Decline In Abundance Research Articles

Direct RNA sequencing of respiratory syncytial virus infected human cells generates a detailed overview of RSV polycistronic mRNA and transcript abundance.

To characterize species of viral mRNA transcripts generated during respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection, human fibroblast-like MRC-5 lung cells were infected with subgroup A RSV for 6, 16 and 24 hours. In addition, we characterised the viral transcriptome in infected Calu-3 lung epithelial cells at 48 hours post infection. Total RNA was harvested and polyadenylated mRNA was enriched and sequenced by direct RNA sequencing using an Oxford nanopore device. This platform yielded over 450,000 direct mRNA transcript reads which were mapped to the viral genome and analysed to determine the relative mRNA levels of viral genes using our in-house ORF-centric pipeline. We examined the frequency of polycistronic readthrough mRNAs were generated and assessed the length of the polyadenylated tails for each group of transcripts. We show a general but non-linear decline in gene transcript abundance across the viral genome, as predicted by the model of RSV gene transcription. However, the decline in transcript abundance is not uniform. The polyadenylate tails generated by the viral polymerase are similar in length to those generated by the host polyadenylation machinery and broadly declined in length for most transcripts as the infection progressed. Finally, we observed that the steady state abundance of transcripts with very short polyadenylate tails less than 20 nucleotides is less for N, SH and G transcripts in both cell lines compared to NS1, NS2, P, M, F and M2 which may reflect differences in mRNA stability and/or translation rates within and between the cell lines.

Alpine butterflies want to fly high: Species and communities shift upwards faster than their host plants.

Despite sometimes strong codependencies of insect herbivores and plants, the responses of individual taxa to accelerating climate change are typically studied in isolation. For this reason, biotic interactions that potentially limit species in tracking their preferred climatic niches are ignored. Here, we chose butterflies as a prominent representative of herbivorous insects to investigate the impacts of temperature changes and their larval host plant distributions along a 1.4-km elevational gradient in the German Alps. Following a sampling protocol of 2009, we revisited 33 grassland plots in 2019 over an entire growing season. We quantified changes in butterfly abundance and richness by repeated transect walks on each plot and disentangled the direct and indirect effects of locally assessed temperature, site management, and larval and adult food resource availability on these patterns. Additionally, we determined elevational range shifts of butterflies and host plants at both the community and species level. Comparing the two sampled years (2009 and 2019), we found a severe decline in butterfly abundance and a clear upward shift of butterflies along the elevational gradient. We detected shifts in the peak of species richness, community composition, and at the species level, whereby mountainous species shifted particularly strongly. In contrast, host plants showed barely any change, neither in connection with species richness nor individual species shifts. Further, temperature and host plant richness were the main drivers of butterfly richness, with change in temperature best explaining the change in richness over time. We concluded that host plants were not yet hindering butterfly species and communities from shifting upwards. However, the mismatch between butterfly and host plant shifts might become a problem for this very close plant-herbivore relationship, especially toward higher elevations, if butterflies fail to adapt to new host plants. Further, our results support the value of conserving traditional extensive pasture use as a promoter of host plant and, hence, butterfly richness.

Effects of Temperature and Food Concentration on the Population Recruitment of Acartia bifilosa (Copepoda, Calanoida): Implications for the Over-Summering Life History Strategy in Jiaozhou Bay

To obtain a clear understanding of the over-summering life history strategy of the dominant species A. bifilosa in the Jiaozhou Bay, the effects of high temperature and food concentration (represented by chlorophyll a, Chl a) simulating in situ summer conditions on the reproduction and post-embryonic development of A. bifilosa were studied. We found that the A. bifilosa population did not disappear from the seawater column in summer, and its abundance increased from June to July, and then sharply declined in August. Both temperature and food concentration had a significant influence on the reproduction of A. bifilosa. The results showed that 20 °C could not trigger the decline in population abundance and the resting egg strategy, and 28 °C was the upper threshold of A. bifilosa in the Jiaozhou Bay. Higher food concentration was essential for A. bifilosa to maintain population recruitment at a higher temperature. Nauplii could develop to adults in the higher-food-level treatments (10 and 15 μg/L Chl a). However, nauplii could not develop to copepodite at 28 °C with 5 μg/L Chl a. Neither temperature nor food concentration could induce resting eggs, and no resting eggs were detected in our study. A principal components analysis showed that temperature plays a more vital role than food concentration in determining the population recruitment of A. bifilosa. We suggest that A. bifilosa populations could sustain the high-temperature season independent of producing resting eggs in the Jiaozhou Bay, and implications for the over-summering life history strategy of A. bifilosa in the Jiaozhou Bay should be further discussed.

