Effects Of Long-term Warming Research Articles

Anthropogenic exacerbations of summer-autumn compound dry-hot severity in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River

The middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River (MLRYR), one of the most densely populated and economically developed regions in China, have suffered several severe compound dry-hot events (CDHEs) during the summer-autumn seasons in recent decades. However, it is unclear for spatiotemporal evolutions in this season’s CDHE severity and anthropogenic influence on them. Here, we calculated the Standardized Compound Event Indicator (SCEI) to quantify the CDHE severity during the summer-autumn season (August to November). During the past twelve decades, significant decreases in SCEI (–0.81 per century) in MLRYR have been found in observations, with the dependence of SCEI on low precipitation shifting to high temperatures. Temperatures change primarily contribute to the changes in SCEI with (82.3 %) or without (57.1 %) considering the effects of long-term warming. Quantitative detection and attribution results show that during 1901–2020, 86.7 % of the observed decrease in SCEI in MLRYR can be attributed to anthropogenic warming. In a warmer future, SCEI is projected to dramatically decrease before global warming reaches 3.5 °C above the preindustrial level. After exceeding 3.5℃, the CDHE severity in MLRYR is projected to stay at a new-normal serious level which exceeds the most severe CDHEs (such as in 2019 and 2022) during the past century. This new-normal serious level could be avoided if the global warming level is limited to around 2 °C. Early action to achieve the 1.5 °C or 2 °C temperature goal can therefore markedly reduce the likelihood that MLRYR would be exposed to record-shattering CDHEs and related impacts.

Decadal warming-induced changes in abiotic factors and multitrophic diversity drive soil multifunctionality in an alpine meadow

Climate warming can be detrimental to biodiversity and ecosystem multifunctionality. Numerous studies have examined the effect of warming on ecosystem multifunctionality; however, little is known about how long-term warming affects ecosystem multifunctionality and its seasonal dynamics. Here, we determined the effects of long-term (10 years) in-situ soil warming on multitrophic diversity (plants, soil bacteria, soil fungi, arthropods, and nematodes) and soil multifunctionality in an alpine meadow. The effects of warming on multitrophic diversity were inconsistent, showing a positive effect on soil microbial diversity, including bacterial diversity and fungal diversity, in the upper layer (0–10 cm), a negative effect on plant diversity, and no effect on soil fauna diversity in either the upper (0–10 cm) or lower soil layers (10–20 cm). Warming had a minor effect on soil multifunctionality, and reduced seasonal differences in soil multifunctionality in upper soil layers, but expanded the differences in the lower soil layers. Based on structural equation models, both abiotic factors (soil water content and soil pH) and biotic factors (microbial diversity and fauna diversity) jointly influenced soil multifunctionality, with abiotic factors having a greater effect than biotic factors. The findings provide insights in the important effects of long-term warming on seasonal dynamics of soil multifunctionality, and the crucial role of multitrophic diversity for maintaining the sustainable development of the alpine ecosystem under climate warming.

Warming reduces soil CO2 emissions but enhances soil N2O emissions: A long-term soil transplantation experiment

Climate warming can accelerate soil organic matter decomposition and stimulate soil CO2 and N2O emissions. However, long-term climate warming and land-use changes in relatively high-latitude regions on soil CO2 and N2O emissions remain largely unexplored, posing challenges to climate change research. Therefore, we conducted a long-term soil transplant experiment (8 years) across three relatively high-latitude northeastern regions in China to study the impacts of climate warming and land-use changes (from cropland to grassland) on soil CO2 and N2O emissions. As the temperature increased by 3 °C and 5 °C, the soil CO2 emissions from cropland were reduced by 59.07% and 56.87%, respectively, and those from grassland were reduced by 17.11% and 10.62%, respectively. The experiment duration, soil C storage, soil microbial abundance and soil moisture may be the main factors that explain why warming did not stimulate soil CO2 emissions. Soil N2O emissions increased by 76.57% in cropland and 263.81% in grassland as the temperature increased by 5 °C. Higher soil CO2 and N2O emissions were observed in grassland compared to cropland. Warming promoted aboveground plant biomass and indirectly promoted soil N2O emissions, particularly in grassland. The effects of long-term warming on soil CO2 and N2O emissions exhibited contrasting patterns, with CO2 emissions in relatively high-latitude and cold regions showing sensitivity to climate warming. When taking strategies to enhance soil C sequestration, consideration should be given to whether these strategies will be offset by stimulating soil N2O emissions, which is crucial for mitigating global warming. Overall, the impacts of long-term natural field warming and land-use changes on soil CO2 and N2O emissions and associated controls provide new insights for mitigating climate change.

