Eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean Research Articles

Precipitation‐Induced Reduction in Surface Ocean pCO2: Observations From the Eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean

AbstractDetermining air‐sea CO2 fluxes using pCO2 disequilibrium requires knowing the gas transfer velocity and air‐sea pCO2 difference. Most pCO2 measurements are made from ships, whose uncontaminated seawater intakes are located at >5‐m depth to prevent ingestion of air. However, there could be bias in determinations of CO2 fluxes if there is disagreement between pCO2 measurements at the surface and 5 m. Seawater measurements made at the near surface and 5 m in the eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean show that precipitation can dilute surface seawater salinity and lower the pCO2 and dissolved inorganic carbon and raise pH of the same water, and that these changes in ocean chemistry are largely missed by measurements at 5 m. This finding implies that estimates of ocean CO2 uptake might be underestimated, since rain will lower surface ocean pCO2 in both source and sink regions and, hence, increase uptake in sink regions and decrease outgassing in source regions.

A Combined Stokes Drift Profile under Swell and Wind Sea

AbstractA combined directional Stokes drift profile for swell and wind sea is presented. The profile can be used to calculate the shear under crossing seas and as such is relevant for Langmuir turbulence and Stokes–Coriolis forcing, but also for material advection. The swell is represented as either a monochromatic wave or as a Phillips spectrum, while the wind sea is represented as a Phillips spectrum. The profile is found to compare well against the full directional Stokes drift calculated from the 2D spectrum of ERA-Interim in an open-ocean location in the North Atlantic. The error compared to a Phillips-type unidirectional Stokes drift profile is markedly lower for a combined profile with a monochromatic swell Stokes profile. However, representing the swell as a Phillips-type Stokes drift profile yields even better results. The combined profile relies on integrated wave parameters readily available from wave models and can be calculated at low cost. The global Stokes drift climate is investigated using ERA-Interim reanalysis data with the intention of identifying regions dominated by crossing Stokes drift. We find that the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean probably experiences the greatest degree of crossing Stokes drift, and the entire subtropical band 20°–30°S/N exhibits a significant degree of crossing Stokes drift and swell dominance over the Stokes drift.

Persistence of plastic debris and its colonization by bacterial communities after two decades on the abyssal seafloor

The fate of plastic debris entering the oceans is largely unconstrained. Currently, intensified research is devoted to the abiotic and microbial degradation of plastic floating near the ocean surface for an extended period of time. In contrast, the impacts of environmental conditions in the deep sea on polymer properties and rigidity are virtually unknown. Here, we present unique results of plastic items identified to have been introduced into deep-sea sediments at a water depth of 4150 m in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean more than two decades ago. The results, including optical, spectroscopic, physical and microbial analyses, clearly demonstrate that the bulk polymer materials show no apparent sign of physical or chemical degradation. Solely the polymer surface layers showed reduced hydrophobicity, presumably caused by microbial colonization. The bacterial community present on the plastic items differed significantly (p < 0.1%) from those of the adjacent natural environment by a dominant presence of groups requiring steep redox gradients (Mesorhizobium, Sulfurimonas) and a remarkable decrease in diversity. The establishment of chemical gradients across the polymer surfaces presumably caused these conditions. Our findings suggest that plastic is stable over extended times under deep-sea conditions and that prolonged deposition of polymer items at the seafloor may induce local oxygen depletion at the sediment-water interface.

Deep Equatorial Pacific Ocean Oxygenation and Atmospheric CO2 Over The Last Ice Age

Ventilation of carbon stored in the deep ocean is thought to play an important role in atmospheric CO2 increases associated with Pleistocene deglaciations. The presence of this respired carbon has been recorded by an array of paleoceanographic proxies from various locations across the global ocean. Here we present a new sediment core from the Eastern Equatorial Pacific (EEP) Ocean spanning the last 180,000 years and reconstruct high-resolution 230Th-derived fluxes of 232Th and excess barium, along with redox-sensitive uranium concentrations to examine past variations in dust delivery, export productivity, and bottom-water oxygenation, respectively. Our bottom-water oxygenation record is compared to other similar high-resolution records from across the Pacific and in the Southern Ocean. We suggest that the deep Pacific is a site of respired carbon storage associated with periods of decreased global atmospheric CO2 concentration during the LGM, confirming the conclusions from a wealth of previous studies. However, our study is the first to show a similar relationship beyond the last glacial, extending to at least 70,000 years.

