Diurnal Cycle Of Precipitation Research Articles

Observed Variability in Convective Cell Characteristics and Near-Storm Environments across the Sea- and Bay-Breeze Fronts in Southeast Texas

Abstract During the DOE Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Tracking Aerosol Convection Interactions Experiment (TRACER) IOP spanning June–September 2022, two fixed ARM sites and a mobile team concurrently sampled the airmass heterogeneity across sea- and bay-breeze fronts around the greater Houston metropolitan region. Here, we quantify the spatiotemporal variability between maritime (coastal/bay side of breeze fronts) and continental (inland side of breeze fronts) air masses over 15 IOP days characterized by strong sea-breeze forcing. We analyze environmental profile data from 177 radiosondes and use S- and C-band radar data to track and quantify the variability in attributes of more than 2300 shallow and transitioning cells across different air masses. The composite analysis of environmental profiles indicates that during the early afternoon, the sea-breeze maritime air mass exhibits lower convective available potential energy (CAPE) than the bay-breeze maritime air mass. As the sea breeze advances inland with time, CAPE within the maritime air mass exceeds that of the continental air mass to the north of the breeze fronts. In general, maritime cells have a larger mean composite reflectivity and cell widths than continental cells; however, the response varies between shallow and transitioning cells. Mean composite 20-dBZ echo-top heights, however, are similar across air masses for both shallow and transitioning cells. The continental and maritime inflow air mass for transitioning cells has significantly different mean values for mixed-layer entrainment CAPE, lifted condensation level, level of free condensation, boundary layer depth, and diluted equilibrium level. For shallow cells, only total precipitable water shows a significant difference. Significance Statement The greater Houston metropolitan area is a natural laboratory for understanding the individual impacts of background meteorology and aerosols on convective clouds. Due to its proximity to the Gulf Coast and Galveston Bay, the Houston region experiences a diurnal precipitation cycle in the summer, driven by convection triggered from sea- and bay-breeze fronts. These fronts act as a boundary between air masses with distinct thermodynamic and environmental characteristics. Convergence along these fronts and interactions between storm outflow and the fronts facilitate convection initiation in different mesoscale air masses. This study quantifies the heterogeneity among these air masses while investigating their influence on cloud microphysics. We find that the effect of airmass heterogeneity is more pronounced for the bulk microphysical properties in shallow clouds.

Effects of urban areas on the diurnal cycle of temperature and precipitation in a global climate simulation

AbstractAnalyses of global climate model results for urban impacts on temperature and precipitation are rare. Previous analyses of the global Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model simulation results for 1985–2010 have revealed urban effects on minimum and maximum temperatures. Using the same dataset to derive time‐zone‐corrected three‐hourly local time period (LTP) data, averaged diurnal cycles of temperature and precipitation were calculated for grid cells with greater than 10% urban fraction (urban grid cells) globally. Three latitudinal bands were assessed: northern extratropics (NET, 274 urban grid cells), southern extratropics (SET, 39 urban grid cells), and the Tropics (26 urban grid cells). The largest statistically significant urban influences on temperature are consistently found at night, in agreement with many previous studies on urban heat islands. Signs of urban cooling were found for a few hours, from 09:00 to 15:00 LTP, most often in summer. Influences of urban areas on precipitation varied, with small increases and decreases in all latitudinal bands and seasons. For NET, increases were generally found. In the Tropics, increases were found from 21:00 to 09:00 LTP for all seasons except DJF, with decreases for all seasons from 15:00 to 18:00 LTP. In SET, all seasons had increases for 21:00 to 00:00 LTP and decreases for 15:00 to 18:00 LTP. DJF had decreases for all LTPs except 21:00 to 00:00 LTP and SON had increases for all times except 15:00 to 18:00 LTP. Differences in rainfall in the region surrounding the urban areas were broadly similar to local changes in NET. For the Tropics and SET, regional decreases were found for DJF and JJA, with a more varied pattern for other months. Regional effects appeared to be more restricted to near‐urban areas in the Tropics than in NET. The results indicate some influence of nearby urban areas on regional temperature and precipitation.

