Employment Protection Legislation Research Articles

Measuring macroeconomic uncertainty: A cross-country analysis

This paper constructs internationally consistent measures of macroeconomic uncertainty. Our econometric framework extracts uncertainty from revisions in data obtained from standardized national accounts. Applying our model to post-WWII real-time data, we estimate macroeconomic uncertainty for 39 countries. The cross-country dimension of our uncertainty data allows us to study the impact of uncertainty shocks under varying degrees of employment protection legislation. Our empirical findings suggest that the effects of uncertainty shocks are stronger and more persistent in countries with low employment protection compared to countries with high employment protection. These empirical findings are in line with a theoretical model under varying firing cost.

More Flexible, Less Productive? The Impact of Employment Protection Legislation Reforms in Italy

ABSTRACT Through a meta-analysis of all publicly available research over a span of 25 years, the article assesses the productivity impact of the employment protection legislation reforms that have been introduced in Italy since 1997. European Union institutions and domestic reformers advocated the reforms in order to increase the competitiveness and productivity of the Italian economy. Yet, by incentivising temporary employment, the reforms have favoured competitive strategies that have reduced the productivity of the country’s firms.

Informalization of the formal sector: Evidence from India's manufacturing industries

Abstract The employment structure of India's formal manufacturing sector has undergone substantial changes since the early 2000s with a steep rise in the use of contract workers in place of directly hired workers. Much of the existing literature has attributed the widespread use of contract labour to India's rigid employment protection legislation. The resulting informalisation of the workforce in the organised sector raises concerns about the sustainability of employment growth. Using a 14-year plant-level panel data from the Annual Survey of Industries, we find that in addition to labour market rigidities and the existence of a wage differential between contract and directly hired workers, plants in the organised manufacturing sector have another important incentive to hire contract workers. Plants appear to be using contract workers to their strategic advantage against the directly hired workers to keep their bargaining power and wage demand in check. Importantly, the strength of this bargaining channel varies across plants depending on their capital intensity of production, size and existing contract worker intensity.

Club convergence of labor market institutions in the European Union

This paper analyzes the convergence of labor market institutions in the European Union (EU) to test for the economic integration of EU countries from 1993 to 2018. The convergence is measured by using a flexible approach of the log-t regression for five indicators of labor market institutions: employment protection legislation index (EPL), tax wedge, unemployment benefits, active labor market policies, and minimum wages. The results suggest no convergence in labor market institutions between the EU member states. The differences between the institutions are still substantial, and the labor market institutions are changing too slowly to converge. The empirical analysis also considers the possibility of club convergence, differentiating between the endogenous clubs based on clustering algorithm, and the exogenous clubs based on geographical proximity and similarities of labor market institutions. Convergence is present only in endogenous clubs that are determined by different demographic, competitiveness, and economic factors. Since labor market institutions are the fundamental determinants of employment and unemployment, the differences found in the labor market institutions suggest that employment and unemployment levels in the EU will hardly converge, implying weak labor market integration.

The contextual cogs of “migrant jobs”: A comparative study of the institutional determinants of migrant marginalization in European labor markets

Migrants play a significant role in European labor markets and are used as sources of “cheap labor”; often being disproportionately represented in low-wage, poor conditions, or otherwise precarious positions. Past research has suggested that the process of migrants being filtered into these low-end occupations is linked to institutional factors in receiving countries such as immigration policy, the welfare state and employment regulation. This paper calculates the extent of migrant marginalization in 17 European countries and uses qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) and regression modeling to understand how institutional factors operate and interact, leading to migrant marginalization. The QCA showed that when a country with a prominent low skills sector and restrictive immigration policy is combined with either strong employment protection legislation or a developed welfare state, migrants will be more strongly marginalized on the labor market. The results of the statistical analysis largely aligned with the idea that restrictive immigrant policy by itself and in combination with other factors can increase marginalization.

Employment protection legislation and R&D investment

This paper examines how employment protection legislation influences corporate R&D investment. With a sample of 113,228 observations across 23 OECD countries from 2001 to 2018, I document that firms in strong employment protection legislation have lower R&D expenditure and investment efficiency. In addition, I find that the effect of employment protection on R&D expenditure is stronger in financially constrained firms but the effect of employment protection on R&D investment efficiency is stronger in financially unconstrained firms.

