Ensemble Learning Method Research Articles

Advancing mental health predictions through sleep posture analysis: a stacking ensemble learning approach

Sleep posture is closely related to sleep quality, and can offer insights into an individual’s health. This correlation can potentially aid in the early detection of mental health disorders such as depression and anxiety. Current research focuses on embedding pressure sensors in bedsheets, attaching accelerometers on a subject’s chest, and installing cameras in bedrooms for sleep posture monitoring. However, such solutions sacrifice either the user's sleep comfort or privacy. This study explores the effectiveness of using contactless ultra-wideband (UWB) sensors for sleep posture monitoring. We employed a UWB dataset that is composed of the measurements from 12 volunteers during sleep. A stacking ensemble learning method is introduced for the monitoring of sleep postural transitions, which constitute two levels of learning. At the base-learner level, six transfer learning models (VGG16, ResNet50V2, MobileNet50V2, DenseNet121, VGG19, and ResNet101V2) are trained on the training dataset for initial predictions. Then, the logistic regression is employed as a meta-learner which is trained on the predictions gained from the base-learner to obtain final sleep postural transitions. In addition, a sleep posture monitoring algorithm is presented that can give accurate statistics of total sleep postural transitions. Extensive experiments are conducted, achieving the highest accuracy rate of 86.7% for the classification of sleep postural transitions. Moreover, time-series data augmentation is employed, which improves the accuracy by 13%. The privacy-preserving sleep monitoring solution presented in this paper holds promise for applications in mental health research.

Pendekatan Metode Ensemble Learning untuk Prakiraan Cuaca menggunakan Soft Voting Classifier

Weather conditions are one of the crucial factors that need attention. Changes in weather conditions significantly impact various activities. Weather condition changes are determined by numerous factors, often occurring within a relatively short period in the atmosphere, such as pressure, wind speed, rainfall, temperature, and other atmospheric phenomena. Issues in weather forecasting arise due to several factors, namely the fluctuating atmospheric conditions. This research proposes the development of a weather forecasting model using the ensemble learning method approach. The weather data used consist of 33746 records with attributes used after preprocessing, namely Temperature, Dew Point, Humidity, Wind Speed, Wind Gust, Pressure, Precipitation, and Condition. Testing in this research employs several single-machine learning methods such as K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Naive Bayes, and Multi-Layer Perceptron. The Naive Bayes method using default parameters achieves a high accuracy of 99.00%. In the ensemble method, combinations of three methods exhibit excellent accuracy for all combinations. The best combination methods are found in the Soft Voting Classifier method (Random Forest, MLP, Naive Bayes), Soft Voting Classifier (Logistic Regression, MLP, Naive Bayes), and Soft Voting Classifier (Random Forest, KNN, Naive Bayes) with an accuracy of 99.03%.

Susceptibility Modeling and Potential Risk Analysis of Thermokarst Hazard in Qinghai–Tibet Plateau Permafrost Landscapes Using a New Interpretable Ensemble Learning Method

Climate change is causing permafrost in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau to degrade, triggering thermokarst hazards and impacting the environment. Despite their ecological importance, the distribution and risks of thermokarst lakes are not well understood due to complex influencing factors. In this study, we introduced a new interpretable ensemble learning method designed to improve the global and local interpretation of susceptibility assessments for thermokarst lakes. Our primary aim was to offer scientific support for precisely evaluating areas prone to thermokarst lake formation. In the thermokarst lake susceptibility assessment, we identified ten conditioning factors related to the formation and distribution of thermokarst lakes. In this highly accurate stacking model, the primary learning units were the random forest (RF), extremely randomized trees (EXTs), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and categorical boosting (CatBoost) algorithms. Meanwhile, gradient boosted decision trees (GBDTs) were employed as the secondary learning unit. Based on the stacking model, we assessed thermokarst lake susceptibility and validated accuracy through six evaluation indices. We examined the interpretability of the stacking model using three interpretation methods: accumulated local effects (ALE), local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME), and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP). The results showed that the ensemble learning stacking model demonstrated superior performance and the highest prediction accuracy. Approximately 91.20% of the total thermokarst hazard points fell within the high and very high susceptible areas, encompassing 20.08% of the permafrost expanse in the QTP. The conclusive findings revealed that slope, elevation, the topographic wetness index (TWI), and precipitation were the primary factors influencing the assessment of thermokarst lake susceptibility. This comprehensive analysis extends to the broader impacts of thermokarst hazards, with the identified high and very high susceptibility zones affecting significant stretches of railway and highway infrastructure, substantial soil organic carbon reserves, and vast alpine grasslands. This interpretable ensemble learning model, which exhibits high accuracy, offers substantial practical significance for project route selection, construction, and operation in the QTP.

