Drained Lake Basins Research Articles

Fill‐spill‐merge terrain analysis reveals topographical controls on Canadian river runoff

AbstractDigital Elevation Models (DEMs) are a crucial tool for watershed analysis, offering valuable insights into landscape‐scale hydrology. Traditional watershed delineations are derived by filling a DEM to force flow paths through topographic depressions, thus creating a continuous drainage network throughout the domain. However, this approach is challenged in landscapes with abundant real‐world depression storage, intermittently flowing stream channels, and internally drained lake basin (endorheic basin) such as the Canadian Shield (CS). The CS landscape is characterized by “fill‐and‐spill” surface water hydrology, with runoff flow paths controlled by bedrock sills and rocky cascades that overtop when water levels are high but cease flowing when water levels are low. To better represent these intermittent drainage networks, we apply a non‐traditional, less‐aggressive DEM filling model (Fill‐Spill‐Merge or FSM) to a continental‐scale DEM (MERIT) all of Canada. To ensure adequate filling of DEM noise while also preserving real‐world topographic depressions, we propose a climatic method to initialize a key FSM parameter (“runoff depth”) that calibrates observed discharges from 1690 Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) river gauges with climate model P‐ET (precipitation minus evapotranspiration) data. Our application of FSM to all 1690 gauged watersheds identifies 916 significant topographical control points controlling >20% and/or 1000 km2 of their respective areas. The Geikie, Snare, Kazan, Tazin, and Seal rivers may be particularly affected, with impacted watershed areas ranging from 12% to 64%. Extending this approach to ungauged parts of the CS reveals an additional 635 significant topographical control points. Ensemble climate model projections suggest that around 10% of these control points are currently dry but will become active by 2100. This research explicitly determines how CS watersheds are affected by fill‐and‐spill hydrology, and demonstrates the importance of accurate terrain modelling for delineating surface water flow paths in depressional landscapes.

Testing the Sensitivity of a WRF-Based Great Lakes Regional Climate Model to Cumulus Parameterization and Spectral Nudging

Abstract The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model is used to dynamically downscale ERA-Interim global reanalysis data to test its performance as a regional climate model (RCM) for the Great Lakes region (GLR). Four cumulus parameterizations and three spectral nudging techniques applied to moisture are evaluated based on 2-m temperature and precipitation accumulation in the Great Lakes drainage basin (GLDB). Results are compared to a control simulation without spectral nudging, and additional analysis is presented showing the contribution of each nudged variable to temperature, moisture, and precipitation. All but one of the RCM test simulations have a dry precipitation bias in the warm months, and the only simulation with a wet bias also has the least precipitation error. It is found that the inclusion of spectral nudging of temperature dramatically improves a cold-season cold bias, and while the nudging of moisture improves simulated annual and diurnal temperature ranges, its impact on precipitation is complicated. Significance Statement Global climate models are vital to understanding our changing climate. While many include a coarse representation of the Great Lakes, they lack the resolution to represent effects like lake effect precipitation, lake breeze, and surface air temperature modification. Therefore, using a regional climate model to downscale global data is imperative to correctly simulate the land–lake–atmosphere feedbacks that contribute to regional climate. Modeling precipitation is particularly important because it plays a direct role in the Great Lakes’ water cycle. The purpose of this study is to identify the configuration of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model that best simulates precipitation and temperature in the Great Lakes region by testing cumulus parameterizations and methods of nudging the regional model toward the global model.

Contemporary formation of ice-wedge pseudomorphs during the expansion of a thermokarst lake in Old Crow Flats, Yukon, Canada