Effects of short- and long-term experimental warming on plant–pollinator interactions and floral rewards in the Low Arctic

Plant phenological and growth responses to experimental warming are widely documented, but less is known about warming effects on plant–pollinator interactions. We investigated the effects of short- and long-term passive warming on flowering phenology, insect visitation, fruit production, and floral rewards in the Low Arctic in northern Alaska. To better understand the role of insect visitors in plant reproductive success, we quantified pollen loads on floral visitors and tested for pollen limitation in four species. Long-term warming advanced flowering onset in evergreen shrubs and forbs. Warming, in general, increased the duration of flowering for forbs, evergreen shrubs, and deciduous shrubs. Considering all growth forms together, long-term warming increased floral density. This pattern was primarily driven by deciduous and evergreen shrubs. Dipterans accounted for more visits than Hymenopterans, although Hymenopterans had higher pollen loads. Insect exclusion and warming decreased fruit set in the forb, Bistorta officinalis Delarbre. Nectar volume in the deciduous shrub, Vaccinium uliginosum, was higher in the warmed plots than the control, but nectar quality did not differ. Advanced flowering onset, longer flowering duration, and increased flower density and nectar volume may have important implications for the pollinator community, warranting further research on long-term warming effects on tundra ecosystems.

Seasonal effects of long-term warming on ecosystem function and bacterial diversity.

Across biomes, soil biodiversity promotes ecosystem functions. However, whether this relationship will be maintained within ecosystems under climate change is uncertain. Here, using two long-term soil warming experiments, we investigated how warming affects the relationship between ecosystem functions and bacterial diversity across seasons, soil horizons, and warming duration. Soils were sampled from these warming experiments located at the Harvard Forest Long-Term Ecological Research (LTER) site, where soils had been heated +5°C above ambient for 13 or 28 years at the time of sampling. We assessed seven measurements representative of different ecosystem functions and nutrient pools. We also surveyed bacterial community diversity. We found that ecosystem function was significantly affected by season, with autumn samples having a higher intercept than summer samples in our model, suggesting a higher overall baseline of ecosystem function in the fall. The effect of warming on bacterial diversity was similarly affected by season, where warming in the summer was associated with decreased bacterial evenness in the organic horizon. Despite the decreased bacterial evenness in the warmed plots, we found that the relationship between ecosystem function and bacterial diversity was unaffected by warming or warming duration. Our findings highlight that season is a consistent driver of ecosystem function as well as a modulator of climate change effects on bacterial community evenness.

Responses of soil microbes and enzymes to long-term warming incubation in different depths of permafrost peatland soil

