In bridge structural health monitoring systems, an accurate baseline model is particularly important for identifying subsequent structural damage. Environmental and operational loads cause nonstationarity in the strain monitoring data of urban girder bridges. Such nonstationary monitoring data can mask damage and reduce the accuracy of the established baseline model. To address this problem, a steady-state data baseline model for bridges is proposed. First, for observable effects such as ambient temperature, a directional projection decoupling method for strain monitoring data is proposed, which can reduce the nonstationary effect of ambient temperature, and the effectiveness of this method is proven using equations. Second, for unobservable effects such as traffic load, a k-means clustering method for steady state of traffic loads is proposed; using this method, which can divide the steady and nonsteady states of traffic loads and reduce the nonstationary effect of traffic loads on strain monitoring data, a steady-state baseline model is established. Finally, the effectiveness of the steady-state baseline model is verified using an actual bridge. The results show that the proposed baseline model can reduce the error caused by nonstationary effects, improve the modelling accuracy, and provide useful information for subsequent damage identification.
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