Population Decline Research Articles

Shrinkage Does Not Follow Population Decline on a Regional Scale: Planning and Reality of Residential Area in Japan

This study first examines changes in the amount of residential area on a regional scale, which is said to shrink following population decline, using Japan as an example, where population decline is already underway in most of the country. Second, it examines how the regional governments have set future targets for residential areas and whether these targets are consistent with the current trend. Third, it examines how prefectures, Japan’s regional governments, are responding to this situation through regional land use planning. The methodologies of the paper are a combination of collecting and sorting out the related data, reviewing and extracting information from planning documents, and conducting interviews with persons in charge. In conclusion, residential areas have continued to increase on a regional scale, even as the population has declined. Shrinkage does not follow population decline on a regional scale. It was also found that the amount of residential area changed more closely with the change in households than with the population. National and regional land use plans generally set targets for more shrinkage than the actual trend. The underestimation of the amount of residential area was due to the rapid decline in the number of persons per household. Cases of the three prefectures showed that specific control is left to the individual acts, while the measures are indicated in the wording by the prefectural land use plans.

Migration as an Adaptation Measure to Achieve Resilient Lifestyle in the Face of Climate-Induced Drought: Insight from the Thar Desert in Pakistan

A significant number of people, either seasonally or permanently, migrate from the Thar Desert in Pakistan each year due to droughts caused by climate change. This study aims to investigate the determinants and consequences of these migration decisions, examine the effectiveness of migration as a climate adaptation strategy, and identify challenges in adapting to these changes. Data were gathered from 400 migrated households in the Mithi sub-district. A mixed-method approach was used, combining qualitative and quantitative methods. The findings revealed that threats to the standard of living, including lack of food and clean drinking water, unemployment, and limited educational and medical opportunities, were the primary reasons for permanent and temporary migration from ancestral locations. Migration significantly impacted the origin and destination regions, with positive or negative effects. Specifically, migrants identified various consequences for both the origin and destination communities, including population decline (63%), changes in age structure, increased demand for housing, economic fluctuations (73%), alterations in healthcare services, and increased psychological stress (77%). The study also revealed that individuals who migrated from the Thar Desert experienced improved conditions compared to their previous location, such as diversification of income sources, increased job stability, access to clean water and food, reduced health risks, and overall improvements in their living conditions. However, the destination communities faced significant challenges due to widespread resource depletion and environmental deterioration. Migrants encountered barriers to developing resilient livelihoods in destination areas, including lack of proper knowledge and information, institutional and government issues, environmental and technological challenges, and social and cultural issues. The study highlights the urgent need for comprehensive policies and sustainable solutions to address the root causes of migration and support the resilience of vulnerable populations.

Ecological and anthropogenic factors influencing the Summer habitat use of Bos gaurus and its conservation threats in Chitwan National Park, Nepal.

Gaur (Bos gaurus) is listed as a vulnerable species in the IUCN Red List of threatened species due to the rapid population decline caused by human pressures in their habitats. To develop successful conservation plans, it is essential to understand the relationship between Gaur and their habitats. This study aimed to investigate the factors influencing Gaur habitat use and identify and rank conservation threats in Chitwan National Park, Nepal. Using line transect surveys, we recorded Gaur's presence via direct sightings and indirect signs (dung, footprints, horns) over an area of 176 km2 in July and August 2022. We used binary logistic regression models to determine the collected ecological and anthropogenic factors influencing the occurrence of Gaur and the relative whole-site threat ranking method to rank conservation threats. The results revealed that the probability of Gaur occurrence increases with moderate to high canopy cover, riverine and Shorea robusta dominated forests, and nearest distance to road/path/firelines, while decreasing with the presence of predators. Uncontrolled fire, invasive species, human disturbances, and climate change were ranked as the most prevailing threats to Gaur in our study area. Conservation managers should implement effective habitat management interventions, such as construction of waterhole, firelines maintenance, grassland management, and control of invasive species in the potential habitats, to safeguard and maintain the sustainability of Gaur populations and associated herbivores. Future studies should consider larger geographical settings and multiple seasons, and habitat suitability assessments should be conducted to determine current and future suitable habitat refugia for Gaur and other threatened wildlife species at the landscape level.