Soil microbes and enzymes mediate soil carbon–climate feedback, and their responses to increasing temperature partly affect soil carbon stability subjected to the effects of climate change. We performed a 50-month incubation experiment to determine the effect of long-term warming on soil microbes and enzymes involved in carbon cycling along permafrost peatland profile (0–150 cm) and investigated their response to water flooding in the active soil layer. Soil bacteria, fungi, and most enzymes were observed to be sensitive to changes in temperature and water in the permafrost peatland. Bacterial and fungal abundance decreased in the active layer soil but increased in the deepest permafrost layer under warming. The highest decrease in the ratio of soil bacteria to fungi was observed in the deepest permafrost layer under warming. These results indicated that long-term warming promotes recalcitrant carbon loss in permafrost because fungi are more efficient in decomposing high-molecular-weight compounds. Soil microbial catabolic activity measured using Biolog Ecoplates indicated a greater degree of average well color development at 15 °C than at 5 °C. The highest levels of microbial catabolic activity, functional diversity, and carbon substrate utilization were found in the permafrost boundary layer (60–80 cm). Soil polyphenol oxidase that degrades recalcitrant carbon was more sensitive to increases in temperature than β-glucosidase, N-acetyl-β-glucosaminidase, and acid phosphatase, which degrade labile carbon. Increasing temperature and water flooding exerted a synergistic effect on the bacterial and fungal abundance and β-glucosidase, acid phosphatase, and RubisCO activity in the topsoil. Structural equation modeling analysis indicated that soil enzyme activity significantly correlated with ratio of soil bacteria to fungi and microbial catabolic activity. Our results provide valuable insights into the linkage response of soil microorganisms, enzymes to climate change and their feedback to permafrost carbon loss.

Effects of Long-Term Warming on Microbial Nutrients Limitation of Soil Aggregates on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

Effects of Long-Term Warming on Microbial Nutrients Limitation of Soil Aggregates on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

Contrasting responses of nematode composition, richness and biomass to long-term warming

It is well established that climate warming has become a growing issue globally, posing a threat to native ecosystems. Alpine ecosystems, such as meadows of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, are expected to be particularly sensitive to warming given current temperature constraints. While many studies have explored the effects of warming on aboveground ecosystems and edaphic properties, few studies have assessed the effects on soil biota. We assessed edaphic, plant, microbial and nematode responses to warming in a long-term (8 year) multilevel warming experiment and applied piecewise structural equation modelling to reveal how warming affected nematode communities directly and indirectly via biotic and abiotic factors. We found that (1) warming had a significant effect on nematode community composition, which was mainly due to direct warming effects on herbivores and omnivore-predatory nematode composition; (2) warming affected nematode richness mainly through effects on bacterial richness, with a strong negative relationship between bacterial richness and bacterivore richness as well as bacterivore richness and omnivore-predatory richness; and, (3) the predominantly direct effect of warming on nematode biomass was mainly due to significant responses of omnivore-predatory biomass. Our study provides insight into the effects of long-term warming on nematode communities and highlights the contrasting responses of composition, diversity and biomass to warming. It contributes to forecasting warming effects on the structure of soil food webs and ecosystem functioning on the Qinghai-Tibet plateau in the future.

Effects of long-term warming on soil prokaryotic communities in shrub and alpine meadows on the eastern edge of the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

The variations in response of the soil prokaryote community structure to long-term climate warming among different vegetation types in alpine areas are not fully understood. After an 18-year warming experiment, changes in the diversity and structure of soil prokaryote communities in alpine and shrub meadows of the Tibetan Plateau were analyzed based on 16S rDNA MiSeq sequencing. Proteobacteria (26.70 %), Actinobacteria (20.90 %), and Acidobacteria (13.09 %) were the dominant soil bacterial communities; however, Crenarchaeota (5.69 %) was the dominant archaea at the phylum level. Warming did not significantly affect the top 11 prokaryotic communities in the shrub meadow soil. In meadow soils, however, we found an increase in the relative abundances of Crenarchaeota, Acidobacteria, Chloroflexi, and Planctomycetes and a decrease in the relative abundances of Actinobacteria and Proteobacteria. In terms of alpha-diversity, warming significantly increased the Chao1 and the observed species indices in both the meadow and shrub meadow soils. The soil prokaryote community in the meadow soil was more sensitive to simulated warming than that in the shrub meadow soil. The soil pH and water content were the primary factors that influenced variation in the overall structure and diversity of the soil prokaryotic community. Therefore, the response of soil prokaryote composition and structure (at the phylum level) to long-term warming largely depended on vegetation type, but the response of alpha-diversity was similar among different vegetation types. We conclude that the vegetation type plays a regulatory role in the sensitivity of alpine soil microbial communities to warming.

