Cumulative Recurrence Research Articles

Efficacy and safety analysis of umbilical cord blood combined with haploid hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in the treatment of malignant hematological malignancies

Objective: To investigate the efficacy and safety of umbilical cord blood combined with haploid HSCT (haplo-cord HSCT) in the treatment of hematological malignancies. Methods: The data of 82 patients with hematologic malignancies who received haplo-cord HSCT from January 2017 to June 2021 in the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University were retrospectively analyzed. There were 52 male and 30 female patients, aged [M(Q1, Q3)] 29 (20, 41) years. All patients received myeloablative preconditioning regimen. The day of the donor stem cell infusion was recorded as day 0 (0 d), the day before the infusion was recorded as day-1 (-1 d), and the day after the infusion was recorded as day+1 (+1 d), and so on. Eighty-two patients received transfusion of peripheral blood and/or bone marrow stem cells from unrelated cord blood and haplotype donors after the myeloablative preconditioning regimen. The graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis regimen was 8 mg/kg ATG combined with cyclosporine, morte-macrolide, and methotrexate. Patients were evaluated for implantation and the occurrence of transplant-related complications such as GVHD, infection, hemorrhagic cystitis, and long-term patient survival. Results: The time of neutrophil engraftment [M(Q1, Q3)] was 13 (11, 15) days and 15 (13, 21) days for platelet. The 30-day cumulative incidence of neutrophil engraftment was 98.8% (81/82) and 100-day cumulative incidence of platelet engraftment was 92.7% (76/82). The cumulative incidence of acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) in degree Ⅱ-Ⅳ and Ⅲ-Ⅳ was 24.4% (20/82) and 6.1% (5/82), respectively. The cumulative incidence of chronic GVHD in+18 months was 13.5% (11/82). The follow-up time [M(Q1, Q3)] was 26 (13, 41) months, and the overall survival (OS) rate, event-free survival (EFS) rate, cumulative recurrence rate (CIR) and non-recurrence mortality (NRM) rate at 3 years after transplantation were 70.5% (95%CI: 59.7%-81.3%), 66.1% (95%CI: 56.1%-76.1%), 6.3% (95%CI: 5.7%-26.9%) and 20.8% (95%CI: 12.0%-29.6%), respectively. The cumulative incidence of cytomegalovirus and EBV reactivation was 37.8% (31/82) and 14.6% (12/82), respectively. The cumulative incidence of hemorrhagic cystitis was 32.9% (27/82). Conclusion: The efficacy of haplo-cord HSCT in the treatment of hematologic malignancies is reliable, with rapid hematopoietic reconstitution, low incidence of GVHD and virus reactivation.

Induction immunochemotherapy followed by radiotherapy for patients with unresectable locally advanced or metastatic esophageal cancer: A propensity score-matched analysis

BackgroundThe study aimed to investigate the efficacy of induction immunochemotherapy before radiotherapy (RT) for patients with locally advanced or metastatic esophageal cancer. MethodsPatients with unresectable locally advanced or metastatic esophageal cancer who received induction immunochemotherapy followed by RT (ICIs + RT group) and RT alone (RT group) were retrospectively identified in two cancer centers, respectively. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to balance the potential confounders between the two groups. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and recurrence patterns were evaluated. ResultsA total of 467 patients were reviewed, and 66 were matched in each group. After PSM, the 1- and 2-year OS rates were 84.6% and 57.9% in ICIs + RT group, and 71.1% and 43.0% in RT group (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.36–1.00, p = 0.050). The absolute increase of restricted mean survival time (RMST) for OS in ICIs + RT group compared with RT group were 0.89 years (p = 0.023) at one year and 2.59 years at two years (p = 0.030). The median PFS time, 1- and 2-year PFS rates were 20.3 months, 69.3%, and 45.7% in ICIs + RT group, and 12.2 months, 51.4%, and 35.8% in RT group (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.41–0.99, p = 0.045). The cumulative locoregional recurrence (LRR) rate was significantly lower in ICIs + RT group (1-year rate, 17.4% vs. 38.8%, p = 0.011), and distant metastasis (DM) rates were comparable (p = 0.755). Consolidation ICIs was associated with a trend of improved 1-year OS and PFS. ConclusionInduction immunochemotherapy followed by RT might improve locoregional control and survival outcomes for patients with unresectable locally advanced or metastatic esophageal cancer.

