Eddy Momentum Research Articles

What controls the interannual variation of Hadley cell extent in the Northern Hemisphere: physical mechanism and empirical model for edge variation

The Hadley circulation is the most prominent atmospheric meridional circulation, reducing the radiatively driven equator-to-pole temperature gradient. While the Hadley cell extent varies by several degrees from year to year, the detailed dynamical mechanisms behind such variations have not been well elucidated. During the expanded phase of the Hadley cell, many regions on the periphery of the subtropics experience unfavorable climatic conditions. In this study, using ERA5 reanalysis data, we examine the physical chain of events responsible for the interannual variation of the Hadley cell edge (HCE) latitude in the Northern Hemisphere. This variation is mainly caused by changing eddy activity and wave breaking from both stationary and transient waves. In particular, we show that transient waves cause the HCE to shift poleward by increasing the eddy momentum flux divergence (EMFD) and reducing the baroclinicity over 20°–40°N, shifting the region of peak baroclinicity poleward. El Niño/La Niña and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) account for a significant portion (60%) of the interannual fluctuation of the HCE latitude. Through the poleward displacement of eddy activity, La Niña and a positive AO state are associated with the poleward shift of the HCE. The analysis of 28 CMIP5 models reveals statistical relationships between EMFD, vertical shear, and HCE latitude similar to those observed.

Bathymetry-Aware Mesoscale Eddy Parameterizations across Upwelling Slope Fronts: A Machine Learning–Augmented Approach

Abstract Mesoscale eddy buoyancy fluxes across continental slopes profoundly modulate the boundary current dynamics and shelf–ocean exchanges but have yet to be appropriately parameterized via the Gent–McWilliams (GM) scheme in predictive ocean models. In this work, we test the prognostic performance of multiple GM variants in noneddying simulations of upwelling slope fronts that are commonly found along the subtropical continental margins. The tested GM variants range from a set of constant eddy buoyancy diffusivities to recently developed energetically constrained, bathymetry-aware diffusivities, whose implementation is augmented by an artificial neural network (ANN) serving to predict the mesoscale eddy energy based on the topographic and mean flow quantities online. In addition, an ANN is employed to parameterize the cross-slope eddy momentum flux (EMF) that maintains a barotropic flow field analogous to that in an eddy-resolving model. Our tests reveal that noneddying simulations employing the bathymetry-aware forms of the Rhines scale–based scheme and GEOMETRIC scheme can most accurately reproduce the heat contents and along-slope baroclinic transports as those in the eddy-resolving simulations. Further analyses reveal certain degrees of physical consistency in the ANN-inferred eddy energy, which tends to grow (decay) as isopycnal slopes are steepened (flattened), and in the parameterized EMF, which exhibits the correct strength of shaping the flow baroclinicity if a bathymetry-aware GM variant is jointly used. These findings provide a recipe of GM variants for use in noneddying simulations with continental slopes and highlight the potential of machine learning techniques to augment physics-based mesoscale eddy parameterization schemes. Significance Statement This study evaluates the predictive skill of parameterization schemes of water mass transports induced by ocean mesoscale eddies across continental slopes. Correctly parameterizing these transports in noneddying ocean models (e.g., ocean climate models) is crucial for predicting the ocean circulation and shelf–ocean exchanges. This work highlights the importance of bathymetric effects on eddy transports, as parameterization schemes that account for the influence of a sloping seafloor outperform those developed specifically for a flat-bottomed ocean. This work also highlights the efficacy of machine learning techniques to augment physics-based mesoscale eddy parameterization schemes, for instance, by estimating the mesoscale eddy energy online to realize energy-dependent parameterization schemes in noneddying simulations.

