undefined and usually refers to all forms of hydromorphological degradation. Additionally, spatial scale and computational range of such a research mostly focus on longer river reaches and statistical analysis of HPC transferability, without detailed estimation of environmental flows values. The main aim of our research was assessment and comparison of environmental flows’ values for macroinvertebrates at two reaches of one river with different degrees of hydromorphological alteration. Two research hypotheses were verified: 1) morphological conditions impact on values of environmental flows and weighted usable area; 2) the mean value of environmental flows at the regulated river reach is higher compared to the natural reach. In order to put the obtained values of environmental flows into a broader context, the analyses of hydrological data and calculation of hydrology-based environmental flows were performed. Additionally, before determination of environmental flows, the transferability of habitat suitability criteria between reaches was verified. The obtained results confirmed research hypotheses, revealing strong dependence of environmental flows values to morphological conditions. Additionally, for both studied sections the lower limits of environmental flows were greater than hydrology-based values.

Environmental flow in the context of dams and development with special reference to the Damodar Valley Project, India: a review.

Environmental flow is the minimum flow required in a fluvial system to maintain its ecological health and to promote socio-economic sustainability. The present work critically examines the concept of the environmental flow in the context of dams and development using a systematic methodology to find out the previous works published during the last 3 decades (1990–2020) in different search engines and websites. The study reviews that structural interventions in the form of dams, barrages, weirs, etc. impede the natural flow of the rivers. Moreover, other forms of development such as industrialization, urbanization, and expansion of modern agriculture also exacerbate the problems of environmental flow across the world, especially in monsoon Asia. The present case of the environmental flow for the Damodar River portrays that the construction of dams and barrages under the Damodar Valley Project have significantly altered the flow duration, flood frequency, and magnitude (high-frequency low magnitude events in the post-dam period), while urban-industrial growth in the basin has polluted the river water (e.g., lower dissolved oxygen and higher biological oxygen demand). This typical alteration in the flow characteristics and water quality has threatened aquatic organisms, especially fish diversity and community structure. This review will make the readers aware of the long-term result of dam-induced fluvial metamorphosis in the environment through the assessment of environmental flow, species diversity, flow fluctuation, and river pollution. The study may be useful for policy-making for ushering in the sustainable development pattern that will attract future researchers, planners, and stakeholders.

The Elephant Marsh, Malawi – Part 3: the application of an eco-social model to assess options for managing ecological status

In 2016, an application was prepared by the Malawian government for the Elephant Marsh on the Shire River to be granted RAMSAR status. As part of the support for that application and to help guide the resulting management plan, the eco-social holistic environmental flow assessment model DRIFT was set up for the Marsh. The aim was to predict the response of the Marsh to scenarios of changing water and sediment inflows, and to different levels of harvesting of its natural resources, in order to identify threats to and viable options for sustaining its biodiversity. The results of the DRIFT assessment provided three main points of guidance for the RAMSAR application and the subsequent development of a management plan. First, it was shown the Marsh has been fairly resilient to short-term changes in the inflows of water and sediments, having endured significant fluctuations in both in its history, and was able to recover in terms of biodiversity from extreme dry periods. Second, it was revealed that conservation efforts to protect biodiversity should concentrate on the central, eastern and southern areas, as they were less vulnerable to decreases in water flows than the other areas of the Marsh. Third, restricting access to some parts of the Marsh, in particular the core eastern, central and southern areas, could markedly improve its overall condition, increase many of its resources and improve its resilience to Climate Change. Of the access restrictions assessed, the greatest benefit to the ecological integrity of the Marsh would be achieved if all access to the central area was stopped, and if access to the eastern and southern areas was reduced to 50% of the 2014 baseline levels.