Decision dynamics and landscape approach by individuals and collective groups: the case of Japanese rural land use in agricultural, forest, and boundary areas in an era of population decline

Establishing a decision-making scheme for multiple land use types in a shrinking society is an urgent and persistent task. In particular, residents and governments face the complexity of cross-sectoral visions over concerned landscapes. This study examined the preference of residents for future visions and the effects of group deliberation in a Japanese rural community to enhance the current understanding of decision and learning processes on cross-sectoral land use types (i.e., agricultural land, forest land, and boundary areas) across ages and groups. This study posed the following questions: (i) what types of interactions do residents find among options on cross-sectoral land uses? and (ii) how do group deliberation influence the individual preferences of residents for land use? In the survey, the residents disclosed their preferences for the prepared visions over three land use types. The survey also enabled the comparison of choices before and after group deliberation. Regarding question (i), the residents’ choice prior to the deliberation demonstrated thematic coherence through land use categories. Smart technology and potential productivity improvement were selected across agriculture and forests. However, regarding question (ii), thematic coherence decreased after the group deliberation. The residents could communicate disagreements during group deliberation and consider the issues relatively independently over land use types, which separately views agriculture lands and forests. The choice after group discussions became increasingly embedded and influenced by residential areas and land ownership of residents. These findings provide unique insights into the group discussion on how individual decisions are affected. In summary, the preferences of cross-sectoral land use types did not converge but tended to diverge.

Comparison of the presence of high production volume chemicals in farmed and wild fish highly consumed in catalonia and their risk assessment

The decline in fish populations and the depletion of marine resources have sparked concerns about sustainable fish production, driving the innovation of new aquaculture methods. While some argue that wild fish are healthier than farmed fish due to less exposure to contaminants and pathogens, wild fish can accumulate contaminants from more contaminated water sources. The slower growth of wild fish and their longer exposure to the environment may contribute to higher pollutant levels in fish tissues. In this study, we focus on 25 contaminants considered as high production volume chemicals (HPVCs), such as organophosphate esters (OPEs), benzothiazoles (BTs), benzosulfonamides (BSAs) and phthalates (PAEs). The compounds were extracted from the edible part of the fish using the QuEChERS method and analysed by gas chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry.A total of 74 samples were analysed from three of the most commonly consumed species in Catalonia, Spain (turbot, sea bass and sea bream). Two samples of each species were collected each month, one form farmed and one from wild origin. In general, the compounds were found in all the samples in a wide concentrations range, although no significant differences were observed between the mean concentration of wild and farmed samples. Although similar mean concentrations for the OPEs, BTs and BSAs were found between farmed and wild origin samples, PAEs were more frequently detected in farmed samples. Di-n-octyl phthalate and diethyl phthalate showed the highest concentrations in all fish samples, with values up to 19505 and 17605 ng g−1 (d.w.), in sea bass and sea bream, respectively. Di-(2-ethylexyl)-adipate proved to be the most relevant carcinogenic compound, with no associated health risk. Despite the detection of the studied HPVCs, no health risk was associated with the consumption of these three fish species.

Mental health services in rural India: a big challenge still to be met

There has been a decline in the rural population of India from nearly 82% to about 65% over the past six decades. The National Mental Health Survey of India (2015–2016) reported a lower prevalence of mental disorders in rural areas compared with urban ones. Mental health services in the country are skewed towards the urban areas, and more families are pushed below the poverty line while getting treatment for a member with mental illness. India has expanded its District Mental Health Programme over the past two decades, and it now covers nearly all the districts in the country. Despite that, significant numbers of people with mental disorders, ranging from 70–90%, do not receive adequate treatment. This paper discusses the rural–urban divide in the mental health services, examining the problem and need, and the initiatives taken by the government of India in this direction.

