Vinyl acetate is a crucial monomer for the production of polyvinyl alcohol and polyvinyl acetate, with extensive applications in the photovoltaic and pharmaceutical industries. CO2 is the primary by-product in the synthesis of vinyl acetate, significantly burdening the separation process and impacting the ecological environment. Reducing CO2 generation at the source is an effective solution. In the vinyl acetate synthesis process, CO2 is primarily produced through the catalytic combustion of ethylene. However, the reaction mechanism of ethylene catalytic combustion on Pd-based catalysts in vinyl acetate synthesis remains incomplete, with existing mechanisms presenting certain limitations. Therefore, further investigation into the reaction mechanism of ethylene catalytic combustion leading to CO2 formation on Pd-based catalysts is necessary.This study employs density functional theory to calculate the reaction mechanism of ethylene catalytic combustion on the Pd(100) surface, obtaining elementary reaction kinetics data. Based on these data, the kinetic Monte Carlo method was used to investigate the reaction process of ethylene catalytic combustion, revealing the predominant pathway for CO2 formation. This research provides targeted strategies for catalyst modification. It aims to improve the understanding of the reaction mechanism of ethylene catalytic combustion in vinyl acetate synthesis, reduce the consumption of ethylene in by-product formation, enhance vinyl acetate yield and ethylene utilization, and ultimately decrease CO2 production, thereby lowering carbon emissions.