Ecological Security Research Articles

Ecosystem services driving factors and ecological conservation pattern construction, Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

Given that the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) is an important ecological security barrier in western China, changes in its ecosystem services (ESs) have received attention. Using multivariate datas and model simulations, we evaluated the ESs of the QTP, revealed their driving factors, and constructed ecological conservation pattern based on ecosystem services index (ESI) and ecosystem sensitivity (ES). The results showed that: (1) The overall ESs of the QTP from 2000 to 2020 were positive, with a spatial distribution characteristic of decreasing from southeast to northwest. Forest and grassland were the key land use types promoting ESs. (2) Natural factors had a stronger influence on ESs than socioeconomic factors, with precipitation, FVC (Fractional Vegetation Cover) and NPP (Net Primary Productivity) had the strongest explanatory power for ESs. (3) The proportion of the collaborative development area (CDA), consolidation and enhancement area (CEA) and priority protection area (PPA) to the total area of the QTP was 19%, 56% and 25% respectively. The CDA should follow the concept of natural restoration and green development. The CEA should optimize the management system and do a good job of environmental management in combination with artificial restoration. The PPA should strictly prevent disturbances caused by human activities and protect the originality of natural landscapes such as glaciers, snow and permafrost.

Metagenomics reveals the characteristics and potential spread of microbiomes and virulence factor genes in the dairy cattle production system

Virulence factor genes (VFGs) pose a potential threat to ecological security and animal health, and have attracted increasing attention in the livestock industry. As one of the primary livestock types, dairy cattle may be an important source of VFG transmission. However, the distribution, transmission, and evolution of VFGs in the gastrointestinal tract and surrounding environment of dairy cattle remain unclear. In the present study, a total of 263 samples were collected from cows, calves, colostrum, farm wastewater, and soil. Metagenomics was conducted to analyze changes in the microbiome and VFGs characteristics in these ecological niches. The VFGs of the cows showed distinct differences between the rumen and feces, and were influenced by the region. The dominant VFG hosts was regulated by their microbial structure. Colostrum administration of cows increased VFG abundance in their newborn calf feces sharply and Enterobacteriaceae became the primary host. While diet was the primary driving force for the temporal variation in calf VFGs. For samples of the surrounding environment, water and soil had higher VFG concentrations and were more structurally stable. Moreover, extensive interactions between the mobile genetic elements and VFGs and gene mobile analysis map based on metagenomic binning both displayed the potential horizontal transfer ability of VFGs in the cows and environment. Our study revealed the prevalence, diffusion, and regulatory factors of VFGs in dairy cattle production systems, providing novel insights into reducing livestock VFGs and limiting their spread.

Revealing various change characteristics and drivers of ecological vulnerability in the mountains of southwest China

Ecological vulnerability (EV) assessment is an important means of reflecting the evolutionary process of the local ecological environment, which is crucial for ecological security. The current EV assessment still faces challenges in comprehensively revealing its spatio-temporal change characteristics due to diversity, multi-scale complexity and non-linearity of ecosystems. In this study, we comprehensively revealed the spatio-temporal change features and driver mechanisms of EV in Yunnan Province (YP) using methods such as breaks for additive seasonal and trend (BFAST) and Geodetector. According to the findings, (1) the ecological vulnerability index (EVI) in YP decreased by 0.0265 on the raster scale between 2000 and 2018, and the ecological vulnerability level (EVL) was mainly dominated by level III. At the city scale, EVL in YP was dominated by level IV. At the basin scale, the average EV of the Jinsha River basin was much greater other basins. (2) The linear trend of EV in the YP mainly showed an insignificant decrease, mostly concentrated in the YP’s eastern region. The non-linear trend mainly showed a monotonous decrease, with the mutation time concentrated in 2009. The future persistence trend of EV under different coupling modes was dominated by anti-persistence decrease (Sen-MK + Hurst) and anti-persistence monotonous decrease (BFAST + Hurst), with an area percentage of 40.19 % and 25.13 %, respectively. (3) Gross primary productivity was the priority factor influencing YP’s EV (q = 0.4137). This study not only enriches the cases of EV assessment studies in the high mountain valley area but also bridges the gap of analysing the multi-spatial scale characteristics and change trends of regional EV.