The effects of ocean temperature gradients on bigeye tuna (Thunnus obesus) distribution in the equatorial eastern Pacific Ocean

The water temperature at 100–300 m depth layer impact on bigeye tuna distribution has been studied from data collected by 15 fishery survey vessels, surveying every day, in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean from February to March and June to September 2010. The in situ ocean temperature measurements at four depths (100, 150, 200, and 300 m), satellite data and TAO/TRITON moored buoy data were also augmented in this study. The results reveal stereoscopic temperature factors for the prediction of tuna fishing ground: horizontal temperature gradient (HTG), vertical temperature gradient (VTG) in the 100–300 m layer. Maximal catches were observed where (1) vertically there has a strong subsurface temperature front in the 150–200 m layer, with horizontal temperature gradient up to near 0.020 °C/km; (2) there have vertical temperature gradient between −0.088 and −0.066 °C/m. Meanwhile, the monthly tuna fishery catches decrease with the synchronized reduction of 20 °C isotherm depth in the ocean.

Multidecadal variations in ENSO-Indian summer monsoon relationship at sub-seasonal timescales

Customarily, the strength of the impact of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Indian summer monsoon is evaluated with respect to the seasonal mean rainfall. As the rainfall occurring over the Indian subcontinent experiences strong variations intraseasonally, the impact of ENSO on these intraseasonal fluctuations is often more important for the agribusiness and economy when contrasted with the seasonal mean. The annual cycle of ISM rainfall peaks during July and August months. In this study, we investigate the impact of ENSO on ISM precipitation during July and August. We show that the relationship between ENSO and ISM rainfall during July and August has experienced significant changes at multidecadal timescales. While the impact of ENSO was significantly strong in August and significantly weak in July during 1948–1980, post-1980s August shows a weak ENSO-Monsoon relationship than that in July. We investigate these multidecadal changes in the ENSO-monsoon relationship using 68 years of observational records. ENSO produces strong (weak) upper tropospheric divergence over equatorial eastern Pacific Ocean in August (July) before 1980. A stronger divergence helps Rossby wave within the Pacific-Asian jet cools the upper tropospheric mid-latitude region by modulating the vorticity there. A colder mid-latitude temperature weakens the Indian summer monsoon. Thus, the impact of ENSO on the Indian summer monsoon was weaker (stronger) in July (August) before 1980 and vice versa after the 1980s. Further, we deploy a linear barotropic vorticity model to assess the association between upper tropospheric divergence over the Pacific Ocean region and vorticity (temperature) over the mid-latitude Asian region. A stronger forcing of divergence in the upper tropospheric Pacific region reinforces stronger positive vorticity in mid-latitude Asia resembling the findings above. Our study suggests that these multidecadal fluctuations in the sub-seasonal ENSO-monsoon relationship is linked to the physical changes in the state of the climate and could not be attributed to the stochastic processes. Such insight into the variability in ENSO-monsoon relationship at sub-seasonal timescales would help predictability and decision-making.

Indonesian throughflow controlled the westward extent of the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool during glacial-interglacial intervals

