You have accessJournal of UrologyBladder Cancer: Invasive V1 Apr 2015MP72-07 NOMOGRAM PREDICTING CANCER SPECIFIC MORTALITY (CSM) AFTER NEOADJUVANT CHEMOTHERAPY AND RADICAL CYSTECTOMY FOR MUSCLE-INVASIVE BLADDER CANCER (BC): RESULTS OF AN INTERNATIONAL CONSORTIUM Maria Carmen Mir, Cesar Ercole, and Andrew Stephenson Maria Carmen MirMaria Carmen Mir More articles by this author , Cesar ErcoleCesar Ercole More articles by this author , and Andrew StephensonAndrew Stephenson More articles by this author View All Author Informationhttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.juro.2015.02.2641AboutPDF ToolsAdd to favoritesDownload CitationsTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints ShareFacebookTwitterLinked InEmail INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with multi-agent cisplatin-based regimens for invasive bladder cancer is associated with improved all-cause and cancer-specific mortality from randomized trials. The post-chemotherapy pathological stage has previously been reported to be a major determinant of outcome. We endeavored to develop a postoperative nomogram for survival based on these and other parameters from an international consortium. METHODS Between the years 2000 and 2013, 1130 patients with cT2-4a N0 M0 carcinoma of the bladder were treated at 19 institutions in USA, Canada, and Europe. Standard chemotherapy regimens (MVAC, GC) and non-standard regimens were administered in 1020 (90%) and 110 (10%) patients, respectively. The median number of cycles received was 3 (IQR: 3-4). Using multivariable Cox regression analysis, we constructed a model to predict cancer-specific mortality RESULTS The overall 5-year CSM was 62% (95% CI, 58%-66%). Significant variables in the model were lymph node metastasis (p<0.001), pathological stage (p<0.001), positive surgical margins (p<0.001) and chemotherapy regimen (p=0.0106). The resultant nomogram was internally validated and had a concordance index of 0.76. According to pathological stage, the 5-year CSM was 84.5% (95%CI, 79%-89%) for pT0, 79.3% (95%CI, 72%-86%)for pTIS-T1, 70% (95%CI, 62%-80%) for pT2, 31% (95%CI, 25%-39%)for pT3-4a, and 20.8% (95%CI, 14%-28%)for pN1-3. CONCLUSIONS We have developed and validated a nomogram predicting CSM after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radical cystectomy for invasive bladder cancer. The nomogram will be useful for patient counseling and in the identification of patients at high-risk for subsequent disease progression suitable for enrollment in clinical trials of adjuvant therapy. Chemo regimen: 1- MVAC; 2-GC; 3- Gem-Carboplatin © 2015 by American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.FiguresReferencesRelatedDetails Volume 193Issue 4SApril 2015Page: e923 Advertisement Copyright & Permissions© 2015 by American Urological Association Education and Research, Inc.MetricsAuthor Information Maria Carmen Mir More articles by this author Cesar Ercole More articles by this author Andrew Stephenson More articles by this author Expand All Advertisement Advertisement PDF DownloadLoading ...
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