Soil moisture is an important component of the hydrological cycle and a key mediator between land surface and atmospheric interactions. Although substantial progress has been made in remote sensing of soil moisture at different spatial scales, the shallow penetration depth of remote sensors greatly limits their utility for applications in meteorological modelling and hydrological studies where the critical variable of interest is the root-zone soil moisture content. Therefore, this study assesses the relationship between soil moisture at the surface (10 cm) and in lower soil layers (20, 40, 60, 80, 100, and 120 cm) under varying climates, soils, and crop types. Cross-correlation analysis is applied to daily in-situ soil moisture measurements from 4712 locations in agricultural lands across the contiguous United States. Our analysis demonstrates that zero-day lag always produced the highest correlation between 10 cm soil moisture and soil moisture in the lower layers. In addition, a positive and strong relationship between 10 and 20 cm soil moisture (r = 0.84) was observed, while the relationships between 10 and 40 cm soil moisture were moderate (r = 0.52). The decline in cross-correlation continued to the deeper soil layers, which indicated that, on a daily timescale, the surface soil moisture gradually becomes decoupled with soil moisture at greater depths. Therefore, our research suggests that the estimation of soil moisture in the soil layers up to 40 cm based on surface soil moisture is most promising. However, the influence of climate, crop type, and soil texture on the strength of relationships between surface and lower layers makes the prediction difficult. The comparatively weak relationship between precipitation and soil moisture (0.09–0.32), as well as the relationship between reference evapotranspiration (ETo) and soil moisture (−0.19–0.18), in this study can be attributed to scale mismatching from different data sources.
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