Dumitrescu-Hurlin Panel Causality Research Articles

Catalyzing the carbon emission: the interplay of financial development and foreign investment in Asia-Pacific and Oceanian region

Purpose This study aims to explore the interplay between CO2 emissions, financial development (FD) and foreign direct investment (FDI) in Asia-Pacific and Oceania. It also aims to understand short- and long-term impacts, emphasizing the role of FDI, FD and FD’s moderating effect on the FDI–CO2 relationship. Design/methodology/approach Using a 21-year panel data set (2000–2020) from 44 countries, the study employs the pooled mean group-autoregressive distributed lag (PMG-ARDL) model supplemented by the Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality test. This method assesses the complex dynamics and offers a robust analysis of short- and long-term effects in the Asia-Pacific and Oceanian context. Findings Long-term results indicate that FDI coupled with FD and FD’s moderating effect on FDI significantly contributes to CO2 emissions. Short-term relationships are more complex and lack statistical significance. FD positively moderates the FDI–CO2 relationship in the long run. Practical implications For investors, policymakers and stakeholders in Asia-Pacific and Oceania, the study highlights the importance of considering environmental impacts in investment decisions. The insights into the role of FDI and FD help craft policies and strategies for environmental sustainability. Social implications Socially, this research emphasizes the necessity of a balanced approach to economic development, considering the potential long-term environmental consequences. Policymakers and stakeholders may use these findings to guide discussions and actions to achieve sustainable and socially responsible development in this dynamic region. Originality/value The findings contribute original insights into the essential relationships among FDI, FD and CO2 emissions in a diverse region like Asia-Pacific, enhancing the understanding of environmental implications in regions experiencing rapid economic growth.

Nuclear energy generation's impact on the CO2 emissions and ecological footprint among European Union countries

This study employs Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares, Common Correlated Effects and Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality techniques to investigate the environmental impacts of nuclear energy generation in European Union countries from 1990 to 2022. The ongoing debate within the European Union and the empirical contradictions in the literature, coupled with the overall singular-dimensionality surrounding the impacts of nuclear energy on the environment, necessitate a broader and comprehensive examination of its effects across various environmental dimensions. These dimensions include the presence of CO2 emissions and the ecological footprint generated. The findings reveal that nuclear energy adoption by countries tends to affect CO2 emissions but this relationship goes from CO2 to nuclear energy consumption as per the causality test, while the ecological footprint variable does not exhibit a causal relationship with nuclear energy consumption. We estimated that a higher presence of air pollutants promotes the generation of nuclear energy as an alternative to fossil fuel energy sources. The study highlights that while nuclear energy generation produces no air pollution, it does impose significant land use requirements, potentially leading to ecosystem degradation. Factors such as uranium extraction, nuclear waste management, disposal, and accidents contribute to this impact. Further research is needed to understand the specific mechanisms and factors contributing to the observed environmental degradation associated with nuclear energy generation.

Contribution of hydro energy production, economic complexity and technological innovation in achieving an environmentally sustainable Asia

The impact of hydro energy production, economic complexity, urbanization, technological innovation and financial development on environmental sustainability between 1995 and 2017 is examined for a panel of thirteen Asian economies using two environmental proxies— their ecological footprint and CO2 emissions. The non-parametric Driscoll-Kraay standard error method and the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test are applied to the data. Our findings show that hydro energy production and technological innovation have a significant negative impact on the environment, thus promoting environmental sustainability. Economic complexity significantly lowers environmental sustainability while the non-linear effect of economic complexity favors environmental sustainability; this confirms the existence of an economic-complexity-based inverted-U-shaped environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis. Moreover, urbanization and financial development significantly decrease environmental sustainability. The results of our study confirm the feedback causality between hydro energy production and carbon dioxide emissions. We recommend expansionary policies regarding hydro energy production that are beneficial for substituting fossil fuel energy. This paves a path towards environmental sustainability in this era of global boiling.