Modeling landslide susceptibility using alternating decision tree and support vector

Globally, but especially in the Chinese Loess Plateau, landslides are considered to be one of the most severe and significant geological hazards. The purpose of this study is to design two ensemble machine learning methods, which are denoted as ADTree-Dagging and SVM-Dagging, for modeling landslide susceptibility in Lanzhou City (China). For this aim, the slope units extracted by the curvature watersheds method are used to construct landslide susceptibility modeling, and ten landslide conditioning factors are included in the landslide susceptibility evaluation (altitude, slope angle, slope aspect, cutting depth, surface roughness, relief amplitude, gully density, rainfall, distance to roads, and lithology). The conditioning factors selection and spatial correlation analysis were implemented by using the correlation attribute evaluation method and the frequency ratio model. The comprehensive performance of the models was tested using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC), area under the ROC curve (AUC), the root mean square error (RMSE), and several other performance metrics. For the training dataset, the results show that the SVM-Dagging model acquire the largest AUC value (0.953), lowest RMSE (0.3125), highest positive predictive value (96.0%), highest negative predictive value (91.2%), highest sensitivity (91.6%), highest specificity (95.8%), highest accuracy (93.6%), and highest Kappa (0.873). Similar results are observed in the validation dataset. Results demonstrated that the Dagging technique has improved significantly the prediction ability of SVM and ADTree models. The Dagging method can combine different models by leveraging the strengths of each model to create methods with higher flexibility than traditional machine learning methods. Therefore, in this study, the proposed new models can be applied for land-use planning and management of landslide susceptibility in the study area and in other areas containing similar geological conditions.

An efficient ensemble learning method based on multi-objective feature selection

Ensemble learning (EL) boosts model prediction performance across various domains through two main steps: generating individual classifiers (ICs) and combining them. Creating accurate and diverse ICs is crucial for a strong ensemble, while selecting the best ICs, known as ensemble selection (ES), is critical yet challenging due to the accuracy-diversity trade-off and the lack of agreed-upon diversity metrics. This paper introduces an EL strategy that uses multi-objective feature selection (MOFS) and a feature relevance-guided selection to tackle these challenges. Our approach uses a hybrid MOFS algorithm to produce accurate and diverse ICs, and then it employs a novel knowledge-based feature-relevance-guided metric for precise diversity assessment during ES. The ES issue is cast as an optimization problem, aiming to maximize both diversity and accuracy, and an efficient ES algorithm is developed to select optimal ICs. Extensive tests on public datasets and a real-world prediction task demonstrate the effectiveness of our method, especially in achieving high accuracy.

Closed Loop Subject-Independent SSVEP Frequency Detection System Using CCA Features and Ensemble Learning Methods

Purpose: In recent years, the use of Steady-State Visual Evoked Potentials (SSVEPs) in Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) systems has dramatically increased across several fields, such as rehabilitation, cognitive impairment, and brain disease or disorder detection, as well as artificial limbs, wheelchairs, and biomechanical systems. In this study, a novel method is proposed to help scientists develop more efficient BCI systems for Machine Learning Operations (MLOps). This study proposed a state-of-the-art method for detecting SSVEP-based stimulation frequencies with statistical models to design an optimal BCI system. Materials and Methods: In this study, the Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) method has been implemented to extract features from the accessible-to-the-public Tsinghua University Benchmark dataset. A limited number of subjects are being studied. After completing feature selection methods and selecting the best subset of features using a specified feature selection method, the classification of the best features using machine learning-based classification methods has been completed. Furthermore, it is assumed that scientists will design and implement a system specifically for subjects. Models work for subjects independently. However, because model training is subject-specific, we must execute the proposed methods on each subject separately. Results: The findings indicate that the novel suggested BCI system achieves an average accuracy of 83±9% in stimulation detection, which is higher than that of the traditional CCA approach with an accuracy of 80±11% (p<0.05). Conclusion: Based on the findings, we demonstrated an increase in accuracy with the novel method. It was also discovered that by using the proposed techniques, it is possible to keep MLOps systems as an advantage.

