Differences In Growth Rates Research Articles

No adaptation to warming after selection for 800 generations in the coccolithophore Emiliania huxleyi BOF 92

Ocean warming is suggested to exert profound effects on phytoplankton physiology and growth. Here, we investigated how the coccolithophore Emiliania huxleyi (BOF 92, a non-calcifying strain) responded to changes in temperature in short- and long-term thermal treatments. The specific growth rate after 10 days of acclimation increased gradually with increasing temperatures (14, 17, 21, 24, 28°C) and peaked at ~23°C, followed by a significant decrease to 28°C. Chlorophyll a content, cell size, photosynthetic rate, and respiratory rate increased significantly from 14°C to 24°C, but the cellular particulate organic carbon (POC) and nitrogen (PON) showed the lowest values at the optimal temperature. In contrast, during long-term thermal treatments at 17°C and 21°C for 656 days (~790 generations for 17°C treatment; ~830 generations for 21°C treatment), the warming significantly stimulated the growth in the first 34 days and the last 162 days, but there was no significant difference in specific growth rate from Day 35 to Day 493. Chlorophyll a content, cell size, cellular POC/PON, and the ratio of POC to PON, showed no significant difference between the warming and control for most of the duration of the long-term exposure. The warming-selected population did not acquire persistent traits in terms of growth and cell quotas of POC and PON, which resumed to the levels in the control temperature treatment after about 9 generations in the shift test. In summary, our results indicate that warming by 4°C (17°C and 21°C) enhanced the growth, but did not result in adaptative changes in E. huxleyi (BOF 92) over a growth period of about 800 generations, reflecting that mild or non-stressful warming treatment to E. huxleyi isolated from cold seas does not alter its phenotypic plasticity.

Emergence of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacter hormaechei ST93 plasmids co-harbouring blaNDM-1, blaKPC-2, and mcr-9 in bloodstream infection

We isolated a strain of Enterobacter hormaechei, ECC2783, co-harbouring blaNDM-1, blaKPC-2 and mcr-9 plasmids from a bloodstream infection and investigated its biological features. The presence of carbapenemase genes and mcr-9 was confirmed by polymerase chain reaction amplification. Whole genome sequencing and genomic analysis were performed on ECC2783. Experiments assessing the conjugation and stability of plasmids carrying the carbapenemase gene were performed. We also performed a colistin resistance induction experiment and studied the fitness cost of transconjugants. ECC2783 has an extensive drug resistance phenotype. Multilocus sequence typing analysis results showed that ECC2783 belongs to sequence type 93. Bioinformatics analysis confirmed that ECC2783 has four plasmids, of which pECC2783_a, carrying mcr-9, is the IncHI2 type, and pECC2783_c, carrying blaNDM-1, is the IncX3 type. pECC2783_d, carrying blaKPC-2, is an unclassified type. We successfully obtained two transconjugants (J53/ECC2783_1, carrying blaNDM-1, and J53/ECC2783_2, carrying blaKPC-2 and blaNDM-1). There was no statistically significant difference in the relative growth rate between J53 and J53/ECC2783_2. For the first time, we isolated carbapenem-resistant E. hormaechei plasmids co-harbouring blaNDM-1, blaKPC-2, and mcr-9 from a patient with a blood stream infection. This isolate has a survival advantage in a hospital environment, and its clinical monitoring should be strengthened.

Comonomer Inclusion in Single Crystals of Isodimorphic Random Copolymers of Butylene Succinate and ε-Caprolactone

Random copolymers exhibit diverse crystallization behavior depending on whether comonomers are excluded or included in the crystalline phase. To understand the crystallization behavior of crystallizable isodimorphic random copolymer, in this work, we selected poly[(butylene succinate)-ran-(ε-caprolactone)], BSxCLy, copolyesters and studied their single crystal structure and morphology. The single crystals of PBS homopolymer and BS-rich copolymers were prepared by the self-seeding method in o-dichlorobenzene. The prepared single crystals were characterized by atomic force microscopy (AFM) and transmission electron microscopy. The suitable seeding temperature and the dissolution temperature of the copolymers decreased with the comonomer content. The morphological features, including size, shape, layer number, and thickness, of the single crystals depend on the seeding temperature, crystallization temperature, and, most interestingly, the composition. The size of the single crystals increased with the seeding temperature, while the aspect ratio increased with the crystallization temperature. Higher CL content in the copolymers contributed to multilayered crystals and curved edges. These characteristics were explained by the difference in growth rate and the number of dislocations, both of which are expected to be influenced by the comonomers. As revealed by AFM, the thickness of the single crystals increased with CL contents, which is the opposite of what has been reported for copolymers with high degree of comonomer exclusion. Electron diffraction of the single crystals showed smaller lattice expansion as compared to melt crystallized samples, indicating a lower degree of comonomer inclusion of CL units.

