East Asian Subtropical Jet Research Articles

Intra-Seasonal Features of Winter Extreme Cold Events in Northeast–North China and Synergistic Effects of Circulation Systems in Mid-High Latitude

Based on the daily minimum air temperature (Tmin) data from the China Meteorological Data Network and the NCEP/DOE reanalysis data, the intra-seasonal circulation characteristics and evolution of extreme cold events (ECEs) in Northeast–North China (NE-N) during the winter of 1979–2018 are explored, and the synergistic effects of key circulation systems in the mid-high latitude on ECEs are discussed. The results show that: (1) the winter daily Tmin in the NE-N region presents a significant low-frequency period of 10–30 d; during the cooling phases, a pair of cyclone–anticyclone in the lower troposphere moves southeastward, accompanying the intensifying Siberian High, and leads to the abnormal northerly; the developing wave trains in the middle troposphere result in enhancing and maintaining cold air; furthermore, the situation of the upper tropospheric jet weakening in the north and strengthening in the south is favorable for cold air to move southward and accumulate in the NE-N region. (2) There are two wave trains in the Eurasian at 200 hPa level. The north one moves southeastward through the Ural Mountains to the coast of East Asia, with the upstream wave activity flux dispersing to NE-N region, causing the northeast cold vortex to develop. The south one with relatively weak intensity disperses the wave flux northward, and enhances the cold vortex. (3) The key circulation systems of ECEs are the Siberian High, the Ural Mountain Blocking High, the Northeast Cold Vortex, and the East Asian Subtropical Jet. The Ural Mountains Blocking High leads four phases earlier than low temperature, and the rest of the systems are basically in phase with low temperature. The synergistic effect of circulation systems will lead to extended-range cold in the NE-N region.

Interannual relationship between displacement and intensity of East Asian jet stream and haze over eastern China in winter

A recent case study indicated that the weakening of the East Asian subtropical jet was an important cause of the severe haze in North China in the winter of 2015. However, the interannual relationship between two key features, the displacement and the intensity of the East Asian jet stream (EAJS) and the haze days over eastern China (HDEC), remains unclear. Observed data, ERA-Interim reanalysis, and Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble Numerical Simulation(CESM-LENS) were used to investigate the interannual relationship between the EAJS and HDEC during the winter season from 1980 to 2017 and its possible associated atmospheric mechanisms. The results show that the northward movement of the EAJS is conducive to more HDEC by weakening synoptic-scale transient eddy activities (STEA) and baroclinicity, forming an upper-level anticyclonic anomaly over eastern China (EC). The local meteorological conditions (e.g., stronger temperature inversion potential, higher relative humidity, descending motion) are favorable for the accumulation of HDEC, showing consistent variations in more haze in the entire region of EC. The southward movement of the EAJS has the opposite effect. The strong East Asian subtropical jet (weak polar-front jet) could result in the distribution of the meridional dipole with less haze in north EC and more haze in south EC. The mean flow loses energy to the STEA over north EC and increases the baroclinicity, which is favorable for dispersing HDEC. However, the configuration of upper-level cyclonic and low-level southwest wind anomalies that appeared in south EC weakened the STEA, which favored the accumulation of HDEC. The observed results were further verified by CESM-LENS.

Climatic factors contributing to interannual and interdecadal variations in the meridional displacement of the East Asian jet stream in boreal winter