Comparison of Climatology of Precipitation Diurnal Cycle in Kalimantan Deduced from Rain Gauge and IMERG Data

Abstract The diurnal cycle is repetitive pattern of changes in weather factors on land and oceans due to the Earth rotation. Kalimantan Island as the largest island in the Maritime Islands region has a complex rainfall pattern that is influenced by local factors and global circulation. The research was conducted to find out the climatological comparison of the diurnal cycle of rain in Kalimantan based on rain gauge data and Integrated Multi-SatellitE Retrievals for GPM Version 07 (IMERG V07) data for the period 2016 - 2022. Data validation using rain gauge data to validate and calibrate IMERG satellite data, improving the accuracy and reliability of satellite rainfall estimates. The diurnal cycle is evaluated through a Precipitation Amount (PA), Precipitation Frequency (PF), and Precipitation Intensity (PI) every hour. The results show that the maximum rainfall occurs in the afternoon and evening along the coast, and in the middle of the night and morning on the Kalimantan plains. Kalimantan has high rainfall intensity values at short rainfall durations, i.e. rain lasting less than 3 hours. This is expected to improve the quality of hydrometeorological disaster mitigation in Kalimantan.

Heterogeneity of the diurnal cycle of precipitation in the Amazon Basin

Heterogeneity of the diurnal cycle of precipitation in the Amazon Basin

Improved Precipitation Diurnal Cycle in GFDL Climate Models With Non‐Equilibrium Convection

Improved Precipitation Diurnal Cycle in GFDL Climate Models With Non‐Equilibrium Convection

Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation and Extremes in Nepal

This study examines the spatio-temporal distribution of hourly precipitation across Nepal using Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG) data from 2015 to 2021. The findings indicate that hourly precipitation intensity during the monsoon season can reach up to 0.7 mm/hr, while pre-monsoon intensities peak at 0.2 mm/hr. These intensities are predominantly concentrated in mid- and low-elevation areas of central and eastern Nepal. Post-monsoon and winter seasons exhibit high-intensity precipitation patches over high-elevation regions in the western, central, and eastern peripheries of the country. The annual distribution of hourly precipitation shows a pronounced peak during the monsoon season, indicating that a significant portion of the total annual precipitation occurs during this period. Extreme precipitation events follow a similar seasonal distribution, with monsoon extremes exceeding 15 mm/hr. The diurnal cycle of monsoonal precipitation shows unique characteristics, peaking at 0.65 mm/hr around midnight and decreasing to 0.2 mm/hr by late morning, then increasing steadily in the afternoon and evening. Additionally, the study contrasts hourly heavy precipitation extremes (≥10 mm/hr or day) with daily extremes, noting that hourly extremes, despite being accumulated into daily measures, present a higher frequency, and pose greater short-term hazard risks. This analysis over a seven-year period suggests the need for continued research to determine spatial and temporal trends in hourly versus daily extreme precipitation patterns, particularly in the context of climate change and its impacts on regional hydrology and meteorology.

How Well Does the DOE Global Storm Resolving Model Simulate Clouds and Precipitation Over the Amazon?

AbstractThis study assesses a 40‐day 3.25‐km global simulation of the Simple Cloud‐Resolving E3SM Model (SCREAMv0) using high‐resolution ground‐based observations from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon) field campaign. SCREAMv0 reasonably captures the diurnal timing of boundary layer clouds yet underestimates the boundary layer cloud fraction and mid‐level congestus. SCREAMv0 well replicates the precipitation diurnal cycle, however it exhibits biases in the precipitation cluster size distribution compared to scanning radar observations. Specifically, SCREAMv0 overproduces clusters smaller than 128 km, and does not form enough large clusters. Such biases suggest an inhibition of convective upscale growth, preventing isolated deep convective clusters from evolving into larger mesoscale systems. This model bias is partially attributed to the misrepresentation of land‐atmosphere coupling. This study highlights the potential use of high‐resolution ground‐based observations to diagnose convective processes in global storm resolving model simulations, identify key model deficiencies, and guide future process‐oriented model sensitivity tests and detailed analyses.

