THIS IS A theoretical and empirical investigation of how firms establish their capital structures. Though in a few instances an attempt is made to explain the diversity of the bond market, why several liens of bonds with different legal provisions and terms to maturity are found in the capital structure of a single firm, most of the theory is concerned with how a firm sets the proportion between stocks and (one lien of) bonds in its capital structure as a whole. The nub of the problem is to study what adjustments can be made in traditional economic theory in order to explain a market in which stocks and bonds are purchased by people who not only hold dissimilar opinions about the prospects of the firm but are themselves in doubt about its value. The foundation is a precise definition of risk. Risk is treated like a normal commodity for which an investor is willing to pay a price depending on the intensity of his aversion. A firm is, therefore, a joint commodity composed of risk and capital. The commodity, risk, may be subdivided; the issuing of bonds automatically divides the associated with the firm as a whole (prior to the issuing of bonds) into stock and bond risk, each of which has a value depending on (a) the riskiness of the firm as a whole, (b) the debt-equity ratio, and (c) the degree of aversion of the investors who are buying the stocks and bonds. The of a firm as seen by an investor is a probability distribution of its possible future earnings. There need be no uniformity of opinion among investors about the mean, dispersion, or shape of the distribution of any one firm. Several models are developed on various simplifying assumptions about the stock and bond market. The main model postulates that (a) there is uniformity of opinion among all investors about the shape of the probability distribution of some given firm; (b) the market for stocks and bonds is divided into two groups of people, those with small aversion, who, so the theory implies, buy the stocks of the firm, and those with great aversion, who buy bonds; and (c) the object of a firm is to maximize its market value.
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