Effects of Hurricane Michael on Gulf Sturgeon in the Apalachicola River system, Florida

AbstractObjectiveGulf Sturgeon Acipenser oxyrinchus desotoi populations have undergone substantial declines since the start of the 20th century due to overfishing and habitat loss. A predicted increase in the frequency of major hurricanes, driven by climate change, presents an additional but poorly characterized threat to Gulf Sturgeon populations. In October 2018, category 5 Hurricane Michael made landfall 40 km west of the Apalachicola River, causing a hypoxic event and an ensuing fish kill that included Gulf Sturgeon.MethodsWe used acoustic telemetry, mark–recapture, and side‐scan sonar data to examine migration behavior and estimate Gulf Sturgeon abundance, mortality, and annual recruitment in the system before and after the storm.ResultWithin 2 days of landfall, we observed an early and rapid emigration response among tagged adults residing in lower portions of the river system, coinciding with declining dissolved oxygen levels; migration behavior returned to normal by the subsequent spring. The hurricane caused an acute mass mortality event: mortality of Gulf Sturgeon in October 2018 was four to five times greater than that in previous years. Several other independent metrics also indicate a major decline in Gulf Sturgeon abundance after the hurricane. Juvenile recruitment to age 1 after the storm was >5 of the previous 6 years, indicating the hurricane did not cause a year‐class failure.ConclusionThese findings suggest that major hurricanes can impact the structure and abundance of Gulf Sturgeon populations, yet elements of resiliency, including survival (facilitated by early emigration and refugia) and enhanced recruitment, may aid in population recovery following such disturbances.

Dynamics of microbial populations and metabolites of fermenting saps throughout tapping process of ron and oil palm trees in Côte d'Ivoire.

Palm wine fermentation is a complex microbial process that evolves with tapping times. The dynamics in microbiota and metabolites throughout palm wine tapping days is still not established, which are critical for the distinctive characteristics of palm wine taste and quality, and thus the mastery of the daily quality fluctuation during tapping. We analyzed the changes in microbial community structure by amplicon sequencing of bacterial 16S rRNA gene and fungal internal transcribed spacer (ITS) region, and metabolite profile changes using mass spectrometry in palm wine collected over 25-30 days tapping of ron (Borassus aethiopum) and oil palms (Elaeis guineensis) from Côte d'Ivoire. The stage-wise collected palm wine samples showed distinct changes in microbial diversity and pH, supporting microbial community dynamics during palm wine tapping. Results highlighted the dominance of Saccharomyces cerevisiae in early stages and the emergence of non-Saccharomyces yeasts, particularly Hanseniaspora spp. in the later stages of oil palm wine tapping, vice versa in the case of ron palm wine tapping, with a unique presence of Saccharomycodes in the later stages (15-30 days). Fructophilic lactic acid bacteria (FLAB), mainly Fructobacillus and Leuconostoc, encountered in both types of palm wine tapping showed a decline at later stages of oil palm wine tapping. In this type of palm wine, acetic acid bacteria with genera Acetobacter and Glucanoacetobacter, by surpassing Lactobacillus in the last stage become dominant, whereas Lactobacillus remained dominant in ron palm wine throughout tapping days. The decline in the relative abundance of gevotroline and essential amino acids during the later stages of palm wine tapping (15-25 days) supports the difference in the health benefits of the palm wine obtained from different days of tapping, indicating that early stages of tapping is more nutritional and healthy than the later stages. The microbial dynamics may be a potential indicator of metabolite changes during palm sap fermentation, thus contributing to establish particular features of palm wines in different stages of tapping. This understanding of microbial ecology and chemical composition changes during palm wine tapping can be used as biomarkers to assess palm wine's quality and help to design an optimum starter culture.