Characteristic findings in the human fetus vestibule: A human temporal bone study

ObjectiveThe “collapse,” a highly flexed, dented, or caved membrane between the endo- and peri-lymph of the saccule and utricle in adults, is considered as a morphological aspect of Ménière's syndrome. Likewise, when mesh-like tissues in the perilymphatic space are damaged or lost, the endothelium loses mechanical support and causes nerve irritation. However, these morphologies were not examined in fetuses. MethodsBy using histological sections from 25 human fetuses (crown-rump length[CRL] 82–372 mm; approximately 12–40 weeks), morphologies of the perilymphatic-endolymphatic border membrane and the mesh-like tissue around the endothelium were examined. ResultsThe highly flexed or caved membrane between the endo- and peri-lymphatic spaces was usually seen in the growing saccule and utricle of fetuses, especially at junctions between the utricle and ampulla at midterm. Likewise, the perilymphatic space around the saccule, utricle and semicircular ducts often lost the mesh-like tissues. The residual mesh-like tissue supported the veins, especially in the semicircular canal. ConclusionWithin a cartilaginous or bony room showing a limited growth in size but containing increased perilymph, the growing endothelium appeared to become wavy. Owing to a difference in growth rates between the utricle and semicircular duct, the dentation tended to be more frequently seen at junctions than at free margins of the utricle. The difference in site and gestational age suggested that the deformity was not “pathological” but occurred due to unbalanced growth of the border membrane. Nevertheless, the possibility that the deformed membrane in fetuses was an artifact caused by delayed fixation is not deniable.

Comparison of growth and survival rates of big blue octopus (Octopus cyanea, 1849) fed on natural and formulated diets in captivity

Comparative studies on growth and survival rates of Octopus cyanea fed on natural and formulated diets in captivity have never been conducted in Tanzania. This study aimed to investigate the growth and survival rates of O. cyanea using natural and formulated diets. The three formulated diets were made up of a mixture of sardines, fish waste, and alternating ratios of crab paste content across the different diet treatments. Treatment B had 75 % crab paste content, Treatment C had 50 % crab content and Treatment D had 0 % crab content while Treatment A was based on a natural diet of frozen crabs (Scylla serrata) and was used as a control. After five weeks of feeding, the effect of each diet was analyzed on growth performance and survival rates for the octopus. Results showed that there was a significant difference in growth rate in all the diet treatments (H=13.243, p=0.004, DF=3). Specific growth rates (SGR) were higher in octopuses fed in feed treatment A and lowest in feed treatment D. The survival rates were 100 % for treatment A and feed treatment B and 75 % for treatments C and D respectively. More research is needed to develop optimal nutritional diets for faster growth rates of O. cyanea in captivity.

Insights into the dwarfing mechanism of pear (Pyrus betulaefolia) based on anatomical and structural analysis using X-ray scanning

The lack of a suitable rootstock to control scion growth has limited the development of high-density plantations in pear production, which is partly attributed to poor understanding of the dwarfing mechanism. In the present study, the rootstock of the dwarf-type pear (Pyrus betulaefolia) ‘PY-9’ was identified and used as the material for anatomical analysis. ‘PY-9’ grew to half the tree height of the normal cultivar ‘Zhengdu’, along with fewer internodes and shorter length. Significant differences in growth rate between ‘PY-9’ and ‘Zhengdu’ were detected at approximately 30 days after full bloom, which corresponded with the time of the greatest difference in water potential between the dwarf and normal cultivar. ‘PY-9’ showed a higher photosynthetic rate than ‘Zhengdu’. Anatomical analysis showed that ‘PY-9’ had higher area ratios of both phloem and xylem and more developed vascular tissues than ‘Zhengdu’. The three-dimensional reconstructed skeleton of the xylem from X-ray computed tomography scanning revealed greater intervessel connectivity in ‘Zhengdu’ than in ‘PY-9’, which could contribute to the more vigorous growth of ‘Zhengdu’. This study thus provides the first comparison of the microstructural properties of xylem elements between a dwarfing-type and vigorous-type pear rootstock, providing new insights into the dwarfing mechanism in pear and facilitating breeding of dwarf pear rootstocks to increase crop productivity.