Class-overlap detection based on heterogeneous clustering ensemble for multi-class imbalance problem

The class imbalance problem is one of the main challenges that hinders classifiers from identifying unknown instances. When class distribution imbalance and class overlap coexist in the same data set, the recognition of minority instances by traditional classifiers will be seriously affected. In the binary classification problem, the relationship between the majority class and the minority class is clear, and the overlap problem between classes can be well solved by removing the majority instances in the class-overlap area. However, for multi-class imbalance problems, the relationships between classes will become complex. Clustering techniques are effective methods for identifying overlapping instances; however, a single clustering method cannot effectively identify clusters of different shapes. Therefore, in this paper, a Heterogeneous Clustering Ensemble learning method for Multiple Class-overlap Detection (HCE-MCD) is proposed for multi-class imbalance problems. This method uses a genetic algorithm to select a combination of heterogeneous clustering techniques with the best fitness function from a pool of clustering algorithms and uses majority voting to fuse the results of the clustering algorithm. Furthermore, instances located near the decision boundary are more likely to be overlapping instances. Therefore, according to the clustering results of the heterogeneous clustering ensemble method, we can identify the overlapping instances existing in the data set, thereby eliminating the class overlap problem in the multi-class dataset. Experimental results on 19 open-access datasets show that our proposed method outperforms or partially outperforms state-of-the-art research protocols.

A machine learning approach for vocal fold segmentation and disorder classification based on ensemble method

In the healthcare domain, the essential task is to understand and classify diseases affecting the vocal folds (VFs). The accurate identification of VF disease is the key issue in this domain. Integrating VF segmentation and disease classification into a single system is challenging but important for precise diagnostics. Our study addresses this challenge by combining VF illness categorization and VF segmentation into a single integrated system. We utilized two effective ensemble machine learning methods: ensemble EfficientNetV2L-LGBM and ensemble UNet-BiGRU. We utilized the EfficientNetV2L-LGBM model for classification, achieving a training accuracy of 98.88%, validation accuracy of 97.73%, and test accuracy of 97.88%. These exceptional outcomes highlight the system’s ability to classify different VF illnesses precisely. In addition, we utilized the UNet-BiGRU model for segmentation, which attained a training accuracy of 92.55%, a validation accuracy of 89.87%, and a significant test accuracy of 91.47%. In the segmentation task, we examined some methods to improve our ability to divide data into segments, resulting in a testing accuracy score of 91.99% and an Intersection over Union (IOU) of 87.46%. These measures demonstrate skill of the model in accurately defining and separating VF. Our system’s classification and segmentation results confirm its capacity to effectively identify and segment VF disorders, representing a significant advancement in enhancing diagnostic accuracy and healthcare in this specialized field. This study emphasizes the potential of machine learning to transform the medical field’s capacity to categorize VF and segment VF, providing clinicians with a vital instrument to mitigate the profound impact of the condition. Implementing this innovative approach is expected to enhance medical procedures and provide a sense of optimism to those globally affected by VF disease.

Integrative deep learning with prior assisted feature selection.

Integrative analysis has emerged as a prominent tool in biomedical research, offering a solution to the "small and large " challenge. Leveraging the powerful capabilities of deep learning in extracting complex relationship between genes and diseases, our objective in this study is to incorporate deep learning into the framework of integrative analysis. Recognizing the redundancy within candidate features, we introduce a dedicated feature selection layer in the proposed integrative deep learning method. To further improve the performance of feature selection, the rich previous researches are utilized by an ensemble learning method to identify "prior information". This leads to the proposed prior assisted integrative deep learning (PANDA) method. We demonstrate the superiority of the PANDA method through a series of simulation studies, showing its clear advantages over competing approaches in both feature selection and outcome prediction. Finally, a skin cutaneous melanoma (SKCM) dataset is extensively analyzed by the PANDA method to show its practical application.