Functional Flows in Groundwater-Influenced Streams: Application of the California Environmental Flows Framework to Determine Ecological Flow Needs

Environmental flows, or the practice of allocating water in river systems for ecological purposes, is a leading strategy for conserving aquatic species and improving river health. However, consideration of surface-groundwater connectivity is seldom addressed in environmental flow development due to a lack of methodologies that account for groundwater contributions to instream flow. Groundwater-influenced streams have been identified as key refugia for native biota under a rapidly changing climate. These ecosystems are anticipated to be more resistant to climate change because groundwater input buffers the adverse effects of low flows and high temperatures, particularly in the dry season. Less understood, however, is the relative contribution of groundwater inputs to streamflow and how these surface-groundwater water interactions should be accounted for in environmental flow assessments and management actions. In order to assess ecological flow needs in groundwater-influenced streams, we applied the California Environmental Flows Framework (CEFF) in two river systems in California, United States. The Little Shasta River and the lower Cosumnes River are representative of many groundwater-influenced streams throughout the semi-arid western United States. Historically, perennial streamflow once sustained diverse native aquatic species in these ecosystems, but water withdrawals for irrigated agriculture has resulted in periodic stream dewatering. We found CEFF was useful in quantifying ecological flow needs for seasonal components of the flow regime that support ecosystem functionality. In particular, CEFF offered flexibility to incorporate information on the seasonal and spatial dimensions of groundwater influences in the development of ecological flow targets. The focus on ecosystem functions in CEFF, and ability to account for groundwater influences on those functions, creates opportunities for integrated surface-groundwater management strategies that support the recovery and protection of streamflows in groundwater-influenced streams.

The Low Flow Assessment of Padma River in Bangladesh

Low flow or Environmental Flow (EF) assessment is vital to ensure the river and ecosystem remain healthy. Both natural and human interventions might alter a river. Therefore, this study presents EF requirements of the famous Hilsa breeding center in the Padma River, Bangladesh, by applying the Hydrologic Engineering Centers River Analysis System (HEC-RAS) for discharge and water surface levels simulations at different stations. The frequency analysis of 20 years of historical data, spanning 2000-2019, used the Log-Pearson Type III (LP-III) distribution method, while the one-dimensional unsteady flow simulation was performed for the last 10 years (i.e., 2012-2019). Subsequently, the HEC-RAS simulated water level values reasonably correlated with the field observations at four stations, namely Baruria Transit, Mawa, Tarpasha, Sureswar, with Coefficient of determination R2=0.86, 0.83, 0.92, and 0.74, alongside simulated minimum water surface levels of 1.57 m, 0.37 m, 0.30 m, and 0.27 m, respectively. Also, the Baruria Transit and Mawa had simulated flows that reasonably correlated with the field observations at R2=0.70 and 0.61, with a simulated minimum flow of 3849.51 m3/s and 3789.14 m3/s, respectively. The minimum flow according to the frequency analysis was 4017 m3/s, 3685 m3/s, 3449 m3/s, 3229 m3/s, and 3113 m3/s at Baruria Transit and 3304 m3/s, 2781 m3/s, 2438 m3/s, 2141 m3/s, 1992 m3/s at Mawa station in 5, 10, 20, 50 and 100 years return periods, respectively. This study overlooked to report the ongoing investigations into the water quality issues. Thus, this study is expected to guide the required EF quantity towards a healthy Hilsha fish habitat and surface water source for drinking purposes in this studied river. The stated method is also applicable to other similar rivers around the world.

Robust Climate Change Adaptation for Environmental Flows in the Goulburn River, Australia

Climate change presents severe risks for the implementation and success of environmental flows worldwide. Current environmental flow assessments tend to assume climate stationarity, so there is an urgent need for robust environmental flow programs that allow adaptation to changing flow regimes due to climate change. Designing and implementing robust environmental flow programs means ensuring environmental objectives are achieved under a range of uncertain, but plausible climate futures. We apply stress testing concepts previously adopted in water supply management to environmental flows at a catchment scale. We do this by exploring vulnerabilities in different river management metrics for current environmental flow arrangements in the Goulburn River, Australia, under non-stationary climatic conditions. Given the limitations of current environmental flows in supporting ecological outcomes under climate change, we tested three different adaptation options individually and in combination. Stress testing adaptation results showed that increasing environmental entitlements yielded the largest benefits in drier climate futures, whereas relaxing river capacity constraints (allowing more targeted delivery of environmental water) offered more benefits for current and wetter climates. Combining both these options led to greater than additive improvements in allocation reliability and reductions in environmental water shortfalls, and these improvements were achieved across a wider range of climatic conditions than possible with either of the individual options. However, adaptation may present additional risks to some ecological outcomes for wetter climates. Ultimately, there was a degree of plausible climate change beyond which none of the adaptation options considered were effective at improving ecological outcomes. This study demonstrates an important step for environmental flow assessments: evaluating the feasibility of environmental outcomes under climate change, and the intervention options that prove most robust under an uncertain future.