Peer Effects in Productivity and Differential Growth: A Global Value-Chain Perspective

Abstract Using multinational input–output data, we analyze how the productivity of countries adjusted for participation in global value chains affects their output growth in manufacturing sectors. Based on parametric and non-parametric methods, we find that value-chain linkages are critical to the productivity–growth nexus and help to explain cross-country differences in sectoral output growth rates compared to the situation where these linkages are ignored. Our results have implications for macroeconomics, where they point to peer effects in productivity as drivers of growth, and for economic development, where they illustrate how the participation in global value chains may outweigh disadvantages in productive performance at the level of individual countries. They may also encourage future empirical tests of replicator dynamics to verify whether global value chains can explain the weak evidence of selection forces at the firm level.

Evaluation of residual stress reproducibility and orientation dependent fatigue crack growth in powder bed fusion stainless steel

The complex thermal gradients of additive manufacturing (AM) result in residual stress and distinctive grain morphologies that influence mechanical performance and contribute to concern regarding the fatigue properties of AM parts. In this study, residual stress, microstructure, and fatigue crack growth rate (FCGR) results were compared in AM Type 304L stainless steel produced by laser powder bed fusion (PBF) on different systems using similar process parameters. Residual stress measured in the build direction was remarkably consistent in all PBF builds. Backscatter electron large area images revealed similar grain morphologies in the different builds, all of which exhibited elongated grains in the build direction and inhomogeneous grain size and shape. Fatigue crack growth investigated both parallel and perpendicular to the build direction revealed higher measured crack growth rates in the near-threshold regime in both orientations of the PBF material compared to wrought material. The difference in near-threshold fatigue crack growth rates is attributed primarily to the influence of processing-induced residual stress quantified by the residual stress intensity factor. These values revealed consistent FCGR effects in each orientation across specimens extracted from different builds and were then used to reveal a convergence of the corrected FCGR data of all PBF and wrought specimens.

Subtle differences in growth rate drive contrasting responses of ephemeral primary producers to recurrent disturbances

AbstractAlthough the importance of time after disturbance is well established in the ecological literature, studies examining how differences in growth rate affect species recovery and persistence in relation to the interval between recurrent perturbations are rare. We examined the response of two ephemeral primary producers inhabiting high‐shore rock pools, epilithic microphytobenthos (EMPB), and green filamentous algae, to disturbance regimes varying for the time interval between consecutive events. Informed from an empirically parametrized growth model's outcomes, we tested the hypothesis that EMPB would be able to recover from more frequent disturbance compared with filamentous algae in a field experiment involving three physical disturbance patterns differing for the clustering degree: high, moderate, and low (20, 40, and 80 days between disturbances). We predicted that: high clustering would prevent the recovery of both taxa; moderate clustering would prevent the recovery of the slower growing taxon only (filamentous algae); both taxa would recover under low clustering. Results showed that EMPB persisted independently of the clustering degree, whereas filamentous algae did not withstand any disturbance regime. Dramatically different effects of disturbance on organisms with subtle differences in their growth rate indicate that even stronger responses may be expected from taxa with more markedly contrasting life histories.

Cultural and enzymatic activity studies of a pathogenic wood-decaying fungus Fomitiporia hippophaeicola (Hymenochaetales, Basidiomycota), recollected in the Eastern Caucasus.