Diurnal cycle of precipitation in Brazil

Diurnal cycle of precipitation in Brazil

Realistic Precipitation Diurnal Cycle in Global Convection‐Permitting Models by Resolving Mesoscale Convective Systems

AbstractAccurately representing the precipitation diurnal cycle has long been a challenge for global climate models (GCMs). Here we evaluate the precipitation diurnal cycle in the DYAMOND global convection‐permitting models (CPMs) and CMIP6 HighResMIP models. Comparison of the high‐ (25–50 km) and low‐resolution (100–250 km) models with parameterized convection in HighResMIP shows that simply increasing model resolution does not noticeably improve the precipitation diurnal cycle. In contrast, CPMs can better capture the observed amplitude and timing of precipitation diurnal cycle. However, the simulated spatial variation of timing in CPMs is smaller than observed, leading to an exaggeration of the spatially averaged diurnal amplitude. The better‐simulated precipitation diurnal cycle in the CPMs is tied to mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), which contribute about half of the total precipitation. The observed life cycle of MCSs, including initiation and mature stages, is well captured in the CPMs, leading to a more realistic precipitation diurnal cycle.

The performance of the CoMorph‐A convection package in global simulations with the Met Office Unified Model

AbstractThe impact on global simulations of a new package of physical parametrizations in the Met Office Unified Model is documented. The main component of the package is an entirely new convection scheme, CoMorph. This has a mass‐flux structure that allows initiation of buoyant ascent from any level and the ability for plumes of differing originating levels to coexist in a grid box. It has a different form of closure, where the mass flux of initiation is dependent on local instability, and an implicit numerical solution for detrainment that yields smooth timestep behaviour. The scheme is coupled more consistently to the cloud, microphysics, and boundary‐layer parametrizations and, as a result, significant changes to these have also been made. The package, called CoMorph‐A, has been tested in a variety of single‐column and idealized regimes. Here we test it in global configurations and evaluate it against observations using a range of standard metrics. Overall it is found to perform well against the control. Biases in the climatologies of the radiative fluxes are significantly reduced across the Tropics and subtropics, tropical and extratropical cyclone statistics are improved, and the Madden–Julian oscillation and other propagating tropical waves are strengthened. It also improves overall scores in numerical weather prediction trials, without revisions to the data assimilation. There is still work to do to improve the diurnal cycle of precipitation over land, where the peak remains too close to the middle of the day.

Improved Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation on Land in a Global Non-Hydrostatic Model Using a Revised NSAS Deep Convective Scheme

Improved Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation on Land in a Global Non-Hydrostatic Model Using a Revised NSAS Deep Convective Scheme

Evaluation of the convection permitting regional climate model CNRM-AROME on the orographically complex island of Corsica

Meteorological processes over islands with complex orography could be better simulated by Convection Permitting Regional Climate Models (CP-RCMs) thanks to an improved representation of the orography, land–sea contrasts, the combination of coastal and orographic effects, and explicit deep convection. This paper evaluates the ability of the CP-RCM CNRM-AROME (2.5-km horizontal resolution) to simulate relevant meteorological characteristics of the Mediterranean island of Corsica for the 2000–2018 period. These hindcast simulations are compared to their driving Regional Climate Model (RCM) CNRM-ALADIN (12.5-km horizontal resolution and parameterised convection), weather stations for precipitation and wind and gridded precipitation datasets. The main benefits are found in the representation of (i) precipitation extremes resulting mainly from mesoscale convective systems affected by steep mountains during autumn and (ii) the formation of convection through thermally induced diurnal circulations and their interaction with the orography during summer. Simulations of hourly precipitation extremes, the diurnal cycle of precipitation, the distribution of precipitation intensities, the duration of precipitation events, and sea breezes are all improved in the 2.5-km simulations with respect to the RCM, confirming an added value. However, existing differences between model simulations and observations are difficult to explain as the main biases are related to the availability and quality of observations, particularly at high elevations. Overall, better results from the 2.5-km resolution, increase our confidence in CP-RCMs to investigate future climate projections for Corsica and islands with complex terrain.