Environmental flow assessment of Kayan River: managing sustainability indicator of hydropower project

Nowadays, constructing a new hydropower plant is one of the most attractive solutions to overcome energy requirements. The Kayan Hydroelectric, built in the Kayan River, is projected to generate electricity of nine hundred megawatts. However, the dams have to be managed appropriately since alteration of river discharge will have a significant impact on the environment. This paper proposes an environmental flow assessment as an appropriate indicator to manage sustainability. Three environmental flow assessment methods were used: Flow Duration Curve Analysis (FDCA), Tennant method, and Building Block method. The environmental flow pattern was used as a benchmark to evaluate whether the operation rule of the dams fulfilled the sustainable requirement, particularly on the hydrological pattern of the river. Regarding the Tennant and FDCA method, the minimum discharge that has to be maintained for the minimum environmental flow of the river is about twenty-five cms (corresponds to ten percent of AFF) and thirty-five cms, respectively. Meanwhile, the Building block method informs a range of discharge from a hundred cms to twenty thousand cms during the flood. The environmental flow should be managed to guarantee that the river’s ecosystem and carrying capacity can be preserved.

The clam and the dam: A Bayesian belief network approach to environmental flow assessment in a data scarce region

The Volta clam, Galatea paradoxa, is a freshwater macrobenthic bivalve which is endemic to the Lower Volta River in Ghana. The range of occurrence of the clam has been influenced by the flow regime in the Lower Volta which is in turn controlled by operation of two dams located upstream. Previous research has documented the changes to the Lower Volta due to the dams and attempts have been made to design environmental flows (e-flows), freshwater flows to sustain ecosystems, to inform the re-operation of the dams. The past attempts were based on the pre-dam, natural flow regime of the Lower Volta. In this study, a designer e-flow approach is explored using the Volta clam as an indicator species. Using knowledge garnered from various sources on the lifecycle, habitat and the local conditions corresponding to historical and current states of the Volta clams, the factors influencing its extent are visualized and quantified in a Bayesian belief network (BBN). Based on this BBN, an e-flow recommendation for the Lower Volta is for low flows, between 50 m3/s and 330 m3/s, for four months during the Volta clam veliger larva and recruitment life stages which occur in November to March. In addition, it is recommended that full breaching of the sandbar which regularly builds up at the Volta Estuary is done annually and that sand winning on the river bed is prohibited. These e-flow and management recommendations will have consequences for other water users and these have to be investigated, for instance by flow experiments and trade-off analysis. The results show that a BBN is potentially suitable for modelling the linkages between flows, management practices and the status of ecological indicators for the development of e-flows for highly modified rivers in data scarce regions.

Environmental flow assessment in the context of climate change: a case study in Southern Quebec (Canada)

Abstract Through a case study in Southern Quebec (Canada), the assessment of environmental flows in light of the effects of climate change is investigated. Currently, the 7Q2 flow metric (7-day average flow with a 2-year return period) is used for water abstraction management. Several flow metrics were calculated using flow time series simulated by a deterministic hydrological model (HYDROTEL) and climate change scenarios as inputs. Results were compared within homogeneous low flow regions defined using ascendant hierarchical clustering, for the 1990, 2020 and 2050 horizons and annual, summer and winter periods. The impact of each flow metric on the potential availability of physical habitat was analyzed using the wetted perimeter as a proxy. Results indicated that: (1) the increasing non-stationarity of simulated flow data sets over time will complicate the use of frequency analysis to calculate the 7Q2 flow metric; (2) summer low flow values are expected to be lower than winter low flows; and (3) flow-duration curve metrics like the LQ50 (median discharge value of the month with the lowest flow) may become relevant environmental flow metrics by 2050. Results question current water abstraction management tools and permit us to anticipate future local and regional issues during low flow periods.