Abstract The tropical atmospheric circulation is strongly influenced by the sea surface temperature (SST) of the warmest region of the world ocean, the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool (IPWP). The effect of recent anomalous Indian Ocean warming on the extent of the IPWP remains uncertain. Past SST records from the tropical Indian Ocean, associated with different temporal boundary conditions, can help shed light on how climate change impacts the IPWP and associated monsoonal processes. Here, we reconstruct the seawater temperature and precipitation changes (from Mg/Ca and δ18O of surface-dwelling planktic foraminifera Globigerinoides ruber) of the last ~184 kyr BP from the westernmost margin of the IPWP. The data is then used to reconstruct the spatial extent and intensity of the IPWP structure as well as its relationship with other regional phenomena. A consistently warmer (>28 °C) central equatorial Pacific Ocean and significantly cooler equatorial western Pacific and the Indian Ocean suggests that the warm pool extent reduced considerably during MIS6 as well as the last glacial interval, leading to a strong La-Nina like condition. The most enriched seawater δ18O (δ18Osw) during MIS6, was in the westernmost IPWP, suggesting weakened precipitation, despite La-Lina like conditions. The westernmost part of the IPWP became warmer than the threshold 28 °C during MIS5e and the early Holocene, suggesting the westward extension of the IPWP. The eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean also warmed considerably during MIS5e, suggesting a weaker Walker Circulation and a stronger El-Nino. The difference in δ18Osw decreased considerably during MIS5e and is attributed to increased precipitation/freshwater runoff in the central equatorial Indian Ocean. The increase in δ18Osw (~1.5‰) between ~55 kyr until the last glacial maximum, in a majority of the Indian Ocean records, suggests progressively weakened precipitation. A majority of the records have a uniform SST anomaly throughout the Holocene. A warmer equatorial Indian Ocean during interglacials suggests a strong modulation of the IPWP extent by the transport of warm water through the Indonesian throughflow region. The large drop in δ18Osw despite the comparable change in SST during the last glacial interval suggests that monsoon forcing has been much stronger in altering the surface hydrography in the Indian Ocean than the central Pacific Ocean.

Postrelease survival of silky sharks (Carcharhinus falciformis) following capture by longline fishing vessels in the equatorial eastern Pacific Ocean

Domestic longline fishing fleets of Costa Rica and Ecuador commonly target and retain sharks. For this study, a handling method recommended by the fishers of those fleets to optimize postrelease survival (PRS) was evaluated. The PRS rate estimated from Kaplan–Meier survival analyses was 94.3% (95% CI: 87.0%–100%) for 38 silky sharks, Carcharhinus falciformis (Muller and Henle, 1839), captured by longline fishing vessels of Costa Rica and Ecuador in the equatorial eastern Pacific Ocean following tagging and release with pop-up satellite archival tags (PSATs). The 36 C. falciformis survivors were at liberty with PSATs attached for an average of 100.6 d (range: 5–180 d) in an area of relatively high fish-aggregating device (FAD) density, and during that period none of those sharks became entangled in netting suspended beneath FADs. Average linear displacements for 29 C. falciformis at liberty for >30 d was 578.8 nautical miles (range: 81.7–1725.0 nautical miles) indicating relatively widespread dispersion from release locations.

Dynamics on Seasonal Variability of EKE Associated with TIWs in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean

AbstractEnergetic mesoscale eddies (vortices) associated with tropical instability waves (TIWs) exist in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean between 0° and 8°N. This study examines the seasonal variations in eddy kinetic energy (EKE) of TIWs using in situ and satellite observations and elucidates the underlying dynamical mechanisms. The results reveal that the cross-equatorial southerly winds are key to sustaining the high-level EKE (up to ~600 cm2 s−2) from boreal summer to winter in 0°–6°N and 155°–110°W. Because of the β effect and the surface wind divergence, the southerly winds generate anticyclonic wind curls north of the equator that intensify the sea surface temperature (SST) fronts and force the downwelling annual Rossby waves. The resultant sea surface height ridge induces strong horizontal current shears between 0° and 5°N. The intensified current shears and SST fronts generate EKE via barotropic and baroclinic instabilities, respectively. To the extent that the seasonal migration of a northward-displaced intertropical convergence zone intensifies the southerly winds north of, but not south of, the equator, our study suggests that the climatic asymmetry is important for the oceanic eddy generations in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean—a result with important implications for coupled climate simulation/prediction.