Infrapopliteal 3-Vessel Occlusive Disease Is the Only Predictor of Wound Recurrence After Complete Wound Healing via Endovascular Therapy in Patients With Chronic Limb-threatening Ischemia.

To determine the predictors of wound recurrence after complete wound healing in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) who underwent endovascular therapy (EVT) for infrapopliteal (IP) lesions with consideration of IP arterial anatomic severity, including classification by the Global Limb Anatomic Staging System (GLASS). This retrospective single-center study assessed patients with de novo CLTI limbs with tissue loss treated via EVT for IP lesions from September 2016 to May 2021. Among these patients, 149 consecutive limbs from 133 patients who achieved complete wound healing were enrolled. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the wound recurrence rate after complete wound healing. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to assess the association between baseline characteristics and wound recurrence. The cumulative wound recurrence rate 1 year after complete wound healing was 30%. The mean time for wound recurrence was 7±5 months. Only IP arterial anatomic characteristics remained as a predictor of wound recurrence, whereas wound status and management, including the Wound, Ischemia, and foot Infection (WIfI) clinical stage and minor amputation, were not associated with wound recurrence. Multivariate analysis revealed independent associations between wound recurrence and IP 3-vessel occlusive disease (hazard ratio, 2.97; 95% confidence interval, 1.39-6.35), but not poor below-the-ankle runoff, IP Peripheral Arterial Calcium Scoring System (PACSS) grade, and the GLASS IP grade. The only independent predictor of wound recurrence after complete wound healing via EVT in patients with CLTI was IP 3-vessel occlusive disease. In patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI), wound recurrence after complete wound healing remains a challenge, and studies focused exclusively on wound recurrence are still limited. The present study aimed to determine the risk factors for wound recurrence after complete wound healing in patients with CLTI who underwent endovascular therapy (EVT) for infrapopliteal (IP) lesions, with consideration of IP arterial anatomic severity for the first time. The results showed that IP 3-vessel occlusive disease was the only predictor of wound recurrence, whereas wound status/management and other arterial anatomic characteristics including WIfI clinical stages and GLASS grades were not predictors.

Association of clinical characteristics and recurrence of conventional colorectal adenomas with patient age: a single-center study.

We performed a clinical study comparing early-onset and late-onset conventional colorectal adenomas (CCRAs) since little is known about the differences in their characteristics. Pearson's chi-square test and the Kruskal‒Wallis test were used to compare basic information. MCAR tests and multiple imputation were performed to complete missing values. Multivariate logistic analysis and propensity score matching were used to identify the risk factors for recurrence. We included 2793 patients (688 with early-onset CCRAs and 2105 with late-onset CCRAs) from January 2017 to December 2021. Patients with early-onset CCRAs had higher levels of Hb, ALB, and triglycerides but lower HDL levels and N/L ratios. Moreover, we found that more early-onset CCRAs were in the left colon than late-onset CCRAs, and the size of early-onset CCRAs was larger. Early-onset CCRAs tended to lack pedicles compared to late-onset CCRAs. Additionally, the ratio of EMR and APC in early-onset CCRAs was higher than that in late-onset CCRAs, and the ratio of ESD and surgery for late-onset CCRAs was higher. We found that age ≥ 50years, abnormal vessels, drinking alcohol, and DB and ALB levels may be risk factors for recurrence, while the LDL level may be a protective factor. Finally, analysis of cumulative recurrence rates after PSM showed that patients with late-onset CCRAs exhibited higher recurrence rates (P < 0.05). Compared with late-onset CCRAs, early-onset CCRAs were associated with higher triglyceride levels, lower HDL levels, and larger tumor volumes. Age ≥ 50years, abnormal vessels, alcohol consumption, and DB and ALB levels were independent risk factors for recurrence of CCRAs.

