In this study, a rainfall simulation device was employed to investigate the response mechanism of soil leachate and disinfection by-products formation potential (DBPsFP) to extreme precipitation events. The results revealed that the aromaticity of dissolved organic matter (DOM) and the concentration of hydrophobic DOM containing aromatic carbon groups in leachate decreased with rising temperature. The humification degree of DOM decreased at 25 °C (99 mm/h), while the humification degree and protein-like level of DOM increased under high temperatures droughts (45 °C and 65 °C). Higher temperatures resulted in the leach of more microbial-derived humus and low molecular phenolic compounds from soil and broadened the range of molecular weight distribution. Increasing temperature increased DBPsFP and DBPs species and caused the precursors of haloacetic acids (HAAs) in leachate to become more hydrophobic, while the precursors of trihalomethanes (THMs) became more hydrophilic. Most importantly, the increased temperature attenuated the rainfall-mediated dilution of organic pollutant concentration, and temperature has a more significant effect than extreme rainfall in DOM abundance and the formation potential (or species) of DBPs. The results help to better understand the impact of climate change on the physicochemical processes of water quality.