Delphi Analysis Research Articles

Rural Depopulation in Spain: A Delphi Analysis on the Need for the Reorientation of Public Policies

In recent years, various plans have been implemented by the central government with the aim of promoting more coordinated policies to address depopulation. The severity of this challenge in Spain, which has continued to intensify, underscores the need for more decisive action. The information presented in this research is derived from a survey conducted in two rounds with 35 experts in the field, following the Delphi methodology. The general objective was to assess the opinions of an expert panel on relevant aspects concerning policies to combat depopulation in Spain. Firstly, confirming the significance of the depopulation challenge; secondly, evaluating whether the actions taken so far have been insufficient and poorly coordinated, necessitating a reconsideration; and finally, establishing a prioritization of actions that should be implemented without further delay, encompassing various areas (financing, taxation, coordination, etc.), are among the many measures advocated by the Spanish Federation of Municipalities and Provinces (FEMP) and proposed in the recent diagnoses by highly authoritative institutions such as the Bank of Spain or the Economic and Social Council of Spain (CES).

Assessing Brand Equity of Affiliated Universities in Vietnam National University, Hanoi

This research aimed to assess the brand equity of affiliated universities in Vietnam National University, Hanoi (VNU). There were 486 undergraduates and post-graduates from member universities in VNU participating in the research. Exploratory factor analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, Delphi analysis, and Structural Equal Modeling (SEM) were utilized to identify components of brand equity of the affiliated universities. The findings show that brand equity consists of seven components: brand recognition, lecturer quality, university reputation, brand association, facilities, loyalty, and perceived quality. Among these, facilities have the biggest impact on brand equity with β=0.819, followed by brand recognition and lecturer equity with β=0.783 and β=0.758. On the other hand, loyalty appears to be the factor with the least influence with β=0.740. In short, strategies of investment in the teaching staff need greater attention and effective enforcement; besides, it is also necessary to continuously supplement and upgrade technical facilities for teaching and research activities and improve brand recognition in line with the university identity.

Identifying barriers and benefits of shared e-scooters in promoting sustainability in Kuwait using Delphi and Force Field Analysis Methods

People are wasting time during their way to their destination due to traffic jam. Shared electronic scooter is ana alternative transport mode that saves time. This mode of transportation widely spread after COVID-19 pandemic. This research investigates the main opportunities and barriers of adopting this technology in Kuwait from three sides which are social, environmental, economic, and safety aspects taking into consideration the travel behavior and urban infrastructure sides. Experts’ opinions were collected from two rounds of the Delphi questionnaire. The collected data was analyzed using Force Field Analysis Method in order to get a precises prediction of the most significant facilitators and barriers after the period of COVID-19 to figure out the importance of the sustainability of the e-scooters. According to the urban infrastructure side, the e-scooters adoption was favorable from all aspects except the economic aspect. On the other hand, travel behavior was challenging, it was unfavorable form environmental and safety aspects. It’s recommended to regulate more laws that ensure all road users’ safety.

Better Communication for Better Management of Persons with Hemophilia: Results from a Patients'-Clinicians' Project to Address the New Therapeutic Landscape.

Applying the Delphi method, this study aims at characterizing the perceptions and needs of physicians, individuals with hemophilia, and their caregivers in relation to the management of routine visits during regular follow-ups. A single structured questionnaire, prepared by an advisory board, was administered to 139 participants, comprising hemophilia treaters, patients and caregivers, during the period from May to June 2023. Agreement (defined following the Delphi method as developed by RAND Corporation) was reached on several topics. The Principal Component Analysis methods identified the four most relevant areas where consensus was reached among the interviewees, underscoring the necessity for in-depth discussions during routine visits: (1) medical aspects related to symptoms, life-limitations, pain, etc.; (2) non-medical related aspects (ambitions, lifestyle, network, etc.); (3) logistical-organizational aspects (home-hospital distance, alternative modalities of communication); and (4) visit duration and telemedicine integration. The results of both the Delphi and Principal Component Analysis underline that the care of individuals with hemophilia extends beyond merely prescribing drugs or treatment regimens. Instead, it necessitates consideration of numerous variables from both therapeutic and non-therapeutic domains, all of which are deemed important for the holistic management of the individuals. As a result, these aspects are routinely discussed and addressed during visits.