The dynamics of financial development, environmental degradation, economic growth and population health in the Economic Community of West African States

Abstract By exploring the nexus between financial development and population health in the ECOWAS region we contribute to the debate on population health and also examine the direction of causality between population health and its determinants. We utilised a panel dataset of 11 ECOWAS nations from 1990-2019. The study used the augmented mean group (AMG) estimator to examine the long-run associations among the chosen variables. The empirical results indicate that financial development and economic growth are positive drivers of population health. The analysis also demonstrates that lower population health is associated with increased environmental degradation (CO2 emissions) in the ECOWAS region. However, regarding the country-specific analysis, the impact of the determinants of population health varied per country. The empirical estimates of the Dumitrescu Hurlin panel causality tests reveal a bidirectional causality between population health and its determinants. The empirical outcomes offer new insights for policymakers by means of financial development, environmental degradation, and income as economic tools to promote population health by guiding finance, growth, and environmental policies.

Financial Development, ICT Use, Renewable Energy Consumption and Foreign Direct Investment Impacts on Environmental Degradation in OIC Countries

This article examines the influence of financial development, ICT use, FDI and renewable energy on environmental degradation in 38 OIC countries using panel data from 2003 to 2021. For data estimation, the authors employed the CD test, slope homogeneity test, CIPS and CADF test, FGLS model, PCSE model and Dumitrescu Hurlin panel causality test. It is found that the variables have cross-sectional dependence, slope heterogeneity, heteroskedasticity, and autocorrelation in a model. The Westerlund test of cointegration also ensures the cointegration among variables in a model while panel unit root tests found the mixed integration order of variables. The FGLS model shows that FD and renewable energy consumption negatively and significantly influence CO2 emissions in OIC countries. The outcomes also show that the use of ICT and FDI inflows in OIC countries are positively related to CO2 emissions. The PCSEs model is used as a robustness estimation technique which also confirms the estimates of the FGLS model. The authors suggested that financial development should be promoted to finance green energy projects, design regulatory policies to prevent polluted technology from the FDI inflows and to prevent the harmful effects of ICT on the environment, the use of green energy resources in ICT use should be promoted.

The Impacts of Financial Market, Trade and Economic Policy Uncertainties on the Import Performance of Advanced Economies

This study aims to examine the long-term and short-term diverse effects of economic policy uncertainty, trade policy uncertainty, and financial market uncertainties on the import performance of advanced economies. It employs the Pooled mean group autoregressive distributed lag (PMG/ARDL) method for the panel of 27 advanced economies using quarterly data from the first quarter of 1996 to the fourth quarter of 2020. The study's results reveal that local and global economic and trade policy uncertainties have significant adverse long-term effects on the import performance of advanced economies. Besides, financial market uncertainties negatively impact advanced economies’ imports in the long run. Nonetheless, the results imply that domestic economic and trade policy uncertainties positively affect imports in the short run. Moreover, the Dumitrescu-Hurlin (D-H) panel causality test indicated that bidirectional causality exists between financial market and trade policy uncertainty indicators and imports. However, unidirectional causality exists between economic policy indicators and imports. The results are consistent across different sensitivity analyses. Based on these findings, we propose policy implications to control economic, trade and financial market uncertainties and thereby alleviating their impact on the import performance of advanced economies.

Exploring the Dynamic Relationships between Agricultural Production and Environmental Pollution: Evidence from a GMM-SYS Model in the Three Seas Initiative (3SI)

The Three Seas Initiative (3SI) is still an under-researched area and is particularly important due to historical circumstances and economic backwardness. A study was carried out to assess the impact of renewable energy and production made by the agricultural sector on CO2 emissions in 3SI countries between 2008 and 2020. The study used panel data analysis based on the two-step system’s generalized method of moments (GMM) and the Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality test. The results show that a 1% increase in the value added generated by agriculture increased CO2 emissions in the countries studied by 0.11%. In contrast, a 1% increase in GDP led to a 0.29% increase in CO2 emissions. Conversely, when renewable energy consumption increased by 1%, CO2 emissions fell by 0.25% in the countries studied. One way to reduce CO2 emissions from agricultural production in the short term is to increase the share of renewables, which incidentally is in line with EU action.