The Middle to Late Miocene “Carbonate Crash” in the Equatorial Indian Ocean

AbstractWe integrate benthic foraminiferal stable isotopes, X‐ray fluorescence elemental ratios, and carbonate accumulation estimates in a continuous sedimentary archive recovered at International Ocean Discovery Program Site U1443 (Ninetyeast Ridge, Indian Ocean) to reconstruct changes in carbonate deposition and climate evolution over the interval 13.5 to 8.2 million years ago. Declining carbonate percentages together with a marked decrease in carbonate accumulation rates after ~13.2 Ma signal the onset of a prolonged episode of reduced carbonate deposition. This extended phase, which lasted until ~8.7 Ma, coincides with the middle to late Miocene carbonate crash, originally identified in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean and the Caribbean Sea. Interocean comparison reveals that intense carbonate impoverishment at Site U1443 (~11.5 to ~10 Ma) coincides with prolonged episodes of reduced carbonate deposition in all major tropical ocean basins. This implies that global changes in the intensity of chemical weathering and riverine input of calcium and carbonate ions into the ocean reservoir were instrumental in driving the carbonate crash. An increase in U1443 Log (Ba/Ti) together with a change in sediment color from red to green indicate a rise in organic export flux to the sea floor after ~11.2 Ma, which predates the global onset of the biogenic bloom. This early rise in export flux from biological production may have been linked to increased advection of nutrients and intensification of upper ocean mixing, associated with changes in the seasonality and intensity of the Indian Monsoon.

Weak El Niño and Winter Climate in the Mid- to High Latitudes of Eurasia

AbstractAccording to the sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) intensity in the Niño-3.4 region and the east–west gradient across the Pacific, three types of El Niño are identified in this work. An event with larger than average intensity is defined as a strong El Niño, all others are considered to be weak events. Almost all strong El Niños are concurrent with a large gradient, which is featured by negative SSTAs in the western Pacific and positive SSTAs in the equatorial eastern Pacific (EP) and Indian Ocean (IO). According to the east–west gradient, the weak events can be subdivided into gradient-weak (GW) El Niño and equatorial-weak (EW) El Niño. The GW El Niño characterizes a great east–west gradient without a significant IO SSTA. In contrast, the EW event features a positive SSTA over the tropical IO and EP. The impact of GW El Niño on the North Atlantic–Eurasia continent (NA–Eurasia) displays a negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)-like atmospheric anomaly, resulting in a drier and cooler-than-normal winter over Eurasia. Observational and numerical evidence indicate that the prolonged subtropical jet from the North Pacific to NA acts as a waveguide that captures the planetary Rossby waves generated by the GW El Niño. This waveguide favors the propagation of the perturbations into the downstream regions, which would affect the NA–Eurasian climate. However, the EW El Niño is accompanied by a relatively weak subtropical jet that cannot impact the NA–Eurasian climate significantly. For the strong El Niño, the absence of the NAO signal can be attributed to the counteracting of the teleconnections triggered by the Pacific and the tropical IO.

Bioproductivity Changes at Low and High Latitudes of the Pacific as a Response to Reorganization of Oceanic Circulation during Termination I

Our new and previously published data on sea surface bioproductivity changes from different parts of the Pacific Ocean in the Northern Hemisphere were analyzed in relation to meridional overturning circulation during the last deglaciation. Synchronous episodes of upwelling intensification in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific and Southern Ocean cores indicate that millennial-scale sea-surface bioproductivity changes reflect climatic teleconnection between these two regions by means of “oceanic tunnelling.” In the North Pacific, postglacial bioproductivity changes are in line with climate oscillations recorded in the North Greenland Ice Core and transferred to the North Pacific via the atmospheric bridge. However, in the western Bering Sea, breakdown of stratification, CO2 release into the atmosphere and sea-surface bioproductivity rise occurred immediately at the onset of Heinrich I (~17.5–17.0 kyr BP). This might result from upwelling of southern-sourced deep water. The upwelling has been developed in the Subarctic Pacific approximately 1000–1500 years later than in the Southern Ocean. This lag likely reflects the duration of signal transferring from the high latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere to the North Pacific.

