Abstract Background: Ductal carcinoma in-situ (DCIS) on core needle biopsy (CNB) may be associated with a final diagnosis of invasive cancer (IC). As patients with IC need axillary assessment, those at risk of upstaging may be appropriate for sentinel node biopsy (SNB) at initial surgery, preventing the need for re-operation. We assessed this risk using pre-operative factors to develop a management algorithm.Materials and Methods: All patients whose CNB showed DCIS or DCIS with microinvasion (DCISm) from a single population-based breast screening program in Australia between 1994 and 2006 were studied. Medical records were reviewed for demographic, radiologic, clinical and pathologic data.Results: 11 of 15 DCISm cases (73.3%) and 65 of 375 DCIS cases (17.3%) were upstaged to IC. Microinvasion on CNB overwhelmingly predicted presence of frank invasive cancer. For cases of DCIS, multivariate analysis showed that (1) palpability (p=0.009), (2) large mammographic size ≥20mm (p=0.001) and (3) prolonged screening interval ≥3 years (p=0.008) were associated with upstaging. On univariate analysis, (4) non-calcific mammographic features (mass, architectural distortion or non-specific density) were significantly associated with upstaging (p=0.001). There was a trend towards upstaging in patients with high grade DCIS on CNB (p=0.07). Factors not associated with upstaging were microcalcifications (p=0.12), comedonecrosis (p=0.14), age (p=0.38) and CNB method (p=0.50). The rate of upstaging increases with the number of associated risk factors present in a patient: 8.3% in patients with no risk factors, 21.2% in those with one risk factor, 38.6% in those with two risk factors, and 52.9% in those with three risk factors. 13 patients (3.3%) had lymph node metastases.Conclusions: The risk of upstaging can be estimated using pre-operative features in patients with DCIS on CNB. We propose a management algorithm that includes SNB for DCIS patients: with microinvasion on core biopsy, with two or more predictive factors, and those with planned total mastectomy. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 3111.