Trade policy and environmental sustainability in Africa: An empirical analysis

AbstractThis study investigates whether trade policy instruments—tariffs—strengthen or worsen African environmental sustainability. To drive out the objectives of the study, fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS), dynamic OLS (DOLS), augmented mean group (AMG), method of moment quantile regression (MMQR) and Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality approaches are used to analyse the effect of tariff in addition to other control variables on carbon and ecological footprints as measured of environmental sustainability from 2001 to 2020. The results from the MMQR reveal that tariffs have a significant positive effect on carbon footprints in the 0.15 quantile, while the effect becomes insignificant between 0.25 and 0.5 quantiles. However, at the upper quantiles level (0.75–0.95), the impact of the tariff on carbon footprint is negative and significant, with increasing coefficients. Furthermore, tariffs significantly positively affect lower and middle quantiles' ecological footprints (0.15–0.5). However, the effect turns negative at the upper quantiles (0.9 and 0.95), suggesting that tariff reduces ecological footprint at these levels. In addition, the long‐run estimates (FMOLS, DOLS and AMG) also support the upper quantile estimates of MMQR. A one‐way causality between tariffs, carbon and ecological footprint was found. These findings reveal that tariffs do not create market inefficiency in Africa. This study recommends that tariffs as a trade policy instrument could be used to strengthen Africa's environmental quality. The government can use the tariff revenue to subsidize cleaner production and consumption and move the economy from a traditional energy source to renewable energy.

Impacts of mineral resources, economic growth and energy consumption on environmental sustainability: Novel findings from global south region

This study investigates the dynamic effect of mineral markets, economic growth, urbanization, financial development, non-green and green energy consumption on environmental sustainability. In this context, CS-ARDL, QLARDL, and Dumitrescu Hurlin Panel Causality approaches are used to estimate the panel data collected from seven Global South countries from 1992 to 2019. Results suggested that the mineral market, green energy and green financial development positively impact environmental sustainability at various quantile levels. On the contrary, urbanization and energy consumption have a negative impact on LCC, but these effects are statically insignificant in the short run, while green energy improves environmental quality in the long run. At the same time, financial development and economic growth have significant negative impacts on LCP, in the long run, reporting how the financial development in the world is not concerned about environmental issues. Moreover, the circular economy plays a crucial role in maintaining environmental sustainability by balancing mineral markets, economic growth, financial development, urbanization and energy consumption. Based on the empirical findings, several policy implications are suggested to selected global south countries to improve environmental sustainability through green energy transition and financial development without halting economic growth.

ANALYZING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN HEALTH EXPENDITURE, RENEWABLE ENERGY AND LIFE EXPECTANCY: EVIDENCE FROM ASIAN COUNTRIES

This study investigates the relationship between health expenditures, renewable energy and life expectancy in Asian countries within a model covering the period 2000-2020. GDP data are also included in the model. In the study, after applying cross-sectional dependence test and Cross-sectional Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root tests, panel cointegration test is employed to show whether there is a long-run mutual relationship between health expenditures and other variables, and then Dumitrescu-Hurlin (2012) panel causality analysis method is used to test the causality between the relevant variables in Asian countries. According to the empirical findings, while causality is found between health expenditures and renewable energy in most of the Asian countries, there is also a high level of causality between life expectancy and health expenditures. Moreover, the cointegration test between health expenditures and other variables confirms that there is a long-run relationship between the variables. It is concluded that policy makers in Asian economies should develop policy frameworks that provide opportunities for renewable energy consumption and support investment in renewable energy projects to promote the use of clean technologies. Thus, an increase in renewable energy consumption can lead to economic prosperity by not only improving quality of life but also increasing productivity.

Dynamic effects of digital governance and government interventions on natural resources management: Fresh findings from Chinese provinces

This study investigates the dynamic effect of digital government on natural resource management in 30 Chinese provinces, considering the government intervention policies, GDP, foreign direct investment, trade openness, and energy prices. In this context, QLARDL, QR, and Dumitrescu Hurlin Panel Causality approach estimate the panel data collected from 2010 to 2020. Results suggested that the digital government positively impacts natural resources management at various quantile levels. On the contrary, government intervention has a limited effect, while Foreign direct investment boosts natural management, especially in the long run. At the same time, energy prices and openness trade significantly negatively impact natural resources management. Based on the empirical findings, several policy implications are suggested for the Chinese provinces.