High resolution Tibetan Plateau regional reanalysis 1961-present

With the rapid global warming in recent decades, the Tibetan Plateau (TP) has suffered severe impacts, such as glacier retreat, glacial lake expansion, and permafrost degradation, which threaten the lives and properties of the local and downstream populations. Regional Reanalysis (RR) is vital for TP due to the limitations of observations. In this work, a 62-year (1961–2022) long atmospheric regional reanalysis with spatial resolution of 9 km (convective gray-zone scale) and temporal resolution of 1 hour over the TP (TPRR) was developed using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, combined with re-initialization method, spectral nudging (SN), and several optimizations. TPRR is forced by ERA5 at hourly intervals. TPRR outperforms ERA5, realistically capturing climatological characteristics and seasonal variations of precipitation and T2m (air temperature at 2m above ground level). Moreover, TPRR better reproduces the frequency and intensity of precipitation, as well as the diurnal cycle of precipitation. This study also quantifies the wetting trend of 0.0071 mm/year over the TP amid global warming using TPRR.

Characterisation of the observed diurnal cycle of precipitation over the Maritime Continent

AbstractThis study investigates the temporal and spatial complexities of the mean diurnal cycle (DC) of precipitation over the Maritime Continent during the wet season using the Integrated Multi‐satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) data product and highlights systematic inaccuracies of amplitude and phase representation using the first diurnal harmonic (FDH). The first‐order nature of the DC of precipitation is already well documented, typically featuring heavy precipitation over near‐coastal land areas in the late afternoon and evening followed by maximum precipitation overnight over the surrounding seas, with offshore propagation evident in places. The DC is often described concisely in terms of an amplitude and phase based on the FDH parameters, however the omission of higher‐order components of variability results in the FDH parameters being poor indicators of the magnitude and peak time of diurnal variability in many locations. This study improves the accuracy of the amplitude and phase parameters by characterising the DC using two novel waveforms—a skew‐permitting waveform and a spike‐permitting waveform—which are constructed to characterise single‐peak cycles with rapid transitions more accurately. Key characterisation improvements include correction of a phase lag (averaging approximately 1 h) over near‐coastal land areas and capture of the short‐lasting but extreme peak in precipitation rate over Java which increases the amplitude by the order of 20%. The new skew parameter shows that locations close to coastlines experience rapid intensification and gradual weakening of diurnal precipitation, while there is a tendency toward gradual intensification and rapid weakening far inland and offshore. The new spike parameter shows that near‐coastal land experiences a brief and precisely timed peak in precipitation, whereas diurnal activity over inland locations is longer‐lasting and less precisely timed, and waters surrounding Java experience a precisely timed suppression of precipitation. Other potential applications of the novel waveforms used in this study are discussed.

Irrigation in the North China plain regulates the diurnal cycle of precipitation and regional water cycle

Irrigation in the North China plain regulates the diurnal cycle of precipitation and regional water cycle

Dynamic atmospheric mechanisms associated with the diurnal cycle of hydrometeors and precipitation in the Andes–Amazon transition zone of central Peru during the summer season

Dynamic atmospheric mechanisms associated with the diurnal cycle of hydrometeors and precipitation in the Andes–Amazon transition zone of central Peru during the summer season

Numerical Study on the Precipitation Concentration over the Western Coast of Sumatra Island

Abstract Large amounts of tropical precipitation have been observed as significantly concentrated over the western coast of Sumatra Island. In the present study, we used a cloud-resolving model to perform 14-day numerical simulations and reproduce the distinctive precipitation distributions over western Sumatra Island and adjacent areas. The control experiment, in which the warmer sea surface temperature (SST) near the coast was incorporated and the terminal velocity and effective radius of ice clouds were parameterized to be temperature dependent, adequately reproduced the precipitation concentration as well as the diurnal cycles of precipitation. We then used the column-integrated frozen moist static energy budget equation, which is virtually equivalent to the column-integrated moisture budget equation under the weak temperature gradient assumption, to formulate sensitivity experiments focusing on the effects of coastal SST and upper-level ice clouds. Analysis of the time-averaged fields revealed that the column-integrated moisture and precipitation in the coast were significantly reduced when a cooler coastal SST or larger ice cloud particle size was assumed. Based on the comparison of the sensitivity experiments and in situ observations, we speculate that ice clouds, which are exported from inland convection that is strictly regulated by solar radiation, promote the accumulation of moisture in the coastal region by mitigating radiative cooling. Together with the moisture and heat supplied by the warm ocean surface, they contribute to the large amounts of precipitation here.