Presenting a Model for Developing Employee Commitment in Iranian Government Organizations

Objective: Employee commitment [participation and role performance] typically encompasses mechanisms or methods that allow employees and their representatives to intervene in organizational decision-making within the company and to implement joint decisions regarding company management, thereby supporting the employees' viewpoint. Intervention and participation can be either direct or indirect. Methodology: The current research aimed to present a model for developing employee commitment in Iranian government organizations. This study is of mixed-methods research type (qualitative and quantitative). In the qualitative phase, the Delphi method and research literature were used to identify concepts, dimensions, and components. In the quantitative phase, the model presented in the qualitative part was tested using a questionnaire tool and the Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) method with a Partial Least Squares (PLS) approach. The statistical population in the qualitative phase for Delphi analysis included managers and heads (10 individuals) and academic professors (10 individuals), all of whom were selected as the sample population. The statistical population in the quantitative phase comprised all employees of government organizations under the Deputy for Human Resource Development of the Presidency, with the Agricultural Bank considered as one of the government organizations and banks for the quantitative section's population. A multi-stage random sampling method was used to select an appropriate research sample. The population size was 16,130 individuals, with a sample size of 376 based on Morgan's table. Findings: According to Delphi results, a total of 39 components were ultimately approved, and the quantitative phase questionnaire was designed based on 42 components. Considering the quantitative section's results, the dimensions of selection and employment, employee communications, empowerment, performance management, and compensation management had impact coefficients of 0.852, 0.798, 0.778, 0.88, and 0.773, respectively, in relation to processes. Furthermore, the dimensions of organizational culture, organizational structure, the country's ICT infrastructure, strategy and organizational goals, and the level of acceptance and development of EHRM had impact coefficients of 0.683, 0.796, 0.831, 0.923, and 0.822, respectively. The impact coefficients for processes and infrastructures were 0.954 and 0.895, respectively, in relation to the development of employee commitment. Conclusion: Therefore, it can be concluded that the research model has a high capability in measuring the main variables of the research. Given the standard nature of the model, the software findings are reliable.

Design and Development of Fardhu Ain Module for Indigenous Communities in Pahang State Based on Fuzzy Delphi Analysis

Design and Development of Fardhu Ain Module for Indigenous Communities in Pahang State Based on Fuzzy Delphi Analysis

Simulation model of the quantified swot/tows matrix on an example of situational analysis at subnational level

Based on the idea of converging the concepts and models used in real-sector strategic planning in order to be applied to the public sector, this paper is aimed at examining potential improvements of the standard process of strategic planning within regional economics, particularly in situational analysis as an initial stage. In accordance with the above, a simulation model of the application of quantified SWOT / TOWS matrix analysis was performed. Combinations of two methods of situational analysis were applied in the model, namely SWOT and TOWS matrix, and additionally introduced methods of Focus Group and Delphi method. Compared to the standard methods for developing strategic documents and analyses within the scope of regional economics planning, the proposed model emphasizes the connection between the real-sector tools and the strategic decision-making processes of the public sector, minimizes the subjectivization of the situational analysis by introducing the Delphi method, utilizing independent expert knowledge, which is also the main contribution of this model. The simulation model developed in this paper achieved satisfactory outcomes and could be applied in further research to solving of actual problems in strategic planning within the scope of regional economics. The model limitations are related to the quality of implementation of the focus group (sample, chief moderator’s expertise), the selection of experts for the Delphi analysis and the moderation of the Delphi method and the process of developing optional actions in the TOWS matrix. The paper’s main expected contributions are the findings obtained during modelling, model discussion and open questions related to potential future research, all based on the idea of convergence of the strategic planning tools used in the real and public sectors.

델파이 분석을 통한 에듀테크 기반 통합적 문화예술 음악수업 프로그램 검증

델파이 분석을 통한 에듀테크 기반 통합적 문화예술 음악수업 프로그램 검증

Regulating ecosystem services in a local forest: Navigating supply, trade-offs, and synergies