We employ the fifth generation of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis to investigate the leading mode of the East Asian zonal wind and the contribution of associated climatic factors in boreal winter during 1979–2020. The dominant mode, accounting for 46% of the explained variance, indicates that the East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ) and East Asian polar frontal jet (EAPJ) are meridionally displaced in opposite directions. The corresponding first principal component (PC1) shows clear interannual and interdecadal variations, with a regime shift in the year 1997. The dominant mode is significantly related to the Niño3.4 sea surface temperature (SST), the Barents–Kara Seas (BKS) sea ice concentration (SIC), the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the Tibetan Plateau (TP) surface air temperature (SAT) on interannual and interdecadal timescales. Multiple linear regression with these variables reproduces PC1 well. The interdecadal variation of PC1 is dominated by the BKS SIC and Niño3.4 SST. The Niño3.4 SST explains more than half of the variance of PC1 on an interannual time scale, which is more than all of the other factors combined. The El Niño phase and BKS SIC are associated with the distance between the EASJ axis (EASJA) and the EAPJ axis (EAPJA). The AO and TP SAT may influence the meridional migration of the EASJA and EAPJA, respectively. The distance between the EASJA and EAPJA also depends on the configuration of the southern Asian cyclone and Siberian anticyclone.

Remote Control of Sea Surface Temperature on the Variability of Tropical Cyclone Activity Affecting Vietnam’s Coastline

AbstractThis study examines the teleconnection between sea surface temperature (SST) in different ocean regions and tropical cyclone (TC) activity affecting Vietnam’s coastal region. Using spatial correlation and principal component analyses, it is found that the variability of TCs affecting Vietnam during 1982–2018 is remotely connected with SST in the Indian Ocean, the southwestern Pacific Ocean, and the northern Philippine Sea. Among the three regions, SST in the northern Philippine Sea displays the most significant inverse relationship with TC activity in the South China Sea (SCS), with lower June–November TC accumulated energy (ACE) for warmer northern Philippine Sea SST. Further analyses of large-scale atmospheric circulations show that this teleconnection between the northern Philippine Sea SST and TC activity in the SCS is linked to the East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ). Principal component analyses of the 200-hPa zonal wind associated with EASJ capture indeed a strong relationship between the second principal component, which characterizes the EASJ intensity, and ACE. Specifically, higher EASJ intensity corresponding to colder northern Philippine Sea SST would enhance large-scale ascending motion and low-level cyclonic anomalies in the SCS, which are favorable for TC formation and result in an overall increased ACE. Examination of the correlation between this second principal component and the northern Philippine Sea SST confirms that this correlation is statistically significant at a 95% confidence level. In this regard, these results support the Pacific–Japan teleconnection between the northern Philippine Sea SST and TC activity in the SCS.

Influence of Tibetan Plateau autumn snow cover on interannual variations in spring precipitation over southern China

Using observational data from 1979–2015 and a linear baroclinic model (LBM), the present study examined the impact of autumn snow cover (ASC) over the western Tibetan Plateau (WTP) on the subsequent spring precipitation over southern China (SPSC). Focus was placed on the interannual time scale of the snow-precipitation relationship. The ASC over the WTP is positively correlated with the SPSC, and this snow-precipitation relationship is independent of sea surface temperature anomalies over the tropical Indo-Pacific regions. When the ASC over the WTP is more extensive than normal, in the following spring, anomalous southerly winds over eastern China occur and transport water vapor northward from the tropical ocean to the interior of the continent, which is favorable for more SPSC. Further analysis of the energy budget shows that the anomalous ASC over the WTP persists to the following spring because of local positive snow-air feedback. Higher-than-normal ASC over the WTP can cool the above atmosphere and is associated with pronounced negative geopotential height anomalies that dominate in the East Asian-western North Pacific region. These negative height anomalies lead to a weakened and northward-shifted spring East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ). The changes in the spring EASJ lead to divergent anomalies at the upper level over the upstream as well as the central areas of the EASJ; therefore, anomalous low-level convergence and ascent motion dominate over coastal East Asia and in nearby regions, providing a favorable environment for positive SPSC anomalies.