Determinant on Economic Growth in Developing Country: A Special Case Regarding Turkey and Bangladesh

AbstractThis study delves into the complex interplay between gross domestic product (GDP) and key macroeconomic indicators in the contexts of Turkey and Bangladesh. By examining panel data spanning from 1981 to 2020 sourced from the World Bank, we investigate the causal relationships between GDP growth and various factors including population growth, inflation, literacy rate, natural resource utilization, investment, and foreign direct investment (FDI). Our research aims to address critical questions regarding the economic trajectories of these two emerging economies. Specifically, we seek to understand how different macroeconomic variables influence GDP growth in Bangladesh and Turkey, while also exploring the unique socio-economic landscapes of these nations. Methodologically, we employ the Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality test to analyze the causal relationships between GDP growth and the aforementioned macroeconomic indicators. Our findings reveal direct, statistically significant associations between GDP growth and these variables, with population growth emerging as a particularly influential factor. The implications of our study extend beyond empirical observations, offering valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders seeking to foster sustainable economic development in both Bangladesh and Turkey. By identifying the key drivers of GDP growth and their impact on economic performance, our research contributes to the existing body of literature on economic development in emerging economies. In conclusion, this study sheds light on the intricate dynamics of GDP growth in Turkey and Bangladesh, highlighting the importance of understanding and leveraging macroeconomic indicators to promote inclusive and sustainable economic growth in these nations.

Impact of economic growth and financial development on renewable energy use in selected oil-exporting countries

The aim of this study is to explore the influence of economic growth and financial development on renewable energy consumption. For the purpose of analysis, this investigation uses annual data on renewable energy consumption, economic growth, financial development, consumer price index, domestic investment, and foreign direct investment for 13 major oil-exporting countries, including Algeria, Guinea, Gabon, Iran, Libya, Nigeria, Congo, Republic of Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, Malaysia, Sudan, and Russia, during the period 1990-2020. The study employs the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) method and Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test to conduct the empirical analysis. The Hausman test determines the PMG estimator as the most suitable among the Mean Group (MG), Dynamic Fixed Effect (DFE), and PMG estimators. This research shows that economic growth and financial development have a positive and significant long-term impact on renewable energy consumption. This suggests that as the economy grows and financial systems develop, there is a potential for an increase in the use of renewable energy. The Dumitrescu-Hurlin causality test and the panel dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) method support these findings. From a policy standpoint, promoting economic growth and financial development could lead to greater use of renewable energy and contribute to sustainable development in oil-exporting countries.

Combining the role of urbanization and renewable energy in sustainable development: testing the EKC hypothesis for Africa.

The pressing necessity to curb greenhouse gas emissions due to climate change has sparked significant scientific interest in comprehending the factors behind CO2 emissions, particularly concerning environmental sustainability challenges. Nonetheless, there exists a notable gap in our understanding of how the process of urbanization interacts with the utilization of renewable energy to impact CO2 emissions. This research endeavor seeks to evaluate the complex interplay among urbanization, renewable energy, and CO2 emissions across 46 African nations spanning from 1990 to 2019. To accomplish this objective, a variety of econometric methodologies are employed, including Driscoll-Kraay standard errors, IV-GMM, and method of moments quantile regression (MMQR) panel estimations to address issues like cross-sectional dependencies, endogeneity, heterogeneity, and panel Granger causality examination. The empirical results suggest that urbanization leads to an increase in CO2 emissions, whereas the consumption of renewable energy plays a role in enhancing environmental quality by reducing CO2 emissions. A significant outcome of the study is the revelation that a combination of urbanization and renewable energy leads to a decrease in carbon emissions. Moreover, the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis is validated. Lastly, through the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test, it is uncovered that urbanization and renewable energy consumption exhibit a bidirectional relationship with CO2 emissions. To reduce dependence on fossil fuels and curb CO2 emissions, policymakers should promote renewable energy usage in urban areas.

