ObjectivesTo test if tumour changes measured using combination of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) MRI and FDG-PET/CT performed serially during radiotherapy (RT) in mucosal head and neck carcinoma can predict treatment response.MethodsFifty-five patients from two prospective imaging biomarker studies were analysed. FDG-PET/CT was performed at baseline, during RT (week 3), and post RT (3 months). DWI was performed at baseline, during RT (weeks 2, 3, 5, 6), and post RT (1 and 3 months). The ADCmean from DWI and FDG-PET parameters SUVmax, SUVmean, metabolic tumour volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) were measured. Absolute and relative change (%∆) in DWI and PET parameters were correlated to 1-year local recurrence. Patients were categorised into favourable, mixed, and unfavourable imaging response using optimal cut-off (OC) values of DWI and FDG-PET parameters and correlated to local control.ResultsThe 1-year local, regional, and distant recurrence rates were 18.2% (10/55), 7.3% (4/55), and 12.7% (7/55), respectively. ∆Week 3 ADCmean (AUC 0.825, p = 0.003; OC ∆ > 24.4%) and ∆MTV (AUC 0.833, p = 0.001; OC ∆ > 50.4%) were the best predictors of local recurrence. Week 3 was the optimal time point for assessing DWI imaging response. Using a combination of ∆ADCmean and ∆MTV improved the strength of correlation to local recurrence (p ≤ 0.001). In patients who underwent both week 3 MRI and FDG-PET/CT, significant differences in local recurrence rates were seen between patients with favourable (0%), mixed (17%), and unfavourable (78%) combined imaging response.ConclusionsChanges in mid-treatment DWI and FDG-PET/CT imaging can predict treatment response and could be utilised in the design of future adaptive clinical trials.Clinical relevance statementOur study shows the complementary information provided by two functional imaging modalities for mid-treatment response prediction in patients with head and neck cancer.Key Points•FDG-PET/CT and DWI MRI changes in tumour during radiotherapy in head and neck cancer can predict treatment response.•Combination of FDG-PET/CT and DWI parameters improved correlation to clinical outcome.•Week 3 was the optimal time point for DWI MRI imaging response assessment.
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