The use of wetted perimeter as habitat proxy to assess environmental flows in Southern Quebec rivers (Canada)

Environmental flows assessment in eastern Canada, and particularly in the province of Quebec, is mainly based on hydrological assessment of historical data during low flow periods. The mean 7-day low flow with return periods of two (7Q2) and ten years (7Q10) are two flow metrics currently used by the Quebec Department of Environment and Fight against Climate Change to prescribe minimum flow and/or maximum water abstraction while maintaining the functions and health of riverine ecosystems. This study investigated the use of the wetted perimeter as an additional environmental flows assessment method. This tool can be used by water managers to maintain the availability of river habitats during low flow periods. Twenty flow metrics were computed for inter-annual, summer and winter periods, for 43 sites from 35 rivers, and analysed to study the changes in wetted perimeter with flow. In addition, the flow associated with maximum curvature (breakpoint) of the flow-wetted perimeter function (QMC) was analyzed. Results provided a better understanding of local changes of river hydraulics and possible aquatic habitat availability associated with different flow metrics. The relevance of using a wetted perimeter threshold (WPSQMC) combined with flow thresholds (Tennant method) was also discussed. The two “fair” Tennant flow thresholds, apart from the twenty flow metrics, would provide sufficient available habitat all year long with corresponding WPSQMC thresholds of 88% and 95% of the 43 river sites. The median discharge for August flow metric for summer and the median discharge for the month with the lowest flow metric value for winter (usually February), provided the highest wetted perimeter in relative terms (72% and 79% respectively of the river sites) compared to the WPSQMC threshold. Using the 7Q2 flow metric would mean maintaining sufficient available habitat for 50%, 60% and 72% of the river sites for respectively inter-annual, summer and winter periods. Considering the single WPSQMC threshold, its associated flow provided the highest values for 16% of the river sites and the second highest one for 9% of the river sites with a single seasonal flow metric value high enough for summer or winter. This study showed that the wetted perimeter is a tool providing additional information on both river morphology and changes in potential aquatic habitat as a function of flow for river sites with small catchment size and low mean annual flow values. Indeed, the wetted perimeter can be very useful in the overall assessment of environmental flows.

Environmental Flow Assessment of a Tropical River System Using Hydrological Index Methods

Tropical rivers and wetlands are recognized as one of the greatest and most abundant ecosystems in terms of ecological and social benefits. However, climate change, damming, overfishing, water pollution, and the introduction of exotic species threaten these ecosystems, which puts about 65% of river flow and aquatic ecosystems under a moderate to high level of threat. This paper aims to assess the environmental flow of the Selangor River based on the hydrological index method using the Global Environmental Flow Calculator (GEFC) and Indicators of Hydrological Alterations (IHA) software. The daily flow data collected by the Department of Irrigation and Drainage (DID), Malaysia, over a 60-year period (1960–2020) was used in this study to assess the Selangor River flow alterations. As per the results, the river flow has had two distinct periods over the last 60 years. In the first period, the river flows without any alteration and has a natural flow with high flood pulses and low flow pulses. While in the second, or post-impact, period, the flow of the river has a steady condition throughout the year with very little fluctuations between the dry and wet seasons of the year. From the overall comparison of the pre- and post-impact periods, it can be concluded that the minimum flow in the dry seasons of the year has increased, while the maximum flow has decreased in the monsoon seasons during the post-impact period. As a result, the Flow Duration Curve (FDC) and Environmental Management Class (EMC) analysis of the river flow recommends that the Selangor River be managed under EMC “C” to provide sufficient water for both human use and ecosystem conservation, which would also help to avoid a water level drop in the reservoirs. However, further holistic studies are suggested for a detailed analysis of the effects of the dams on aquatic biodiversity and ecosystem services in the Selangor River Basin.