Micro-CT 3D imaging reveals the internal structure of three abyssal xenophyophore species (Protista, Foraminifera) from the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean

Xenophyophores, giant foraminifera, are distinctive members of the deep-sea megafauna that accumulate large masses of waste material (‘stercomare’) within their agglutinated tests, and organise their cells as branching strands enclosed within an organic tube (the ‘granellare’ system). Using non-destructive, three-dimensional micro-CT imaging we explored these structures in three species from the abyssal eastern Pacific Clarion-Clipperton Zone (CCZ). In Psammina spp., the low-density stercomare occupied much of the test interior, while high-density granellare strands branched throughout the structure. In Galatheammina sp. the test comprised a mixture of stercomare and test particles, with the granellare forming a web-like system of filaments. The granellare occupied 2.8–5.1%, the stercomare 72.4–82.4%, and test particles 14.7–22.5%, of the ‘body’ volume in the two Psammina species. The corresponding proportions in Galatheammina sp. were 1.7% (granellare), 39.5% (stercomare) and 58.8% (test particles). These data provide a potential basis for estimating the contribution of xenophyophores to seafloor biomass in areas like the CCZ where they dominate the megafauna. As in most xenophyophore species, the granellare hosted huge numbers of tiny barite crystals. We speculate that these help to support the extensive granellare system, as well as reducing the cell volume and lightening the metabolic burden required to maintain it.

TAXONOMY AND EVOLUTIONARY RELATIONSHIPS WITHIN THE CALCAREOUS NANNOFOSSIL GENUS ERICSONIA IN THE UPPER PALEOCENE

Detailed distribution ranges of the genus Ericsonia were obtained in the upper Paleocene interval from two deep-sea sections, ODP Site 1262 (South Eastern Atlantic Ocean) and Site 1215 (Eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean), and were complemented with morphometric analyses with the purpose of clarifying the taxonomy of the Paleocene species ascribed to genus. The analysis on a high-resolution sampling set at ODP Site 1262 permitted to add information about the evolutionary relationship among the taxa included in the Ericsonia lineage, whose evolutionary emergence characterize the Paleocene nannofossil assemblages. Two taxonomic units have been validated in the Paleocene, Ericsonia subpertusa and Ericsonia robusta and they turned out to not have any evolutionary link. E. robusta shows substantial morphologic variability at cross-polarized light resulting in two endmember morphotypes, E. robusta morphotype A and E. robusta morphotype B. When observed at S.E.M., the two morphotypes have placoliths with a similar structure, therefore they document intra-specific variability. This is corroborated by the presence of specimens with intermediate morphologic features between the two endmembers, throughout the distribution range. E. robusta increases in abundance concomitantly with the sharp decline of E. subpertusa in mid Chron C25n. Subsequently, the highest occurrence of E. robusta morphotype B provides a distinct biohorizon coeval to the general decline of E. robusta within the upper Paleocene nannofossil assemblage.

Recycled iron fuels new production in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean

Nitrate persists in eastern equatorial Pacific surface waters because phytoplankton growth fueled by nitrate (new production) is limited by iron. Nitrate isotope measurements provide a new constraint on the controls of surface nitrate concentration in this region and allow us to quantify the degree and temporal variability of nitrate consumption. Here we show that nitrate consumption in these waters cannot be fueled solely by the external supply of iron to these waters, which occurs by upwelling and dust deposition. Rather, a substantial fraction of nitrate consumption must be supported by the recycling of iron within surface waters. Given plausible iron recycling rates, seasonal variability in nitrate concentration on and off the equator can be explained by upwelling rate, with slower upwelling allowing for more cycles of iron regeneration and uptake. The efficiency of iron recycling in the equatorial Pacific implies the evolution of ecosystem-level mechanisms for retaining iron in surface ocean settings where it limits productivity.