Linkage between the boreal spring Antarctic oscillation and the temperature dipole mode over the Tibetan Plateau in summer

As the extratropical Southern Hemispheric most prominent atmospheric mode, Antarctic oscillation (AAO) can impact the climate system via multi-spherical interactions, whereas its potential influence on the temperature anomaly over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) remains unclear. By employing ERA5 reanalysis during 1979–2018, we have identified a significant in-phase relationship between April–May AAO and the boreal summer (June–August) temperature anomaly over the TP. The AAO significantly modulates the meridional circulation in the Atlantic sector where the climatic subtropical jet is weaker than other regions in the subtropics as well as the equatorward extension of midlatitude jet. The divergence of transient eddy momentum related to the positive AAO strengthens the northward movement of the South American meridional circulation and cross-equatorial airflow in the low troposphere. Due to the Coriolis force, the cross-equatorial airflow turns southwesterly above the tropical North Atlantic, weakening the climatic northeasterly and the feedback of wind-evaporation-sea surface temperature (SST). Consequently, an anomalous warm SST persists into the boreal summer and triggers a Rossby wave train, which propagates along the North Atlantic-TP pathway. As a result, the positive phase of TP's temperature dipole mode with an eastern warm anomaly and a western cold anomaly appears. The numerical experiments conducted by the linear baroclinic model provide further evidence for the Rossby wave origination and propagation. The AAO, therefore, may act as a valuable predictor for the climate predictions around the TP.

Gas Giant Simulations of Eddy‐Driven Jets Accompanied by Deep Meridional Circulation

AbstractJupiter's atmosphere comprises several dynamical regimes: the equatorial eastward flows and surrounding retrograde jets; the midlatitudes, with the eddy‐driven, alternating jet‐streams and meridional circulation cells; and the jet‐free turbulent polar region. Despite intensive research conducted on each of these dynamical regimes over the past decades, they remain only partially understood. Saturn's atmosphere also encompasses similar distinguishable regimes, but observational evidence for midlatitude deep meridional cells is lacking. Models offer a variety of explanations for each of these regions, but only a few are capable of simulating more than one of the regimes at once. This study presents new numerical simulations using a 3D deep anelastic model that can reproduce the equatorial flows as well as the midlatitudinal pattern of the mostly barotropic, alternating eddy‐driven jets and the meridional circulation cells accompanying them. These simulations are consistent with recent Juno mission gravity and microwave data. We find that the vertical eddy momentum fluxes are as important as the meridional eddy momentum fluxes, which drive the midlatitudinal circulation on Earth. In addition, we discuss the parameters controlling the number of midlatitudinal jets/cells, their extent, strength, and location. We identify the strong relationship between meridional circulation and the zonal jets in a deep convection setup, and analyze the mechanism responsible for their generation and maintenance. The analysis presented here provides another step in the ongoing pursuit of understanding the deep atmospheres of gas giants.

Variability of Eddy Formation off the West Greenland Coast from a 1/60° Model

Abstract Eddies generated off the west Greenland coast modulate the deep convection in the Labrador Sea, while there are still open questions related to their formation mechanisms. Using 11 years (2008–18) of output from a NEMO model configured with a 1/60° nest in the Labrador Sea, we present the patterns of baroclinic and barotropic instability off the west Greenland coast. We highlight the generation of Irminger Rings at Cape Desolation and boundary current eddies at the location of the Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP) West section. In between these formation sites, eddy energy attenuation occurs along the West Greenland Current (WGC). Overall, baroclinic instability dominates in the upper 1000 m and is twice as strong as the barotropic instability. Seasonally, the instabilities are generally twice as strong in winter compared to summer. Interannually from 2008 to 2018, the instabilities generally show a strengthening trend, with values in 2018 two to three times as strong as those in 2008. We found that on an interannual time scale, the strengthening of WGC and the steepening of its velocity contours enhance the barotropic instability, and the intrusion of the upper Irminger Sea Intermediate Water (uISIW) on the Irminger Water enhances the baroclinic instability by increasing the horizontal density gradient. On a seasonal time scale, variability of the eddy momentum and density fluxes modulate the barotropic and baroclinic instability, respectively. From observation-based datasets, we also found that the downstream eddy kinetic energy is highly correlated with the uISIW transports, suggesting that the amount of uISIW affects the eddy formation. Using a very high-resolution numerical model, our study provides new insight into the variability and mechanisms of eddy formation along the west Greenland coast. Significance Statement Vigorous eddy activity exists off the west Greenland coast. The eddies flux buoyancy to the interior Labrador Sea and thus weaken the convection, which feeds the lower limb of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Given uncertainties in the eddy formation mechanisms, by using an ocean model with very high resolution that resolves those eddies, we show the factors that control the production and variability of the eddy formation off the western coast of Greenland. The eddy formation generally strengthens over the years 2008–18, which is a result of the intrusion of intermediate water on the continental slope and a stronger boundary current. The eddy formation shows a seasonal cycle—it is generally the strongest in winter and weakest in summer, which is modulated by the seasonal variability of eddy momentum and density fluxes.