An Undersampling Method Approaching the Ideal Classification Boundary for Imbalance Problems

Data imbalance is a common problem in most practical classification applications of machine learning, and it may lead to classification results that are biased towards the majority class if not dealt with properly. An effective means of solving this problem is undersampling in the borderline area; however, it is difficult to find the area that fits the classification boundary. In this paper, we present a novel undersampling framework, whereby the clustering of samples in the majority class is conducted and segmentation is then performed in the boundary area according to the clusters obtained; this enables a better shape that fits the classification boundary to be obtained via the performance of random sampling in the borderline area of these segments. In addition, we hypothesize that there exists an optimal number of classifiers to be integrated into the method of ensemble learning that utilizes multiple classifiers that have been obtained via sampling to promote the algorithm. After passing the hypothesis test, we apply the improved algorithm to the newly developed method. The experimental results show that the proposed method works well.

From plan to delivery: Machine learning based positional accuracy prediction of multi-leaf collimator and estimation of delivery effect in volumetric modulated arc therapy.

The positional accuracy of MLC is an important element in establishing the exact dosimetry in VMAT. We comprehensively analyzed factors that may affect MLC positional accuracy in VMAT, and constructed a model to predict MLC positional deviation and estimate planning delivery quality according to the VMAT plans before delivery. A total of 744 "dynalog" files for 23 VMAT plans were extracted randomly from treatment database. Multi-correlation was used to analyzed the potential influences on MLC positional accuracy, including the spatial characteristics and temporal variability of VMAT fluence, and the mechanical wear parameters of MLC. We developed a model to forecast the accuracy of MLC moving position utilizing the random forest (RF) ensemble learning method. Spearman correlation was used to further investigate the associations between MLC positional deviation and dosage deviations as well as gamma passing rates. The MLC positional deviation and effective impact factors show a strong multi-correlation (R=0.701, p-value<0.05). This leads to the development of a highly accurate prediction model with average variables explained of 95.03% and average MSE of 0.059 in the 5-fold cross-validation, and MSE of 0.074 for the test data was obtained. The absolute dose deviations caused by MLC positional deviation ranging from 12.948 to 210.235cGy, while the relative volume deviation remained small at 0.470%-5.161%. The average MLC positional deviation correlated substantially with gamma passing rates (with correlation coefficient of -0.506 to -0.720 and p-value<0.05) but marginally with dosage deviations (with correlation coefficient<0.498 and p-value>0.05). The RF predictive model provides a prior tool for VMAT quality assurance.

Life-cycle performance prediction and interpretation for coastal and marine RC structures: An ensemble learning framework

Long-term exposure to coastal and marine environments accelerates the aging of reinforced concrete (RC) structures, impacting their structural safety and society impact. Traditional assessments of long-term performance deterioration in RC structures involve complex, nonlinear, and time-intensive studies of physical mechanisms. While existing machine learning (ML) methods can assess the lifetime of these structures, they often prioritize data regression over mechanistic interpretation. To enhance the efficiency and interpretability of predicting the life-cycle performance of RC structures, this study introduces a generic framework based on interpretable ensemble learning (EL) methods. The framework predicts life-cycle performance efficiently and accurately, with optimal hyperparameters automatically tuned through Bayesian optimization. Interpretability algorithms clarify the influence of environmental, durability, and mechanical parameters on structural durability and mechanical predictions. Validation employs real-world cases of RC hollow beams in the coastal area of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA). The comprehensive model for RC structures integrates actual data on temperature, humidity, and surface chloride content in the GBA, considering diffusion, convection, and binding effects of chloride ions, corrosion non-uniformity, and crack impact on durability estimation. Comparative analysis with existing ML methods underscores the effectiveness of the framework. The findings highlight the dynamic evolution of feature importance rankings throughout the service life, shedding light on the continuous changes in the significance of different factors when predicting mechanical resistance.

Applicability of pre-trained CNNs in temperate deforestation detection

ABSTRACT Technological advancements have opened up new possibilities for accurately identifying deforested areas and developing effective data collection strategies. Our paper proposes a practical approach to improve deforestation monitoring using satellite images and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for image classification. To train the CNNs, we used labeled data primarily sourced from the Amazon basin, while images from the Romanian Carpathian mountains were reserved for testing. Building on this foundation, we evaluated various pre-trained CNN architectures, including AlexNet, VGGNet, ResNet, DenseNet, EfficientNet, GoogLeNet, and Swin Transformer, comparing their performance with a typical CNN architecture. In addition, we refined the performance by testing four ensemble learning methods. We found a decrease of only 10% in accuracy for using the models on data from the temperate area. Our findings contribute to this interdisciplinary field by providing insights into the effectiveness of pre-trained CNNs in classifying satellite images from temperate regions, trained with knowledge from tropical deforestation data. This contribution may open ways for the development of a quasi real-time deforestation monitoring system and serve as a reference for future research in temperate areas.