A Global Multiscale SPEI Dataset under an Ensemble Approach

A new multiscale Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) dataset is provided for a reference period (1960–1999) and two future time horizons (2040–2079) and (2060–2099). The historical forcing is based on combined climate observations and reanalysis (WATer and global CHange Forcing Dataset), and the future projections are fed by the Fast Track experiment of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project under representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 and by an additional Earth system model (CMCC-CESM) forced by RCP 8.5. To calculate the potential evapotranspiration (PET) input to the SPEI, the Hargreaves–Samani and Thornthwaite equations were adopted. This ensemble considers uncertainty due to different climate models, development pathways, and input formulations. The SPEI is provided for accumulation periods of potential moisture deficit from 1 to 18 months starting in each month of the year, with a focus on the within-period variability, excluding long-term warming effects on PET. In addition to supporting drought analyses, this dataset is also useful for assessing wetter-than-normal conditions spanning one or more months. The SPEI was calculated using the SPEIbase package.

Substrate availability and not thermal acclimation controls microbial temperature sensitivity response to long-term warming.

Microbes are responsible for cycling carbon (C) through soils, and predicted changes in soil C stocks under climate change are highly sensitive to shifts in the mechanisms assumed to control the microbial physiological response to warming. Two mechanisms have been suggested to explain the long-term warming impact on microbial physiology: microbial thermal acclimation and changes in the quantity and quality of substrates available for microbial metabolism. Yet studies disentangling these two mechanisms are lacking. To resolve the drivers of changes in microbial physiology in response to long-term warming, we sampled soils from 13- and 28-year-old soil warming experiments in different seasons. We performed short-term laboratory incubations across a range of temperatures to measure the relationships between temperature sensitivity of physiology (growth, respiration, carbon use efficiency, and extracellular enzyme activity) and the chemical composition of soil organic matter. We observed apparent thermal acclimation of microbial respiration, but only in summer, when warming had exacerbated the seasonally-induced, already small dissolved organic matter pools. Irrespective of warming, greater quantity and quality of soil carbon increased the extracellular enzymatic pool and its temperature sensitivity. We propose that fresh litter input into the system seasonally cancels apparent thermal acclimation of C-cycling processes to decadal warming. Our findings reveal that long-term warming has indirectly affected microbial physiology via reduced C availability in this system, implying that earth system models including these negative feedbacks may be best suited to describe long-term warming effects on these soils.

Activity and abundance of methane-oxidizing bacteria on plants in experimental lakes subjected to different nutrient and warming treatments

Shallow lakes produce and emit substantial amounts of methane (CH4). Part of the CH4 produced in lakes is consumed by methane-oxidizing bacteria (MOB) present in the sediment and water column, thus reducing the overall CH4 emissions. However, the role of aquatic plants as habitat for CH4 oxidation by MOB is poorly understood. In this study, we compared CH4 oxidation rates and MOB abundance associated with different types of aquatic plants (periphyton, filamentous algae, and both above-ground macrophytes and their rhizosphere). The plants were collected from shallow lake mesocosms exposed to experimental nutrient enrichment and warming treatments for 17 years prior to this study. Incubations of all sampled plants showed CH4 oxidation, with above-ground macrophyte tissue and filamentous algae having the highest rates of up to 0.25 µmol CH4 h−1 g−1 dw. Oxidation rates associated with macrophytes were species dependent, with consumption rates on rhizospheres of Potamogeton crispus higher than those on Elodea canadensis. The increase in nutrients and dissolved CH4 in the water tended to increase MOB abundance and activity for all plant types, while no effect of long term warming was detectable. Our results showed that MOB associated with periphyton, filamentous algae and macrophytes oxidize CH4 in shallow lakes at different rates across species or plant types. We also found that high macrophyte biomass is associated with reduced CH4 concentration in the water. This study shows that CH4 oxidation occurs on many plant surfaces but that oxidation rates alone cannot explain the reduced CH4 emissions at higher plant biomass.