Interannual Variability of the Mass-Weighted Isentropic Zonal Mean Meridional Circulation in the Northern Hemisphere Winter

Abstract The atmospheric general circulation diagnosed by the mass-weighted isentropic zonal mean exhibits an extratropical direct (ETD) circulation driven by eddy momentum transport. We investigated regional atmospheric modulations associated with the year-to-year variability of ETD circulation in boreal winter using a reanalysis dataset. Composite analyses showed that the interannual variability of ETD circulation accompanies a seesaw-like variation between the Aleutian low (AL) and Icelandic low (IL), which coincides with the Pacific–North American teleconnection pattern and North Atlantic dipole anomaly. A diagnosis using isentropic airmass fluxes representing the geographical Lagrangian mean motion indicated that the significant intensification of upper-tropospheric poleward warm airflow over the eastern North Pacific is responsible for the enhanced ETD circulation, together with the intensified equatorward lower cold airflow over East Asia and eastern North America. The resulting enhanced upward propagation of the stationary planetary waves corresponds to the intensification of the divergence of the Eliassen–Palm flux, which explains the modulated ETD circulation in view of the balance between the Coriolis force and eddy momentum flux convergence. These results suggest that the AL–IL seesaw promotes variations in the global general circulation, and the anomalous ETD circulation interacts with several teleconnection patterns involving the modulation of planetary waves through anomalous meridional heat transport by the basinwide-scale eddies.

Tropical tropospheric warming pattern explained by shifts in convective heating in the Matsuno–Gill model

AbstractHorizontal temperature gradients in the tropical free troposphere are fairly weak, and tropical tropospheric warming is usually treated as uniform. However, we show here that projected tropospheric warming is spatially inhomogeneous in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models, as well as in a storm‐resolving climate model. We relate the upper tropospheric warming pattern to sea‐surface temperature changes that reorganise convection and thereby cause spatial shifts in convective heating. Using the classical Gill model for tropical circulation and forcing it with precipitation changes that arise due to greenhouse gas warming, we can understand and reproduce the different warming patterns simulated by a range of global climate models. Forcing the Gill model with precipitation changes from a certain region demonstrates how local tropospheric temperature changes depend on local changes in convective heating. Close to the Equator, anomalous geopotential gradients are balanced by the dissipation term in the Gill model. The optimal dissipation time‐scale to reproduce the warming pattern varies depending on the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 model, and is between 1 and 10 days. We demonstrate that horizontal advection and eddy momentum fluxes have large enough equivalent dissipation time‐scales to balance the gradients in geopotential and thereby shape the warming pattern. Though climate models show a large spread in projections of tropical sea‐surface temperature and precipitation changes, our results imply that, once these predictions improve, our confidence in the predicted upper tropospheric warming pattern should also increase.