Employment protection and corporate risk-taking

This paper examines how employment protection laws affect corporate risk-taking. Using a sample of 19,335 firms from 27 OECD countries over the period 2002–2018, we find that strong employment protection legislation reduces corporate risk-taking. Moreover, the effect of employment protection legislation on corporate risk-taking is stronger in countries of high uncertainty avoidance culture and weaker in countries of high power distance culture.

Employment protection legislation matters for the Phillips Curve

Liberal reforms of employment protection legislation (EPL) aim at fostering the flexibility, dynamism and fluidity of the labor market without increasing unemployment. A New Keynesian model with search-and-matching frictions implies that such type of reforms have also a direct impact on the structural relationship between prices and unemployment, i.e. the Phillips Curve (PC). We assess empirically the existence of this channel considering 19 episodes of EPL reforms across 13 countries. Consistently with the theory, countries that experienced an employment protection liberalization witnessed a flattening of the PC just after the reform. • Employment protection liberalizations increase labor market fluidity. • Higher fluidity implies a lower elasticity of employment to the marginal cost. • Employment protection liberalizations flattens the Phillips Curve.

Employment protection legislation and household formation: evidence from Italy

While many studies have investigated the determinants of household formation and fertility in young adults, only a few have focused on the impact of employment protection legislation (EPL) on these outcomes. Moreover, to the best of our knowledge, no one has investigated how changes in EPL may alter the intentions of young individuals even before their realization. In this paper, we study the differential impact of the reduction in EPL associated with Italy’s 2015 Jobs Act on the household formation and fertility intentions of young Italians in various districts. We use data from a survey conducted on a sample of young people between the ages of 18-34 for the years 2012, 2015, 2016, and 2017. The identification strategy exploits local variation in the level of efficiency of the courts, measured in terms of the average duration of proceedings, to assess the existence of within-country and across-district heterogeneity in the reform’s impact. Indeed, firing costs used to be relatively greater in districts characterized by a longer duration of labor trials. The Jobs Act, by reducing firing costs and modifying the autonomy of judges, should have had a larger impact in districts with less efficient courts. According to our results, the reform seems to have indirectly leveled out the fertility and household formation intentions of young Italians living in districts with more and less efficient courts. Heterogeneities indicate that the results are mainly driven by older individuals and graduates who live in less disadvantaged areas.

Exposure to FDI and attitudes towards multinational enterprises: Do M&A matter?

AbstractThis study aims to investigate the role of multinational enterprises' (MNE) penetration at the occupation‐country level to form individuals' preferences towards MNE. We combine individuals' attitudes and perceptions towards MNE, obtained from the International Social Survey Programme (ISSP, 2003 and 2013), with an indicator for the occupation‐country's exposure to MNE based on mergers and acquisitions data collected from the Securities Data Company Platinum database. Using an ordered probit model, we find that the MNE penetration at the occupation‐country level positively affects the individual's attitude towards MNE, even after controlling for individual socioeconomic characteristics. Additionally, we find that this effect is particularly relevant for individuals who are more favourable to immigrants' presence in their country and for residents in countries with high levels of employment protection legislation.

What Role Does EPL Play in Wage Determination under Segmented Labour Markets? A State-level Analysis from India’s Formal Manufacturing Sector

This study explores the role of employment protection legislation (EPL) in wage determination using a state-level panel dataset for India’s formal manufacturing sector. Unlike previous studies, we create a quantitative indicator of EPL using state-wise court judgements (on labour disputes), citing various sections of Chapters 5A and 5B of the Industrial Disputes Act, 1947, particularly those dealing with employment and wage-related legislations. Our findings suggest that pro-worker court judgements specifically on wage-related issues lead to an increase in the share of wages in industrial output. The findings are robust to alternative model specifications. However, we find that the share of wages responds negatively to an increase in pro-worker strictness in the overall EPL. We also analyse the consequences of labour market dualism, which is increasingly becoming a norm even in formal sectors. Using insights from labour market segmentation theory, we argue that a divergence in the regulation between regular and contract labour has a potential to undermine the success of active labour market policies in curbing the ill-effects of market segmentation. JEL Codes: J21, K31

The Role of Unemployment, Financial Hardship, and Economic Recession on Suicidal Behaviors and Interventions to Mitigate Their Impact: A Review.