Hurricane-induced dramatic decline and natural recovery of a vulnerable sportfish population: Shoal bass (Micropterus cataractae) in the Chipola River, Florida

Freshwater fishes are among the most biodiverse vertebrate groups and among the most threatened by anthropogenic activities. Many occur in small and geographically restricted populations that are increasingly subject to catastrophic events (hurricanes, wildfires, extreme floods and droughts), but it has rarely been possible to assess the impacts of such events. Here we document the decline and recovery of a regularly monitored, small shoal bass (Micropterus cataractae) population in the Chipola River, Florida following a catastrophic hurricane disturbance. The Chipola River population has the lowest level of interspecific hybridization (over 90 % non-introgressed shoal bass) within the species' range, a census population size of 2165 (95 % CI [1,383, 3,801]) in 2009 and a genetically effective population size Ne of 135 (95 % CI [70, 472]). In 2018, Hurricane Michael devastated the Chipola River and watershed. A survey conducted in 2019 indicated a severe decline (91 %) in relative population abundance and a very low Ne at 21 (95 % CI [16, 29]). However, the detection of young-of-year fish indicated that the depleted population had experienced successful reproduction. In fall 2021, the census population had recovered to 1039 fish (95 % CI [660, 1,814]) and Ne at 40 (95 % CI [31, 50]). While the population has shown considerable resilience in the face of hurricane disturbance, it remains vulnerable to future catastrophic events and may also suffer a long-term reduction in its adaptive potential due to a relatively low effective population size. To address these threats, continued monitoring is necessitated and targeted measures such as translocation of non-introgressed individuals from neighboring populations or establishment of a captive population of sufficient effective population size may be required to conserve the species in the long term.

The impact of Bacillus thuringiensis var. israelensis (Vectobac® WDG) larvicide sprayed with drones on the bio-control of malaria vectors in rice fields of sub-urban Kigali, Rwanda

BackgroundThe core vector control tools used to reduce malaria prevalence are currently long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs), and indoor residual spraying (IRS). These interventions are hindered by insecticide resistance and behavioural adaptation by malaria vectors. Thus, for effective interruption of malaria transmission, there is a need to develop novel vector control interventions and technologies to address the above challenges. Larviciding using drones was experimented as an innovative tool that could complement existing indoor interventions to control malaria.MethodsA non-randomized larviciding trial was carried out in irrigated rice fields in sub-urban Kigali, Rwanda. Potential mosquito larval habitats in study sites were mapped and subsequently sprayed using multirotor drones. Application of Bacillus thuringiensis var. israelensis (Bti) (Vectobac® WDG) was followed by entomological surveys that were performed every two weeks over a ten-month period. Sampling of mosquito larvae was done with dippers while adult mosquitoes were collected using CDC miniature light traps (CDC-LT) and pyrethrum spraying collection (PSC) methods. Malaria cases were routinely monitored through community health workers in villages surrounding the study sites.ResultsThe abundance of all-species mosquito larvae, Anopheles larvae and all-species pupae declined by 68.1%, 74.6% and 99.6%, respectively. Larval density was reduced by 93.3% for total larvae, 95.3% for the Anopheles larvae and 61.9% for pupae. The total adult mosquitoes and Anopheles gambiae sensu lato collected using CDC-Light trap declined by 60.6% and 80% respectively. Malaria incidence also declined significantly between intervention and control sites (U = 20, z = − 2.268, p = 0.023).ConclusionsThe larviciding using drone technology implemented in Rwanda demonstrated a substantial reduction in abundance and density of mosquito larvae and, concomitant decline in adult mosquito populations and malaria incidences in villages contingent to the treatment sites. The scaling up of larval source management (LSM) has to be integrated in malaria programmes in targeted areas of malaria transmission in order to enhance the gains in malaria control.