Influence of the previous North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on the spring dust aerosols over North China

Abstract. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) has been confirmed to be closely related to the weather and climate in many regions of the Northern Hemisphere; however, its effect and mechanism upon the formation of dust events (DEs) in China have rarely been discussed. By using the station observation dataset and multi-reanalysis datasets, it is found that the spring dust aerosols (DAs) in North China (30–40∘ N, 105–120∘ E), a non-dust source region, show high values with a strong interannual variability, and the spring DAs in North China are significantly correlated with the previous winter's NAO. According to the nine spring DEs affected significantly by the negative phase of the preceding winter's NAO in North China during 1980–2020, it is shown that before the outbreak of DEs, due to the transient eddy momentum (heat) convergence (divergence) over the DA source regions, the zonal wind speed increases in the upper-level troposphere, strengthening the zonal wind in the middle–lower levels through momentum downward transmission. Simultaneously, there is transient eddy momentum (heat) divergence (convergence) around the Ural Mountains, which is favorable for the establishment and maintenance of the Ural ridge, as well as the development of the air temperature and vorticity advections. The combined effects of temperature and vorticity advections result in the Siberian Highs and Mongolian cyclone to be established, strengthen, and move southward near the surface, guiding the cold air from high latitudes southward, and is favorable for the uplift and transmission of DAs to North China downstream. Simultaneously, the changes in upstream transient eddy flux transport can cause both energy and mass divergence in North China, resulting in diminishing winds during DEs, which would facilitate the maintenance of dust aerosols here and promote the outbreak of DEs. This study reveals the impact of transient eddy flux transport on the dusty weather anomalies modulated by the NAO negative signal in North China, which deepens the understanding of the formation mechanism of DEs in China.

Numerical simulation of upper ocean responses to the passage of a submesoscale eddy

In this study, a large eddy simulation model (LES) is used to investigate the effect of an idealized westward propagating submesoscale eddy on ocean surface boundary layer turbulence. Large scale forcing (LSF) terms are introduced to the model to represent the effects of submesoscale eddies using the scale separation approach.Although re-stratification is observed at the arrival of the eddy center, consistent with previous studies, strong mixing and deepening is detected before/after the arrival of the eddy center. LES experiments are conducted to investigate the mechanism behind these dynamical responses, and explore the relative importance of the LSF terms. The interaction among these forcing terms is shown to be highly nonlinear, and the combined effects of buoyancy and momentum eddy forcing dominate the boundary layer response to the submesoscale eddy. While buoyancy flux is responsible for the enhanced mixing in the boundary layer, our analysis suggests that the momentum eddy forcing can significantly alter the timing of the enhanced mixing and boost its strength through generating strong mean current in the water column that accelerates westward density advection generated by the buoyancy eddy forcing. The lighter/heavier fluid intrusion brought by the mean flow leads to strong upwelling/downwelling, enhanced mixing and deepening of the mixed layer before the arrival of the eddy. Simulations using a general circulation model do not show similar response in the upper ocean because the K profile parameterization used in the model is a function of vertical shear only, and cannot represent the enhanced turbulence due to lateral mixing brought by the submesoscale eddy.Eddy distortion due to its asymmetric decay with time and northward Ekman transport generated by the wind stress also leads to substantial differences in boundary layer responses at different locations relative to the eddy center.

Parameterisation of small-scale random forcing in β-plane turbulence

Zonal jet formation in $\beta$ -plane turbulence is investigated with the focus on whether an accurate closure can be developed for the eddy momentum fluxes due to small-scale random forcing. The approach of Srinivasan and Young (J. Atmos. Sci., vol. 71, 2014, pp. 2169–2185) is developed to give a relatively simple expression for the local Reynolds stress, due to a white-in-time random forcing with characteristic length scale much less than the jet spacing. In typical jet flows, however, it is demonstrated that the Srinivasan–Young flux is not the full story because momentum fluxes due to jet-scale waves, present as a result of distinct barotropic instabilities of the eastward and westward jets, respectively, also play a key role in the momentum balance. Numerical simulations that explicitly include the random forcing are then compared with those in which the Srinivasan–Young closure is applied. For typical jet flows, good agreement of the equilibrium zonal flow is found provided that the closure simulation is not truncated to be purely zonal, i.e. jet-scale secondary barotropic instabilities are allowed to develop. Flows in which the geometry or external forcing acts to suppress the development of secondary instabilities are also simulated, and for these flows the Srinivasan–Young closure is shown to be successful as a purely zonal closure. It is argued that vortex condensates in isotropic forced-dissipative 2D turbulence are an example of this latter situation.