Understanding the social determinants and risk factors for suicidal behaviors underlies the development of effective suicide prevention interventions. This review focused on recently published literature (2010 onwards), with the aim to determine the role of economic factors (at the individual and population level) on suicidal behaviors and ideation as well as the effectiveness of interventions addressing these factors in reducing suicidal behaviors and ideation. Where available, literature examining the economic impact of COVID-19 was highlighted. Economic recession and unemployment are associated with increased risk of suicidal behavior at the population and individual level. Additionally, personal financial problems such as debt and financial strain are associated with increased risk of suicidal behavior and ideation at the individual level. Regarding interventions, unemployment benefits, employment protection legislation, higher minimum wage and active labor market programs may reduce suicide at the population level. However, it is not clear what impact they have at the individual level, nor in relation to suicide attempts, self-harm, or suicidal ideation. There was a lack of evidence as to the effectiveness of financially focused suicide prevention interventions at either level. Current findings were contextualized within, and advance, prominent social theoretical models. Recommendations focused on future areas of research, including the unfolding economic impact of COVID-19, as well as the co-design and evaluation of tailored interventions and/or gatekeeper training for those in the financial and welfare sector, and enhanced early education aimed at increasing financial literacy in young people before onset or exacerbation of financial hardship.

Institutions, Labor Market Insecurity, and Well-Being in Europe

We examined the differences among seventeen European countries regarding the extent to which several key institutional and labor market characteristics affect the degrees of insecurity that people feel about their jobs and employment prospects, as well as their well-being (economic security and subjective well-being). We estimate how macrostructural factors affect well-being by fitting random-intercept multi-level models and decomposing the variance across national and individual levels, using data from the 2004 and 2010 European Social Surveys. We find that there is substantial country-level variation in labor market insecurity, economic security and subjective well-being. Active labor market policies, the generosity of unemployment benefits, and collective bargaining coverage explain a considerable portion of the identified differences among countries in labor market insecurity and well-being. The effects of employment protection legislation vary depending on whether the worker has a permanent or temporary contract. We did not find substantial differences between 2004 and 2010, suggesting that the effects of institutions and worker power on labor market insecurity and well-being reflect longer-term structural changes associated with the transformation of employment relations.

A Note on Industrial Relations Code, 2020.

In this note, we assess the newly introduced Industrial Relations Code (IRC) 2020. First, we compare the provisions in IRC 2020 with its predecessor, Industrial Disputes Act (IDA) 1947, and the amendments to IDA 1947 in 1976 and 1982 regarding the employment protection provisions against layoffs, retrenchments, and closures. We find that IRC 2020 merely restored the factory-size threshold to the initial IDA amendment 1976 level of 300 or more workers to which IDA 1947 originally applied from 100 or more workers as notified in the 1982 IDA amendment. We calculate the effect of the threshold-size change on the workers and factories on the firms registered under the Factories Act 1948 2(m). We find from the ASI 2017–2018 data that an estimated 7.07% of the factories and 15.97% of the workers will be affected due to the change in the threshold size introduced through IRC, 2020. Finally, we conclude by discussing the current relevance of the employment protection legislation during the pandemic time and the need for discretionary usage and temporary expansion of coverage of employment protection provisions under the IRC if warranted.

Product market competition and operating leverage: International evidence*

AbstractThis study examines the association between product market competition (PMC) and operating leverage for a large sample of international firms from 46 countries spanning the period 1985–2019. Using the Herfindahl‐Hirschman (HH) index and the Industry Adjusted Price Cost Margin (IPCM) as two proxies for PMC, we provide evidence that PMC is significantly and positively associated with the operating leverage of firms. Cross‐sectional analyses reveal that investment intensity, firm life cycle and the country‐level employment protection legislation moderate the relationship between PMC and operating leverage. This study contributes to the scarce literature on the determinants of operating leverage. We expect our findings to be informative for investors in understanding the role market competition plays in shaping cost structures.