Green finance and land ecological security: A potential mechanism for sustainable development

With growing global concern for environmental issues, green finance (GF) has emerged as a key tool for promoting sustainable development. However, research on its impact on land ecological security (LES) is limited. This study explores the spatial and non-linear effects of GF on LES, focusing on the roles of agricultural e-commerce (AEC) and agricultural industry agglomeration (AIA). Our findings reveal significant first, spatial auto-correlation in LES and an inverted U-shaped pattern in the spatial impact of GF. Second, AEC enhances this inverted U-shaped relationship, shifting the knee point leftward and resulting in a higher marginal effect of GF on LES. Conversely, AIA weakens the relationship, shifting the knee point rightward and potentially flipping the pattern. Additionally, heterogeneity researches results indicate that this spatial effect exists only in primary grain distribution areas, and not in primary grain producing areas or grain production and distribution balanced areas. Robustness tests, including instrumental variables and alternative core explanatory variables, confirm the credibility of these results. This research offers targeted policy recommendations for the GF-LES relationship.

Ecosystem services in the Yangtze River Basin and their trade-offs/synergies relationships in response to climate change

Abstract The Yangtze River Basin is an important ecological security barrier with significant economic status, but it is greatly affected by climate change. Therefore, we investigated the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of annual ecosystem service (net primary production (NPP), water conservation and soil retention), their interrelationships and responses to climate change in the Yangtze River Basin from 2001 to 2020. The annual NPP, soil retention and water conservation were 511 gC m−2, 632 t and 272 mm, respectively and they all increased over 2001–2020 though this varied in both time and space. The capacities of soil retention and water conservation did not increase, and even gradually decreased for first 10 years (2001–2010), most likely due to the subsequent effects of the catastrophic flood of Yangtze River occurred in 1998. There are tradeoffs between NPP and soil retention/water conservation in the west Sichaun Province, which is different from the rest of the Yangtze River Basin where synergistic relationships dominate. Precipitation is the dominate climatic influencing factor on the ecosystem service trends found in the Yangtze River Basin. The concept of ecosystem services is being incorporated into decision-making and management, this study is critical to guide regional effective resource utilization, ecosystem management decisions and feasible policies.

Review: Urban Water Security and Safety

“Water security” and “water safety” is defined differently. As the terms are related they may lead to confusion and misinterpretations, depending on the context. Water security generally refers to a lack of resources of an acceptable quality, i.e. water scarcity that may be related either to an excess of water demand or drought impacts (with links to climate change and e.g. salt water intrusion into coastal aquifers). Further, water security is closely related to food security, energy security, health security and ecological security. From a (human) security viewpoint, however, water security may also be understood in the light of possible intentional degradation of the resources, e.g. criminal or terrorist act leading to a deliberate (chemical or biological) contamination of water supply systems. Water safety on the other hand refers to the quality or chemical status of the water resources that has to comply with the defined quality standards for drinking water specifically to protect human health, both from elevated concentrations of contaminants and natural geogenic elements. This review gives a snapshot of various (ground)water safety and security issues written by authors from different sectors and disciplines. Illustrating and clarifying the many societal challenges related to water security and safety in cities.

The Legal System of Natural Ecological Protection and Restoration in Newly Built Areas Based on the Multi-Dimensional Character-Istics of the Ecosystem

Natural environment protection compensation refers to the legal system that protects the natural ecological environment, protects the natural environment and makes the beneficiaries of the natural environment get compensation by some means, so as to adjust the interests of the relevant subjects of natural ecological environment protection. This paper discusses the ecosystem service function and its type division of newly built areas in Ganjiang, and the emergy evaluation of ecosystem service function of newly built areas in Ganjiang, establishes the regular scheduling and joint optimal scheduling models of natural ecosystem service value single reservoir, intro-duces the corresponding model solving methods, and applies the ant colony algorithm to the optimal schedule is a lesson. According to the ant colony algorithm, the best way to study the region is to determine these algorithms. Combined with the kernel density analysis method, the spatial scope, potential corridors and key recovery points of ecological corridors are identified, and the optimization mode of natural ecological security pattern of Shule River is constructed. The experimental results show that the optimized ant colony algorithm proves that joint scheduling plays a more prominent role in ecological environment protection, mainly in ecological support and ecological regulation. At the same time, it verifies the applicability of ant colony algorithm in joint scheduling, and improves the average protection efficiency of natural ecology to 20.9%.