The precipitation distribution set by eddy fluxes: the case of boreal winter

The latitudinal precipitation distribution shows a secondary peak in midlatitudes and a minimum in the subtropics. This minimum is widely attributed to the descending branch of the Eulerian Hadley cell. This study however shows that the precipitation distribution aligns more closely with the transformed Eulerian mean (TEM) vertical motion. In Northern Hemisphere winter, maximum TEM descent (ascent) and precipitation minimum (maximum) are collocated at ~20°N (~40°N). The subtropical descent is mostly driven by the meridional flux of zonal momentum by large-scale eddies, while the midlatitude ascent is driven by the meridional flux of heat by the eddies. When the poleward eddy momentum flux is sufficiently strong, however, the secondary precipitation peak shifts to 60°N corresponding to the location of the TEM ascent driven by the eddy momentum flux. Moisture supply for the precipitation is aided by evaporation which is enhanced where the TEM descending branch brings down dry air from the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere. This picture is reminiscent of dry air intrusions in synoptic meteorology, suggesting that the descending branch may embody a zonal mean expression of dry air intrusions. Moist air rises following the TEM ascending branch, suggesting that the ascending branch may be interpreted as a zonal mean expression of warm conveyor belts. This study thus offers a large-scale dynamics perspective of the synoptic description of precipitation systems. The findings here also suggest that future changes in the eddy momentum flux, which is poorly understood, could play a pivotal role in determining the future precipitation distribution.

Theoretical Foundation of the Linear Relationship between the Midlatitude Eddy Heat Flux and Fall-to-Spring Polar Ozone Buildup

Abstract It has been demonstrated that there is a globally unified linear relationship between the interannual variations of the fall-to-spring polar ozone accumulation and the winter-mean poleward eddy heat flux on the 100 hPa pressure surface. The foundation of this relationship is investigated using time-slice experiments on a chemistry–climate model with two levels of ozone-depleting substances (ODSs). The features of the transport field are interpreted by decomposing the horizontal ozone flux caused by the residual circulation into contributing processes including the eddy heat flux with the aid of the transformed Eulerian-mean momentum equation followed by rearrangement of terms. The linear relationship between the interannual variations of the fall-to-spring ozone buildup integrated poleward and above a reference point Pref on a meridional plane and the poleward eddy heat flux during the corresponding period at Pref is realized for each hemisphere implying that the interhemispheric unification should be treated with caution. This relationship is interpreted using the fact that the interannual variation of poleward ozone transport in the upper stratosphere is captured well by the vertical convergence of the constituent-based Eliassen–Palm (EP) flux (), which is defined as the product of the constituent (ozone) mixing ratio and EP flux. The eddy momentum flux contributes to the meridional ozone transport in combination with the eddy heat flux in the form of the divergence of , although it is not responsible for realizing the linear relationship. The dependence of the linearity on the location of Pref and ODS levels is discussed.

Dynamics of the Transient Negative Eddy Response to Zonal-Mean Zonal Wind Variations

Abstract Many studies have focused on the long-term positive feedback between annular mode zonal wind (U) perturbations and the eddy momentum fluxes (M). Lagged correlation analysis between U and M anomalies, however, shows that a transient period of negative eddy forcing follows the peak in zonal wind anomalies. This negative forcing is more ubiquitous than the positive feedback because it occurs for all U EOFs not just EOF1. It has been hypothesized that this response is either 1) an intrinsic feature of the eddies independent of the U or 2) caused by U-induced changes in Rossby wave reflection. Here it is shown that the response can be reproduced in a GCM by imposing a rapid change in U; therefore, mechanism 1 does not appear to be relevant. Furthermore, the transient response can be generated in a model when there are no turning latitudes; therefore, mechanism 2 does not appear to be relevant. Instead it is shown that the transient response is due to the adjustment of a preexisting eddy field to a change in the background wind. This transient effect is negative when the meridional scale of the U change is small enough compared to the waves, and vice versa. The sign of the initial response depends on the relative size of advection by U versus retrogression by the background vorticity gradient on the meridional tilt of the Rossby waves. Finally, it is shown that this transient response has a large damping effect on U variability.