Frequency Associations between East Asian Jet Streams and the Temperature over the Barents–Kara Sea Region/Arctic Oscillation in Winter

The frequency associations between jet streams over East Asia and the Arctic key temperature at 2 m (AKT2m) in the Barents–Kara Sea region (40°–75° E, 66°–82° N) and the Arctic Oscillation in winter are investigated using continuous wavelet transform, cross-wavelet transform, and wavelet coherence. The cross-wavelet transforms between the AKT2m/Arctic Oscillation and the East Asian polar front jet stream (EAPJ) suggest that the EAPJ is closely related to the AKT2m and Arctic Oscillation on an interannual (3–5-year band) timescale, but the variation in the phase angle denotes a complex frequency connection between the EAPJ and Arctic Oscillation. The squared wavelet coherence suggests that weakening of the EAPJ is associated with the rise in AKT2m during the period of abrupt climate change in East Asia. The EAPJ contains more forced components from the Arctic than the East Asian subtropical jet stream. By comparison, the relationship between AKT2m and the EAPJ is closer than that between the Arctic Oscillation and EAPJ, especially during the period of abrupt climate change in East Asia. This suggests that the EAPJ serves as a bridge for Arctic warming to affect the weather and climate over East Asia in winter. By contrast, the Arctic Oscillation does not play an important part, although it also contains information about the Arctic.

Synergistic Effects of Midlatitude Atmospheric Upstream Disturbances and Oceanic Subtropical Front Intensity Variability on Western Pacific Jet Stream in Winter

AbstractIn winter, the western Pacific jet stream (WPJS) is located at the downstream of East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ) and East Asian polar front jet (EAPJ). It can be affected by sea surface temperature (SST) and has great impact on precipitation along the North American coast. Synergistic effects of midlatitude atmospheric upstream disturbances and oceanic subtropical front intensity variability on WPJS in winter are investigated in both observation and model experiments. It reveals that the strength and location of WPJS are determined by the configuration of atmospheric upstream disturbances and subtropical frontal zone (STFZ) intensity variability that exist concurrently. During the strong atmospheric upstream disturbances years, the WPJS is anchored at about 25–45°N, and its strength is enhanced (abated) by the intensified (weakened) STFZ. However, when the atmospheric upstream disturbances are weak, the intensity of STFZ changes the location of WPJS. An intensified (weakened) STFZ makes WPJS move southward (northward). Further studies show that strong atmospheric disturbances induce a wide and deep atmospheric baroclinicity anomaly zone, which makes the lower atmosphere obtain baroclinic energy from STFZ. Accordingly, the WPJS is anchored just the north of STFZ. At this time, the intensified (weakened) STFZ just increases (decreases) the upward baroclinic energy at the same position and thus the WPJS. However, with the weakened atmospheric upstream disturbances, the intensified (weakened) STFZ corresponds to an overhead narrow atmospheric baroclinicity anomaly zone, thus leading to the southward (northward) movements of upward baroclinic energy and the WPJS.

Contributions of Different Combinations of the IPO and AMO to the Concurrent Variations of Summer East Asian Jets

ABSTRACTHuang et al. recently reported that opposite phases of the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) and the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) can affect the shift of the East Asian polar front jet (EAPJ) and the East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ) in the boreal winter. To give a full image of the relationship among the IPO, AMO, and concurrent variation of jets throughout the whole year, this study investigates the changes in summer jets response to the combinations of the IPO and AMO, and mostly focuses on the quantitative analysis in the role of the IPO and AMO. Both of the diagnostic analysis and atmospheric model simulations confirm that combinations of the negative phase of the IPO (“−IPO”) and the positive phase of the AMO (“+AMO”) can significantly enhance the EAPJ and reduce the EASJ in the summer, via the meridional temperature gradient and the Eady growth rate, and vice versa in the “+IPO −AMO” combination. The reanalysis data show that this relationship is particularly evident between the periods of 1999–2014 and 1979–98. Based on the simulations, the multilinear regression has indicated that −IPO plays a more important role than +AMO, particularly for the reduced EASJ. We have further revealed two pathways of the stationary Rossby wave activity anomaly, eastward from the North Atlantic to East Asia along 60°N and westward from the North Pacific to East Asia along 40°N. The two activities are associated with anomalous anticyclone along the active regions between EAPJ and EASJ, and therefore affect the jet variations.