The impact of the EU economic governance in Portugal

This article discusses the main changes introduced to the Portuguese labour market following the adoption of the Memorandum of Understanding of 2011. The intent behind the Memorandum's demands was to reduce the costs related to employment contracts, to expand both internal and external flexibility, and to relaunch collective bargaining under a new and more decentralised framework. However, several measures ended up being at odds not only with the Portuguese Constitution, but also with ILO Conventions and the (Revised) European Social Charter. We address the changes to wage policies, working time, employment protection legislation, and collective bargaining, which gave way to a new ‘flexibility-oriented’ labour relations model, characterised by a global reduction of labour protection levels. We argue that not only were these measures unable to fix the problems of the Portuguese labour market, but they also had crippling effects on social rights in general and, most particularly, on workers’ rights. Moreover, despite the overcoming of the economic crisis, as well as the changes to the political scene, the most significant alterations were maintained. This demonstrates that bailout reforms leave their mark, particularly when they correspond to measures previously under discussion and when their implementation is supported by external pressures.

Exporting firms’ factor and product-quality adjustments in response to employment protection legislation: Evidence from China

Employment-protection legislation (EPL) is known to reduce the unemployment risk of workers and employees and implicitly raises the costs of labor as a factor of production, in particular, the adjustment costs for that factor. Using firm-level accounting data and matched transaction-level trade data, the paper documents that firms responded to the inception of a new labor contract law as accepted by the National People's Congress of China in mid-2007 not only by adjusting their labor demand but also in terms of other adjustments: they raised the capital intensity of production and increased the quality of their output. The paper provides evidence that such changes and adjustments were particularly strong for firms in ex ante labor-intensive sectors and for private firms which were less shielded from adverse competitive effects than state-owned ones.

Provision of firm-sponsored training to temporary workers and labor market performance

AbstractThis paper addresses an employer’s decision to invest in firm-specific training for temporary workers within a search-matching framework with two-tier employment contracts. Based on the fact that opportunities to receive firm-provided training are significantly limited in temporary jobs, we examine whether policies aimed at inducing employers to provide training for temporary workers improve labor market performance. Our quantitative analysis produces the following results: first, reducing the cost of training temporary workers, which aims to directly increase their participation in firm-provided training, improves social efficiency but increases the unemployment rate, and decreases the share of permanent workers. Second, relaxing firing regulations on permanent jobs decreases the unemployment rate and increases the proportion of temporary workers who receive training and social welfare. Thus, a spillover effect of reforming employment protection legislation associated with permanent jobs is observed on training provision in temporary jobs.

Employment Protection Legislation and Labour Market Outcomes: A Unit Level Analysis of the Indian Manufacturing Sector

Abstract Building on insights from the insider-outsider theory, we examine the effects of the Employment Protection Legislation (EPL) on labour market outcomes, using high-court verdicts on labour disputes invoking Chapter 5-A and 5-B of the Industrial Disputes Act. Our regression analysis of a statewise unit-level dataset suggests that pro-worker judicial verdicts lead to an increase in wages and labour productivity especially in labour intensive industries, but discourage employment. The study demonstrates how the insider-outsider model combined with the labour market segmentation theory, unlike labour adjustment models, explain such findings consistently. The results suggest that loosening the EPL regime will have implications on the balance between the quantity and the quality of jobs, with serious consequences on industrial performance.

Real wages and the business cycle in Turkey

Abstract The article analyzes the direction and scope of the responsiveness of real wages to the business cycle in Turkey using longitudinal data from 2005 to 2015. We found that wages in Turkey are procyclical; one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate induces a 0.6% decline in real wages. There is a variation in the patterns along the lines of wage distribution among the subgroups with relations to skills. Less-educated workers have acyclical wages. Compatible with this evidence, we found that the workers who earn around the minimum wage also have acyclical wages. High share of minimum wage earners suppresses wage cyclicality. Consistent with strict employment protection legislation and loose wage determination, wages of relatively high-income employees who mostly have formal work arrangements are procyclical.