Volume nanogratings imprinted by infrared femtosecond laser in oxide glasses exhibit a characteristic birefringent signature, which translates into measurable retardance. Upon thermal annealing, such signature is progressively erased, typical of nanograting erasure. In this work, we propose a procedure to predict the lifespan of nanogratings by two main approaches: 1/ numerical modeling of optical retardance ageing using the Rayleigh-Plesset equation, and 2/exploiting VAREPA (VAriable REaction PAthways) framework fed by simulated ageing data. By considering experimental time – temperature annealing conditions, the modeled retardance is gathered as a function of demarcation energy to build a so-called Master Curve and then compared to accelerated ageing experiments. The erasure constant rate k0 can be determined for 8 commercial optical glasses. Based on a distributed Rayleigh-Plesset model, k0 and activation energy distribution are linked to glass viscosity and its temperature dependency. Finally, we discussed the restrictions on VAREPA application for an accurate lifetime prediction. This work provides guidelines for the future development of nanogratings based devices and applications, including optical data storage, birefringent devices, and optical sensors, through a judicious choice of glass composition and associated properties.
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