Development of a transformer model for predicting the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation

IntroductionRadiofrequency ablation (RFA) is a widely accepted, minimally invasive treatment modality for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Accurate prognosis prediction is important to identify patients at high risk for cancer progression/recurrence after RFA. Recently, state-of-the-art transformer models showing improved performance over existing deep learning-based models have been developed in several fields. This study was aimed at developing and validating a transformer model to predict the overall survival in HCC patients with treated by RFA.MethodsWe enrolled a total of 1778 treatment-naïve HCC patients treated by RFA as the first-line treatment. We developed a transformer-based machine learning model to predict the overall survival in the HCC patients treated by RFA and compared its predictive performance with that of a deep learning-based model. Model performance was evaluated by determining the Harrel’s c-index and validated externally by the split-sample method.ResultsThe Harrel’s c-index of the transformer-based model was 0.69, indicating its better discrimination performance than that of the deep learning model (Harrel’s c-index, 0.60) in the external validation cohort. The transformer model showed a high discriminative ability for stratifying the external validation cohort into two or three different risk groups (p < 0.001 for both risk groupings). The model also enabled output of a personalized cumulative recurrence prediction curve for each patient.ConclusionsWe developed a novel transformer model for personalized prediction of the overall survival in HCC patients after RFA treatment. The current model may offer a personalized survival prediction schema for patients with HCC undergoing RFA treatment.

The risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism after discontinuation of anticoagulant therapy in patients with cancer-associated thrombosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

The optimal duration of anticoagulation in patients with active cancer and venous thromboembolism (VTE) is unknown. Current clinical guidelines advocate anticoagulant therapy for 3-6 months and to continue anticoagulant therapy for as long as the cancer is active. However, an adequate systematic review on the rate of recurrent VTE after discontinuation of anticoagulant therapy has not been performed. For this systemic review and meta-analysis, we searched Embase.com, Medline (Ovid), Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar, from database inception to February 16, 2023, for studies on anticoagulant therapy in patients with cancer and the recurrence of venous thromboembolism after discontinuation of this therapy. We included randomised controlled trials and cohort studies published in English that reported on patients who met the following: cancer and a first VTE, completed at least 3 months of anticoagulant therapy, were followed after discontinuation of anticoagulant therapy, and with symptomatic recurrent VTE as an outcome during follow-up. Study-level data were requested from study authors. The primary outcome was the rate of recurrent VTE after discontinuation of anticoagulant therapy. A Bayesian random-effects meta-analysis was used to estimate the rate of recurrent VTE per 100 person-years for the pooled studies at different time intervals after discontinuation of anticoagulation therapy. We also calculated the cumulative VTE recurrence rate at different time intervals. Forest plots were mapped and the results were summarized by the median and 95% credible interval (CIs). This study was registered with PROSPERO, CRD42021249060. Of 3856 studies identified in our search, 33 studies were identified for inclusion. After requesting study-level data, 14 studies involving 1922 patients with cancer-associated thrombosis were included. The pooled rate of recurrent VTE per 100 person-years after discontinuation of anticoagulant therapy was 14.6 events (95% credible interval 6.5-22.8) in the first three months, decreasing to 1.1 events (95% CI 0.3-2.1) in year 2-3, and 2.2 events (95% CI 0.0-4.4) in year 3-5 after discontinuation of anticoagulant therapy. The cumulative VTE recurrence rate was 28.3% (95% CI 15.6-39.6%) at 1 year; 31.1% (95% CI 16.5-43.8%) at 2 years; 31.9% (95% CI 16.8-45.0%) at 3 years; and 35.0% (95% CI 16.8-47.4%) at 5 years after discontinuation of anticoagulant therapy. This meta-analysis demonstrates a high rate of recurrent VTE over time after discontinuation of anticoagulant therapy in patients with cancer-associated thrombosis. Our results support the current clinical guidelines to continue anticoagulant therapy in patients with active cancer. Erasmus MC.

Immediate and long-term results of radiation therapy in combination with capecitabine and oxaliplatin in the treatment of patients with asquamous cell carcinoma of the anus