The East Asian Subtropical Jet Stream and Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

AbstractAtlantic tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause significant societal and economic impacts, as 2019's Dorian serves to remind us of these storms' destructiveness. Decades of effort to understand and predict Atlantic TC activity have improved seasonal forecast skill, but large uncertainties still remain, in part due to an incomplete understanding of the drivers of TC variability. Here we identify an association between the East Asian Subtropical Jet Stream (EASJ) during July–October and the frequency of Atlantic TCs (wind speed ≥34 knot) and hurricanes (wind speed ≥64 knot) during August–November based on observations for 1980–2018. This strong association is tied to the impacts of EASJ on a stationary Rossby wave train emanating from East Asia and the tropical Pacific to the North Atlantic, leading to changes in vertical wind shear in the Atlantic Main Development Region (80–20°W, 10–20°N).

Influence of wintertime surface sensible heat flux variability over the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau on the East Asian winter monsoon

Analyses of in situ and reanalysis output are performed to examine linkages between surface sensible heat fluxes over the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau (CETP) and indices of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and wintertime near-surface air temperatures over China. The results demonstrate that the sensible heat fluxes over CETP exhibit substantial decadal variability with positive, negative and positive phase during 1980–1987, 1988–2002 and 2003–2014, respectively. This decadal variability exhibits statistically significant associations with sub-components of EAWM and surface temperature anomalies over eastern China. The recovery of decadal change in wintertime sensible heat fluxes from negative to positive phase over CETP over the past decade (since 2003) has been associated with intensification and northward displacement of the East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ), enhanced and westward displacement of East Asian trough and strengthening of the Siberian High. Such processes are associated with the strengthening of EAWM, as well as cold air advection from high latitudes towards the south. Increased wintertime sensible heat fluxes over CETP is associated with markedly changes in the meridional temperature gradient that in term intensifies upper-level zone flow in the EASJ region, which provides a key physical factor linking the anomalies of sensible heat fluxes and EAWM.

Reexamining the Mechanisms of East Asian Summer Monsoon Changes in Response to Non–East Asian Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing

AbstractThis study examines the mechanisms by which the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) changes in response to non–East Asian (NEA) anthropogenic aerosol forcing by distinguishing the fast direct atmospheric response and slow ocean-mediated response to forcing using a global aerosol–climate coupled model. The results show that NEA aerosol forcing significantly exacerbates the weakening of the EASM due to local aerosol forcing. The fast response is dominant in the weakening of the EASM and an anomalous precipitation pattern over eastern China resembling the “southern flood and northern drought” pattern in the total response to NEA aerosol forcing. Changes in upper-tropospheric temperature caused by the fast response play a major role in the impact of NEA aerosol forcing on the EASM. Anomalous cooling occurs during summer in the upper troposphere (at ~40°N) over East Asia caused by the fast response. This is due to the combined effects of strong eastward cold advection in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes caused by increased aerosol loading in Europe and the resulting change in local meridional heat transport in East Asia. Subsequently, the zonal wind speed changes on either side of the anomalous cooling, and the East Asian subtropical jet shifts equatorward, thereby weakening the EASM. The changes in atmospheric temperature and the local Hadley cell caused by the slow response to NEA aerosol forcing are conducive to strengthening the southwesterly winds over eastern China. Our study suggests the importance of NEA aerosol forcing in driving changes in the EASM on a fast time scale.

Heavy Rainfall Events in Southern China Associated with Tropical Cyclones in the Bay of Bengal: A Case Study

We use a case study to show that a continuous heavy rainfall process in southern China was closely related to tropical cyclone activity in the Bay of Bengal. The continuous heavy rainfall that occurred in southern China on 11–13 May 2002 can be considered as two different processes. The first process, referred to as a predecessor rain event, occurred over southwestern China before landfall of the tropical cyclone. The second process occurred after dissipation of the tropical cyclone when its remnant caused heavy rainfall that expanded from southwestern China to the middle to lower reaches of the Yangtze–Huaihe river basin. Both of the heavy rainfall processes were closely related to the transport of warm, moist air associated with a tropical cyclone originating over the Bay of Bengal, but the mechanisms in the two processes were quite different. Low-level orographic forcing was the main contributor to the predecessor rain event, whereas baroclinic frontogenesis induced by thermal advection was the main contributor to the tropical cyclone remnant event. Both heavy rainfall events occurred beneath the equatorial entrance of the upper level East Asian subtropical jet.