Ice-wedge pseudomorphs (IWPs) are thermokarst structures that form by the secondary infilling of cavities left by the slow melting of ice wedges. Contemporary IWP formation in periglacial environments informs our understanding of past processes and dynamics implied by their presence in the stratigraphic record. However, contemporary IWPs are seldom studied as they are difficult to locate and observe due to the general lack of surface expression and because they can deform with time or be confused with sediment wedges. This study presents detailed information about the morphology and soil composition of IWPs that formed beneath a thermokarst lake in Old Crow Flats, northern Yukon (Canada), and provides the first conceptual model of lacustrine IWP development. Seven IWPs were unearthed along a transect perpendicular to a former eroding lakeshore in a recently (2019), partially drained lake basin. The IWPs were between 76 cm and 122 cm high and had varying morphologies, generally forming triangles pointing down or T shapes. They had a much higher organic matter content and were composed of slightly coarser sediment than their host sediment, characteristics that were shared by basin floor surface sediment found in the near-shore zone (<15 m) of the former lake. Within five meters of the former shoreline, some troughs showed pronounced subsidence due to the melting of remnant wedge ice following lake drainage. Based on ice-wedge dimensions, bank height, shore erosion rates, and field measurements of sublake active-layer thickness prior to lake drainage, it is likely that ice wedges were entirely melted by the development of the sublake active layer, prior to talik development. Together, the results indicate that the IWPs formed within 5 to 10 m of the eroding shore bank, 9 to 18 years after lake submergence, and were filled with the organic-rich lacustrine sediment that accumulated in the near-shore zone due to sediment sorting by wave action following the erosion of peaty polygonal tundra. This study highlights that IWPs can form during the natural evolution of thermokarst lakes in regions with stable permafrost and are not necessarily indicators of conditions leading to generalized permafrost degradation.

Post-drainage vegetation, microtopography and organic matter in Arctic drained lake basins

Wetlands in Arctic drained lake basins (DLBs) have a high potential for carbon storage in vegetation and peat as well as for elevated greenhouse gas emissions. However, the evolution of vegetation and organic matter is rarely studied in DLBs, making these abundant wetlands especially uncertain elements of the permafrost carbon budget. We surveyed multiple DLB generations in northern Alaska with the goal to assess vegetation, microtopography, and organic matter in surface sediment and pond water in DLBs and to provide the first high-resolution land cover classification for a DLB system focussing on moisture-related vegetation classes for the Teshekpuk Lake region. We associated sediment properties and methane concentrations along a post-drainage succession gradient with remote sensing-derived land cover classes. Our study distinguished five eco-hydrological classes using statistical clustering of vegetation data, which corresponded to the land cover classes. We identified surface wetness and time since drainage as predictors of vegetation composition. Microtopographic complexity increased after drainage. Organic carbon and nitrogen contents in sediment, and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and dissolved nitrogen (DN) in ponds were high throughout, indicating high organic matter availability and decomposition. We confirmed wetness as a predictor of sediment methane concentrations. Our findings suggest moderate to high methane concentrations independent of drainage age, with particularly high concentrations beneath submerged patches (up to 200 μmol l−1) and in pond water (up to 22 μmol l−1). In our DLB system, wet and shallow submerged patches with high methane concentrations occupied 54% of the area, and ponds with high DOC, DN and methane occupied another 11%. In conclusion, we demonstrate that DLB wetlands are highly productive regarding organic matter decomposition and methane production. Machine learning-aided land cover classification using high-resolution multispectral satellite imagery provides a useful tool for future upscaling of sediment properties and methane emission potentials from Arctic DLBs.

Soil Formation Features in Drained Lake Basins of the Bol’shezemel’skaya Tundra

Soil Formation Features in Drained Lake Basins of the Bol’shezemel’skaya Tundra

Soil Formation Features in Drained Lake Basins of the Bolshezemelskaya Tundra

The features of the structure, properties, and temperature regimes of soils functioning in two different drained lake basins of the Bolshezemelskaya tundra are characterized. The basins differ significantly in the features of landscape development, the composition of bottom (soil-forming) sediments, and the patterns of the soil and vegetation cover. In a naturally drained basin composed of mineral (sandy and clayey) bottom sediments, soils belonging to the departments Gley, and Poorly developed are formed, which are typical for the watershed landscapes of the region. Soils function as ecosystem-modified permafrost-affected profiles, partially protected from thaw. The soil profile is acidic, not saturated with bases, with moderate carbon content in the mineral horizons. In the artificially drained basin, covered with a layer of silted peat, predominantly peaty permafrost-affected soils were formed, including peat soils of tundra meadows, which are unique for the landscapes of the Bolshezemelskaya tundra. Peaty soils of the basin appear to be as ecosystem-protected, i.e. protected from thawing, and they are characterized by high ash content and slightly acidic reaction. A significant differentiation of the studied soil parameters are determined by different basins, which are different according to the composition of parent sediments, the specifics of landscape development, and manifestations of present-day cryogenic processes.

