Background: Complex decongestive therapy (CDT) is being used in breast cancer-related lymphedema (BCRL). The degree of initial edema and bioimpedance analysis (BIA) are known to be related with the therapeutic effect of CDT. D-dimer can indirectly reflect lymphangiogenesis because IL-6 regulates D-dimer and vascular endothelial growth factor, which is the most important lymphangiogenic factor. We assessed whether D-dimer could be used for the prediction of therapeutic effect of CDT, as well as BIA and initial edema. Methods: The participants were patients who took inpatient treatment for BCRL from July 2016 to May 2020. Percent excess volume (PEV) was calculated by dividing the difference in volume of both arms by the edema arm, and the difference in PEV before and after 2 weeks of CDT was defined as the CDT effect. BIA and D-dimer tests were performed before treatment. Results: The single frequency bioimpedance analysis (SFBIA) ratio and D-dimer showed significant correlations with β coefficients of 0.581 and 0.402 (p < 0.01), respectively, and the explanatory power of these models was confirmed to be 0.704.The areas under the curve of initial PEV, SFBIA ratio, D-dimer for determining the CDT effect were identified as 0.849, 0.795, and 0.725, respectively. Conclusions: Initial PEV, SFBIA ratio, and blood D-dimer levels could be used as predictors for CDT treatment effect. Their usefulness order was in the order of initial PEV, SFBIA ratio, and D-dimer. These factors could be used as predictors to establish therapeutic plan in patients with mild lymphedema.