Multivariate optimization of the extraction and cleaning procedure to determine neonicotinoids in honey from intensive livestock and agricultural production areas by UHPLC-MS/MS

Neonicotinoid insecticides have been associated with the decline of bee population. This study aimed to investigate the occurrence of neonicotinoids in honey samples from apiaries located in areas of intensive livestock and agricultural production in Argentina. For this purpose, a QuEChERS-based analytical method was developed and optimized using multivariate strategies to reduce the processing time and the necessary amount of salts and sorbents. Validation was based on SANTE 11312/2021 guidelines, with recovery percentages between 79 and 120 %, and limits of quantitation between 0.25 and 1.00 µg kg−1. The present study provides a highly sensitive and reliable method for ascertaining residue levels of eight insecticides in 151 honey samples using liquid chromatography coupled to mass spectrometry (UHPLC-MS/MS). The presence of three of the target analytes was determined in 13 % of the samples, indicating that honey bee colonies were exposed to neonicotinoids, especially imidacloprid and thiamethoxam. The maximum residue limits were not exceeded in any of the samples; therefore, there is no risk to consumers from the public health point of view.

Transcriptional Changes Underlying the Degradation of Plant Community in Alpine Meadow Under Seasonal Warming Impact.

Global warming is exhibiting a seasonal trend, while different seasons have different warming variations. However, the impact of seasonal warming on plants remains unclear. This study employed Open Top Chambers (OTCs) to simulate future seasonal warming scenarios in alpine meadow. The study examined plant community dynamics following long-term seasonal warming. The transcriptional and physiological responses of two dominant species (Kobresia pygmaea and Stipa purpurea) were examined. Results suggest that seasonal warming effects are correlated with both the duration of warming and the season which warming occurs. A long annual warming duration, especially growing season warming, made plants confront various stresses. K. pygmaea adopted a stress-avoidance strategy, showing a negative response, and leading to population decline or disappearance. This kind of dieback had also been observed in other Cyperaceae species. Meanwhile, due to positive responses, S. purpurea adopted a stress-tolerance strategy and overcame the impact of warming, partially gained the dominance over Cyperaceae species. Overall vegetation coverage and plant community diversity decreased over the years. These results reveal the impact of seasonal warming to plants, explaining the reasons for changes in plant communities under seasonal warming and providing new insights for future plant conservation under seasonal warming.

Utilization of Assisted Reproductive Technologies in Breeding Auliekol Cattle: A Comparative Study.

This study evaluates the utilization of in vitro embryo production (IVEP) technology for the conservation and breeding of the Auliekol cattle breed, a primary beef breed in Kazakhstan facing population decline due to the cessation of breeding programs and the incursion of transboundary diseases. We assessed the effect of consecutive ovum pick-up (OPU) procedures on oocyte yield and embryo production in Auliekol and Aberdeen Angus cows. A total of 2232 and 3659 oocytes were aspirated from Auliekol and Aberdeen Angus donors, respectively, with significantly higher yields and embryo production observed in Aberdeen Angus cows. The application of a meiotic block using Butyrolactone I (BLI) and subsequent in vitro fertilization (IVF) protocols was employed, with embryo development monitored up to the morula/blastocyst stage. Results indicated that Auliekol cows exhibited lower oocyte recovery, cleavage, and blastocyst rates compared to Aberdeen Angus cows, likely due to genetic characteristics. Despite the challenges, IVEP presents a valuable tool for the preservation and future propagation of the Auliekol breed, highlighting the need for further research to enhance reproductive outcomes and conservation strategies.