Envisioning ecological security through local direct action: community resistance with global resonance

ABSTRACT As climate change becomes a pressing concern for policymakers and citizens around the world, a variety of security discourses have emerged framing the environment as a security issue. While dominant frameworks focus on securing national interests, the international order, or individuals, the ecological security framework presents an alternative discourse. Ecological security requires a refocusing of the security discourse onto the environment itself, vulnerable communities, and future generations, and requires the exploration of alternative, relational forms of social and economic organisation. This framework has often been discounted as an impractical and radical alternative to dominant discourses, however, I argue that ecological security can, and is, being enacted by local communities around the world through radically relational activist methodologies. I suggest that direct action methodology employed by environmental activists can enable the enactment of ecological security by local communities. By investigating the connections and overlaps between blockade-style activism, direct action methodology, and Indigenous resurgence, it is possible to envision a locally-based, radically relational, bottom-up model of ecological security. Through an investigation of the conflict between Wet’suwet’en land defenders and the Coastal GasLink pipeline, this community-activist-ecological security nexus is drawn out and examined as a possible path forward for climate security.

Impact of chemical aging on pyrogenic carbon colloid facilitated transport and transformation of Cr (VI) in anoxic environments

Frequent wildfires have accumulated the pyrogenic carbon (PyC) colloids in the environment, where they undergo environmental aging processes. The altered properties of aged PyC colloids may affect their ability to facilitate transformation and transport of contaminants in post-fire environments, posing unknown threats to ecological security. This study investigated the effect of chemical aging on the PyC colloid-facilitated transformation and transport of chromium (Cr) using batch experiments, column experiments, and transport model simulations. Results showed that aged PyC colloids exhibited weaker electron-donating capacity, and the reduction of Cr (VI) to Cr (III) decreased from 37.6 % to 13.5 % with the increasing aging time. Although PyC colloid transport increased with aging time, the PyC colloid-facilitated Cr (III) transport decreased because of the weakened reduction of Cr (VI). The transport of PyC colloid-facilitated Cr (III) was weaker at low pH. The reactive solute transport model well simulated the aged PyC colloid-facilitated transformation and transport of Cr (VI). Our findings highlight the significance of aging processes and environmentally relevant conditions in influencing the PyC colloid-facilitated transformation and transport of Cr, which is crucial for assessing risks of wildfire-driven Cr pollution and the potential of PyC for in-situ pollution control.

Urban multi-scale ecological network sequence and spatial structure optimization: A case study in Nanjing city, China

Rapid urbanization has had a segmented effect on the ecological land and natural environment in cities. Constructing an ecological network is of vital importance to protect ecological resources and maintain regional ecological security. However, ecological spaces at different administrative scales have their own ecological functions and elemental characteristics. Therefore, we formed the ecological network sequence to present the integrative connection of multi-scale with municipal area (MA), main urban area (MUA) and central urban area (CUA) in Nanjing. Ecological sources were identified through “landscape—function—structure” framework, and ecosystem services value (ESV) was used as an auxiliary method to identify supplementary sources. Ecological corridors and some key points were identified through circuit theory. The results show that the area of ecological sources in MA, MUA and CUA was 427.3 km2, 62.5 km2 and 16.2 km2, respectively. By integrating sources of three scales, we got 14 sources (442.7 km2) in the first sequence and 10 sources (7.7 km2) in the second sequence. Apart from that, we also got 4 new supplementary sources with area of 13.5 km2. The length of ecological corridors in MA, MUA and CUA was 252.5 km, 263.9 km and 22.7 km, respectively. By integrating corridors of three scales, we found that the western corridors between the ecological sources had a higher gravitation. The ecological nodes are generally distributed in the landscape heterogeneity transition zone, ecological resource fringe zone and ecological spatial contiguous zone. The ecological pinch points are generally distributed along the water system. The ecological barrier points are generally distributed in the combination area among the urban block, village and road. In conclusion, this study made up for the research gap of finding the nesting and integration relationship among ecological networks at multi-scale.

Simulation of Spatial and Temporal Variations in the Water Yield Function in the Source Area of the Yellow River and an Analysis of Influencing Factors

