The problem of prolonged pregnancy has been considered by many workers, some of whom have recommended induction of labor before or soon after term. More recent investigations have found no difference in the oxygen content of fetal scalp blood sampled before the onset of labor in patients presenting with premature ruptured membranes, as compared with those having amniotomy for induction at 42 weeks of gestation. The present study was designed to assess the risk of prolonged pregnancy in current obstetrical practice and the outcome of a conservative induction policy. Information from 2000 consecutive deliveries was collected prospectively, coded, and analyzed. A gestation period of 42 weeks or more was recorded for 142 patients who were then regarded as postmature. On further assessment, 81 of them (i.e., 4 per cent of all patients studied) were designated “certain postmature.” Thirty of the 81 patients had their labors induced at 42 weeks of gestation; spontaneous labor was awaited in 51 patients and had started before 44 weeks in all of them. The remaining 61 patients were designated “uncertain postmature.” Of these, 16 had labor induced at 42 weeks, and 45 of them were managed conservatively, with labor starting before 44 weeks of apparent gestation. The overall induction rate in the 2000 women was 9.8 per cent, and there was no perinatal death after 41 weeks of gestation. In the “certain postmature” group, the induced, compared with the noninduced patients, had fewer vaginal deliveries (53.3 per cent and 82.4 per cent, respectively; P < 0.01) and more cesarean sections. Eight of the induced patients had cesarean sections (three for fetal distress, four for failure to progress, and one for failed trial of forceps), as compared with five in the noninduced group (four for failure to progress and one for failed trial of forceps). Six of the induced patients required instrumental delivery (one for fetal distress and five for failure to progress), as compared with four in the noninduced group (three for fetal distress and one for failure to progress). In the “uncertain postmature” group, the induced, as compared with the noninduced patients, had a significantly longer first stage of labor (7.1 hours, as compared with 4.0 hours; P < 0.01) and a much greater cesarean rate (31.2 per cent, as compared with 2.2 per cent; P < 0.01). There was no difference in the frequency of instrumental deliveries. Neonatal outcome was assessed with the Apgar score at one and at five minutes, and the need for intubation or transfer to the special-care baby unit. In the “certain postmature” group, 17.3 per cent of the babies had Apgar scores of 5 or less at one minute, as compared with 9.3 in the total population (P < 0.02), but there were no other differences in neonatal outcome. There were no significant differences in neonatal outcome between patients who were induced and those who were allowed to go into spontaneous labor. In the “uncertain postmature” group, there were too few babies with perinatal morbidity to allow for statistical comparisons.
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