Climate change modulates the impact of nitrogen and enhances phosphorus-driven top-down control by zooplankton on harmful algae

Eutrophication and climate change are the main drivers of the increase in Microcystis biomass. These environmental factors also regulate the dynamics between planktonic predators and their prey. Here, we present the results of a controlled laboratory study investigating the top-down control efficiency of Paramecium on Microcystis under different nutrient (nitrogen and phosphorus) levels and climate conditions (current climate: 25 °C, 400 ppm; predicted future climate: 30 °C, 750 ppm). The results showed that Paramecium completely eliminated Microcystis populations under all combinations of nutrient levels and climate conditions. Furthermore, the ability of Paramecium to control Microcystis was modulated by nutrient enrichment and climate change. Specifically, key performance parameters—including the Microcystis population decline index, time for Microcystis elimination, ingestion rate and specific growth rate of Paramecium, and time to reach maximum Paramecium abundance—were inhibited by increasing nitrogen levels but improved by increasing phosphorus levels. This indicates that nitrogen enrichment weakened the ability of Paramecium to control Microcystis, whereas phosphorus enrichment enhanced it. Further analysis revealed that, regardless of nutrient availability, these parameters were optimized under the high-temperature-CO2 scenario, suggesting that climate change has consistently enhanced the top-down control of Microcystis by Paramecium. Notably, an in-depth examination of the overall change patterns of performance parameters and principal component analysis (PCA) revealed that climate change altered the response patterns of these parameters (or their comprehensive scores) to increased nitrogen and enhanced their response magnitude to increased phosphorus. Essentially, climate change compensated for the negative effects of increased nitrogen levels on the performance of Paramecium in controlling Microcystis and amplified the positive effects of increased phosphorus levels. These findings reveal that protozoan predators might enhance their top-down control of harmful algae under the interaction of eutrophication and climate change. This study, using Paramecium and Microcystis as models, provides valuable insights for managing freshwater ecosystems and applying protozoa to mitigate harmful algal blooms.

Marriages and divorces in the Arctic zone of the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic in 2000–2022

BACKGROUND: One of the primary concerns for national security in the Russain Arctic today is the declining population. A decrease in population over the last decade has also been observed in the Arctic zone of the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic. This trend can be attributed to unfavorable medical and demographic factors, such as low birth rates and relatively high mortality rates in the 13 districts that belong to the Arctic zone. We hypothesize that low marriage rates in most of the Arctic districts may also contribute to population decline. AIM: To describe marriage and divorce rates in the Arctic zone of the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic in 2000–2022. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A descriptive study. Materials from the official government statistics were used. Initially, marriage- and divorce rates were calculated using the percentile method in all districts of the republic. Then the analysis was performed using the data from 13 Arctic districts. Associations between the variables were studied by correlation analysis RESULTS: Both marriage- and divorce rates were relatively low in the Arctic districts as demonstrated by the data in tables and charts and supported by the results of the correlation analysis. CONCLUSION: The Arctic regions of the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic face challenges due to relatively low marriage- and divorce rates, which exacerbate the already unfavorable medical and demographic situation. In order to address these issues and improve the demographic policy in the region, specific recommendations have been developed for the municipal leaders of the Sakha (Yakutia) Republic.

Domestic dogs and vultures feed on the same carcasses in Wayanad Wildlife Sanctuary, Kerala, India

AbstractVultures are essentially scavengers but their population decline is exacerbated by competition with stray dogs for carcasses. Our study, using camera traps to monitor carcass visitation, revealed dietary overlap and competition intensity are linked more to carcass size than habitat type. Addressing dog presence is critical for vulture survival.

B - 80 The Long-Term Memory Sign in Adults Referred for Neuropsychological Evaluation