A Simple Mechanistic Model of Wave–Mean Flow Feedbacks, Poleward Jet Shifts, and the Annular Mode

Abstract Changes in the latitude of the zonal-mean midlatitude jet play an important role for both natural variability and the response of the atmospheric circulation to greenhouse gases and other external forcing. Nevertheless, the jet response to external forcing exhibits perplexing and nonintuitive behavior. For example, external forcing that acts to strengthen the jet will also shift the jet poleward. In addition, for internal jet variability, zonal wind anomalies slowly propagate poleward over most latitudes; however, this propagation stalls somewhat at latitudes on the flanks of the mean jet. At these latitudes zonal wind anomalies are more stationary, and therefore, anomaly persistence is maximized. These same persistent latitudes are collocated with the zonal wind anomalies associated with the annular mode. Feedbacks between the zonal-mean zonal wind and the eddy momentum fluxes are responsible for the above behaviors. Here a simple mechanistic model of the effect of the zonal-mean zonal wind on the eddy momentum fluxes is developed. The model reproduces the wave–mean flow feedbacks that maintain the annular mode, cause stronger jets to shift poleward (and vice versa), and cause the poleward propagation of zonal wind anomalies. In the model, the effect of the mean flow on the eddy momentum fluxes is determined solely by the critical level and the reflecting level. The model is used to distill the essential dynamics of annular variability and change such as why stronger jets shift poleward, why high-frequency eddies are responsible for the positive feedback and why the intricate structure of propagating versus stationary zonal wind anomalies exists.

A Gradient Based Subgrid‐Scale Parameterization for Ocean Mesoscale Eddies

AbstractMesoscale eddies play an important role in transport of heat and biogeochemical tracers in the global ocean circulation. Resolving these energetic eddies, however, is challenging in ocean general circulation models (OGCM) because it requires a horizontal grid spacing of ≲1/8° that is computationally expensive. As a result, we are required to parameterize mesoscale eddy effects on large‐scale ocean flows. In this work, we introduce a new subgrid‐scale (SGS) model that is developed based on a Taylor series expansion of resolved variables to parameterize subgrid mesoscale eddy transports and momentum fluxes in OGCM. We have performed an a priori study to evaluate the performance of our new gradient model using high‐resolution ocean simulations. Our results show that the gradient model well predicts the actual SGS thickness fluxes in the zonal and meridional directions in coarse‐resolution simulations with the grid spacing ≳1/4°. The unresolved kinetic energy at the ocean surface is also skillfully estimated. More importantly, unlike current mesoscale eddy parameterizations, which are mainly developed based on an assumption of flat bottom ocean, our new SGS model can capture the structure of unresolved standing meanders at the ocean surface. We have also developed a dynamic procedure for setting in non‐dimensional parameters in our new parameterization through a non‐ad hoc and tuning‐free method. Overall, this work suggests that implementing the gradient model in OGCM can improve the model accuracy with an affordable computational cost in eddy‐permitting and non‐eddying simulations.