The management of ecosystem service supply in local forests is closely linked to the ecological well-being of residents. This study aimed to estimate the supply, tradeoffs, and synergies of local forest-regulating ecosystem services using a land cover classification map (LCCM) and a forest type map (FTM). Rigorous literature reviews and expert Delphi analyses were conducted to elicit a list of key regulating services and evaluate the potential of each ecosystem type and category of the 1:5,000 LCCM and FTM to provide the selected services. The Getis-Ord Gi* analysis was combined with the land-sue scoring method to propose a method for estimating the supply, trade-offs, and synergies of local forest ecosystem services. The results revealed that the ranking order (1st to 5th) of the supply of regulating ecosystem services was as follows: erosion prevention, air quality regulation, heat island mitigation, water quality regulation, and carbon storage. When analyzing the correlation between the defined services of the entire city, almost all services showed a synergistic effect. However, when analyzed locally, spatial tradeoffs (between heat island mitigation and air quality regulation; carbon storage and air quality regulation; water quality regulation and air quality regulation) were observed in the eastern and northwestern forest areas. This suggests the need to consider not only the synergies and trade-offs between specific ecosystem services at the regional level but also at the local level when managing regulating ecosystem services of local forests. The results of this study can serve as important baseline references for planners and policymakers during the planning phase of policies aimed at managing the supply of regulating ecosystem services for forests with restricted access. Moreover, the study results can help refine the estimation of the supply of regulating ecosystem services by integrating additional data sources.

Analyzing the interactions among delay factors in construction projects: A multi criteria decision analysis

The construction industry is a crucial sector that drives economic growth and facilitates socio-economic development. However, construction projects often get delayed due to multiple controllable and uncontrollable circumstances. In this scenario, the construction industry is striving for potential solutions to resolve project delays. Thus, the present study objectives to analyze the delay factors that affect the timely accomplishment of construction projects in the context of emerging economies. The study adopts a mixed methodology comprising of Delphi, Total Interpretive Structural Modelling (TISM) and Matrice d' Impacts Croises Multiplication Applique a Classement (MICMAC) method to model the identified delay factors. A Delphi analysis was conducted to finalize the most crucial delay factors to the on-time completion of building projects. The causal relationships and expert interpretations for each identified delay factor were then determined using multi-criteria decision analysis, TISM and MICMAC analysis. The study results highlight that lack of knowledge of newer construction methodologies and lack of project monitoring tools and techniques are positioned at the bottom level of model, which suggests that this delay factor influences others. The study results will help managers resolve the issues of project delays by selecting the most suitable approach. The findings from the study suggest adopting advanced technologies for effective communication, use of analytical tools for resource allocation and waste-scrapping approaches for eliminating delays in construction projects.

Defining the pathway to timely diagnosis and treatment of interstitial lung disease: a US Delphi survey

IntroductionTimely diagnosis of interstitial lung disease (ILD) is limited by obstacles in the current patient pathway. Misdiagnosis and delays are common and may lead to a significant burden of diagnostic...

학교 체육교과에서의 좋은 태권도수업을 위한 요인 탐색

The purpose of this study was to explore factors to Good Taekwondo Class in School Physical Education by using the Delphi technique. In order to achieve the purpose of this study, upper factors were derived through literature analysis. Based on this, in order to represent multiple interests and objectivity, the final sub-factors were deducted by performing Delphi analysis, targeting a total of 20 people, 5 people from each group, were divided into Taekwondo instructor, middle and high school P.E. teacher, professor and researcher and Taekwondo demonstration school student. The results drew the conclusions as follows. First, in the area of 'educational method', a total of five sub-factors were derived. Second, in the area of 'educational content', a total of three sub-factors were derived. Third, in the area of 'educational environment', a total of four sub-factors were derived. Fourth, in the area of 'educational evaluation', a total of four sub-factors were derived. Fifth, in the area of 'educational atmosphere', a total of four sub-factors were derived.

Modifed Delphi analysis of the guidelines of the All-Russian public organization “Federation of Anesthesiologists and Reanimatologists” “The use of non-invasive lung ventilation”

INTRODUCTION: The need for an independent assessment of the guidelines before their planned revision based on the third-party opinion of competent specialists is beyond doubt. This analysis allows to adapt the implementation of recommendations in practice, regarding equipment and knowledge of physicians. OBJECTIVE: To analyze the effectiveness, safety and availability of implementation in clinical practice of the guidelines “Application of non-invasive lung ventilation” using the modified Delphi method. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The expertise consisted of three stages. The first stage consisted in the analysis of the guidelines “The use of non-invasive lung ventilation” and the preparation of a questionnaire. At the main stage, a questionnaire was sent out and panel members were asked to evaluate the positions using ten-point Likert scale. The analytical stage consisted in calculating the weighted average, median and mode. The weighted average score were taken into account; the value of the median or mode of criteria for the quality of medical care, weighted average. RESULTS: Fifteen panel members was enrolled. The main remarks and additions were to clarify the terminology, concretize certain recommendations and style. Panel members determined the possibility of implementing the recommendation of the guidelines in practice. The lack of equipment makes therapeutic measures limited. This fact confirms the low results of the weighted average assessment of the criteria for the quality of medical care. CONCLUSIONS: Consensus was reached on 20 of the 21 thesis recommendations, on four of the eight criteria for the quality of medical care, and on the amended wording of certain recommendations. The Delphi analysis made it possible to look at the implementation of the giudelines from the perspective of practicing anesthesiologist and intensive care physician, including in structural units with a low level of material and equipment.