Abstract Objective We investigated the clinical utility of the newly described long-term memory (LTM) sign in adults referred for neuropsychological evaluation. Individuals with dementia often report short-term episodic memory decline or no memory decline, but rarely report long-term episodic memory decline. The LTM sign refers to patient self-report of long-term episodic memory decline, that is equivalent to/or greater than, subjective short-term episodic memory decline. Method The LTM sign was endorsed on a pre-visit intake form and established during clinical interview in 568 patients (M age = 63, SD = 14.3) referred for neuropsychological evaluation at a large medical center in the Northwest United States. Results In our sample of 568 patients, 79 (14%) reported the LTM sign. In 79 patients with the LTM sign, 45 were diagnosed with a primary psychiatric disorder (57%), 23 were diagnosed with mild neurocognitive disorder (29%), seven had no cognitive or psychiatric diagnosis (9%), and four had dementia (5%). The LTM sign was most common in those with a history of trauma in childhood or adolescence (52/79, 66%) and substance use disorders (50/79, 63%). Conclusions The LTM sign was rare in dementia, but common in those with a current psychiatric diagnosis. These findings support the literature on episodic memory decline in dementia populations and suggests that encoding of early memories and/or retrieval of old memories is negatively impacted by a current psychiatric disorder, traumatic events in childhood and adolescence, and lifetime history of substance use disorder. The LTM sign is a valuable addition to the clinical interview of neuropsychological patients.

Cross-sectional association between high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and cognitive function in community-dwelling older adults: the SONIC study

BackgroundA decline in cognitive function is associated with inflammatory processes. However, the association between high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels and cognitive decline in the Japanese population remains inconclusive. Thus, this study aimed to determine whether hs-CRP is associated with low cognitive function in 70- and 80-year-old community-dwelling Japanese individuals.MethodsThe participants in this cross-sectional study were 872 Japanese residents aged 70 and 80 years who voluntarily participated in the Septuagenarians, Octogenarians, Nonagenarians Investigation with Centenarians (SONIC) study between 2010 and 2011. Blood sample collection, cognitive assessment, and other measurements were performed at the venue. Low cognitive function was defined as a score of 25 points or lower on the Japanese version of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment. The odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for each hs-CRP quartile were calculated using logistic regression analysis.ResultsA total of 288 (69.9%) parsons in the 70-year-old group and 372 (80.9%) in the 80-year-old group exhibited low cognitive function. The association between hs-CRP levels and low cognitive function was significant among 70- and 80-year-old Japanese community-dwelling adults. In particular, the fourth quartile of hs-CRP (0.727–7.420 mg/L) in the 70-year-old group and the second and fourth quartiles (0.214–0.404 and 0.911–9.890 mg/L) in the 80-year-old group were associated with low cognitive function. Furthermore, the third quartile (0.409–0.892 mg/L) in the 80-year-old group was closely associated with low cognitive function.ConclusionsHigh hs-CRP levels were associated with lower cognitive function in 70- and 80-year-old Japanese community-dwelling individuals, suggesting that high hs-CRP levels may influence cognitive function.

Effects of MAFLD defined by fatty liver index or ultrasonography on kidney function decline in the general population

This study aimed to investigate whether metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) defined by the fatty liver index (FLI) affects the decline in kidney function and whether this relationship is still observed in MAFLD defined by ultrasonography (USG). A retrospective cohort study was conducted using de-identified data from participants who received health checkups at Samsung Changwon Hospital between 2002 and 2018. The primary and secondary exposures were the presence of FLI- and USG-defined MAFLD, respectively. The primary outcome was 5-years slope of eGFR. The secondary outcome was a rapid decline in kidney function, defined as a 5-years slope of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) of less than − 3 mL/min/1.73 m2 per year. A total of 37,500 participants were included in the analysis. Participants with FLI-defined MAFLD had a larger decline in 5-year eGFR slope than those without FLI-defined MAFLD (beta coefficients − 0.11; 95% CI − 0.14 to − 0.08). Participants with FLI-defined MAFLD had a higher risk of rapid kidney function decline than those without FLI-defined MAFLD (odds ratio 1.33; 95% confidence intervals (CIs) 1.05–1.69). However, USG-defined MAFLD was less related to kidney function decline. In conclusion, the presence of FLI-defined MAFLD was associated with larger and faster kidney function decline.