Tracking lake drainage events and drained lake basin vegetation dynamics across the Arctic

Widespread lake drainage can lead to large-scale drying in Arctic lake-rich areas, affecting hydrology, ecosystems and permafrost carbon dynamics. To date, the spatio-temporal distribution, driving factors, and post-drainage dynamics of lake drainage events across the Arctic remain unclear. Using satellite remote sensing and surface water products, we identify over 35,000 (~0.6% of all lakes) lake drainage events in the northern permafrost zone between 1984 and 2020, with approximately half being relatively understudied non-thermokarst lakes. Smaller, thermokarst, and discontinuous permafrost area lakes are more susceptible to drainage compared to their larger, non-thermokarst, and continuous permafrost area counterparts. Over time, discontinuous permafrost areas contribute more drained lakes annually than continuous permafrost areas. Following drainage, vegetation rapidly colonizes drained lake basins, with thermokarst drained lake basins showing significantly higher vegetation growth rates and greenness levels than their non-thermokarst counterparts. Under warming, drained lake basins are likely to become more prevalent and serve as greening hotspots, playing an important role in shaping Arctic ecosystems.

Arctic Tundra Lake Drainage Increases Snow Storage in Drifts

AbstractSnowdrifts formed by wind transported snow deposition represent a vital component of the earth surface processes on Arctic tundra. Snow accumulation on steep slopes particularly at the margins of rivers, coasts, lakes, and drained lake basins (DLBs) comprise a significant water storage component for the ecosystem during spring and summer snowmelt. The tundra landscape is in constant change as lakes drain, substantially altering the surface morphology that partially controls how snow drifts and accumulates throughout the cold seasons. Here, we combine field measurements, remote sensing observations, and snow modeling to investigate how lake drainage affects snow redistribution at Inigok on the Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska, where the snow movement is controlled by wind. Field observations included measurements of snow depth using ground penetrating radar and probe. We mapped mid‐July snow cover and modeled snow redistribution before and after drainage simulation for 33 lakes (∼30 km2) in our study area (∼140 km2). Our results show the advantage of using a wide range of snow depth measurements on frozen lakes, DLBs, and upland to validate the snow modeling in order to capture the variability inherent in the landscape. The lake drainage simulation suggests an increase in snow storage of up to ∼24% at DLBs compared to extant lakes, ∼35% considering only snowdrifts (assumed as ≥1 m depth), and ∼4% considering the whole study area. This increase in snow accumulation could significantly impact the landscape when it melts, including wildlife, vegetation, biogeochemical processes, and potential natural hazards like snow‐dam outburst floods.

Lake-TopoCat: a global lake drainage topology and catchment database

Abstract. Lakes and reservoirs are ubiquitous across global landscapes, functioning as the largest repository of liquid surface freshwater, hotspots of carbon cycling, and sentinels of climate change. Although typically considered lentic (hydrologically stationary) environments, lakes are an integral part of global drainage networks. Through perennial and intermittent hydrological connections, lakes often interact with each other, and these connections actively affect water mass, quality, and energy balances in both lacustrine and fluvial systems. Deciphering how global lakes are hydrologically interconnected (or the so-called “lake drainage topology”) is not only important for lake change attribution but also increasingly critical for discharge, sediment, and carbon modeling. Despite the proliferation of river hydrography data, lakes remain poorly represented in routing models, partially because there has been no global-scale hydrography dataset tailored to lake drainage basins and networks. Here, we introduce the global Lake drainage Topology and Catchment database (Lake-TopoCat), which reveals detailed lake hydrography information with careful consideration of possible multifurcation. Lake-TopoCat contains the outlet(s) and catchment(s) of each lake; the interconnecting reaches among lakes; and a wide suite of attributes depicting lake drainage topology such as upstream and downstream relationship, drainage distance between lakes, and a priori drainage type and connectivity with river networks. Using the HydroLAKES v1.0 (Messager et al., 2016) global lake mask, Lake-TopoCat identifies ∼ 1.46 million outlets for ∼ 1.43 million lakes larger than 10 ha and delineates 77.5×106 km2 of lake catchments covering 57 % of the Earth's landmass except Antarctica. The global lakes are interconnected by ∼ 3 million reaches, derived from MERIT Hydro v1.0.1 (Yamazaki et al., 2019), stretching a total distance of ∼10×106 km, of which ∼ 80 % are shorter than 10 km. With such unprecedented lake hydrography details, Lake-TopoCat contributes towards a globally coupled lake–river routing model. It may also facilitate a variety of limnological applications such as attributing water quality from lake scale to basin scale, tracing inter-lake fish migration due to changing climate, monitoring fluvial–lacustrine connectivity, and improving estimates of terrestrial carbon fluxes. Lake-TopoCat is freely accessible at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7916729 (Sikder et al., 2023).