Distribution of Recent Benthic Foraminifera off Western Costa Rica in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean

Benthic foraminifera provide essential information for paleobathymetric reconstructions. However, the modern distribution of benthic foraminifera, especially at depths below 1000 meters below sea level (mbsl), is still obscure in the offshore regions near Central and South America. To characterize the bathymetric scale in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, we examined the depth distribution of benthic foraminifera using piston core samples taken off the coast of Costa Rica. Foraminiferal assemblages vary according to water depth: 1) U1 (mainly composed of Ammonia beccarii, Cancris sagra, Elphidium tumidum, Hanzawaia concentrica, Pseudononion basispinata, and Planulina exorna) represent inner shelf faunas (shallower than 50 mbsl). 2) U2 (mainly composed of Ammobaculites foliaceus, Bolivina striatula, Cassidulina minuta, Hanzawaia concentrica, Uvigerina incilis, Bulimina denudata, and Cancris sagra) is correlated with mid-shelf depth assemblages, from 50 to 100 mbsl. 3) U3 (mainly composed of Uvigerina incilis, Hanzawaia concentrica, Angulogerina semitrigona, Bolivina acuminata, Bolivina bicostata, and Cibicorbis inflatus) is assigned to outer shelf assemblages from 100 to 200 mbsl. 4) U4 (mainly composed of Bolivina humilis, Bolivina seminuda, Bolivina subadvena, Cassidulina tumida, Epistominella obesa, Angulogerina carinata, and Cibicorbis inflatus) is the upper bathyal faunas (200–600 mbsl). 5) U5 (mainly composed of Brizalina argentea, Uvigerina peregrina, Uvigerina auberiana, Brizalina seminuda, Bulimina striata, Epistominella smithi and Globocassidulina subglobosa) is the mid-bathyal faunas (600–1000 mbsl). 6) U6 (mainly composed of Uvigerina auberiana, Uvigerina peregrina, Brizalina argentea, Bulimina mexicana, Cassidulina carinata, Epistominella smithi, and Lenticulina cushmani) represents the lower bathyal assemblage (1000–2000 mbsl). 7) U7 (mainly composed of Uvigerina auberiana, Brizalina argentea, and Eubuliminella tenuata) represent upper abyssal faunas (2000–3000 mbsl). 8) U8 (mainly composed of Glomospira sp. A, Lagenammina arenulata, Chilostomella oolina, Hoeglundina elegans, Melonis barleeanum, Nonion affine, Oridorsalis umbonatus, Pullenia bulloides, and Uvigerina proboscidea) is characterized by deep-water cosmopolitan faunas (deeper than 3000 mbsl). On the basis of a comparison with several environmental parameters, dissolved oxygen concentrations are likely to be the most effective factor controlling foraminiferal depth distributions in the eastern equatorial Pacific especially below the oxygen minimum zone (OMZ). Around OMZ, nitrate concentration also might be related with the benthic assemblage due to the nitrate respiration.

A diatom record of CO2 decline since the late Miocene

Extratropical sea surface temperature records from alkenones record a dramatic cooling of up to 17 °C over the last ∼14 Ma, but the relationship between this cooling and greenhouse gas forcing has been elusive due to sparse and contrasting reconstructions of atmospheric CO2 for the time period. Alkenone carbon isotopic fractionation during photosynthesis has previously been used to estimate changes in pCO2 over this interval, but is complicated by significant changes in cell size of the alkenone-producing coccolithophorids over this time period. In this study, we reconstruct carbon isotopic fractionation during photosynthesis (εp) using organic compounds trapped within the frustules of pennate diatoms in sediments from the Eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean at Ocean Drilling Program Site 846 over the last ∼13 Ma. Physical separation of pennate diatoms prior to measuring carbon isotopic fractionation enables us to obtain a record with constant cell geometry, eliminating this factor of uncertainty in our pCO2 reconstruction. In the past ∼11 Ma, εp declines from 15.5 to 10.3‰. Using the classic diffusive model and taking into account variations in opal content, alkenone concentration and coccolith Sr/Ca as indicators of past productivity and growth rate, and sea surface temperature records from the site, we estimate a decline in pCO2 from 454 (+/−41) to 250 (+/−15) ppmv between ∼11 and 6 Ma. Models accounting for changing the significance of active carbon uptake for photosynthesis, which likely produce more accurate CO2 estimates, suggest a significant larger pCO2 decline of up to twice that shown by the classic diffusive model (in average from 794 (+/−233) ppmv at ∼11 Ma to 288 (+/−25) ppmv at ∼6 Ma, considering growth rates varying between 0.5 and 1.7 day−1). Large uncertainties in the pCO2 estimated between ∼8 and 11 Ma using the active uptake model are related to the growth rate used for calculations. Together, these results suggest CO2 forcing for this period of steep decline in temperatures.