Stenotrophic basidiomycete fungus Fomitiporia hippophaeicola, being a wood-decaying pathogen of sea buckthorn (Hippophaë rhamnoides), has been recollected after 48years in the Eastern Caucasus during the mycological and phytopathological investigations in the inner-mountainous part of the Republic of Dagestan, Russia. The identity of the species was confirmed by both morphological and ITS1-5.8S-ITS2 nrDNA data. We introduced and characterized the dikaryotic strain of F. hippophaeicola deposited for permanent storage to the Basidiomycete Culture Collection of the Komarov Botanical Institute RAS (LE-BIN). The morphological features and growth parameters of this xylotrophic fungus with phytopathogenic activity under cultivation on different agarized media (BWA, MEA, PDA) are described for the first time. The LE-BIN 4785 strain of F. hippophaeicola showed differences in growth rate and macromorphology, while the microscopic characteristics remained more robust during growth on the media tested. Qualitative analyses of oxidative and cellulolytic enzyme activities and assessment of the degradation potential of the strain examined in vitro were carried out. As a result, the newly obtained strain of F. hippophaeicola was found to exhibit medium enzyme activities and a moderate capacity to degrade the polyphenol dye azur B.

Growth Rate and Body Size Mapping of Male Buffaloes during the Fattening Phase

Background: Buffalo is an animal that really likes water. Generally, buffalo like to soak in muddy waters and swamps around the cage. This behavior appears because buffalo have very few sweat glands. Therefore, if one wants to develop buffalo farming, he/she should look for special habitats or existing buffalo breeding centers. Differences in growth rates are caused by physiological factors and functional demands. Growth in animal body size usually follows an exponential function, with the growth rate varying from one body size to another. An animal's body size that functions earlier will grow faster with a greater growth rate than an animal that functions later. Differences in the growth rate of animal body size are also influenced by the constituent components of these body parts. Body parts composed primarily of bone will develop earlier than those composed of muscle or fat. During fattening, the body size of male buffaloes will have a different growth rate, where this difference indicates the potential for body size. The body size of a buffalo with a high growth rate has relatively large growth potential, while those with a small growth rate have small growth potential, or the body part has stopped growing because it has reached its maximum point. The purpose of this study is to determine the body size growth rate of male buffaloes, which have high potential during fattening. Mapping the body size of male buffaloes during fattening aims to help breeders determine at what age the buffaloes start to be fattened and slaughtered for meat production purposes so that they are economically quite profitable.
 Methodology: Data was collected using a saturated sampling technique, in which the livestock taken were all buffaloes kept by the Sumber Sari Livestock Group in Kalianget village, Seririt District, Buleleng Regency, Bali, which met the requirements in terms of their health and physical condition. The data obtained were analyzed using the power model regression analysis to determine the growth rate of the body size of the buffaloes. To map the growth rate, Biplot analysis was carried out with a Promax rotation of 90, as the variable is the estimated body size of the buffaloes based on the equation of the power regression line, and the object is the age of the male buffaloes.
 Conclusion: The results showed that the fastest growth rate or the greatest potential was chest width, followed by hip width, chest depth, body length, chest circumference, and shoulder height. At the same time, the slowest part of the lowest potential was the height of the hips. The results of mapping the body size growth rate of male buffalo aged 11-74 months with biplot charts showed that their growth potential was still quite high. However, there was a tendency for male buffalo over 30 months to have a slower growth rate in body size than those under 30 months.

Identification of the genetic basis of the duck growth rate in multiple growth stages using genome-wide association analysis

BackgroundThe genetic locus responsible for duck body size has been fully explained before, but the growth trait-related genetic basis is still waiting to be explored. For example, the genetic site related to growth rate, an important economic trait affecting marketing weight and feeding cost, is still unclear. Here, we performed genome wide association study (GWAS) to identify growth rate-associated genes and mutations.ResultIn the current study, the body weight data of 358 ducks were recorded every 10 days from hatching to 120 days of age. According to the growth curve, we evaluated the relative and absolute growth rates (RGR and AGR) of 5 stages during the early rapid growth period. GWAS results for RGRs identified 31 significant SNPs on autosomes, and these SNPs were annotated by 24 protein-coding genes. Fourteen autosomal SNPs were significantly associated with AGRs. In addition, 4 shared significant SNPs were identified as having an association with both AGR and RGR, which were Chr2: 11483045 C>T, Chr2: 13750217 G>A, Chr2: 42508231 G>A and Chr2: 43644612 C>T. Among them, Chr2: 11483045 C>T, Chr2: 42508231 G>A, and Chr2: 43644612 C>T were annotated by ASAP1, LYN and CABYR, respectively. ASAP1 and LYN have already been proven to play roles in the growth and development of other species. In addition, we genotyped every duck using the most significant SNP (Chr2: 42508231 G>A) and compared the growth rate difference among each genotype population. The results showed that the growth rates of individuals carrying the Chr2: 42508231 A allele were significantly lower than those without this allele. Moreover, the results of the Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis supported the idea that the growth rate and birth weight had a causal effect on the adult body weight, with the growth rate having a greater effect size.ConclusionIn this study, 41 SNPs significantly related to growth rate were identified. In addition, we considered that the ASAP1 and LYN genes are essential candidate genes affecting the duck growth rate. The growth rate also showed the potential to be used as a reliable predictor of adult weight, providing a theoretical reference for preselection.