The Yellow River source area is an important eco-fragile and sensitive zone in the northeast of the Tibetan Plateau, where anthropogenic disturbances, climate change, and environmental problems have negatively affected the amount of water in the basin, which directly impacts the ecological security and high-quality sustainable development of the Yellow River Basin. Therefore, this study takes the Yellow River source area as its research area. Based on eight periods of land use from 1985 to 2020, topographic, soil, and meteorological data are combined, and a locally modified InVEST model and geological detector method are used to simulate watershed water production, evaluate the spatial differentiation characteristics of watershed water production, and analyze its spatial heterogeneity attribution. The results revealed that water production from 1985 to 2020 varied within the interval of 152.08–302.44 billion m3, with alternating decreases and increases and an overall upward trend. In the spatial distribution, the depth of water production is high in the east and low in the west, and the high-water-production area is concentrated in the counties of Maqin and Gande. In the vertical gradient, the water production capacity is strengthened with increasing altitudes. The spatial differentiation of the water production service and degree of influence is jointly determined by multiple factors. In this work, the parameter Z of the InVEST model was locally corrected to increase the applicability of the Z value to the Yellow River Basin to improve the accuracy of the simulation results, and the spatiotemporal differences in water yield from multiple perspectives were analyzed to provide a scientific basis for the ecological protection and high-quality sustainable development of the Yellow River Basin.

Exploring the impacts of urbanization on vegetation growth from the perspective of urban expansion patterns and maturity: A case study on 40 large cities in China

Rapid urbanization replaces vegetation with build-up land, which threatens green spaces and the well-being of residents. In this study, the urban expansion patterns (UEPs) of build-up land from 2000 to 2020 were identified for 40 typical large cities in China, and their urban maturity (UM) was quantified. The different UEPs and UM types were used to analyze the comprehensive impacts of different types of cities on vegetation growth at different urbanization expansion intensity gradients. Finally, the relationship between different driving forces and the urban ecological effects was explored. The results showed that mature cities and the infilling cities experienced vegetation loss while other UEPs and UM levels resulted in increased vegetation growth. In particular, laggard cities and looser UEPs were able to effectively offset the direct vegetation loss caused by urbanization. The UM level had a high driving effect on the urban ecological offset. In the future, the scale and speed of urbanization can be optimized to reasonable levels and the urban ecological restoration should be strengthened to meet the needs of ecological security. This study contributes to explore the effectiveness of the urbanization process and land management.

Resolving spatially complex interactions between hydrodynamics and biogeochemical processing in a large reservoir with metalimnetic oxygen deficits

Deoxygenation in the deep water of stratified lakes and reservoirs due to climate warming and human activities poses a threat to crucial limnetic ecosystem services. Metalimnetic oxygen minima (MOM) typically occurs during the mid to late stages of limnetic stratification. To investigate the mechanism of MOM during stably stratified periods in the Panjiakou Reservoir, northern China, four years of in-situ monitoring was conducted in parallel with longitudinal-vertical 2D modeling. The model simulated the hydrodynamic, water quality, algal, and DO processes in 2017 and 2020, and was calibrated and verified by the measurements. Three scenarios were designed to test the impact of hydrological processes and the high oxygen-consuming sedimentation zones (HOCSZ). We concluded that the stratification and the corresponding advection generated in the metalimnion are the driving forces of MOM in the reservoir, and the limnetic eutrophication-related benthic HOCSZ are the seedbeds of the metalimnetic hypoxia. This unique spatial setting driving the biogeochemical processing and MOM dynamics required a new generation of modelling, incorporating spatial inhomogeneities of sediment characteristics and a sophisticated resolution of hydrodynamics. Metalimnetic horizontal advection, hypolimnetic upwelling currents, sedimentation hot spots and the formation of high oxygen consumption zones became the major initiation processes leading to MOM. The numerical modeling not only represented the occurrence, development, and extinction of MOM but also comprehensively explained the spatial differences in the vertical morphology of MOM and its inter-annual variations. Our studies help to identify management strategies to mitigate the impacts of MOM on aquatic ecological security and drinking water quality, thus supporting the optimization of reservoir regulations.

THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK OF THE GREEN REGIONAL ECONOMY DOCTRINE FORMATION

This article explores the theoretical underpinnings of the green regional economy, a crucial concept within the broader framework of sustainable development, particularly in light of increasing global environmental challenges. The authors delve into the evolution of economic thought regarding the integration of environmental and economic objectives, highlighting the importance of balancing ecological sustainability with regional economic growth. The study identifies key factors and principles that underpin the green economy at the regional level, such as the efficient use of natural resources, the promotion of renewable energy, and the development of eco-friendly technologies. The article emphasizes the need to tailor global green initiatives to the specific needs and characteristics of individual regions, considering factors such as natural resource endowments, industrial structure, and socio-economic conditions. A significant focus is placed on the challenges of fostering environmentally sustainable economic development, with a particular emphasis on policy formulation that promotes ecological security and economic resilience. The article also discusses the role of green innovations, the mobilization of social capital, and regional governance in advancing the green economy. Furthermore, the authors propose a theoretical framework for the development of a green economy doctrine that incorporates key strategic initiatives, such as the transition to a circular economy, the integration of sustainability metrics into regional development plans, and the creation of green jobs. These elements are critical for fostering long-term ecological balance while ensuring economic growth and improving the quality of life at the regional level. The paper concludes with recommendations for further research and practical implementation of the green regional economy doctrine, underscoring the need for interdisciplinary approaches and collaboration between governments, businesses, and civil society to achieve sustainable development goals.