Genetic population structure of the critically endangered stellate sturgeon (Acipenser stellatus) in the Black Sea basin: Implications for conservation

Abstract Stellate sturgeon (Acipenser stellatus) is a species of great conservation concern throughout its range. Over the past century, it has experienced a dramatic decline in abundance and distribution in the Black Sea basin. Information regarding the genetic structure of the species is very limited in the region, despite its crucial importance for developing adequate management plans for the species’ conservation and recovery. Samples from 163 A. stellatus were analysed using mitochondrial and microsatellite DNA markers to investigate the species’ genetic characteristics in the north‐western and southern Black Sea. Both genetic markers revealed high genetic diversity (153 haplotypes and 264 alleles) and low genetic differentiation of marine and freshwater catches. The north‐western Black Sea population is undergoing a slight demographic expansion after a bottleneck event induced by overfishing and dam constructions. The genetic population structure indicates a single genetic cluster in the north‐western Black Sea region and signs of admixture of two genetic clusters in the southern region. It also provides the first evidence for a remnant reproductive stellate sturgeon micro‐population in rivers of Turkey and Georgia. A sturgeon fishing ban and stocking activities carried out during the last decades, largely without any prior genetic assessment of the sturgeon populations, added little conservation value. Outreach initiatives and urgent actions are required to foster the recovery of this Critically Endangered species in the region. Reconstruction of the connectivity of the rivers and the enhancement of habitats and spawning grounds are beneficial to all sturgeon species. An ex‐situ conservation programme for Turkish rivers which flow into the Black Sea would be beneficial to help conserve the genetic resources until the habitats and migration routes become functional. Moreover, genetic screening and recruitment programmes must be functional for all rivers flowing into the Black Sea.

INDUCED BREEDING OF Cirrhinus reba (HAM.) AND Labeo bata (HAM.)

Information on artificial breeding of Cirrhinus reba and Labeo bata is not common in Bangladesh. There are reports on serious decline of natural abundance of these species and are considered threatened under present environmental situation. The species should be brought under culture systems to protect them from being dwindled. For optimizing the breeding technique, the experiment was conducted. Nine pairs of male and female of each species were used. The females of both the species were divided into three treatment groups (T1, T2 and T3). Weight of reba female and male ranged from 110 to 140g and 80 to 105g respectively, the same for bata ranged from 310 to 388g and 180 to 260g for female and male respectively. The females of C. reba were injected a first dose of 0.5, 1.0 and 1.5 mg PG kg-1 body weight followed by a second dose of 4.0, 4.5 and 5.0 mg PG kg-1 body weight respectively after 6 hours of the first dose. The doses for L. bata were 0.5, 1.0 and 1.5 mg PG kg-1 body weight as first, followed by a second dose of 4.5, 5.0 and 5.5 mg PG kg-1 body weight. A single dose for males of C. reba was 1.5 mg PG kg-1 body weight and for L. bata 2.0 mg PG kg-1 body weight. Single pair mating was performed under semi-natural conditions in nine separate hapas with continuous showering at a temperature range of 27-28 0C. The highest average fertilization and hatching of C. reba were obtained at 87.88% and 81.47% respectively and that of L. bata were 86.19% and 75.00% respectively from T2.The percentage of fertilization and hatching obtained against the comparatively low doses of hormone in this experiment was considered noteworthy.

Seasonal alteration of environmental condition-driven shift in microbiota composition, physicochemical attributes and organic compound profiles in aged Paocai brine during intermittent back-slopping fermentation

The aim of this study was to investigate the seasonal alterations in microbial composition and quality parameters of Paocai brine during back-slopping fermentation. With relatively constant reducing sugar levels across seasons, higher titratable acidity and lower pH was observed in summer and autumn. Organic compound analysis revealed higher production of lactic acid, acetic acid and γ-aminobutyric acid (GABA), and less free amino acids in summer. As for bacterial composition, Lactobacillus gradually flourished across winter, spring, summer and autumn, accompanied by decline of Pediococcus abundance. For fungal composition, Kazachstania and Pichia were dominant genera, with Pichia flourishing in spring and summer. Pearson's correlation analysis illustrated that, through driving microbial succession, jar temperature was the primary factor influencing quality of Paocai brine during back-slopping fermentation. Understanding the quality fluctuation of fermented vegetables across seasons along with ambient difference would be helpful for developing targeted technology to obtain products with stable and reproducible quality.