Exploring spatiotemporal patterns of algal cell density in lake Dianchi with explainable machine learning

The escalating global occurrence of algal blooms poses a growing threat to ecosystem services. In this study, the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of water quality parameters was leveraged to partition Lake Dianchi into three clusters. Considering water quality parameters and both the delayed and instantaneous effects of meteorological factors, ensemble learning, and quasi-Monte Carlo methods were employed to predict daily algal cell density (AD) between January 2021 and January 2024. Consistently, superior predictive accuracy across all three clusters was exhibited by the Stacking-Elastic-Net regularization model. Furthermore, the minimum combination of drivers that achieved near-optimal accuracy for each cluster was identified, striking a balance between accuracy and cost. The ranking of the effect of drivers on AD varied by cluster, while the delayed effect of meteorological factors on AD generally outweighed their instantaneous effect for all clusters. Additionally, the heterogeneous or homogeneous thresholds and responses between drivers and AD were explored. These findings could serve as a scientific and cost-effective basis for government agencies to develop regional sustainable strategies for managing water quality.

Ensemble learning enhances the precision of preliminary detection of primary hepatocellular carcinoma based on serological and demographic indices.

Primary hepatocellular carcinoma (PHC) is associated with high rates of morbidity and malignancy in China and throughout the world. In clinical practice, a combination of ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) measurement is frequently employed for initial screening. However, the accuracy of this approach often falls short of the desired standard. Consequently, this study aimed to investigate the enhancement of precision of preliminary detection of PHC by ensemble learning techniques. To achieve this, 712 patients with PHC and 1887 healthy controls were enrolled for the assessment of four ensemble learning methods, namely, Random Forest (RF), LightGBM, Xgboost, and Catboost. A total of eleven characteristics, comprising nine serological indices and two demographic indices, were selected from the participants for use in detecting PHC. The findings identified an optimal feature subset consisting of eight features, namely AFP, albumin (ALB), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), platelets (PLT), age, alkaline phosphatase (ALP), hemoglobin (Hb), and body mass index (BMI), that achieved the highest classification accuracy of 96.62%. This emphasizes the importance of the collective use of these features in PHC diagnosis. In conclusion, the results provide evidence that the integration of serological and demographic indices together with ensemble learning models, can contribute to the precision of preliminary diagnosis of PHC.

Detection of fake face images using lightweight convolutional neural networks with stacking ensemble learning method.

Images and videos containing fake faces are the most common type of digital manipulation. Such content can lead to negative consequences by spreading false information. The use of machine learning algorithms to produce fake face images has made it challenging to distinguish between genuine and fake content. Face manipulations are categorized into four basic groups: entire face synthesis, face identity manipulation (deepfake), facial attribute manipulation and facial expression manipulation. The study utilized lightweight convolutional neural networks to detect fake face images generated by using entire face synthesis and generative adversarial networks. The dataset used in the training process includes 70,000 real images in the FFHQ dataset and 70,000 fake images produced with StyleGAN2 using the FFHQ dataset. 80% of the dataset was used for training and 20% for testing. Initially, the MobileNet, MobileNetV2, EfficientNetB0, and NASNetMobile convolutional neural networks were trained separately for the training process. In the training, the models were pre-trained on ImageNet and reused with transfer learning. As a result of the first trainings EfficientNetB0 algorithm reached the highest accuracy of 93.64%. The EfficientNetB0 algorithm was revised to increase its accuracy rate by adding two dense layers (256 neurons) with ReLU activation, two dropout layers, one flattening layer, one dense layer (128 neurons) with ReLU activation function, and a softmax activation function used for the classification dense layer with two nodes. As a result of this process accuracy rate of 95.48% was achieved with EfficientNetB0 algorithm. Finally, the model that achieved 95.48% accuracy was used to train MobileNet and MobileNetV2 models together using the stacking ensemble learning method, resulting in the highest accuracy rate of 96.44%.