Landscape pattern prediction method based on ANN-CA-Markov coupling model

The simulation and prediction of landscape patterns can provide a reference for the formulation of ecological space security policies and management and control measures. Therefore, it is necessary to use objective and accurate scientific methods to make accurate simulation predictions. In this study, the quantitative prediction of the Markov model is combined with the advantages of the space-time simulation of the CA model, and the artificial neural network (ANN) module is used for calculation and coupling correction. The Kappa coefficient and the FoM (figure of merit) index are used to test the simulation accuracy. Based on this process, the changes of the landscape pattern in Mudanjiang City at three time points in 2000, 2010 and 2020 were analyzed, and the simulation prediction was made based on this. The experimental results show that the CA-Markov model using the ANN module for coupling correction can be tested for accuracy in the study area, and its Kappa coefficient is 0.834 and the FoM index is 0.001. The model meets the requirements of the landscape pattern for the accuracy of simulation and prediction, and the prediction and analysis of the study area is carried out, and the accurate prediction results are obtained.The results of the study were: Looking at the change in landscape pattern over the 20 years from 2000 to 2020, significant changes occurred in the areas of arable land and artificial surface. The total area of arable land decreased by nearly 130 km2, while the area of artificial surface (i.e., built-up land) increased by about 167 km2. The forest area initially decreased and then increased, with an overall increase of approximately 56 km2, while the water and grassland areas first increased and then decreased. In terms of spatial distribution, the changes in agricultural and forest land are mainly concentrated in the central area where urban development is intensive and in the northern forest area. The results of this study are quite important for policy formulation, according to which it was found that human activities, especially urbanization, have led to a decrease in the area of forested land, and therefore the implementation of the natural forest protection policy can lead to a sustained increase in the area of forested land.

Land ecological security evaluation and prediction based on SBM-BP model: a case study of Yangtze River Economic Belt, China

Land ecological security is the foundation for ecological environmental protection and regional sustainable development. Therefore, examining the land ecological security and spatial heterogeneity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) in China can guide effective land ecological protection in this region. Using a driving force-pressure-state-impact-response (DPSIR) index system, a global super-efficiency slacks-based measure (SBM) model, and a backpropagation (BP) neural network model, this study evaluated the land ecological security in 126 YREB prefecture-level cities and then employed spatial correlation analysis to identify the spatial distribution characteristics. It was found that: (1) from 2012 to 2021, the land ecological security in the study area decreased and then increased, with the eastern and western regions being better than the central regions; (2) from 2015 to 2017, the high land ecological security was clustered in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration and the low value was clustered in Yunnan Province, Hubei Province, and the Chongqing Municipality; (3) from 2022 to 2026, the land ecological security in the study area is expected to gradually increase, but in the southwest is expected to remain low. These research results provide a theoretical basis for the evaluation and prediction of land ecological security and practical guidance for land ecological protection in areas with similar natural conditions.

Application and prospect of landscape ecology in territorial spatial planning.

Territorial spatial planning could achieve the integration of various plans, resulting in a unified "multi-plan integration" map. Such planning emphasizes the efficient use of territorial spatial patterns and structures to ensure functional perfection, and serves as the spatial framework for building a modern socialist country, particularly in the areas of ecological security and ecological civilization. The past few decades have seen rapid advances in the development of landscape ecology in China. The core concept of "pattern-process-function" has gained significant progress and been widely applied in the initial phase of territorial spatial planning at various levels. We outlined the advancements in the territorial spatial planning system and the core research theories and technologies in landscape ecology. We discussed the progress and shortcomings of key theories and methods of landscape ecology in practical applications of territorial spatial planning, such as ecological security patterns, pattern and process, and scale effects. We proposed the future application of landscape ecology theories and technologies in territorial spatial planning, including overall ecological effects, scale effects, and regional ecological network optimization. Future developments in landscape ecology, especially research on the "human-place-ecology" coupling based on the latest Big Data and AI technology for sustainable development, will provide robust theoretical and methodological supports for the scientific formulation of territorial spatial planning in China.