The Winter Concurrent Meridional Shift of the East Asian Jet Streams and the Associated Thermal Conditions

Abstract In this study, the concurrent meridional shift of the East Asian polar-front jet (EAPJ) and the East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ) and the associated thermal conditions have been investigated. The concurrent meridional shift is dominantly characterized by an out-of-phase shift of the two jets, as an equatorward shift of the EAPJ and a poleward shift of the EASJ, and vice versa. This shift is linked with the dipole surface air temperature (SAT) anomaly over the Eurasian continent and a La Niña–like sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly. Associated with the dipole SAT anomaly, the meridional temperature gradient (MTG) anomaly exhibits a tripole pattern from low to high latitudes over the Eurasian continent, as well as an enhanced maximum eddy growth rate and an anomalous divergence of Eliassen–Palm flux (E-P flux) over the regions between the EAPJ and EASJ. Additionally, the synoptic-scale transient eddy activities (STEA) significantly decrease over the high latitudes and enhance between the EAPJ and EASJ. All the anomalies would benefit the equatorward and poleward shift of the EAPJ and EASJ, respectively. The MTG, E-P flux and STEA anomalies are also indicated in that associated with the Niña-like SST anomaly. Particularly, the variations are evident in low latitudes. The pathway of the stationary Rossby wave activity flux anomalies shows an eastward Rossby wave packet propagation along the southern portion of the EAPJ is associated with the SAT anomaly and that along the northern portion of the EASJ is associated with the SST anomaly. The relative contributions of the two thermal conditions have emphasized the role of the dipole SAT anomaly, based on multilinear regression.

On Relationships between Nonrecurving Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones, the Madden–Julian Oscillation, and the East Asian Subtropical Jet

Abstract A 200-hPa zonal momentum budget is performed to examine the role that western North Pacific tropical cyclones (TCs) play in helping to organize intraseasonal extratropical circulation anomalies that occur with the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO). Zonal wind is linearly decomposed into components that occur on MJO time scales (i.e., 20–100-day periods), as well as those that occur with lower and higher frequency. Dates during Northern Hemisphere fall that feature nonrecurving TCs within a search radius centered on a South China Sea grid point when the MJO is convectively active over the Maritime Continent and west Pacific warm pool are used to generate composites of relevant budget terms. These composites are then compared to others that are based on the full list of dates that feature a convectively active MJO in the same location during NH fall without regard for TC presence. Composite results highlight the primary momentum sources that guide the evolution of the NH extratropical zonal wind and associated mass field in each event set. TCs help to accelerate the East Asian subtropical jet that evolves with the MJO by modulating the high-frequency subtropical circulation over Southeast Asia. The phasing of this circulation with its underlying MJO time-scale component enables it to transfer momentum to the emerging subtropical jet. This momentum is integrated into the more slowly evolving flow and carried forward by other processes, which leads to the development of a westerly momentum surge along the subtropical jet that spans the length of the North Pacific Ocean.

Contributions of Different Combinations of the IPO and AMO to Recent Changes in Winter East Asian Jets