Introduction. The current standard of care is concurrent radiation therapy (RT) and chemotherapy with mitomycin or cisplatin in combination with fuoropyrimidine drugs. One possible option for effective chemotherapy regimens with a lower toxicity is the combination of oxaliplatin and capecitabine with RT. The purpose of the study: a retrospective evaluation of the results of combined treatment of 74 patients with squamous cell carcinoma of the anus (SCCA) with the use of oxaliplatin and capecitabine. Material and Methods. The study included 74 patients (men – 12.2 %, women – 87.8 %) with stage I–III SCCA. All patients underwent megavolt photon RT (2×25), a cumulative dose of 50 Gy and a boost of 10 Gy to the anal canal. From days 1 to 14 and from days 22 to 36 of RT, capecitabine was administered orally at a dose of 825 mg/m2 twice a day in combination with intravenous administration of oxaliplatin 50 mg/m2 on days 1, 8, 22, and 29 of RT. If a residual tumor 6 months after completion of chemoradiotherapy was found, patients underwent surgery. Results. All 74 patients underwent RT with a cumulative dose of 60 Gy. Chemotherapy, according to the protocol, was completed in 58 (78.4 %) patients. Grade 3-4 toxicity was noted in 11 (14.9 %) patients. In 64 patients (86.5 %), a complete clinical response was registered. At least one late radiation side effects according to the RTOG (LENT SOMA) scale was noted in 48 (98.0 %) patients, including grade 3-4 complications in 12 (24.5 %) patients. With a median follow-up of 40 months (3-82) cumulative three-year local recurrence rate, overall and relapse-free survival were 15.3 ± 4.5 %, 73.7 ± 5.7 % and 53.5 ± 6.4 %, respectively. Conclusion. Combined treatment of SCCA, based on the combination of RT with chemotherapy with oxaliplatin and capecitabine, is feasible and has acceptable acute toxicity. Additional clinical studies are needed using this chemotherapy regimen in combination with modern RT techniques.

Hemogram-Derived Ratios in the Prognosis of Acute Diverticulitis.

Background and Objectives: It is crucial to quickly identify those patients who need immediate treatment in order to avoid the various complications related to acute diverticulitis (AD). Although several studies evaluated the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) suggesting its predictive value in assessing the severity of AD, results have been inconclusive. Therefore, we aimed to assess the relationship between the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), and systemic immune inflammation (SII) with the severity of AD, the ability to predict the presence or absence of complications, and the recurrence rate, based on the values of inflammatory markers. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 147 patients diagnosed with AD between January 2012 to February 2023. Patients were divided into 2 groups, uncomplicated and complicated AD. The characteristics and full blood count between both groups were compared. Results: A total of 65 (44.22%) patients were classified as having complicated AD. The area under the ROC curve (AUROC) defining a Hinchey score ≥ 1b was as follows: SII, 0.812 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.73 -0.888); NLR, 0.773 (95% CI, 0.676-0.857); PLR, 0.725 (95% CI, 0.63-0.813); MLR: 0.665 (95% CI, 0.542 -0.777). An SII cutoff value of > 1200 marked the highest yield for diagnosing complicated AD, with a sensitivity of 82% and a specificity of 76%. The cumulative recurrence rate was not significantly different in the groups of SII ≥ median vs. SII < median (p = 0.35), NLR ≥ median vs. NLR < median (p = 0.347), PLR ≥ median vs. PLR < median (p = 0.597), and MLR ≥ median vs. MLR < median (p = 0.651). Conclusions: Our study indicates that SII, NLR, and PLR are statistically significant and clinically useful classifying ratios to predict higher Hinchey scores. However, they cannot predict recurrences.

Conditional recurrence analysis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: Changes in recurrence rate and survival after recurrence resection by disease-free interval.

The prognosis of patients with resected intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is still unsatisfactory, with a high recurrence rate. We aimed to evaluate risks of recurrence changing over time and the survival benefit of resection for recurrent ICC. This study included patients who underwent hepatectomy for ICC during 1995-2020. Risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients undergoing initial resection and overall survival (OS) in patients who developed recurrence after initial resection were analyzed. Conditional cumulative incidence of recurrence was assessed. A total of 169 patients were included in the study and 114 patients (67.5%) developed recurrence. Cumulative analyses showed that the 5-year recurrence rate was 69.3% at the time of initial resection but decreased to 24.8% in patients free from recurrence at 2years after initial resection and 2.6% in patients free from recurrence at 4years. Re-resection was carried out in 26 (22.8%) of 114 patients who developed recurrence. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model analysis indicated re-resection (hazard ratio [HR] 0.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.11-0.40, p<0.001), microvascular invasion (MVI) (HR 2.39; 95% CI 1.05-5.40, p=0.037), and disease-free interval (months) (HR 0.97; 95% CI 0.95-1.00, p=0.067) were significantly associated with longer OS after recurrence. Although the rate of recurrence remains high, conditional cumulative recurrence rate analysis showed that the rate of recurrence decreased by disease-free interval. Resection of recurrent ICC was associated with improved OS, particularly among patients with longer disease-free interval and absence of MVI after initial hepatectomy.