A sacrifice for the greater good? On the main drivers of excessive land take and land use change in Hungary

Despite continuous population decline or stagnation, many Central and Eastern European cities experience urban sprawl and expansion, accompanied by excessive land take and land use change. This paper investigates recent trends in land take and land use change in Hungarian cities, aiming to identify the drivers of these processes. The study utilizes the Urban Atlas (UA) databases from 2006 and 2018 to analyze land use change in selected Hungarian cities, employing QGIS software to compile the database and MS Excel to conduct the statistical analysis. A linear trajectory model is employed to project land use change by 2026, based on 2006–2018 UA data. Additionally, via the in-depth analysis of Debrecen, the study highlights the recent acceleration of land use change to compare the projected trend with the forecasted one. Local climate strategies focus on addressing environmental concerns, including changes in land use at the city level. Therefore, this study reviews the relevant documents associated with each city to assess its commitment to reducing land take. The results indicate that despite its declining population, Hungary has seen a significant expansion in artificial surfaces, primarily due to industrialization and population policies introduced by the central government, which is likely to continue in the coming years. Unfortunately, local climate strategies have been insufficient in preventing cities from experiencing urban sprawl and expansion and preserving local ecosystem services. This underscores the inability of municipalities to defend local interests against central government directives. The findings of this study indicate that the current central policies are the main drivers of land take and urban sprawl and expansion. Prioritizing the compact city model and brownfield developments could effectively mitigate these issues. Finally, the paper advocates that complete jurisdiction over land use decisions be restored to local governments, enabling them to reject investments that may jeopardize local environmental goals.

A review of commercial captive breeding of parrots as a supply-side intervention to address unsustainable trade.

The volume and scale of commercial captive breeding of parrots have grown dramatically in recent decades. Although it has been proposed, and is often assumed, that captive breeding can reduce pressure on wild populations, there has been little scrutiny of the scale, viability, or impacts of captive breeding to prevent overexploitation among parrots, compared with similar approaches in other threatened taxa, such as pangolins or tigers. We reviewed the primary and gray literature to quantitatively and qualitatively evaluate evidence concerning 5 criteria, established a priori, for commercial captive breeding of parrots as an effective supply-side intervention. We focused on a sample of 16 threatened parrot species that are heavily traded or for which unsustainable trade has been a factor in the decline of wild populations, representing a range of taxonomic groups, life histories, and native regions. We identified multiple major gaps in knowledge of the extent to which these criteria are met, including a lack of quantitative data on breeding productivity under current commercial breeding practices, the scale and scope of commercial breeding practices in growing parrot markets, particularly in the Middle East and Asia, and the lack of financial viability of captive breeding under effective regulation to prevent laundering or use of wild-sourced specimens as breeding stock. The capacity for captive breeding to displace demand for wild-sourced parrots varied between species, and complex interactions between trade in different species and contexts sometimes made consequences of commercial production difficult to predict. Decision makers and regulatory authorities should approach commercial captive breeding of parrots with caution and take into account knowledge gaps and cross-linkages between trade in different species to avoid unanticipated consequences from stimulating and facilitating unsustainable trade in wild-sourced parrots.

A Semantic Knowledge Graph of European Mountain Value Chains

The United Nations forecast a significant shift in global population distribution by 2050, with rural populations projected to decline. This decline will particularly challenge mountain areas’ cultural heritage, well-being, and economic sustainability. Understanding the economic, environmental, and societal effects of rural population decline is particularly important in Europe, where mountainous regions are vital for supplying goods. The present paper describes a geospatially explicit semantic knowledge graph containing information on 454 European mountain value chains. It is the first large-size, structured collection of information on mountain value chains. Our graph, structured through ontology-based semantic modelling, offers representations of the value chains in the form of narratives. The graph was constructed semi-automatically from unstructured data provided by mountain-area expert scholars. It is accessible through a public repository and explorable through interactive Story Maps and a semantic Web service. Through semantic queries, we demonstrate that the graph allows for exploring territorial complexities and discovering new knowledge on mountain areas’ environmental, societal, territory, and economic aspects that could help stem depopulation.