Climate, currents and species traits contribute to early stages of marine species redistribution

Anthropogenic climate change is causing a rapid redistribution of life on Earth, particularly in the ocean, with profound implications for humans. Yet warming-driven range shifts are known to be influenced by a variety of factors whose combined effects are still little understood. Here, we use scientist-verified out-of-range observations from a national citizen-science initiative to assess the combined effect of long-term warming, climate extremes (i.e., heatwaves and cold spells), ocean currents, and species traits on early stages of marine range extensions in two warming ‘hotspot’ regions of southern Australia. We find effects of warming to be contingent upon complex interactions with the strength of ocean currents and their mutual directional agreement, as well as species traits. Our study represents the most comprehensive account to date of factors driving early stages of marine species redistributions, providing important evidence for the assessment of the vulnerability of marine species distributions to climate change.

Plant-Soil Mediated Effects of Long-Term Warming on Soil Nematodes of Alpine Meadows on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.

Global warming is one of the most pressing environmental issues today. Our study aimed to investigate how warming affected plant and soil nematode communities in alpine meadows on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau over the past seven years. An artificial warming experiment with different gradients was conducted from 2011 to 2018, including temperature increases of 0 °C (CK), 0.53 °C (A), 1.15 °C (B), 2.07 °C (C), and 2.17 °C (D), respectively. Cyperaceae plants were shown to be eliminated by increasing temperature, and plant community composition tended to cluster differently under different warming gradients. The number of nematodes decreased with the increase in soil depth, and the majority of them were observed in the topsoil layer. The individual densities of soil nematodes were 197 ind.·100 g-1 dry soil at 10-20 cm and 188 ind.·100 g-1 dry soil at 20-30 cm in the A treatment, which was significantly higher than the CK (53 and 67 ind.·100 g-1 dry soil) (p < 0.05). The lowest relative abundance of bacterivore nematodes (Ba) was 31.31% in treatment A and reached the highest of 47.14% under the warming gradient of D (p < 0.05). The abundance of plant parasitic nematodes (Pp) was significantly reduced to 26.03% by excessive warming (2.17 °C increase) in comparison to CK (41.65%). The soil nematode community had the highest diversity with a 0.53 °C increase in soil temperature; 1.15 °C warming gradients were lower, and nematode communities tended to be simplified (p < 0.05). All nematode channel ratio (NCR) values were above 0.5, indicating that warming did not change the decomposition pathway of soil organic matter dominated by the bacterial channels. The Wasilewska Index (WI) in the D treatment increased significantly compared to other treatments (p < 0.05), indicating that the mineralized pathway of the food web was primarily involved with Ba and fungivores nematodes (Fu), which is conducive to the growth of micro-biophagous nematodes. The plant parasite index (PPI) decreased significantly in the D treatment compared with other treatments (p < 0.05), indicating that a high warming gradient caused a reduction in the maturity of Pp nematodes. The maturity index (MI) increased in the D treatment compared with A, B, and C treatments, indicating that overheating affected the nematode community in the later stage of succession and caused the soil to be less disturbed. A partial least squares path model (PLSPM) showed that warming indirectly affects Fu and Pp diversity by directly impacting the plant community as well as indirectly affecting Ba by directly affecting soil properties. In conclusion, plant diversity and community composition profoundly affect the soil nematode communities, thus reflecting the dynamic processes and evolution of soil ecosystems.

Antarctic Lichens under Long-Term Passive Warming: Species-Specific Photochemical Responses to Desiccation and Heat Shock Treatments.