Towards a higher-order knowledge of law in the built environment: Delphi analysis of a quantity surveyor's scenario-based legal advice

PurposeThis study is carried out to evaluate how well legal knowledge can be demonstrated by a built environment professional via the scenario-based approach to the learning of law modules.Design/methodology/approachA Delphi analysis of the advice provided by an MSC quantity surveying student, on a scenario-based legal problem arising due to a property contract, is carried out. The tendered legal advice was submitted as part of the assessment requirements for an MSc law module, following the university criteria, after the teaching of a law module. The student report, which attained an A-grade, and the assessment criteria used for marking/grading by the university were subsequently sent to 18 practicing lawyers, who were selected to constitute an expert panel, to independently judge the extent of legal knowledge demonstrated in the student report.FindingsThe Delphi analysis outcome showed that the expert panel holds a similar consensus view to the university on the level of legal knowledge demonstrated and by extension the effectiveness of the law module in imparting legal knowledge to a non-lawyer. The study outcome shows how well legal knowledge can be acquired and applied by a non-lawyer, within the context of the built environment, via scenario-based teaching of a law module.Originality/valueThis study serves as a preliminary step necessary to arouse further research toward empirically profiling the current outlook of a wider range of graduating students receiving scenario-based legal education in the built environment.

The Development and Implementation of an Evidence-Based Tumescent Liposuction Protocol, Online Educational Course for Perioperative Staff, and Discharge Instructions: A Quality Improvement Project

PurposeThe purpose of this quality improvement project was to improve perioperative management of patients undergoing tumescent liposuction (TL) through the development and implementation of a perioperative evidence-based protocol, educational course for perioperative staff, and patient discharge instructions. DesignThe TL protocol was validated using the modified Delphi process. The educational course and discharge instructions used a pre and postimplementation design. MethodsAn evidence-based protocol, an educational course for perioperative staff, and readable discharge instructions for patients undergoing TL were developed in accordance with best practice guidelines. The protocol was validated by subject matter experts at the facility and submitted for adoption. The evidence-based educational course was implemented, and the effectiveness of the course was evaluated for improving providers’ knowledge and self-confidence. The evidence-based discharge instructions were implemented and evaluated for patient satisfaction and readability. FindingsThree items were removed from the protocol, 2 items were modified, and 25 items were accepted with no change from modified Delphi analysis. Provider knowledge scores improved from 85.7% ± 16.18 to 97.1% ± 4.88; however, this was not statistically significant (P = .066). There was a trend toward improved confidence scores (P = .180). Overall patient satisfaction scores slightly improved postimplementation; results were not statistically significant (P > .05). ConclusionsAll three phases of perioperative care in patients receiving TL were evaluated, reflecting best practice guidelines and successful adoption. There was no statistically significant improvement in provider knowledge, provider self-confidence, or patient satisfaction. A small sample size was a significant limiting factor.

Assessing the Impact of Data Sciences and Smart Technologies in Air Conditioning Project Management: A Delphi Method Analysis within the Construction Industry

The integration of data sciences and smart technologies in the construction industry, particularly in air conditioning project management, is an important area of research. This study employs the Delphi Method to explore this integration, surveying 40 experts in construction management. Participants were meticulously selected based on a set of inclusion criteria related to age, educational qualifications, and field experience. The study tests five hypotheses, each scrutinized through a score-based Delphi analysis. The findings are mixed and shed new light on several dimensions of air conditioning project management. For instance, the study refutes the commonly held belief that the location of air conditioning projects significantly impacts worker safety. It also challenges the assumption that exceeding international safety standards like ISO leads to cost savings. On the other hand, the study validates the significance of global safety standards and the undeniable role of data sciences and smart technologies in enhancing human safety in the air conditioning industry. These findings not only challenge existing models, but also open avenues for further research. They indicate a complex interplay between safety, cost-effectiveness, and technological integration in air conditioning project management. The study suggests a shift towards data-driven decision-making and underscores the need for international safety standards, particularly in an era marked by rapid technological advancements and globalization.