Nexus between climate change, agricultural output, fertilizer use, agriculture soil emissions: Novel implications in the context of environmental management

In evaluating the influence of greenhouse gases (GHGs) on climate change, the effectiveness of carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) is intricately tied to their atmospheric turnover rates, which play a crucial role in their heat-trapping capacity. Understanding the dynamics of how these gases cycle through the atmosphere is essential for assessing their respective contributions to the greenhouse effect and, consequently, their impact on global warming and climate change. The prime objective of this research is to examine the role of climatic change, agriculture output, and fertilizer use on the agriculture soil's greenhouse gas emissions. In doing so, the present study has focused on the temperature of land, fertilizer consumption, crop and livestock production, and energy used in agriculture soils on the pollution level of agricultural soils. The study further delineates the intricate interdependencies between climate change factors and GHG emissions using novel econometric methodologies, specifically the PMG-ARDL, SC-ARDL, and Dumitrescu Hurlin Panel Causality frameworks. In doing so, we use a large panel dataset spanning 1990 to 2020. The estimations show that climate change, as measured by variations in terrestrial temperature, has a discernible and positive impact on GHG emissions over the short and long term. Energy consumption and livestock production positively correlate with GHG emissions, with the former having a more pronounced effect. The implications of fertilizer usage and overall crop yield become noticeably significant in the long term. It emphasizes the importance of using a diachronic perspective when assessing GHG emissions in the agricultural sector. It is also worth noting that agricultural land use appears to negatively impact GHG emissions, emphasizing the importance of implementing sustainable land management practices to mitigate adverse environmental consequences. The study also explores the causality between climate change, agricultural practices, and GHG emissions, revealing a bidirectional association between climatic change and soil emissions. Additionally, unidirectional causation is observed from fertilizer consumption and crop production to emissions, underscoring the importance of adopting sustainable agricultural practices to reduce emissions. The findings offer valuable insights for governments and researchers to create sustainability-related strategies for dealing with climate change issues, safeguarding natural resources, and ensuring a sustainable future for agriculture.

Can International Business Perspective Measure Sustainable Development of BRICS Countries? A Panel Data Analysis

The level of international business is highly dependent on the numerous macroeconomic and sustainable development factors that play their respective roles in defining a developing nation's economic progress. While examining the long-term growth of an economy, the consistency of the performance of the various elements in terms of their sustainability is a crucial matter to investigate. Moreover, it is known that the sustainable development of an economy is strongly associated with environmental impacts. Finally, the focus on new development patterns must be the highest concern for emerging economies. Considering this, the current study speculates on the relationship between foreign direct investment and the interaction effect of carbon emissions and poverty with control variables such as per capita income and education in BRICS economies. It concentrates on panel data ranging from 1993 to 2019 to explore the association among the said variables. It identifies the unique and definite macroeconomic parameters that are crucial for encouraging foreign direct investment in different countries. Applying the Panel Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Model, the study finds a positive interaction effect between carbon emissions and poverty that focuses on improving foreign direct investment in the long run. In the short run, an increase in per capita income always proves that BRICS will demonstrate less dependence on FDI net flows. The study also concentrates on the unit root measurement of the data by applying Panel Unit Root Test. Finally, to check the direction of causality, Pairwise Dumitrescu Hurlin Panel Causality Tests have been performed. The most recent update from these countries demonstrates that the strategy for achieving future sustainable economic growth is clear and swift. Hence, it emphasises the requirement of separate and exclusive policy-making to promote long-term sustainable economic growth in BRICS.