Two Extratropical Pathways to Forcing Tropical Convective Disturbances

Abstract Observational evidence of two extratropical pathways to forcing tropical convective disturbances is documented through a statistical analysis of satellite-derived OLR and ERA5 reanalysis. The forcing mechanism and the resulting disturbances are found to strongly depend on the structure of the background zonal wind. Although Rossby wave propagation is prohibited in easterlies, modeling studies have shown that extratropical forcing can still excite equatorial waves through resonance between the tropics and extratropics. Here this “remote” forcing pathway is investigated for the first time in the context of convectively coupled Kelvin waves over the tropical Pacific during northern summer. The extratropical forcing is manifested by eddy momentum flux convergence that arises when extratropical eddies propagate into the subtropics and encounter their critical line. This nonlinear forcing has similar wavenumbers and frequencies with Kelvin waves and excites them by projecting onto their meridional eigenstructure in zonal wind, as a form of resonance. This resonance is also evidenced by a momentum budget analysis, which reveals the nonlinear forcing term is essential for maintenance of the waves, while the remaining linear terms are essential for propagation. In contrast, the “local” pathway of extratropical forcing entails the presence of a westerly duct during northern winter that permits Rossby waves to propagate into the equatorial east Pacific, while precluding any sort of resonance with Kelvin waves due to Doppler shifting effects. The intruding disturbances primarily excite tropical “cloud plumes” through quasigeostrophic forcing, while maintaining their extratropical nature. This study demonstrates the multiple roles of the extratropics in forcing in tropical circulations and illuminates how tropical–extratropical interactions and extratropical basic states can provide be a source of predictability at the S2S time scale. Significance Statement This study seeks to understand how circulations in the midlatitudes excite the weather systems in the tropics. Results show that the mechanisms, as well as the types of tropical weather systems excited, are strongly dependent on the mean large-scale wind structure. In particular, when the large-scale wind blows from east to west, a special type of eastward-moving tropical weather system, the Kelvin wave, is excited owing to its resonance with remote eastward-moving weather systems in the extratropics. On the contrary, when the average wind blows from west to east, midlatitude systems are observed to intrude into the lower latitudes and directly force tropical convection, the cloud plumes, while maintaining their extratropical nature. These results speak to how the midlatitudes can excite distinct types of tropical weather systems under different climatological wind regimes. Understanding these tropical weather systems and their interactions with the midlatitudes may ultimately help to improve predictions of weather beyond 2 weeks.

The Role of Barotropic versus Baroclinic Feedbacks on the Eddy Response to Annular Mode Zonal Wind Anomalies

Abstract The annular mode, the leading pattern of low-frequency variability in the extratropics, owes its temporal persistence to a positive feedback between eddy momentum fluxes and the background zonal wind anomalies associated with the annular mode itself. The mechanisms by which the zonal wind anomalies impact the eddy momentum fluxes fall into two families: 1) baroclinic mechanisms: changes in the amount and location of wave activity generated via baroclinic instability cause the changes in eddy momentum fluxes and 2) barotropic mechanisms: the zonal wind anomalies impact the eddy momentum fluxes directly via critical levels, turning latitudes, and the refraction of meridionally propagating waves. This paper takes a critical look at various methodologies that conclude that baroclinic feedbacks are dominant by developing multiple independent estimates of the relative role of baroclinic versus barotropic processes. All methods conclude that barotropic mechanisms are most important; however, baroclinic mechanisms are not negligible. Additional experiments with the baroclinic feedback turned off (via manipulations to the vertical friction profile) also suggest that barotropic feedbacks are dominant. The methods for estimating the feedbacks are 1) Rossby wave chromatography, 2) forced manipulations of the vertical structure of EOF1 using linear response functions, and 3) quantitatively inferring the meridional wave propagation from the mean wave activity budget and then using this to analyze the wave activity response to anomalies. The last method is also applied to both Northern and Southern Hemisphere reanalysis, and similar conclusions about the feedbacks are reached.

The frictional layer in the observed momentum budget of the trades.