Russia’s Foreign Policy Priorities in the Arctic Region Development at Current Stage

The article reviews the features of the processes in the Arctic region in the context of its growing importance in world politics and economics. The Arctic has the richest resources in the world. In the depths of the Arctic there is about a third of all the world’s reserves of natural gas and up to 13% of oil, huge reserves of coal, gold, copper, nickel, tin, platinum, and manganese. The growing dependence of the world economy on energy resources is pushing foreign countries to develop their interests in this region. Russia occupies a unique geopolitical position in the Arctic. The Arctic zone of Russia is singled out as a special object of state policy on the basis of its special national interests in the areas of geopolitics, economics, ecology, science, defense and national security. The development of mutually beneficial international cooperation in the Arctic meets the interests of Russia and its socioeconomic development. International cooperation in the Arctic is greatly influenced by the contradictory trends in modern international relations. As a result of the confrontation unleashed by Western countries against Russia, there was a significant complication of relations within the Arctic community. The Western Arctic states have blocked the development of common approaches to solving the most important issues for the region in the modern Arctic. In these conditions, Russia is building a multi-vector policy in the Arctic, which has brought positive results in attracting friendly states to partner cooperation on the implementation of projects in the Russian Arctic zone.

Research Progress on Ecological Carrying Capacity and Ecological Security, and Its Inspiration on the Forest Ecosystem in the Karst Desertification Control

Social progress and the improvement of living standards are often accompanied by the intensification of ecological crises. The long-term abuse of natural resources has led to the accumulation of ecological liabilities, which in turn seriously hinders economic development. This has prompted all sectors of society to recognize the importance of ecological carrying capacity (ECC) and ecological security (ES). Remarkable progress has been made in karst desertification control (KDC), which has helped reshape the ECC and ES pattern of forests. Currently, the research field of ECC and ES is experiencing rapid development. Further studies in these areas have immeasurable value in promoting regional sustainable development strategies and strengthening ecological civilization construction. The objective of this paper is to provide an overview of the current research status and potential challenges in the field of ECC and ES, with a view to optimizing the program of forest restoration and protection in KDC. This study systematically analyzed 350 relevant studies and found that (1) research on forest ECC and ES has shown a strong growth trend overall, especially after 2017, with a growth rate exceeding 75%; (2) the literature predominantly focuses on the assessment of forest ECC (40.58%) and the enhancement of forest ES (23.42%); and (3) geographically, research findings are heavily concentrated in Asia, representing 95.40% of the total. Notably, China emerges as the primary contributor to research in this field, accounting for a substantial 94.12%. Based on the above analysis, this review summarizes the significant advancements in forest ecosystems, ECC, and ES, while also delving into the key scientific issues that need to be addressed. Furthermore, it offers valuable insights from forest ecosystems in tackling KDC, with the goal of offering guidance and strategic recommendations for future research and practices in managing delicate ecological environments.

Impacts of Land Use Changes on Landscape Patterns and Ecosystem Service Values in Counties (Villages) in Ethnic Regions of China: A Case Study of Jianghua Yao Autonomous County, Hunan Province

This study, using Jianghua Yao Autonomous County in Hunan Province as a case, systematically analyzes the response of ecosystem service value (ESV) to land use and landscape pattern changes by employing landscape-level indices and landscape-type-level indices. The findings provide a reliable basis for scientifically formulating land use planning and ecological protection policies in ethnic regions, thereby promoting regional ecological security and sustainable development. This study reveals that (1) the land use structure in the county underwent significant changes between 2000 and 2020, with grassland and shrubland areas decreasing substantially by 71.66% and 78.41%, respectively, while urban and arable land areas increased significantly by 228.30% and 15.84%, respectively. Particularly under the scenario of prioritizing economic development, these changes led to increased landscape fragmentation and a decline in ecosystem service value (from CNY 296.571 billion in 2020 to CNY 287.959 billion in 2030). (2) In contrast, the scenarios of ecological protection and sustainable development significantly enhanced the region’s ecosystem service value by increasing forest and water area, effectively maintaining the stability of the landscape pattern. These findings provide important evidence for the formulation of scientifically sound land use planning and ecological protection policies, contributing to the dual goals of economic development, tourism growth and ecological protection in Jianghua Yao Autonomous County and similar regions.