Usefulness of the aldehyde breath test for predicting metachronous recurrence in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

The rate of metachronous recurrence after endoscopic submucosal dissection for early-stage esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and hypopharynx squamous cell carcinoma is as high (10-15%). The acetaldehyde breath test may detect acetaldehyde dehydrogenase 2 gene polymorphisms. Therefore, we evaluated its usefulness in assessing metachronous recurrence in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and hypopharynx squamous cell carcinoma. A total of 76 patients underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and hypopharynx squamous cell carcinoma and were followed up for at least 3years (non-recurrence group: 52 patients; recurrence group: 24 patients). The risk factors for carcinogenesis were compared between the recurrence and non-recurrence groups, and the acetaldehyde-to-ethanol ratio was assessed. The cutoff acetaldehyde-to-ethanol ratio that correlated with recurrence was established, and the cumulative recurrence rate was evaluated. The recurrence group had a higher acetaldehyde-to-ethanol ratio, daily alcohol consumption, and Lugol-voiding lesion grade than the non-recurrence group in the univariate analysis. The cutoff acetaldehyde-to-ethanol ratio for recurrence was 28.1 based on the receiver operating characteristic curve. The multivariate analysis revealed an acetaldehyde-to-ethanol ratio of > 28.1 and a Lugol-voiding lesion grade associated with carcinogenesis. Patients with an acetaldehyde-to-ethanol ratio of ≥ 28.1 had a significantly high recurrence rate using the Kaplan-Meier method. The acetaldehyde-to-ethanol ratio detected using the acetaldehyde breath test could be a novel biomarker of metachronous recurrence after endoscopic submucosal dissection in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and hypopharynx squamous cell carcinoma. UMIN000040615.

Comparison of the effects and safety of dydrogesterone and medroxyprogesterone acetate on endometrial hyperplasia without atypia: a randomized controlled non-inferior phase Ⅲ clinical study

Objective: To compare the effects and safety of dydrogesterone (DG) and medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) on the treatment in patients with endometrial hyperplasia without atypia (EH). Methods: This was a single-center, open-label, prospective non-inferior randomized controlled phase Ⅲ trial. From February 2019 to November 2021, patients with EH admitted to the Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital of Fudan University were recruited. Enrolled patients were stratified according to the pathological types of simple hyperplasia (SH) or complex hyperplasia (CH), and were randomised to receive MPA or DG. Untill May 14, 2022, the median follow-up time after complete response (CR) was 9.3 months (1.1-17.2 months). The primary endpoint was the 6-month CR rate (6m-CR rate). The secondary endpoints included the 3-month CR rate (3m-CR rate), adverse events rate, recurrence rate, and pregnancy rate in one year after CR. Results: (1) A total of 292 patients with EH were enrolled in the study with the median age of 39 years (31-45 years). A total of 135 SH patients were randomly assigned to MPA group (n=67) and DG group (n=68), and 157 CH patients were randomly assigned to MPA group (n=79) and DG group (n=78). (2) Among 292 patients, 205 patients enrolled into the primary endpoint analysis, including 92 SH patients and 113 CH patients, with 100 patients in MPA group and 105 in DG group, respectively. The 6m-CR rate of MPA group and DG group were 90.0% (90/100) and 88.6% (93/105) respectively, and there were no statistical significance (χ2=0.11, P=0.741), with the rate difference (RD) was -1.4% (95%CI:-9.9%-7.0%). Stratified by the pathology types, the 6m-CR rate of SH patients was 93.5% (86/92), and MPA group and DG group were respectively 91.1% (41/45) and 95.7% (45/47); and the 6m-CR rate of CH patients was 85.8% (97/113), and MPA group and DG group were 89.1% (49/55) and 82.8% (48/58) respectively. The 6m-CR rates of the two treatments had no statistical significance either (all P>0.05). A total of 194 EH patients enrolled into the secondary endpoint analysis, including 88 SH patients and 106 CH patients, and 96 patients in MPA group and 98 in DG group, respectively. The 3m-CR rate of SH patients were 87.5% (77/88), while the 3m-CR rates of MPA group and DG group were 90.7% (39/43) and 84.4% (38/45), respectively; the 3m-CR rate of CH patients was 66.0% (70/106), and MPA group and DG group had the same 3m-CR rate of 66.0% (35/53). No statistical significance was found between the two treatments both in SH and CH patients (all P>0.05). (3) The incidence of adverse events between MPA group and DG group had no statistical significance (P>0.05). (4) A total of 93 SH patients achieved CR, and the cumulative recurrence rate in one year after CR were 5.9% and 0 in MPA group and DG group, respectively. While 112 CH patients achieved CR, and the cumulative recurrence rate in one year after CR were 8.8% and 6.5% in MPA group and DG group, respectively. There were no statistical significance between two treatment groups (all P>0.05). Among the 93 SH patients, 10 patients had family planning but no pregnancy happened during the follow-up period. Among the 112 CH patients, 21 were actively preparing for pregnancy, and the pregnancy rate and live-birth rate in one year after CR in MPA group were 7/9 and 2/7, while in DG group were respectively 4/12 and 2/4, and there were no statistical significance in pregnancy rate and live-birth rate between the two treatment groups (all P>0.05). Conclusions: Compared with MPA, DG is of good efficacy and safety in treating EH. DG is a favorable alternative treatment for EH patients.