AbstractRecent concurrent shifts of the East Asian polar-front jet (EAPJ) and the East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ) in the boreal winter have raised concerns, since they could result in severe weather events over East Asia. However, the possible mechanisms are not fully understood. In this study, the roles of the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) and the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO) are investigated by analyzing reanalysis data and model simulations. Results show that combinations of opposite phases of the IPO and AMO can result in significant shifts of the two jets during 1920–2014. This relationship is particularly evident during 1999–2014 and 1979–98 in the reanalysis data. A combination of a negative phase of the IPO (−IPO) and a positive phase of the AMO (+AMO) since the late 1990s has enhanced the meridional temperature gradient and the Eady growth rate and thus westerlies over the region between the two jets, but weakened them to the south and north of the region, thereby contributing to the equatorward and poleward shifts of the EAPJ and EASJ, respectively. Atmospheric model simulations are further used to investigate the relative contribution of −IPO and +AMO to the jet shifts. The model simulations show that the combination of −IPO and +AMO favors the recent jet changes more than the individual −IPO or +AMO. Under a concurrent −IPO and +AMO, the meridional eddy transport of zonal momentum and sensitive heat strengthens, and more mean available potential energy converts to the eddy available potential energy over the region between the two jets, which enhances westerly winds there.

A link of China warming hiatus with the winter sea ice loss in Barents–Kara Seas

Since the late 1990s, the global warming has ground to a halt, which has sparked a rising interest among the climate scientists. The hiatus is not only observed in the globally averaged surface air temperature (SAT), but also in the China winter temperature trend, which turns from warming during 1979–1997 to cooling during 1998–2013. However, the reasons and the relevant mechanisms of the warming hiatus are far from being understood. Arctic sea ice (ASI), one of the tipping points of the Earth system change, has contributed to the dramatic climate change. It is found that the ASI over the Barents–Kara Seas in the warming hiatus period (1998–2013) has declined about three times faster than that in the previous continuing warming period (1979–1997). The observational analysis and the wave ray trajectories suggest that, for the hiatus period, the ASI over the Barents-Kara Seas explains 61.4% of the decreasing SAT trend and 14.4% of the interannual SAT variation in China. The possible dynamical process is as follows: the anomalous ASI loss associated with the significant warming in Barents-Kara Seas can excite a downstream teleconnection wave train pattern over the Eurasia continent. The significant easterly winds in the subpolar region slacken the polar-front jet, while the anomalous westerly winds over the Tibetan Plateau reinforce the East Asian subtropical jet. As a result, the concurrent out-of-phase variations in the intensity of the jets lead to the cold flow moving southward from the Arctic and converging in China. The northwest–southeast tilted dipole pattern of the height centers over Eurasia, accompanied with the weakened polar-front jet, usually favors the persistence of Ural blocking (UB). Furthermore, in the lower level, the anomalous high pressure belt over the northern Eurasian continent can help cold northeasterly winds blow from the Russian Far East to China and bring about the cold winters. Thus, the accelerated melting of ASI can exert a profound influence on China warming hiatus in recent two decades.

Role of tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific in the East Asian summer monsoon system

Precipitation observations collected at weather stations in eastern China, the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the tropical cyclone (TC) Best Track Dataset, and a sensitivity numerical experiment were used in the present study to investigate the role in the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) system played by frequent TC activities over the western North Pacific (WNP). Results indicated that, in active TC years, the EASM is stronger and the southerly winds in the lower troposphere advance farther north and reach higher latitudes. Meanwhile, the monsoon rain belt remains in the lower and middle reaches of the Yangtze River valley for a relatively short period, leading to less precipitation there. Both the western Pacific subtropical high and the South Asian high weaken with the northward shift of the ridgelines for both high-pressure systems as well as the East Asian subtropical upper-level jet. Therefore, the impacts of frequent TC activities over the WNP on each individual component of the EASM are in phase with those of the stronger EASM itself, amplifying features of the already strengthened EASM.

Variable correspondence between western North Pacific tropical cyclone frequency and East Asian subtropical jet stream during boreal summer: A tropical Pacific sea surface temperature perspective