Holocene permafrost peatland evolution in drained lake basins on the Pur-Taz Interfluve, North-Western Siberia

The permafrost properties and cryostructure of Holocene peatlands and underlying the Pre-Holocene deposits within Pur-Taz interfluve in the Northern West Siberia were studied. The cryolithological description, particle size, botanical compositions based on plant macro-fossils, and radiocarbon age from 8500 ± 240 cal BC to 1810 ± 150 cal AD were defined. The polygonal peatlands were formed in lacustrine-bog basins. The “arboreal” horizon at the bottom of the peat, which is characteristic of Northern West Siberia, was identified. This “arboreal” horizon dates to the Boreal and Atlantic periods of the Holocene – 8500 ± 240 cal BC and 7390 ± 210 cal BC, which explains the occurrence of forest tundra in the area of typical modern tundra during the Holocene Climatic Optimum. The vegetation composition of peat-forming plants, the ash content, and the decomposition degree of organic matter were controlled by changing natural conditions and dynamics of peat accumulation during the Holocene: flooding and burial of woody vegetation, overgrowing and eutrophication of water bodies, the gradual accumulation of peat and syngenetic ice-wedge polygon formation, peat accumulation slowing caused by drainage of drained lake basin surface. Organic frost boils on the peatland surface indicate modern deepening of the permafrost Table and are related to an increase of the microorganism activity in the thawed, poorly decomposed peat. The peat accumulation rate was about 1 mm per year. A 2-m peat layer containing ground ice has accumulated over 2500 years.The purpose of the present work is study of the history of the vegetation on the northern limits of treeline. Examination of the peat, macrofossil, decomposition degree, and ash content history of a peat sections on the Pur-Taz Interfluve in North-Western Siberia, provides a long-term view of vegetation dynamics, peatland change, and climate history during the Holocene at the Arctic treeline.

Emergy-Based Sustainability Evaluation of the Mulberry-Dyke and Fish-Pond System on the South Bank of Taihu Lake, China

The Taihu Lake drainage basin is the birthplace of the Mulberry-dyke and Fish-pond System (MFS), a traditional eco-agricultural system. In 2017, the largest and best-preserved “Zhejiang Huzhou Mulberry-dyke and Fish-pond System” located by the South Bank of Taihu Lake, China was recognized as Globally Important Agricultural Heritage Systems (GIAHS) by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), and its value has been appreciated. As a dynamic heritage, the sustainable development of MFS is a fundamental requirement of the conservation of GIAHS. In this regard, it is necessary to figure out an approach to evaluating the status of its sustainable development. This paper analyzes and contrasts the emergy embodied in the three patterns of MFS over different periods, then constructs an index system of sustainability evaluation involving the production and consumption processes based on that. Finally, it provides the evaluation and analysis. The three patterns of MFS differ in the system structure. In the Ming and Qing Dynasties (abbreviated as Ming-Qing pattern), MFS was an integrated system compromised of mulberry cultivation, silkworm breeding, fish breeding, and sheep breeding, while other patterns exclude sheep breeding, but increase the input of fertilizer, and add the production of mulberry-leaf tea and other local specialties. The results show that the MFS in the Ming-Qing pattern has the highest integrated evaluation index of sustainable development, followed by the traditional MFS pattern and the new MFS pattern employed nowadays. This indicates that the current capability of sustainable development has decreased compared to that in the Ming and Qing Dynasties. The integrated evaluation index regarding the consumption process of the new MFS pattern is higher than the traditional one, suggesting that it needs to promote sustainability in the production process, especially via the utilization rates of renewable resources and wastes.