The 2015/16 “Super” El Niño Event and Its Climatic Impact

Climatic monitoring shows that 2015 has been the warmest year around the globe since the first modern observation was conducted in1880. Asia has witnessed its average land surface temperature reaching the highest level since 1901; China has seen the warmest year since 1951 when it had completed the meteorological records; the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere exceeds 400[Formula: see text]ppm; the ocean thermal capacity sets a new record high; and the global sea surface temperature has also been the highest since 1870. Against the backdrop of global warming, the incidence of strong El Niño and the duration of El Niño in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean have both significantly increased, while the time interval between El Niño and La Niña has shortened. The 2015/16 “Super” El Niño event exceeds previous two “Super” El Niño events in several indexes (e.g. durative event and peak intensity), although the 1982/83 El Niño event keeps the record in terms of the intensity of atmospheric response to the ocean. Influenced by the 2015/16 “Super” El Niño event, the general atmospheric circulation was significantly abnormal with extreme climate events frequently occurring in many places worldwide.

The role of South Pacific atmospheric variability in the development of different types of ENSO

AbstractRecent advances in tropical Pacific climate variability have focused on understanding the development of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, specifically the types or “flavors” of ENSO (i.e., central versus eastern Pacific events). While precursors to ENSO events exist, distinguishing the particular flavor of the expected ENSO event remains unresolved. This study offers a new look at ENSO predictability using South Pacific atmospheric variability during austral winter as an indicator. The positive phase of the leading mode of South Pacific sea level pressure variability, which we term the South Pacific Oscillation (SPO), exhibits a meridional dipole with with a(n) (anti)cyclonic anomaly dominating the subtropics (extratropics/high latitudes). Once energized, the cyclonic anomalies in the subtropical node of the SPO weaken the southeasterly trade winds and promote the charging of the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, giving rise to eastern Pacific ENSO events. Indeed, the type of ENSO event can be determined accurately using only the magnitude and phase of the SPO during austral winter as a predictor (17 out of 23 cases). The SPO may also play a role in explaining the asymmetry of warm and cold events. Collectively, our findings present a new perspective on ENSO‐South Pacific interactions that can advance overall understanding of the ENSO system and enhance its predictability across multiple timescales.

La Niña–like Mean-State Response to Global Warming and Potential Oceanic Roles

Abstract The majority of the models that participated in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project global warming experiments warm faster in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean than in the west. GFDL-ESM2M is an exception among the state-of-the-art global climate models in that the equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) in the west warms faster than in the east, and the Walker circulation strengthens in response to warming. This study shows that this “La Niña–like” trend simulated by GFDL-ESM2M could be a physically consistent response to warming, and that the forced response could have been detectable since the late twentieth century. Two additional models are examined: GFDL-ESM2G, which differs from GFDL-ESM2M only in the oceanic components, warms without a clear zonal SST gradient; and HadGEM2-CC exhibits a warming pattern that resembles the multimodel mean. A fundamental observed constraint between the amplitude of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the mean-state zonal SST gradient is reproduced well by GFDL-ESM2M but not by the other two models, which display substantially weaker ENSO nonlinearity than is observed. Under this constraint, the weakening nonlinear ENSO amplitude in GFDL-ESM2M rectifies the mean state to be La Niña–like. GFDL-ESM2M exhibits more realistic equatorial thermal stratification than GFDL-ESM2G, which appears to be the most important difference for the ENSO nonlinearity. On longer time scales, the weaker polar amplification in GFDL-ESM2M may also explain the origin of the colder equatorial upwelling water, which could in turn weaken the ENSO amplitude.