Parameterization of the Elevated Convection With a Unified Convection Scheme (UNICON) and Its Impacts on the Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation

AbstractTo improve the simulation of nocturnal precipitation, we develop a parameterization for the elevated convection that is launched from the level of maximum grid‐mean moist static energy, when grid‐mean vertical flow is upward at the launching interface. The parameterized elevated convection is forced by both cold pool‐driven and partially resolved external mesoscale organized flows. Properties of the external mesoscale flow are estimated from grid‐mean vertical velocity and three dimensional advection tendencies of temperature and moisture. The new parameterization is implemented into a unified convection scheme (UNICON) and tested for both the single‐column case at the Southern Great Plain (SGP) site in US and in global simulations. At the SGP site, the parameterized elevated convection strengthens nocturnal convection, increases nocturnal precipitation, and better simulates the observed diurnal cycle of precipitation. It appears that the elevated and surface‐based convections interact with each other by stabilizing the atmospheric column, which affects subsequent convection. Global simulation shows that the elevated convection mostly occurs over the continents during the night, and also over the oceanic mid‐latitude warm air advection and storm track regions during summer. Without degrading global mean climate, the elevated convection improves the simulation of nocturnal precipitation in the mid‐US but simulates somewhat strong nocturnal precipitation in northeastern Asia. It seems that a key to simulate observed nocturnal precipitation is to appropriately parameterize the impacts of external organized flow on the elevated convection.

How Can We Improve the Seamless Representation of Climatological Statistics and Weather Toward Reliable Global K‐Scale Climate Simulations?

AbstractToward the achievement of reliable global kilometer‐scale (k‐scale) climate simulations, we improve the Nonhydrostatic ICosahedral Atmospheric Model (NICAM) by focusing on moist physical processes. A goal of the model improvement is to establish a configuration that can simulate realistic fields seamlessly from the daily‐scale variability to the climatological statistics. Referring to the two representative configurations of the present NICAM, each of which has been used for climate‐scale and sub‐seasonal‐scale experiments, we try to find the appropriate partitioning of fast/local and slow/global‐scale circulations. In a series of sensitivity experiments at 14‐km horizontal resolution, we test (a) the tuning of terminal velocities of rain, snow, and cloud ice, (b) the implementation of turbulent diffusion by the Leonard term, and (c) enhanced vertical resolution. These tests yield reasonable convection triggering and convection‐induced tropospheric moistening, and result in better performance than in previous NICAM climate simulations. In the mean state, double Intertropical Convergence Zone bias disappears, and the zonal contrast of equatorial precipitation, top‐of‐atmosphere radiation balance, vertical temperature profile, and position/strength of subtropical jet are reproduced dramatically better. Variability such as equatorial waves and the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) is spontaneously realized with appropriate spectral power balance, and the Asian summer monsoon, boreal‐summer MJO, and tropical cyclone (TC) activities are more realistically simulated especially around the western Pacific. Meanwhile, biases still exist in the representation of low‐cloud fraction, TC intensity, and precipitation diurnal cycle, suggesting that both higher spatial resolutions and further model development are warranted.

Evaluation of precipitation across the contiguous United States, Alaska, and Puerto Rico in multi-decadal convection-permitting simulations

This study is an early effort to generate a multi-decadal convection-permitting regional climate dataset that covers nearly the entire North American continent. We assessed a 20 year dynamically downscaled regional climate simulation at a 4 km spatial resolution with explicit convection across the contiguous United States (CONUS), Alaska, and Puerto Rico. Specifically, we evaluated the model’s performance in representing mean, 95th percentile, and extreme precipitation across regions. Our findings indicate that when compared with ERA5 reanalysis, the forcing data, convection-permitting simulation improves representations of seasonal, 95th percentile, and extreme precipitation over a large portion of the CONUS, Alaska, and Puerto Rico, particularly in areas where precipitation is heaviest. The simulation adds value over its forcing data (ERA5) in up to 53% of all grid cells in the CONUS, 68.8% in Alaska, and 84.0% in Puerto Rico. It is important to note that, however, despite improvements, model errors in Puerto Rico remain large. Similar improvements are observed in extreme indices, including consecutive dry days, maximum 5 days precipitation, and extreme precipitation. Analysis of the diurnal cycle of mean hourly precipitation suggests that representations of convective processes—including onset, dissipation, suppression, downstream propagation, and local circulation—improved overall.