Profiles of eddy momentum flux divergence are calculated as the residual in the momentum budget constructed from airborne circular dropsonde arrays ( 220 km) for 13 days during the EUREC A/ATOMIC field campaign. The observed dynamical forcing averaged over all flights agrees broadly with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) forecasts. In the direction of the flow, a mean flux divergence (friction) exists over a 1.5-km deep Ekman layer, and a mean flux convergence (acceleration) is present near cloud tops. The friction is countergradient between 1 and 1.5 km, where vertical wind shear exceeds the observed thermal wind. From the frictional profile, a 10-m momentum flux of 0.1 N m is derived, in line with Saildrone turbulence measurements. A momentum flux divergence in the cross-wind direction is pronounced near the surface and acts to veer the wind, opposing the friction-induced cross-isobaric wind turning. Weaker friction and upper-level acceleration of easterly flow are observed when stronger winds and more vigorous convection prevail. Turbulence measurements on board the SAFIRE ATR-42 aircraft and the Uncrewed Aircraft System (UAS) RAAVEN reveal pronounced spatial variability of momentum fluxes, with a non-negligible contribution of mesoscales (5-30 km). The findings highlight the nontrivial impact of turbulence, convection, and mesoscale flows in the presence of diverse cloud fields on the depth and strength of the frictional layer.

Impacts of model resolution and ocean coupling on mean and eddy momentum transfer during the rapid intensification of super-typhoon Muifa (2011).

This study uses a coupled atmosphere-ocean model with different numerical settings to investigate the mean and eddy momentum transfer processes responsible for Typhoon Muifa's (2011) early rapid intensification (RI). Three experiments are conducted. Two use the coupled model with a horizontal resolution of either 1 km (HRL) or 3 km (LRL). The third (NoTCFB) is the same as LRL but excludes tropical cyclone (TC)-induced sea-surface temperature (SST) cooling. HRL reasonably reproduces Muifa's intensity during its rapid intensification and weakening periods. The azimuthal mean tangential and radial momentum budgets are analysed before the RI rates diverge between HRL and LRL. Results show that the dominant processes responsible for Muifa's intensification are different in HRL and LRL. For HRL, the net eddy effect intensifies the storm's circulation and contracts the eyewall during early RI, and it dominates the net mean-flow effect inside the radius of maximum wind (RMW), except near the surface and between 2 and 5km close to the RMW. In contrast, the mean and eddy effects in LRL almost cancel inside the RMW, while the mean-flow effects dominate and intensify tangential winds outside. Without TC-induced SST cooling, Muifa in NoTCFB reaches a similar storm intensity as in HRL but its rapid weakening rate is substantially underestimated. The dominant mechanisms for tangential wind intensification in NoTCFB are similar to those in LRL, but their magnitudes are larger, implying a misrepresentation of the dominant momentum transfer processes in NoTCFB during RI. For the radial momentum budget analysis, the dominant processes are similar among the three experiments except for some differences in their locations and strengths.

The Relation Between the Latitudinal Shifts of Midlatitude Diabatic Heating, Eddy Heat Flux, and the Eddy‐Driven Jet in CMIP6 Models

AbstractThe midlatitude storm tracks and eddy‐driven jet are predicted to shift poleward in response to anthropogenic climate change. Here the relation between the latitudes of the eddy‐driven jet and storm track and their responses to climate change in preindustrial and abrupt 4 × CO2 simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) are examined, focusing on the Southern Hemisphere summer. The eddy‐driven jet, Ferrel cell, midlatitude diabatic heating, and eddy heat flux all shift poleward in response to climate change, while the eddy‐driven jet latitude is positively correlated with the diabatic heating latitude and the Ferrel cell latitude, but is not significantly correlated with the eddy heat flux latitude, and is negatively correlated with the midlatitude diabatic heating strength. The roles of eddy heat flux and diabatic heating in the midlatitude circulation response to climate change are analyzed using the Kuo‐Eliassen equation. Each heating term induces a meridional circulation and an associated Coriolis force, which acts to change the vertical shear of the zonal mean zonal wind. It is found that in response to climate change, the heating due to eddy heat flux accelerates the vertical wind shear on the equatorward side of the jet, while the diabatic heating decelerates the vertical wind shear on the poleward side of the jet. The contributions of the heating terms to the momentum budget balance the contributions due to eddy momentum flux and surface friction, which act to shift the vertical shear poleward in response to climate change.