Fluctuations in the summer relationship between western North Pacific tropical cyclone (TC) frequency (TCF) and East Asian subtropical jet stream (EAJS) are investigated using observations and composite analysis. Here TCF is divided into four categories to assess how different tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies modulate TCF‐EAJS associations. Results show that high TCF would weaken (strengthen) the south (north) part of EAJS, but with different locally poleward shifts during La Niña‐ and El Niño‐like events. In contrast, during low TCF, a clearly southward shifted, strengthened EAJS occurs only when the western Pacific SST cools, but no significant change is observed when the western Pacific SST warms up. Further analysis shows that the possible reason why TCF has diverse linkages to EAJS is that the TC genesis locations and TC tracks are quite different under different tropical Pacific SST anomalies, even for quasi‐constant TCF. Potential mechanisms responsible for the changing TCF‐EAJS associations can be physically explained by the exceptional configurations of tropospheric meridional temperature gradient anomaly and the deformed‐and‐displaced Pacific–Japan‐like wavetrain, which is mainly due to non‐negligible differences in large‐scale oceanic and atmospheric environments that modulate the TC genesis locations and TC tracks. This study highlights the importance of a tropical SST perspective when analysing TCF‐EAJS associations.

Mechanism Study of Tropical Cyclone Impact on East Asian Subtropical Upper-Level Jet: a Numerical Case Investigation

In the case study of this paper, sensitivity experiments are carried out using the mesoscale non-hydrostatic Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to investigate the impact of tropical cyclone (TC) Soudelor (2003) on the East Asian subtropical upper-level jet (EASJ) before TC Soudelor transformed into an extratropical cyclone. The physical mechanism for changes in the EASJ intensity and position caused by TC Soudelor is explored. Results indicate that TC Soudelor would warm the air in the middle and upper troposphere over the Japan Sea and the adjacent areas through stimulating northward propagating teleconnection pattern as well as releasing large amounts of latent heat, which led to increase (decrease) the meridional air temperature gradient to the south (north) below the EASJ axis. As a result, the geopotential height abnormally increased in the upper troposphere, resulting in an anomalous anticyclonic circulation belt along the EASJ axis. Correspondingly, the westerly winds to the north (south) of the EASJ axis intensified (weakened) and the EASJ axis shifted northward by one degree. The case study also suggests that before the extratropical cyclone transition of TC Soudelor, the TC activities had exerted significant impacts on the EASJ through thermodynamic processes.

The 200-hPa Wind Perturbation in the Subtropical Westerly over East Asia Related to Medium-Range Forecast of Summer Rainfall in China

The 200-hPa wind perturbation (WP) in the subtropical westerly over East Asia (SWEA) has seldom been examined in previous studies, especially in connection with forecast of the summer rainfall in China. Based on the daily NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and precipitation observations in China from 1 June to 31 August of 1960–2015, this study first systematically analyzes the spatiotemporal distribution features of the 200-hPa WP in the SWEA on different scales, especially during the Meiyu season in the Yangtze–Huaihe region and during the rainy period in North China, by using spectral decomposition and period analysis. It is found that in the 56-yr mean fields, the 200-hPa WP in the SWEA is collocated with the East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ), with the centers of the two systems coincidentally overlapped. The WP filed in the subtropical westerly mainly comprises planetary- and synoptic-scale waves. The quasi-stationary planetary-scale wave seems to determine the shape and intensity of the WP in the SWEA, while the synoptic-scale wave is closely related to the local central intensity of the WP. The daily evolution of the 56-yr mean fields shows that, following the northward (southward) movement of SWEA from 1 June to 31 August, the planetaryscale WP in the SWEA becomes gradually weakened (intensified) whereas the synoptic-scale WP is slightly intensified (weakened). The results also reveal that during the Meiyu season in the Yangtze–Huaihe region, the WP in the SWEA moves northward slowly around 37°–39°N, demonstrating a quasi-biweekly oscillation in its geographic location, which is largely attributed to the strong (weak) planetary-scale (synoptic-scale) component. On the contrast, in the summer rainy season over North China, the WP in the SWEA further strives northward beyond 40°N, showing both quasi-biweekly and weekly oscillations in its position; meanwhile, the planetary-scale wave in the SWEA becomes weakened whereas the synoptic-scale wave is enhanced. These salient variational features of the WP in the SWEA and its scaledependent components may be useful for the medium-range forecast of the rain belt migration in eastern China.