Optimization of light/dark cycle in an extended photoperiod‐based speed breeding protocol for grain legumes

AbstractThe use of high‐performing varieties could contribute to increase food legume production and meet the population demand. However, the long process of conventional breeding is a serious limitation that needs further acceleration of genetic improvement. Speed breeding based on extended photoperiod is one of the techniques that allows rapid generation turnover by accelerating the plant life cycle. The present study focused on optimizing the duration of extended photoperiod for lentil, chickpea and faba bean in a growth chamber with light‐emitting diode (LED) light sources. Significant differences in growth rate, biomass production, phenology, physiology, plant injury and yield components were observed depending on light phase durations (22, 18 and 14 h). Twenty‐two hours of light resulted in earlier flowering and maturity, but higher stress symptoms than the other two light treatments. However, vegetative development was almost normal with limited stress under 14 h of light, but late flowering and maturity. Interestingly, good plant establishment with limited stress and shorter vegetative cycle was observed under 18 h of light. Therefore, a photoperiod of 18 h of light/6 h of darkness could be advised for a rapid breeding protocol.

Chronic Heat Stress Part 2: Increased Stress and Fear Responses in F1 Pekin Ducks Raised from Parents That Experienced Heat Stress.

The effects of HS on the welfare of poultry have been reported to have a transgenerational effect on phenotype plasticity. The goal of our experiment was to determine whether parental exposure to HS would impair the performance, HPA axis response, or behavior of their offspring. We treated adult drakes and hens (n = 80 ducks/treatment) at peak lay with HS or the control temperature for 3 weeks and incubated eggs collected from the last 3 days of the experiment. We utilized 76 ducklings/parental treatment group: control (CON-F1) and HS (HS-F1). Weekly data for body weights, body condition scores (BCSs), and novel object test (NOT) were collected. At 3 weeks of age, the ducks (n = 6/treatment) were subjected to adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH/cosyntropin, 0.0625 mg/kg) challenge or vehicle as the control. Blood samples were collected at 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 h relative to treatment for serum glucocorticoid and heterophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (HLR) analyses. All injected birds were euthanized with pentobarbital on the second day relative to ACTH administration, and the spleen and bursa were removed and weighed immediately. Duck level analyses were completed using one- or two-way ANOVA as appropriate. BCSs were analyzed using a chi-squared test. The HS-F1 ducks had a lower hatch weight (p < 0.05) compared with the CON-F1 ducks but no significant difference in growth rates during the 5-week period. NOT (n = 4) analyses showed that the HS-F1 ducks had a greater fear response (p < 0.001) compared with the CON-F1 ducks. Similarly, an ACTH stimulation test showed that the HS-F1 ducks had significantly (p < 0.05) heightened corticosterone and HLR responses compared with the CON-F1 ducks. The HS-F1 ducks showed altered baseline and ACTH-stimulated levels of cortisol compared with the controls. Our data suggest that parental exposure to HS impacts the HPA response and fearfulness of the F1 generation in Pekin ducks.

Retrospective Cohort Analysis of the Impact of Puberty on Plexiform Neurofibroma Growth in Patients with Neurofibromatosis Type 1

To assess the hypothesis that plexiform neurofibroma (PN) growth rates increase during puberty. PN growth rates before and during puberty were compared in a retrospective cohort of children with neurofibromatosis type 1 with puberty defined by Tanner staging. Of 33 potentially eligible patients, 25 had adequate quality magnetic resonance imaging for volumetric analysis and were included in ≥1 anchor cohort. Volumetric analysis was performed for all available imaging studies within the 4years before and after puberty, and before and after 9- and 11-year-old anchor scans. Linear regression was performed to estimate the slope of change (PN growth rate); growth rates were compared with paired t test or Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed rank test. There were no significant difference in rates of PN growth in milliliters per month or milliliters per kilogram per month in the prepubertal vs pubertal periods (mean,1.33±1.67 vs 1.15±1.38 [P=.139] and -0.003±0.015 vs -0.002±0.02 [P=.568]). Percent increases of PN volumes from baseline per month were significantly higher prepubertally (1.8% vs 0.84%; P=.041) and seemed to be related inversely to advancing age. Puberty and its associated hormonal changes do not seem to influence PN growth rate. These findings support those previously reported, but from a typical population of children with neurofibromatosis type 1 with puberty confirmed by Tanner staging.