Lake basins drive variation in catchment‐scale runoff response over a decade of increasing rainfall in Arctic Alaska

AbstractLakes basins cover wide extents of many Arctic Coastal Plain (ACP) landscapes and thus are integral components of hydrological processes. Observed variation in runoff responses between two adjacent catchments being monitored pre‐ and post‐development in the National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska (NPR‐A) suggested the need to better understand how lake basins, both current lakes and drained lake basins (DLBs), modify flow regimes. A progressive increase in summer rainfall over this monitoring period, 2009–2019, also provided an opportunity to assess how watershed characteristics interacted with hydrologic intensification. Stream gauging records from eight other nearby catchments ranging from 16 to 270 km2 with varying extents of lakes (14%–47%) and DLBs (5%–57%) expanded our analysis of ACP hydrology. Wider DLB extent corresponded to higher and more rapid snowmelt peak flows and this relationship also became evident during rainstorms in summers with high antecedent surface storage. Mean annual runoff and summer low‐flows were best explained by extent of connected lakes. Over this period of increasing summer rainfall, all hydrograph responses became more closely related to the full extent of lake basins suggesting expanding connectivity. Our final year of complete hydrologic records in 2019 was punctuated by a 30‐mm late‐summer rainfall event, which generated flow peaks nearly exceeding snowmelt runoff at several gauges, specifically ones with high extent of DLBs. This rain‐event response underscored the increasing need to include both lakes and DLBs in models of ACP watershed hydrology. An improved understanding of catchment‐scale controls on variable hydrologic responses will be increasingly essential for mitigating hazards to new and existing development, predicting floods, drought, and water supply, and protecting aquatic ecosystem functioning and habitat as the Arctic hydrologic cycle intensifies and development expands.

Impacts of ecological succession and climate warming on permafrost aggradation in drained lake basins of the Tuktoyaktuk Coastlands, Northwest Territories, Canada

AbstractRapidly increasing air temperatures will alter permafrost conditions across the Arctic, but variation in soils, vegetation, snow conditions, and their effects on ground thermal regime complicate prediction across spatial and temporal scales. Processes that result in the emergence of new surfaces (lake drainage, channel migration, isostatic uplift, etc.) provide an opportunity to assess the factors influencing permafrost aggradation and terrain evolution under a warming climate. In this study we describe ground temperatures, vegetation, and snow and soil conditions at six drained lake basins (DLBs) that have exposed new terrain in the Tuktoyaktuk Coastlands in the last 20–100 years. We also use one‐dimensional thermal modeling to assess the impact of ecological succession and future climate scenarios on permafrost conditions in historical and future DLBs. Our field observations show that deep snow pack and shallow organic layers at shrub‐dominated DLBs promote increased thaw depth and ground temperatures compared to a sedge‐dominated DLB and two ancient DLB reference sites. Modeling of past and future drainages shows that climate warming projected under RCP 8.5 will reduce rates of permafrost aggradation and thickness, and drive top‐down thaw that could degrade permafrost in shrub‐dominated DLBs by the end of the century. Permafrost at sedge‐dominated sites was more resilient to warming under RCP 8.5, with the onset of top‐down thaw delayed until about 2080. Together, this indicates that the effects of ecological succession on organic soil development and snow drifting will strongly influence the aggradation and resilience of permafrost in DLBs. Our analysis suggests that DLBs and other emergent landscapes will be the first permafrost‐free environments to develop under a warming climate in the continuous permafrost zone.

Lake and drained lake basin systems in lowland permafrost regions

Lake and drained lake basin systems in lowland permafrost regions

Hydrological Conditions Of Drained Lake Basins Of The Anadyr Lowland Under Changing Climatic Conditions

The lakes of the Arctic lowlands are both the unique indicator and the result of climatic and permafrost changes. Remote sensing methods and field measurements were used to consider the patterns and features of the morphometric indicators dynamics of the Anadyr lowland lakes over 65 years. We analyzed the parameters of 36 lakes with an area of 0.02–0.3 km2 located in the bottoms of drained lake basins, in river floodplains, on sea-shore terraces. Field studies were conducted on 22 typical lakes. The considered dynamics of seasonal thawing are based on the monitoring of the active layer for 1994–2020. Due to an increase of mean annual air temperature by 1.8 °C, as well as an increase and then a decrease in the mean annual precipitation by 135 mm, the average share of a lake area in the study area decreased by 24%. It is shown for the first time that cryogenic processes of the lacustrine coastal zone affect the change in the area of lakes simultaneously with the influence of precipitation and air temperature. Based on field observations, we considered two causes of natural drainage: discharge of the lakes through newly formed thermokarst and thermoerosional surface flow channels and decrease in suprapermafrost groundwater recharge as a result of changing depth of seasonally thawed active layer in the coastal zone.