Ecological Status as the Basis for the Holistic Environmental Flow Assessment of a Tropical Highland River in Ethiopia

There is an increasing need globally to establish relationships among flow, ecology, and livelihoods to make informed decisions about environmental flows. This paper aimed to establish the ecological foundation for a holistic environmental flow assessment method in the Gumara River that flows into Lake Tana in Ethiopia and the Blue Nile River. First, the ecological conditions (fish, macro-invertebrate, riparian vegetation, and physicochemical) of the river system were characterized, followed by determining the hydrological condition and finally linking the ecological and hydrological components. The ecological data were collected at 30 sites along the Gumara River on March 2016 and 2020. River hydrology was estimated using the SWAT model and showed that the low flow decreased over time. Both physico-chemical and macroinvertebrate scores showed that water quality was moderate in most locations. The highest fish diversity index was in the lower reach at Wanzaye. Macroinvertebrate diversity was observed to decrease downstream. Both the fish and macroinvertebrate diversity indices were less than the expected maximum, being 3.29 and 4.5, respectively. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) for 30 m and 60 m buffer distances from the river decreased during the dry season (March–May). Hence, flow conditions, water quality, and land-use change substantially influenced the abundance and diversity of fish, vegetation, and macroinvertebrate species. The pressure on the ecology is expected to increase because the construction of the proposed dam is expected to alter the flow regime. Thus, as demand for human water consumption grows, measures are needed, including quantification of environmental flow requirements and regulating river water uses to conserve the ecological status of the Gumara River and Lake Tana sub-basin.

Using a hierarchical model framework to investigate the relationships between fish spawning and abiotic factors for environmental flow management

The construction of dams worldwide has substantially altered natural flow and thermal regimes, leading to profound influences on fish spawning. Environmental flow (EFlow) assessments provide information on the links between river flow and river health and are a useful technique for specifically restoring species' life-history requirements. A full understanding of the abiotic–biotic relationships coupled with information on hydrological events and ecological processes is a vital step for acquiring explicit water management options. However, the incorporation of concurrent and antecedent flow, thermal parameters, and other water quality information, particularly their complex interaction effects, into the prediction of the relationships between fish spawning and abiotic factors is poorly studied. The present study proposes a hierarchical modeling framework that accounts for the different concurrent and antecedent habitat factors and the interaction effects between factors to predict the spawning intensities of three important endemic fish species (which spawn drifting eggs) collected from the upper Yangtze River, China. Our results show that 1) the abiotic factors significantly affecting fish spawning vary with species, and these factors are intricately linked to species-specific ecology; 2) the water transparency during spawning and the accumulated temperature before spawning are important predictors of the spawning intensity of some fish species, while the effective duration of rising flow discharge before spawning plays a consistently important role in affecting the spawning intensity of all three fish species; and 3) there are explicit interaction effects, mainly between the hydrological and thermal variables, on fish spawning intensity. The present study suggests that investigation of the relationships between fish spawning and abiotic factors should not only analyze individual species but should also fully consider the accumulated temperature and effective duration of flow discharge rising before spawning, as well as the interaction effects between habitat factors.

Environmental flow assessment in a lake‐marsh system with reverse seasonal hydrological patterns

AbstractEnvironmental flow (e‐flow) assessment is essential for the ecological protection and restoration of lake‐marsh systems. Previous studies on e‐flow assessment for lake‐marsh systems focused on lake‐marsh systems with natural seasonal hydrological patterns (i.e., low water level in winter and high water level in summer). However, they have not considered lake‐marsh systems with reverse seasonal hydrological patterns (i.e., high water level in winter and low water level in summer). The reverse seasonal hydrological patterns impose seriously negative impacts on waterbirds, because the hydrological patterns could lead to limited plant germination in spring and massive plant death in summer, leaving few plants available as food for waterbirds in winter, and could consequently reduce the sheltering and forageable areas for waterbirds. This study took Hongze Lake Wetland National Nature Reserve in China as the study area. Based on the habitat requirements of waterbirds, the sheltering and forageable areas for waterbirds under different water‐depth and aquatic plant distribution scenarios were calculated. By exploring the impacts of reverse seasonal hydrological processes on waterbird habitats, we determined the necessary e‐flows for lake‐marsh systems with reverse seasonal hydrological patterns to meet the needs of waterbird habitat. The results showed that the water level of Hongze Lake should be controlled to 13.0–13.1 m in March, 12.5–12.6 m in July, and 12.9–13.0 m in October, which can meet the needs of waterbirds for both shelter and foraging.