Are hair cortisol levels dependent on hair growth rate? A pilot study in rhesus macaques

Research incorporating the analysis of glucocorticoids, specifically cortisol, in hair samples has exploded over the past 10–15 years, yet factors contributing to the accumulation of cortisol in hair are not yet fully characterized. In particular, it is not clear whether cortisol accumulation in hair is dependent on hair growth rate, a possibility raised by prior rodent studies reporting glucocorticoid-mediated inhibition of hair growth. Using rhesus macaque monkeys (Macaca mulatta), an extensively studied nonhuman primate species, the present pilot study evaluated the hypothesis that hair cortisol accumulation is inversely related to hair growth rate (i.e., slower hair growth leading to elevated cortisol levels). Hair samples were collected from 19 adult female macaques and 17 infants (9 males) 3 months apart using a shave-reshave procedure from the same site below the posterior vertex of the scalp. The second hair samples were measured to the nearest millimeter (mm) for growth rate over the previous 3 months and assayed for hair cortisol concentrations (HCCs) using enzyme immunoassay. Because of the possibility of age-related differences in hair growth rate, correlational analyses were performed separately for adults and infants to determine whether HCC values were associated with growth rate in each age group. These analyses revealed that neither group displayed a significant correlation of HCCs with hair growth. The results additionally showed that overall, adults had a faster hair growth rate than infants and, as expected from previous studies, had lower HCCs than infants. Our results suggest that higher HCCs within the non-stress range do not result from cortisol-mediated inhibition of hair growth. Moreover, similarities between humans and macaque monkeys in both HPA axis regulation and hair growth rates argue that these findings are relevant for human hair cortisol studies. Extrapolation to other species in which the features of hair growth and the relevant regulatory mechanisms are less well understood should be done with caution.

КАНЦЕРОГЕННІ РИЗИКИ ДЛЯ НАСЕЛЕННЯ МИКОЛАЇВСЬКОЇ ОБЛАСТІ ВІД ТЕХНОГЕННО-ПІДСИЛЕНИХ ПРИРОДНИХ ДЖЕРЕЛ ІОНІЗУЮЧОГО ВИПРОМІНЮВАННЯ

The article highlights the materials of our own research on the assessment of carcinogenic risk from technogenically enhanced natural sources of ionising radiation. The study was carried out for the Mykolaiv region, whose geological features in the north contribute to an increased burden on the population from natural sources of ionising radiation. The study used materials from well-known radioecological and dosimetric studies in the Mykolaiv region. The presence of a carcinogenic risk from ionising radiation sources encountered in everyday life was confirmed. The cancer incidence and mortality rates among the population from different regions of the Mykolaiv region, which differ in the magnitude of the dose load on the population from natural and artificial radiation, were determined and analysed. There is a difference in the average annual growth rates of cancer incidence and mortality for regions with different levels of human exposure to man-made and artificially enhanced sources of ionising radiation of natural origin.

Intermediate Pressure-Normalized Strain Values Are Associated With Increased Abdominal Aortic Aneurysmal Growth Rates