Multi-event modeling of true reproductive states of individual female right whales provides new insights into their decline

Abundance and population trends of Critically Endangered North Atlantic right whales (Eubalaena glacialis, NARW) have been estimated using mark-recapture analyses where an individual’s state is based upon set delineations of age, using historical estimates of age at first reproduction. Here we assigned individual females to states based upon their reproductive experience, rather than age. We developed a Bayesian mark-recapture-recovery model to investigate how survival, recapture, site-fidelity and dead-recovery probabilities vary for female NARW in different states, using data collected from 1977-2018. States were assigned as calves for individuals in their first year; pre-breeder for individuals greater than one year of age who had yet to produce a calf, or breeder if an individual had reproduced. A decline in abundance of female NARW was seen starting in 2014, with 185 females declining yearly to 142 by 2018. The largest decline was seen in breeding females, with 72 estimated to be alive at the beginning of 2018, while female pre-breeder abundance plateaued at around 70 between 2011- 2018. Females born from 2000 onwards had an average 4% (95% CI:0.03-0.06) chance of transitioning from pre-breeder to breeder, compared to 8% (95%CI:0.06-0.1) for females born prior. This reduction in transition rate from non-breeder to breeder for the current cohort resulted in breeding females declining to 51% of the female population by 2018. We show that a collapse in fecundity of breeding females, and the failure of pre-breeders to start breeding, is an important factor in understanding the current decline in abundance of the NARW.

Application of virus-induced gene silencing in Pogostemon cablin advances our understanding of patchoulol and sesquiterpene metabolism

ABSTRACT In plant species, virus-induced gene silencing (VIGS) effectively enables the transient knock down of target genes for functional analysis. To overcome the bottleneck preventing the functional genomics and biological engineering of Pogostemon cablin (Blanco) Benth. an important medicinal and industrial plant with high-value natural products, the VIGS system was established to enable the fast and efficient functional characterisation of candidate genes. In our study, the effectiveness of phytoene desaturase (PDS) gene silencing by VIGS was monitored by the visual indications in P. cablin and the activation effect spanned several months. VIGS of the PatPTS gene, encoding patchoulol synthase, caused a decline in expression abundance, resulting in a significant decreasing accumulation of patchouli alcohol and other sesquiterpenes. Cosilencing of PatPDS and PatPTS in P. cablin also suppressed the biosynthesis of patchouli alcohol. Negative feedback of the MVA and MEP pathway genes was demonstrated in PatPTS-silenced plants.

Weakening of the biological pump induced by a biocalcification crisis during the early Toarcian Oceanic Anoxic Event

Severe environmental changes during the early Toarcian (Early Jurassic; ∼182 Ma), comprising global warming, elevated pCO2, intensified continental weathering and a high amplitude sea level rise, led to the genesis of a Toarcian Oceanic Anoxic Event (T-OAE), expressed by the widespread occurrence of organic carbon (OC)-rich sediments (black shales) forming on anoxic epicontinental shelves. Here, we show that during the T-OAE black shales in some depocenters have formed under rather low organic carbon accumulation rates (OCAR). We explain this observation by a reduced export efficiency of OC to the sediment, caused by a drastic decline in the abundance of mineral ballast, due to a major biocalcification crisis and the demise of calcareous nannoplankton. The reduction of mineral ballast led to slowing of the sinking speed of particulate organic matter, which thus became more prone to biodegradation. A major sea level rise, accompanying the T-OAE, was associated with retrograding shorelines and shift of depocenters away from the basin centers to more coastal areas. This might have reduced nutrient fluxes to the distal depocenters and diminished surface productivity and export flux in the central basin. Moreover, during sea level rise reduced input of clastics from adjacent landmasses may have led to a decline in organic carbon dilution. A decline in both abundance and size is documented for faecal pellets in core FR-210-078 from the Lorraine Basin, substantiating the scenario of reduced marine primary productivity and organic matter transport efficiency. Accordingly, during the T-OAE low OCAR are here interpreted to reflect a weakening of the biological pump. These new data substantiate the role of organic matter preservation as major factor controlling the formation of black shales during the T-OAE. The Toarcian marine transgression led to an increase in the extent of shelf areas, accompanied by an expansion of oxygen-deficient conditions that favored the preservation of organic matter in shelf sediments. Consequently, despite low OCAR, net C-burial in shelf sea sediments increased during the T-OAE, which may have acted as negative feedback mechanism that caused global cooling in the aftermath of the event.

Microbiome-metabolome analysis reveals cervical lesion alterations.