Climate warming in the Antarctic tundra will affect locally dominant cryptogams. Being adapted to low temperatures and freezing, little is known about the response of the polar lichens’ primary photochemistry to warming and desiccation. Since 2008, we have monitored the ecophysiological responses of lichens to the future warming scenario during a long-term warming experiment through open top chambers (OTCs) on Fildes Peninsula. We studied the primary photochemical response (potential Fv/Fm and effective efficiency of photosystem II YPSII) of different lichen taxa and morphotypes under desiccation kinetics and heat shock experiments. As lichens grow slowly, to observe changes during warming we methodologically focused on carbon and nitrogen content as well as on the stable isotope ratios. Endemic Himantormia lugubris showed the strongest effect of long-term warming on primary photochemistry, where PSII activity occurred at a lower %RWC inside the OTCs, in addition to higher Fv/Fm values at 30 °C in the heat shock kinetic treatment. In contrast, Usnea aurantiaco-atra did not show any effect of long-term warming but was active at a thallus RWC lower than 10%. Both Cladonia species were most affected by water stress, with Cladonia aff. gracilis showing no significant differences in primary photochemical responses between the warming and the control but a high sensibility to water deficiency, where, at 60% thallus RWC, the photochemical parameters began to decrease. We detected species-specific responses not only to long-term warming, but also to desiccation. On the other hand, the carbon content did not vary significantly among the species or because of the passive warming treatment. Similarly, the nitrogen content showed non-significant variation; however, the C/N ratio was affected, with the strongest C/N decrease in Cladonia borealis. Our results suggest that Antarctic lichens can tolerate warming and high temperature better than desiccation and that climate change may affect these species if it is associated with a decrease in water availability.

Improved representation of plant physiology in the JULES-vn5.6 land surface model: photosynthesis, stomatal conductance and thermal acclimation

Abstract. Carbon and water cycle dynamics of vegetation are controlled primarily by photosynthesis and stomatal conductance (gs). Our goal is to improve the representation of these key physiological processes within the JULES land surface model, with a particular focus on refining the temperature sensitivity of photosynthesis, impacting modelled carbon, energy and water fluxes. We test (1) an implementation of the Farquhar et al. (1980) photosynthesis scheme and associated plant functional type-dependent photosynthetic temperature response functions, (2) the optimality-based gs scheme from Medlyn et al. (2011) and (3) the Kattge and Knorr (2007) photosynthetic capacity thermal acclimation scheme. New parameters for each model configuration are adopted from recent large observational datasets that synthesise global experimental data. These developments to JULES incorporate current physiological understanding of vegetation behaviour into the model and enable users to derive direct links between model parameters and ongoing measurement campaigns that refine such parameter values. Replacement of the original Collatz et al. (1991) C3 photosynthesis model with the Farquhar scheme results in large changes in GPP for the current day, with ∼ 10 % reduction in seasonal (June–August, JJA, and December–February, DJF) mean GPP in tropical forests and ∼ 20 % increase in the northern high-latitude forests in JJA. The optimality-based gs model decreases the latent heat flux for the present day (∼ 10 %, with an associated increase in sensible heat flux) across regions dominated by needleleaf evergreen forest in the Northern Hemisphere summer. Thermal acclimation of photosynthesis coupled with the Medlyn gs scheme reduced tropical forest GPP by up to 5 % and increased GPP in the high-northern-latitude forests by between 2 % and 5 %. Evaluation of simulated carbon and water fluxes by each model configuration against global data products shows this latter configuration generates improvements in these key areas. Thermal acclimation of photosynthesis coupled with the Medlyn gs scheme improved modelled carbon fluxes in tropical and high-northern-latitude forests in JJA and improved the simulation of evapotranspiration across much of the Northern Hemisphere in JJA. Having established good model performance for the contemporary period, we force this new version of JULES offline with a future climate scenario corresponding to rising atmospheric greenhouse gases (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP5), Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5)). In particular, these calculations allow for understanding of the effects of long-term warming. We find that the impact of thermal acclimation coupled with the optimality-based gs model on simulated fluxes increases latent heat flux (+50 %) by the year 2050 compared to the JULES model configuration without acclimation. This new JULES configuration also projects increased GPP across tropical (+10 %) and northern-latitude regions (+30 %) by 2050. We conclude that thermal acclimation of photosynthesis with the Farquhar photosynthesis scheme and the new optimality-based gs scheme together improve the simulation of carbon and water fluxes for the current day and have a large impact on modelled future carbon cycle dynamics in a warming world.