디지털 교통안전표지판의 사용성평가 지표 개발 연구

The aim of this study is to develop usability evaluation indicators to analyze factors that affect user convenience, such as easily recognizing intelligent vehicle speed warning systems for drivers and pedestrians passing through the pedestrian safety zones, understanding expressed information, and actively reducing speed. For empirical and scientific usability evaluation from a user's point of view, this research defines evaluation items and establishs 13 evaluation indicators and a survey questionnaire was designed for user survey evaluation through the expert Delphi analysis and detailed indicator evaluation. The usability evaluation indicator was categorized into Usefulness and Satisfaction, each derived into four evaluation areas, and the detailed evaluation items were derived into 3 Perceptibility, 5 Functionality, 2 Sensibility, and 3 Trust. The outcomes of this indicator analysis and development are anticipated to be useful as a universal evaluation criterion for the usability evaluation of smart traffic safety signs, and by improving the system interface based on this, it is expected to contribute to supporting citizens' pleasant walking environment and spreading awareness of safe driving in the future.

Important Leadership Skills and Benefits of Shared Leadership Training for Chief Residents: A Delphi Analysis.

Chief residents (CRs) have pivotal educational and leadership roles in residency programs. The necessary CR leadership skills that transcend specialties have not been defined and most training on these skills occurs in silo. The primary goal was to define leadership skills important for the general CR role. The secondary aim was to determine which skills should be included in cross-specialty CR training and identify benefits of such training. Sixty-three CRs and 25 program directors (PDs) from 25 residency programs at a single institution were surveyed via a modified Delphi approach in 2022 as part of a needs assessment on CR leadership training. First, respondents answered three open-ended questions about skills needed for the CR role and the potential benefits of cross-specialty CR training. Respondents then rated categorized responses on the importance of the skill, agreement that skills should be included in cross-specialty training, and agreement on benefit of cross-specialty training using a 5-point Likert scale. Positive consensus was defined as 80% agreement. Fifty respondents (53%) participated in round one and 28 (32%) in round two. Positive consensus was reached on 38 skills (63%). Nine skills reached consensus on inclusion in cross-specialty training including communication skills and certain management skills. Consensus on benefits of training include learning from and collaborating with other residency programs. The authors defined important skills for the CR role that reached consensus across a broad range of specialties and identified the perceived benefits of shared leadership training. Residency programs should consider cross-specialty leadership training for CRs with a focus on communication and management skills.

The Application of Strategic Foresight in Women's Entrepreneurship Development

Strategic vision guides governments and societies to overcome gender biases to extol entrepreneurship and achieve targeted business performance. In order to change women's entrepreneurship in societies, strategic foresight is one of the most important resources to be utilized. Strategic foresight offers relevant solutions to these changes for achieving socio-economic benefits and creating sustainable value. Although several studies have been conducted on women's entrepreneurship, identification of its influential factors, and their effect, none has yet studied how strategic foresight can play a role in developing women's entrepreneurship in different countries. Therefore, this study is aiming to explore the relationship between strategic foresight and female entrepreneurship. The purpose of this study is to examine the link between women's entrepreneurship and strategic foresight capabilities by reviewing relevant literature and background theories. Dimensions of the framework were verified quantitatively using a Delphi research process, SPSS software, and analysis of the gathered questionnaires. The results show that strategic foresight significantly affects women's entrepreneurship through business sustainability.

Does High Minimum Wage Attract Immigrants?

Immigration is associated with an effort to get a better living. Therefore, this research analyzes whether the high minimum wage attracts immigrants. This study utilizes secondary data from Indonesian Statistics that cover the condition of immigrants in Java, an island with the highest population density. In this research, the proportion of immigrants is the dependent variable. At the same time, the minimum wage is the independent variable and the percentage of formal jobs and prosperity as covariates. The secondary data is analyzed by regression based on Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS). This regression analysis is complemented by primary data through questionnaires sent to some economic experts. The primary data is analyzed by Delphi Method. The regression result shows no association between the proportion of immigrants and minimum wage. A high minimum wage does not attract people to enter an area. At the same time, a percentage of formal jobs and prosperity attract people to immigrate. In addition, the Delphi analysis exhibits similar results. The expert’s opinion about the impact of minimum wage is not convergence. Not all experts agree that migrant considers the high minimum wage. However, all experts agree that formal jobs, infrastructure, prosperity, amenities, and living costs have an impact on immigrants.