Clinical significance of metastatic tumor deposit foci in rectal cancer in the lateral pelvic lymph node area.

Although previous studies have demonstrated that tumor deposits (TDs) are associated with worse prognosis in colon cancer, their clinical significance in rectal cancer has not been fully elucidated, especially in the lateral pelvic lymph node (LPLN) area. This study aimed to clarify the clinical significance of TDs, focusing on the number of metastatic foci, including lymph node metastases (LNMs) and TDs, in the LPLN area. This retrospective study involved 226 consecutive patients with cStage II/III low rectal cancer who underwent LPLN dissection. Metastatic foci, including LNM and TD, in the LPLN area were defined as lateral pelvic metastases (LP-M) and were evaluated according to LP-M status: presence (absence vs. presence), histopathological classification (LNM vs. TD), and number (one to three vs. four or more). We evaluated the relapse-free survival of each model and compared them using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Harrell's concordance index (c-index). Forty-nine of 226 patients (22%) had LP-M, and 15 patients (7%) had TDs. The median number of LP-M per patient was one (range, 1-9). The best risk stratification power was observed for number (AIC, 758; c-index, 0.668) compared with presence (AIC, 759; c-index, 0.665) and histopathological classification (AIC, 761; c-index, 0.664). The number of LP-M was an independent prognostic factor for both relapse-free and overall survival, and was significantly associated with cumulative local recurrence. The number of metastatic foci, including LNMs and TDs, in the LPLN area is useful for risk stratification of patients with low rectal cancer.

Risk factors for postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II colorectal cancer

BackgroundRecurrences are the main reasons for unfavorable outcomes for patients with stage II colorectal cancer (CRC). To obtain a clear understanding of the high-risk factors, further investigation is warranted. The present study aimed to analyze the risk factors associated with postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II CRC.MethodsEligible patients with pathologically confirmed stage II CRC were enrolled in the study retrospectively based on a prospectively maintained database from April 2008 to March 2019. The Kaplan–Meier method were used to calculate the overall survival (OS) rate and the cumulative recurrence rate. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for recurrence.ResultsThere were 2515 patients included, of whom 233 (9.3%) developed local or distant recurrence. Recurrence was associated with a significantly worse 5-year OS (45.4% vs. 95.5%, p < 0.0001). The 5-year cumulative recurrence rate was 13.0% in patients with stage II CRC. On multivariable Cox analysis, tumor size (Hazard Ratio (HR) [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 1.79[1.38, 2.33]), preoperative carbohydrate antigen (CA) 125 level (HR [95% CI] = 1.78[1.17, 2.70]), preoperative CA 199 level (HR [95% CI] = 1.56[1.09, 2.22]), and ulcerating tumor (HR [95% CI] = 1.61[1.19, 2.17]) were found to be associated with postoperative recurrence. Adjuvant chemotherapy was associated with a lower cumulative recurrence rate in patients with these risk factors (p = 0.00096).ConclusionThe tumor diameter, preoperative CA125 level, preoperative CA199 level, and an ulcerative tumor can predict postoperative recurrence in patients with stage II CRC, and postoperative chemotherapy could reduce the cumulative recurrence rate in patients with these high-risk factors.