Vegetation grows more luxuriantly in Arctic permafrost drained lake basins.

As Arctic warming, permafrost thawing, and thermokarst development intensify, increasing evidence suggests that the frequency and magnitude of thermokarst lake drainage events are increasing. Presently, we lack a quantitative understanding of vegetation dynamics in drained lake basins, which is necessary to assess the extent to which plant growth in thawing ecosystems will offset the carbon released from permafrost. In this study, continuous satellite observations were used to detect thermokarst lake drainage events in northern Alaska over the past 20 years, and an advanced temporal segmentation and change detection algorithm allowed us to determine the year of drainage for each lake. Quantitative analysis showed that the greenness (normalized difference vegetation index [NDVI]) of tundra vegetation growing on wet and nutrient‐rich lake sediments increased approximately 10 times faster than that of the peripheral vegetation. It takes approximately 5 years (4–6 years for the 25%–75% range) for the drainage lake area to reach the greenness level of the peripheral vegetation. Eventually, the NDVI values of the drained lake basins were 0.15 (or 25%) higher than those of the surrounding areas. In addition, we found less lush vegetation in the floodplain drained lake basins, possibly due to water logging. We further explored the key environmental drivers affecting vegetation dynamics in and around the drained lake basins. The results showed that our multivariate regression model well simulated the growth dynamics of the drainage lake ecosystem (Radj2=.73, p < .001) and peripheral vegetation (Radj2=.68, p < .001). Among climate variables, moisture variables were more influential than temperature variables, indicating that vegetation growth in this area is susceptible to water stress. Our study provides valuable information for better modeling of vegetation dynamics in thermokarst lake areas and provides new insights into Arctic greening and carbon balance studies as thermokarst lake drainage intensifies.

Remote Sensing-Based Statistical Approach for Defining Drained Lake Basins in a Continuous Permafrost Region, North Slope of Alaska

Lake formation and drainage are pervasive phenomena in permafrost regions. Drained lake basins (DLBs) are often the most common landforms in lowland permafrost regions in the Arctic (50% to 75% of the landscape). However, detailed assessments of DLB distribution and abundance are limited. In this study, we present a novel and scalable remote sensing-based approach to identifying DLBs in lowland permafrost regions, using the North Slope of Alaska as a case study. We validated this first North Slope-wide DLB data product against several previously published sub-regional scale datasets and manually classified points. The study area covered &gt;71,000 km2, including a &gt;39,000 km2 area not previously covered in existing DLB datasets. Our approach used Landsat-8 multispectral imagery and ArcticDEM data to derive a pixel-by-pixel statistical assessment of likelihood of DLB occurrence in sub-regions with different permafrost and periglacial landscape conditions, as well as to quantify aerial coverage of DLBs on the North Slope of Alaska. The results were consistent with previously published regional DLB datasets (up to 87% agreement) and showed high agreement with manually classified random points (64.4–95.5% for DLB and 83.2–95.4% for non-DLB areas). Validation of the remote sensing-based statistical approach on the North Slope of Alaska indicated that it may be possible to extend this methodology to conduct a comprehensive assessment of DLBs in pan-Arctic lowland permafrost regions. Better resolution of the spatial distribution of DLBs in lowland permafrost regions is important for quantitative studies on landscape diversity, wildlife habitat, permafrost, hydrology, geotechnical conditions, and high-latitude carbon cycling.

A global-scale screening of non-native aquatic organisms to identify potentially invasive species under current and future climate conditions