Cervical cancer (CC) continues to be one of the most common cancers among females worldwide. It takes a few years or even decades for CC to arise in a minority of women with cervical precancers. An increasing corpus of studies today indicates that local microecology and carcinogenesis are intimately related. To investigate the changes in cericovaginal microecology with the development of cervical cancer, we performed 16S rDNA sequencing and metabolomic analysis in cericovaginal fluid from 10 LSIL patients, 10 HSIL patients, 10 CC patients and 10 healthy controls to reveal the differential flora and metabolites during cervical carcinogenesis. Carcinogenesis is associated with alterations in microbiome diversity, individual taxa, and functions with notable changes in Lactobacillus, Prevotella and Aquabacterium, as well as in cervicovaginal metabolites that correlate with cervicovaginal microbial patterns. Increased bacterial diversity and a decline in the relative abundance of Lactobacillus, the dominant species in the cericovaginal flora, are observed when cervical lesions advance. According to KEGG pathway enrichment analysis, lipids and organic acids change as cervical cancer progresses, and the phenylalanine, tyrosine, and tryptophan biosynthesis pathway is essential for the development of cervical cancer. Our results reveal that microbic and metabolomic profiling is capable of distinguishing CC from precancer and highlights potential biomarkers for the early detection of cervical dysplasia. These differential microorganisms and metabolites are expected to become a potential tool to assist in the diagnosis of cervical cancer.

The combined impact of low temperatures and shifting phosphorus availability on the competitive ability of cyanobacteria

In freshwater systems, cyanobacteria are strong competitors under enhanced temperature and eutrophic conditions. Understanding their adaptive and evolutionary potential to multiple environmental states allows us to accurately predict their response to future conditions. To better understand if the combined impacts of temperature and nutrient limitation could suppress the cyanobacterial blooms, a single strain of Microcystis aeruginosa was inoculated into natural phytoplankton communities with different nutrient conditions: oligotrophic, eutrophic and eutrophic with the addition of bentophos. We found that the use of the bentophos treatment causes significant differences in prokaryotic and eukaryotic communities. This resulted in reduced biodiversity among the eukaryotes and a decline in cyanobacterial abundance suggesting phosphorus limitation had a strong impact on the community structure. The low temperature during the experiment lead to the disappearance of M. aeruginosa in all treatments and gave other phytoplankton groups a competitive advantage leading to the dominance of the eukaryotic families that have diverse morphologies and nutritional modes. These results show cyanobacteria have a reduced competitive advantage under certain temperature and nutrient limiting conditions and therefore, controlling phosphorus concentrations could be a possible mitigation strategy for managing harmful cyanobacterial blooms in a future warmer climate.

Maternal carryover, winter severity, and brown bear abundance relate to elk demographics.

Ungulates are key components of ecosystems due to their effects on lower trophic levels, role as prey, and value for recreational and subsistence harvests. Understanding factors that drive ungulate population dynamics can inform protection of important habitat and successful management of populations. To ascertain correlates of ungulate population dynamics, we evaluated the effects of five non-exclusive hypotheses on ungulate abundance and recruitment: winter severity, spring nutritional limitation (spring bottleneck), summer-autumn maternal condition carryover, predation, and timber harvest. We used weather, reconstructed brown bear (Ursus arctos) abundance, and timber harvest data to estimate support for these hypotheses on early calf recruitment (calves per 100 adult females in July–August) and population counts of Roosevelt elk (Cervus canadensis roosevelti) on Afognak and Raspberry islands, Alaska, USA, 1958–2020. Increasing winter temperatures positively affected elk abundance, supporting the winter severity hypothesis, while a later first fall freeze had a positive effect on elk recruitment, supporting the maternal carry-over hypothesis. Increased brown bear abundance was negatively associated with elk recruitment, supporting the predation hypothesis. Recruitment was unaffected by spring climate conditions or timber harvest. Severe winter weather likely increased elk energy deficits, reducing elk survival and subsequent abundance in the following year. Colder and shorter falls likely reduced late-season forage, resulting in poor maternal condition which limited elk recruitment more than winter severity or late-winter nutritional bottlenecks. Our results additionally demonstrated potential negative effects of brown bears on elk recruitment. The apparent long-term decline in elk recruitment did not result in a decline of abundance, which suggests that less severe winters may increase elk survival and counteract the potential effects of predation on elk abundance.

Statistical population reconstruction of moose (Alces alces) in northeastern Minnesota using integrated population models.