Ensemble learning method for classification: Integrating data envelopment analysis with machine learning

In classification tasks with large sample sets, the use of a single classifier carries the risk of overfitting. To overcome this issue, an ensemble of classifier models has often been shown to outperform the use of a single “best” model. Given the rich variety of classifier models available, the selection of the high-efficiency classifiers for a given task dataset remains an urgent challenge. However, most of the previous classifier selection methods only focus on the measurement of classification output performance without considering the computational cost. This paper proposes a new ensemble learning method to improve the classification quality for big datasets by using data envelopment analysis. It contains the following two stages: classifier selection and classifier combination. In the first stage, the commonly used classifiers are evaluated on the basis of their performance on resource consumption and classification output performance using the range directional model (RDM); then, the most efficient classifiers are selected. In the second stage, the classifier confusion matrix is evaluated using the data envelopment analysis (DEA) cross-efficiency model. Then, the weight for the classifier combination is determined to ensure that classifiers with higher performance have greater weights based on the cross-efficiency values. Experimental results demonstrate the superiority of the cross-efficiency model over the BCC model and the benchmark voting method in model ensemble. Furthermore, our method has been shown to save more computational resources and yields better results than existing methods.

Repose angle prediction of railway ballast based on Hopper Flow Test and PCA-Stacking ensemble learning method

The deterioration of track ballast is mainly reflected in the fragmentation of ballast particles and the evolution of grading. The repose angle of the ballast is the internal friction angle, reflecting the shear strength of the track ballast. The angle of repose of 158 ballast samples with varying gradation parameters was tested by conducting hopper flow tests on ballast particles. Then, based on this database, a stacking ensemble regressor-based principal component analysis (PCA) was proposed for the repose angle prediction. The data are first processed by PCA and then randomized into the train (80%) and test (20%) data. Besides stacking ensemble regressor, five different individual regressors, including support vector regressor, k-nearest neighbors, random forest, gradient boosting decision tree, and adaptive boosting, are compared and analyzed. The results indicate that the stacking ensemble regressor performs better than single regressors and demonstrates enhanced robustness and generalization capabilities. Additionally, the Effect of the number of principal component indicators on the prediction accuracy is determined, and the difference in stacking ensemble prediction performance with and without PCA is discussed. Finally, a computer prediction system for ballast repose angle was developed to make the proposed stacking ensemble regressor directly applicable to the railroad construction site. This model can be used in practical track maintenance decisions, whereby the ballast gradation can facilitate rapid assessment of the angle of repose.

Ensemble learning based anomaly detection for IoT cybersecurity via Bayesian hyperparameters sensitivity analysis

The Internet of Things (IoT) integrates more than billions of intelligent devices over the globe with the capability of communicating with other connected devices with little to no human intervention. IoT enables data aggregation and analysis on a large scale to improve life quality in many domains. In particular, data collected by IoT contain a tremendous amount of information for anomaly detection. The heterogeneous nature of IoT is both a challenge and an opportunity for cybersecurity. Traditional approaches in cybersecurity monitoring often require different kinds of data pre-processing and handling for various data types, which might be problematic for datasets that contain heterogeneous features. However, heterogeneous types of network devices can often capture a more diverse set of signals than a single type of device readings, which is particularly useful for anomaly detection. In this paper, we present a comprehensive study on using ensemble machine learning methods for enhancing IoT cybersecurity via anomaly detection. Rather than using one single machine learning model, ensemble learning combines the predictive power from multiple models, enhancing their predictive accuracy in heterogeneous datasets rather than using one single machine learning model. We propose a unified framework with ensemble learning that utilises Bayesian hyperparameter optimisation to adapt to a network environment that contains multiple IoT sensor readings. Experimentally, we illustrate their high predictive power when compared to traditional methods.

Integrating Technical Indicators and Ensemble Learning for Predicting the Opening Stock Price

Accurately predicting stock prices poses a significant challenge due to the dynamic and complex nature of financial markets. This paper introduces a novel method that combines technical indicators with ensemble learning techniques to effectively forecast opening stock prices. Technical indicators offer valuable insights into market trends and patterns, while ensemble learning methods merge multiple models to enhance predictive precision. The study utilizes various technical indicators such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands to capture diverse aspects of market behaviour. Ensemble learning techniques like Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Regressor, and ARIMA model are then employed to consolidate the forecasts from these indicators. The proposed framework is assessed using historical stock market data, and extensive experiments showcase its superior performance compared to individual indicators and traditional forecasting approaches. The findings reveal that integrating technical indicators with ensemble learning leads to a significant improvement in accuracy, with a success rate of 91.45% in predicting opening stock prices, thus providing valuable insights for investors and financial analysts.