Plant-Soil Mediated Effects of Long-Term Warming on Soil Nematodes of Alpine Meadow on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

Plant-Soil Mediated Effects of Long-Term Warming on Soil Nematodes of Alpine Meadow on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

Low-Altitude Boundary of Abies faxoniana Is More Susceptible to Long-Term Open-Top Chamber Warming in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau.

With global climate change, for evaluating warming effect on subalpine forest distribution, the substantial effects of long-term warming on tree growth and soil nutrients need to be explored. In this study, we focused on different responses in the boundaries of trees and soils to warming. Using the open-top chamber (OTC), a 10-year artificial warming experiment was conducted to evaluate the impacts of warming on Abies faxoniana at three different altitudes. We determined metabolites and nutrient concentrations in needles of A. faxoniana and characterized the soil chemistries. Many kinds of sugars, amino acids, and organic acids showed higher contents at high altitude (3,500 m) compared with low altitude (2,600 m), which could have been due to the temperature differences. Warming significantly decreased needle sugar and amino acid concentrations at high altitude but increased them at low altitude. These results indicated contrasting physiological and metabolic responses of A. faxoniana to long-term warming at different altitudes. Furthermore, we found that OTC warming significantly increased the concentrations of soil extractable sodium, aluminum (Al), and manganese (Mn), while decreased potassium (K) and phosphorus (P) concentrations and pH values at low altitude rather than at middle (3,000 m) or high altitude. The soil carbon and nitrogen contents were increased only at the middle altitude. In A. faxoniana at low altitudes, more mineral nutrients iron, K, and P were demand, and a mass of Al, Mn, and zinc was accumulated under warming. Soil P limitation and heavy metals accumulation are disadvantageous for trees at low altitudes with warming. Therefore, compared with high altitudes, A. faxoniana growing at low boundary in alpine regions is expected to be more susceptible to warming.

Short- and long-term warming effects of methane may affect the cost-effectiveness of mitigation policies and benefits of low-meat diets

Methane’s short atmospheric life has important implications for the design of global climate change mitigation policies in agriculture. Three different agricultural economic models are used to explore how short- and long-term warming effects of methane can affect the cost-effectiveness of mitigation policies and dietary transitions. Results show that the choice of a particular metric for methane’s warming potential is key to determine optimal mitigation options, with metrics based on shorter-term impacts leading to greater overall emission reduction. Also, the promotion of low-meat diets is more effective at reducing greenhouse gas emissions compared to carbon pricing when mitigation policies are based on metrics that reflect methane’s long-term behaviour. A combination of stringent mitigation measures and dietary changes could achieve substantial emission reduction levels, helping reverse the contribution of agriculture to global warming.

Temperature sensitivity of Antarctic soil-humic substance degradation by cold-adapted bacteria.

Heteropolymer humic substances (HS) are the largest constituents of soil organic matter and are key components that affect plant and microbial growth in maritime Antarctic tundra. We investigated HS decomposition in Antarctic tundra soils from distinct sites by incubating samples at 5°C or 8°C (within a natural soil thawing temperature range of -3.8°C to 9.6°C) for 90 days (average Antarctic summer period). This continuous 3-month artificial incubation maintained a higher total soil temperature than that in natural conditions. The long-term warming effects rapidly decreased HS content during the initial incubation, with no significant difference between 5°C and 8°C. In the presence of Antarctic tundra soil heterogeneity, the relative abundance of Proteobacteria (one of the major bacterial phyla in cold soil environments) increased during HS decomposition, which was more significant at 8°C than at 5°C. Contrasting this, the relative abundance of Actinobacteria (another major group) did not exhibit any significant variation. This microcosm study indicates that higher temperatures or prolonged thawing periods affect the relative abundance of cold-adapted bacterial communities, thereby promoting the rate of microbial HS decomposition. The resulting increase in HS-derived small metabolites will possibly accelerate warming-induced changes in the Antarctic tundra ecosystem.