Preoperative Prediction of Microvascular Invasion with Gadoxetic Acid-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging in Patients with Single Hepatocellular Carcinoma: The Implication of Surgical Decision on the Extent of Liver Resection

Introduction: Microvascular invasion (MVI) is one of the most important prognostic factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence, but its application in preoperative clinical decisions is limited. This study aimed to identify preoperative predictive factors for MVI in HCC and further evaluate oncologic outcomes of different types and extents of hepatectomy according to stratified risk of MVI. Methods: Patients with surgically resected single HCC (≤5 cm) who underwent preoperative gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were included in a single-center retrospective study. Two radiologists reviewed the images with no clinical, pathological, or prognostic information. Significant predictive factors for MVI were identified using logistic regression analysis against pathologic MVI and used to stratify patients. In the subgroup analysis, long-term outcomes of the stratified patients were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test and compared between anatomical and nonanatomical or major and minor resection. Results: A total of 408 patients, 318 men and 90 women, with a mean age of 56.7 years were included. Elevated levels of tumor markers (alpha-fetoprotein [α-FP] ≥25 ng/mL and PIVKA-II ≥40 mAU/mL) and three MRI features (tumor size ≥3 cm, non-smooth tumor margin, and arterial peritumoral enhancement) were independent predictive factors for MVI. As the MVI risk increased from low (no predictive factor) and intermediate (1–2 factors) to high-risk (3–4 factors), recurrence-free and overall survival of each group significantly decreased (p = 0.001). In the high MVI risk group, 5-year cumulative recurrence rate was significantly lower in patients who underwent major compared to minor hepatectomy (26.6 vs. 59.8%, p = 0.027). Conclusion: Tumor markers and MRI features can predict the risk of MVI and prognosis after hepatectomy. Patients with high MVI risk had the worst prognosis among the three groups, and major hepatectomy improved long-term outcomes in these high-risk patients.

Gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI combined with T1 mapping and clinical factors to predict Ki-67 expression of hepatocellular carcinoma.

To explore the predictive value of gadoxetic acid-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) combined with T1 mapping and clinical factors for Ki-67 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A retrospective study was conducted on 185 patients with pathologically confirmed solitary HCC from two institutions. All patients underwent preoperative T1 mapping on gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI. Patients from institution I (n = 124) and institution II (n = 61) were respectively assigned to the training and validation sets. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to assess the correlation of clinico-radiological factors with Ki-67 labeling index (LI). Based on the significant factors, a predictive nomogram was developed and validated for Ki-67 LI. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated on the basis of its calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility. Multivariable analysis showed that alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels > 20ng/mL, neutrophils to lymphocyte ratio > 2.25, non-smooth margin, tumor-to-liver signal intensity ratio in the hepatobiliary phase ≤ 0.6, and post-contrast T1 relaxation time > 705 msec were the independent predictors of Ki-67 LI. The nomogram based on these variables showed the best predictive performance with area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.899, area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) 0.946 and F1 score of 0.912; the respective values were 0.823, 0.879 and 0.857 in the validation set. The Kaplan-Meier curves illustrated that the cumulative recurrence probability at 2 years was significantly higher in patients with high Ki-67 LI than in those with low Ki-67 LI (39.6% [53/134] vs. 19.6% [10/51], p = 0.011). Gadoxetic acid-enhanced MRI combined with T1 mapping and several clinical factors can preoperatively predict Ki-67 LI with high accuracy, and thus enable risk stratification and personalized treatment of HCC patients.

Impact of Pertuzumab and Ado-Trastuzumab Emtansine on Cumulative Avoidance of Recurrence Among Women Treated for Locally Advanced, Inflammatory, or Early-Stage Nonmetastatic HER2-Positive Breast Cancer in the United States.