Given recent and abrupt declines in the abundance of moose (Alces alces) throughout parts of Minnesota and elsewhere in North America, accurately estimating statewide population trends and demographic parameters is a high priority for their continued management and conservation. Statistical population reconstruction using integrated population models provides a flexible framework for combining information from multiple studies to produce robust estimates of population abundance, recruitment, and survival. We used this framework to combine aerial survey data and survival data from telemetry studies to recreate trends and demographics of moose in northeastern Minnesota, USA, from 2005 to 2020. Statistical population reconstruction confirmed the sharp decline in abundance from an estimated 7,841 (90% CI = 6,702-8,933) in 2009 to 3,386 (90% CI = 2,681-4,243) animals in 2013, but also indicated that abundance has remained relatively stable since then, except for a slight decline to 3,163 (90% CI = 2,403-3,718) in 2020. Subsequent stochastic projection of the population from 2021 to 2030 suggests that this modest decline will continue for the next 10 years. Both annual adult survival and per-capita recruitment (number of calves that survived to 1 year per adult female alive during the previous year) decreased substantially in years 2005 and 2019, from 0.902 (SE = 0.043) to 0.689 (SE = 0.061) and from 0.386 (SE = 0.030) to 0.303 (SE = 0.051), respectively. Sensitivity analysis revealed that moose abundance was more sensitive to fluctuations in adult survival than recruitment; thus, we conclude that the steep decline in 2013 was driven primarily by decreasing adult survival. Our analysis demonstrates the potential utility of using statistical population reconstruction to monitor moose population trends and to identify population declines more quickly. Future studies should focus on providing better estimates of per-capita recruitment, using pregnancy rates and calf survival, which can then be incorporated into reconstruction models to help improve estimates of population change through time.

Photosymbiont associations persisted in planktic foraminifera during early Eocene hyperthermals at Shatsky Rise (Pacific Ocean).

Understanding the sensitivity of species-level responses to long-term warming will become increasingly important as we look towards a warmer future. Here, we examine photosymbiont associations in planktic foraminifera at Shatsky Rise (ODP Site 1209, Pacific Ocean) across periods of global warming of differing magnitude and duration. We compare published data from the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM; ~55.9 Ma) with data from the less intense Eocene Thermal Maximum 2 (ETM2; ~54.0 Ma), and H2 events (~53.9 Ma). We use a positive relationship between test size and carbon isotope value (size-δ13C) in foraminifera shells as a proxy for photosymbiosis in Morozovella subbotinae and Acarinina soldadoensis, and find no change in photosymbiont associations during the less intense warming events, in contrast with PETM records indicating a shift in symbiosis in A. soldadoensis (but not M. subbotinae). Declines in abundance and differing preservation potential of the asymbiotic species Subbotina roesnaesensis along with sediment mixing likely account for diminished differences in δ13C between symbiotic and asymbiotic species from the PETM and ETM2. We therefore conclude that photosymbiont associations were maintained in both A. soldadoensis and M. subbotinae across ETM2 and H2. Our findings support one or both of the hypotheses that 1) changing symbiotic associations in response to warming during the PETM allowed A. soldadoensis and perhaps other acarininids to thrive through subsequent hyperthermals or 2) some critical environmental threshold value was not reached in these less intense hyperthermals.

Video surveys of sea snakes in the mesophotic zone shed light on trends in populations

Declines in abundance of sea snakes have been observed on reefs throughout the Indo-Pacific, although the reasons are unknown. To date, surveys have occurred on shallow reefs, despite sea snakes occurring over a large depth range. It is not known if populations of sea snakes in deep habitats have undergone similar declines. To address this, we analysed deep-water video data from a historical hotspot of sea snake diversity, Ashmore Reef, in 2004, 2016, and 2021. We collected 288 hours of video using baited remote underwater videos and a remotely operated vehicle at depths between 13 and 112 m. We observed 80 individuals of seven species with Aipysurus laevis (n = 30), Hydrophis peronii (n = 8), and H. ocellatus (n = 6) being the most abundant. Five of the species (A. duboisii, A. apraefrontalis, H. ocellatus, H. kingii, and Emydocephalus orarius) had not been reported in shallow waters for a decade prior to our study. We found no evidence of a decline in sea snakes across years in deep-water surveys, although abundances were lower than those in early shallow-water surveys. A comparison of BRUVS data from 2004 and 2016 was consistent with the hypothesis that predation by sharks may have contributed to the loss of sea snakes in shallow habitats. Our study highlights the use of underwater video to collect information on sea snakes in the mesophotic zone and also suggests that future monitoring should include these depths in order to capture a more complete representation of habitats occupied.