The threat posed by invasive non-native species worldwide requires a global approach to identify which introduced species are likely to pose an elevated risk of impact to native species and ecosystems. To inform policy, stakeholders and management decisions on global threats to aquatic ecosystems, 195 assessors representing 120 risk assessment areas across all six inhabited continents screened 819 non-native species from 15 groups of aquatic organisms (freshwater, brackish, marine plants and animals) using the Aquatic Species Invasiveness Screening Kit. This multi-lingual decision-support tool for the risk screening of aquatic organisms provides assessors with risk scores for a species under current and future climate change conditions that, following a statistically based calibration, permits the accurate classification of species into high-, medium- and low-risk categories under current and predicted climate conditions. The 1730 screenings undertaken encompassed wide geographical areas (regions, political entities, parts thereof, water bodies, river basins, lake drainage basins, and marine regions), which permitted thresholds to be identified for almost all aquatic organismal groups screened as well as for tropical, temperate and continental climate classes, and for tropical and temperate marine ecoregions. In total, 33 species were identified as posing a ‘very high risk’ of being or becoming invasive, and the scores of several of these species under current climate increased under future climate conditions, primarily due to their wide thermal tolerances. The risk thresholds determined for taxonomic groups and climate zones provide a basis against which area-specific or climate-based calibrated thresholds may be interpreted. In turn, the risk rankings help decision-makers identify which species require an immediate ‘rapid’ management action (e.g. eradication, control) to avoid or mitigate adverse impacts, which require a full risk assessment, and which are to be restricted or banned with regard to importation and/or sale as ornamental or aquarium/fishery enhancement.

Geophysical Observations of Taliks Below Drained Lake Basins on the Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska

AbstractLakes and drained lake basins (DLBs) together cover up to ∼80% of the western Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska. The formation and drainage of lakes in this continuous permafrost region drive spatial and temporal landscape dynamics. Postdrainage processes including vegetation succession and permafrost aggradation have implications for hydrology, carbon cycling, and landscape evolution. Here, we used surface nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) and transient electromagnetic (TEM) measurements in conjunction with thermal modeling to investigate permafrost aggradation beneath eight DLBs on the western Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska. We also surveyed two primary surface sites that served as nonlake affected control sites. Approximate timing of lake drainage was estimated based on historical aerial imagery. We interpreted the presence of taliks based on either unfrozen water estimated with surface NMR and/or TEM resistivities in DLBs compared to measurements on primary surface sites and borehole resistivity logs. Our results show evidence of taliks below several DLBs that drained before and after 1949 (oldest imagery). We observed depths to the top of taliks between 9 and 45 m. Thermal modeling and geophysical observations agree about the presence and extent of taliks at sites that drained after 1949. Lake drainage events will likely become more frequent in the future due to climate change and our modeling results suggest that warmer and wetter conditions will limit permafrost aggradation in DLBs. Our observations provide useful information to predict future evolution of permafrost in DLBs and its implications for the water and carbon cycles in the Arctic.

Seasonality buffers carbon budget variability across heterogeneous landscapes in Alaskan Arctic tundra

Arctic tundra exhibits large landscape heterogeneity in microtopography, hydrology, and active layer depth. While many carbon flux measurements and experiments are done at or below the mesoscale (⩽1 km), modern ecosystem carbon modeling is often done at scales of 0.25°–1.0° latitude, creating a mismatch between processes, process input data, and verification data. Here we arrange the naturally complex terrain into mesoscale landscape types of varying microtopography and moisture status to evaluate how landscape types differ in terms of CO2 and CH4 balances and their combined warming potential, expressed as CO2 equivalents (CO2-eq). Using a continuous 4 year dataset of CO2 and CH4 fluxes obtained from three eddy covariance (EC) towers, we investigate the integrated dynamics of landscape type, vegetation community, moisture regime, and season on net CO2 and CH4 fluxes. EC towers were situated across a moisture gradient including a moist upland tundra, a heterogeneous polygon tundra, and an inundated drained lake basin. We show that seasonal shifts in carbon emissions buffer annual carbon budget differences caused by site variability. Of note, high growing season gross primary productivity leads to higher fall zero-curtain CO2 emissions, reducing both variability in annual budgets and carbon sink strength of more productive sites. Alternatively, fall zero-curtain CH4 emissions are equal across landscape types, indicating site variation has little effect on CH4 emissions during the fall despite large differences during the growing season. We find that the polygon site has the largest mean warming potential (107 ± 8.63 g C–CO2-eq m−2 yr−1) followed by the drained lake basin site (82.12 ± 9.85 g C–CO2-eq m−2 yr−1) and the upland site (77.19 ± 21.8 g C–CO2-eq m−2 yr−1), albeit differences were not significant. The highest temperature sensitivities are also at the polygon site with mixed results between CO2 and CH4 at the other sites. Results show a similar mean annual net warming effect across dominant landscape types but that these landscape types vary significantly in the amounts and timing of CO2 and CH4 fluxes.