Synthesizing the role of biomass energy consumption and human development in achieving environmental sustainability

Promoting sustainable energy use is crucial to achieving environmental sustainability. However, there is limited documentation on how human development moderates the effect of energy consumption on environmental sustainability. Therefore, this study aims to uncover the impact of biomass energy consumption and human development on the ecological footprint in 31 African countries from 1996 to 2018. To achieve this, we employ Driscoll-Kraay, instrumental variables, and panel quantile regression techniques to address heteroscedasticity, endogeneity, and conditional heterogeneity. The result shows that biomass energy consumption increases ecological footprint, while human development reduces ecological footprint. The results also show that human development reduces the adverse effect of biomass energy consumption on environmental sustainability. Moreover, the pairwise Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality results prove the two-way causal association between biomass energy consumption and ecological footprint. The feedback effect between human development and the ecological footprint is also supported. To improve environmental sustainability, policymakers should promote sustainable biomass energy consumption through awareness and education campaigns.

Trade openness, poverty, and sustainable development: Testing for causality using Dumitrescu-Hurlin approach

Purpose — This research paper explores the causal links between trade openness, poverty, and sustainable development, shedding light on the potential impact of trade policies on poverty reduction and sustainable development in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region.Method — We utilize the Dumitrescu-Hurlin (DH) panel causality test, a robust econometric approach capable of discerning the direction and magnitude of causal relationships among variables. We employ a comprehensive dataset spanning from 1986 to 2020, covering ECOWAS countries, to conduct a rigorous empirical analysis.Result — The empirical findings from the DH causality analysis reveal a unidirectional relationship between trade openness, human capital investment, and both sustainable development and poverty. Additionally, bidirectional causality relationships are observed between human capital investment and poverty. The results also highlight the absence of a consistent and uniform pattern of Granger causality between poverty and sustainability across individual West African economies. This heterogeneity underscores the need for customized policy approaches based on empirical evidence derived from country-specific causality analyses, rather than adopting one-size-fits-all solutions.Novelty — This research stands out by exploring the causal connections among trade openness, poverty, and sustainable development within the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region. The adoption of the Dumitrescu-Hurlin (DH) panel causality test enhances the empirical analysis, offering a comprehensive understanding of both the direction and magnitude of these relationships.

How do information and communication technology, human capital and renewable energy affect CO2 emission; New insights from BRI countries

If nations want to attain sustainable development with the exponential growth of information and communication technology (ICT) around the world, they must understand the connection between ICT and carbon emissions. Therefore, this study has used panel data from 64 ‘‘Belt and Road Initiative economies between 2000 and 2021 while finding the impact of ICT, renewable energy consumption (REC), human capital (HC) and economic growth (EG) on CO2 emissions. This study employs the Augmented Mean Group (AMG) estimator, Mean Group (MG) estimator and the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality. The findings indicate that the use of ICT, HC and the REC are inversely related to CO2 emissions, whereas EG is positively associated to CO2 emissions and hence poses a danger to environmental sustainability. In addition, the interaction term of EG with ICT, REC and HC has negative impact on CO2 emissions in BRI economies. Intriguingly, the results reveal that ICT and CO2 emissions has inverted U-shape relationship in BRI economies. Furthermore, the causality results show that ICT, REC, and human capital are all cause and effect linkages that affect CO2 emissions in both directions. In order to reduce energy utilization and boost economic growth, the findings stress the importance of implementing cutting-edge ICT and REC in the industrial sector.

How Do Financial Development and Industrial Structure Affect Green Total Factor Energy Efficiency: Evidence from China

Improving energy efficiency is vital for addressing climate change and reducing carbon emissions in emerging economies. Financial development (FD) is crucial for economic growth, and its environmental impact and the adjustment of the industrial structure (IND) is a crucial lever in China’s economic transition period. This study explored the relationship between FD, IND, and China’s green total factor productivity (GTFEE) from 2000 to 2020 using the super-efficiency SBM-undesirable model, which estimates China’s GTFEE. The ARDL results suggest that FD and IND enhance GTFEE in the long term, with FD promoting GTFEE by facilitating industrial structure adjustments. The Dumitrescu–Hurlin panel causality tests supported this finding. The QRPD panel quantile regression and heterogeneity analysis revealed significant heterogeneity in the effects. With increasing GTFEE, FD exerts a restraining effect, gradually weakening and transitioning into a promoting effect, while the IND consistently plays a promoting role.