Challenges and bottlenecks for butterfly conservation in a highly anthropogenic region: Europe's worst case scenario revisited

The recent decline in insect diversity and abundance and the consequences for associated ecosystem functioning and services have attracted growing attention. Especially highly anthropogenic regions are affected by rapid biodiversity changes including significant losses. Two decades ago, we suggested that Flanders (northern Belgium) was Europe's worst case scenario for butterfly diversity loss with habitat destruction, fragmentation and nitrogen deposition as major causes (Maes and Van Dyck, 2001). To analyse changes since the second half of the 20th century, we used >2.5 million distribution records to calculate trends in distribution during the last three decades. By linking these trends to the species' ecology using multi-species indicators for a set of ecological and life-history traits, we determined the most important drivers policy makers and nature managers should focus on. Species showing the strongest expansion are woodland specialists and polyphagous species. On the other hand, sedentary species of nutrient-poor biotopes such as heathlands and semi-natural grasslands showed a decreasing trend, despite the ongoing policy focus and conservation efforts. We discuss our results with regard to challenges and bottlenecks for the conservation of butterflies and other insects in anthropogenic regions.

How continuing mortality affects recovery potential for prohibited sharks: The case of white sharks in South Africa

It can be difficult to determine whether a prohibition to exploitation ensures effective conservation or recovery for species that remain exposed to fishing effort and other sources of mortality throughout their range. Here we used simulation modeling of four life history scenarios (different productivity and population size) to contextualize potential population response to multiple levels of mortality, using white sharks (Carcharodon carcharias) in South Africa as a case study. The species has been protected since 1991, yet substantial uncertainty about population dynamics persists and recent declines at two aggregation sites have renewed conservation concern. All scenarios indicated that annual removals in the 10s of individuals would substantially limit the potential for and magnitude of any abundance increase following prohibition. Because average known removals from the KwaZulu-Natal Sharks Board’s Bather Protection Program have typically remained higher than these thresholds, they likely eliminated much of the conservation benefit derived from prohibition. The only life history scenario to achieve appreciable increase when simulated removals were similar to published averages assumed maturation occurred at a much younger age than currently understood. Our results demonstrate why general application of life history-based simulations can provide a useful mechanism to evaluate the biological plausibility of life history information and abundance trends, and to explore the scope for population response to recovery actions. For South Africa, our results suggest that even known levels of white shark removals, which likely underestimate total removals within their range, may be sufficient to drive abundance decline and new mitigation measures may be required to ensure population recovery.

A 90-year record of lake whitefish Coregonus clupeaformis abundances in Michigan waters of the upper Laurentian Great Lakes

Fishery managers throughout the upper Laurentian Great Lakes are currently faced with a two-decade decline in abundance and harvest of lake whitefish Coregonus clupeaformis stocks. We used multivariate auto-regressive state-space (MARSS) models to develop long-term (90-year; 1929–2018) time-series of lake whitefish relative abundance based on commercial catch-per-effort (CPE) data for 13 statistical districts in State of Michigan waters, including 1836 and 1842 Treaty ceded waters, of Lakes Superior, Michigan, and Huron. CPE time-series were used to estimate historical baseline conditions, which were compared to more recent conditions, specifically with reference to select regulatory, environmental, and ecological conditions in each lake and fishing intensity. Population growth rates suggested that lake whitefish stocks responded: (1) negatively to high levels of harvest and expansion of sea lamprey Petromyzon marinus populations during the early-1900s; (2) positively to commercial fishery regulation and sea lamprey control during the late-1950s and early-1960s; and (3) negatively to establishment of dreissenid mussels Dreissena spp. in Lakes Michigan and Huron by 2005 and the recent period of low productivity in all three lakes since the mid- to late-2000s. When placed in a historical context, the most recent (2011–2018) lake whitefish abundances are low, intermediate, and high in 31 %, 46 %, and 23 % of all districts examined. Although environmental and ecological conditions likely drove recent declines, correlation analysis suggested that higher levels of fishing intensity were associated with greater district-specific declines in abundance during the last two decades (1999–2016), a period characterized by lower overall productivity and limited recruitment in most lake whitefish stocks.