Current abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) assessment methods rely on simple morphometric analysis of the AAA diameter and growth rate. However, evidence has shown that AAA pathology varies among patients, and morphometric analysis alone is insufficient to predict individual risk of growth. Biomechanical parameters, such as pressure-normalized aortic wall strain (εp+/PP), can provide a surrogate to vessel wall stiffness. We aimed to use our novel ultrasound elastography (USE) technique to measure ερ+/PP and correlate ερ+/PP with maximal AAA diameter and growth rate in the largest clinical trial to date. Our USE algorithm uses a finite element mesh overlayed on a 2D axial view of the user-defined AAA wall at the point of maximum diameter to track frame-to-frame displacements over a full cardiac cycle to measure ερ+/PP. ερ+/PP and growth rate were assessed between small and large AAAs based on a diameter of ≥5 cm. Patients with AAA were then separated into terciles based on ερ+/PP values of 0.0251 and 0.038 to assess differences in the AAA diameter and growth rate. Mann-Whitney U and Kruskal-Wallis tests were used to assess differences as appropriate. USE analysis was conducted on 127 patients, 16 normal aortas and 111 AAAs. A total of 79 patients had at least one follow-up clinical scan used to calculate growth rate. Of the 111 aortas, 85 were classified as small and 26 as large. AAAs showed lower ερ+/PP (stiffer) compared with nonaneurysmal aortas (0.034 ± 0.017 vs 0.044 ± 0.015 %/kPa; P = .006). There was no difference in ερ+/PP or growth rate between small and large AAAs. When divided into terciles based on ερ+/PP, there was no difference in the AAA diameter. There was a statistically significant difference in growth rate between the intermediate tercile and the outer terciles (1.46 ± 2.48 vs 3.59 ± 3.83 vs 1.78 ± 1.64 mm/y; P = .014) (Fig). Our validated USE algorithm shows that AAAs are stiffer than nonaneurysmal aortas, similar to previous reports. There was no correlation between AAA diameter and ερ+/PP, indicating that AAA stiffness is independent of diameter, and diameter thresholds alone may not accurately assess future risk of growth. AAAs in the intermediate tercile of ερ+/PP values were found to have greater growth rates than the outer tercile, indicating that an intermediate range of ερ+/PP values, regardless of diameter, place patients at increased risk for AAA growth. These findings also suggest that AAA growth may be related to a failure of collagen remodeling and may be the underlying event that leads to AAA rupture.

Overlapped Bayesian spatio-temporal models to detect crime spots and their possible risk factors based on the Opole Province, Poland, in the years 2015–2019

Geostatistical methods currently used in modern epidemiology were adopted in crime science using the example of the Opole province, Poland, in the years 2015–2019. In our research, we applied the Bayesian spatio-temporal random effects models to detect ‘cold-spots’ and ‘hot-spots’ of the recorded crime numbers (all categories), and to ascertain possible risk factors based on the available statistical population (demographic), socio-economic and infrastructure area characteristics. Overlapping two popular geostatistical models in the analysis, ‘cold-spot’ and ‘hot-spot’ administrative units were detected which displayed extreme differences in crime and growth rates over time. Additionally, using Bayesian modeling four categories of possible risk factors were identified in Opole. The established risk factors were the presence of doctors/medical personnel, road infrastructure, numbers of vehicles, and local migration. The analysis is directed toward both academic and police personnel as a proposal for an additional geostatistical control instrument supporting the management and deployment of local police based on easily available police crime records and public statistics.

Inferring the differences in incubation-period and generation-interval distributions of the Delta and Omicron variants of SARS-CoV-2

Estimating the differences in the incubation-period, serial-interval, and generation-interval distributions of SARS-CoV-2 variants is critical to understanding their transmission. However, the impact of epidemic dynamics is often neglected in estimating the timing of infection-for example, when an epidemic is growing exponentially, a cohort of infected individuals who developed symptoms at the same time are more likely to have been infected recently. Here, we reanalyze incubation-period and serial-interval data describing transmissions of the Delta and Omicron variants from the Netherlands at the end of December 2021. Previous analysis of the same dataset reported shorter mean observed incubation period (3.2 d vs. 4.4 d) and serial interval (3.5 d vs. 4.1 d) for the Omicron variant, but the number of infections caused by the Delta variant decreased during this period as the number of Omicron infections increased. When we account for growth-rate differences of two variants during the study period, we estimate similar mean incubation periods (3.8 to 4.5 d) for both variants but a shorter mean generation interval for the Omicron variant (3.0 d; 95% CI: 2.7 to 3.2 d) than for the Delta variant (3.8 d; 95% CI: 3.7 to 4.0 d). The differences in estimated generation intervals may be driven by the "network effect"-higher effective transmissibility of the Omicron variant can cause faster susceptible depletion among contact networks, which in turn prevents late transmission (therefore shortening realized generation intervals). Using up-to-date generation-interval distributions is critical to accurately estimating the reproduction advantage of the Omicron variant.