We assessed the impact of HER2-positive early breast cancer (EBC) treatment landscape changes following the introduction of pertuzumab and ado-trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1) on cumulative population-level recurrences avoided since 2013 (first pertuzumab approval for EBC in the United States; US). We constructed a multi-year epidemiologic population treatment-impact model to estimate annual recurrences between 2013 and 2031. Parameters were: BC incidence; stage I-III proportion; HER2-positive disease proportion; treatment proportions for neoadjuvant-only, adjuvant-only, and neoadjuvant-adjuvant continuation; and therapeutic agent proportions within each of those settings (chemotherapy only, trastuzumab±chemotherapy, pertuzumab with trastuzumab±chemotherapy, or T-DM1). The primary endpoint was cumulative recurrences, estimated by incorporating extrapolated clinical trial data for each regimen of interest into the model under four scenarios. Approximately 889,057 women were predicted to be diagnosed with stage I-III HER2-positive BC from 2006 to 2031 in the US and potentially indicated for HER2-targeted treatment. In steady-state equilibrium, the model estimated that real-world utilization of pertuzumab and T-DM1 will reduce the population-level number of recurrences by approximately 32%, with 7226 recurrences predicted in 2031 based on current utilization rates. In different modeled scenarios, use of neoadjuvant pertuzumab, continuation of pertuzumab in the adjuvant setting, and T-DM1 in the adjuvant setting in women with residual disease after neoadjuvant treatment were all predicted to reduce the number of recurrences. Given the improvement of HER2-targeted treatments, alongside increases in BC disease burden, we expect that the population-level impact of HER2-targeted treatments will accelerate over the next decade. Our results suggest that utilization of HER2-targeted treatments in the US has the potential to change the epidemiology of HER2-positive EBC by preventing a substantial number of women from experiencing disease recurrence. These improvements may help to inform our understanding of the future disease and economic burden of HER2-positive BC in the US.

Thermal ablation as an alternative to liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma with clinically significant portal hypertension: propensity score matching study.

The objectives were to investigate the safety and efficacy of thermal ablation as an alternative to liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). From July 2016 to September 2019, hepatocellular carcinoma patients with CSPH treated by liver transplantation (N=37) or thermal ablation (N=114) were enrolled. Cumulative intrahepatic recurrence, overall survival and major complications were compared by propensity score matching. In the two matched groups, the 1-, 2-, and 3-year intrahepatic recurrence rates for the ablation group (22.3%, 50.0%, and 50.0%, respectively) were significantly higher than those for the transplantation group (4.5%, 4.5%, and 4.5%, respectively) (P=0.016). The 1-, 2-, and 3-year overall survival rates were comparable between the two groups [96.1%, 88.7%, and 88.7%, respectively (ablation group) vs. 84.6%, 76.2%, and 76.2%, respectively (transplantation group)] (P=0.07). The major complication rate for the ablation group [4.8% (3/62)] was significantly lower than that for the transplantation group [36.0% (9/25)] (P<0.001). Thermal ablation is a safe and effective alternative for hepatocellular carcinoma patients with CSPH.

Second allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation with reduced-intensity conditioning and donor changes in relapsed hematological malignancies after the first allogeneic transplant

Objective: The purpose of this study was to assess the safety and efficacy of a second allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) with reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC) in patients with hematological malignancies who had relapsed after the first allo-HSCT. Methods: Between April 2018 and June 2021, 44 patients with hematological malignancies (B-ALL 23, T-ALL/T-LBL 4, AML15, and MDS 2) were enrolled and retrospectively examined. Unrelated donors (n=12) or haploidentical donors (n=32) were used. Donors were replaced in all patients for the second allo-HSCT. Hematological and immunological germline predisposition genes and hematopoietic and immune function tests were used to select the best-related donor. Total body irradiation (TBI) /fludarabine (FLU) -based (n=38), busulfan (BU) /FLU-based (n=4), total marrow irradiation (TMI) /FLU-based (n=1), and BU/cladribine-based (n=1) were the RIC regimens used. For graft versus host disease (GVHD) prevention, cyclosporine, mycophenolate mofetil, short-term methotrexate, and ATG were used. Eighteen (40.9%) of 44 patients with gene variations for which targeted medications are available underwent post-transplant maintenance therapy. Results: The median age was 25 years old (range: 7-55). The median interval between the first and second HSCT was 19.5 months (range: 6-77). Before the second allo-HSCT, 33 (75%) of the patients were in complete remission (CR), whereas 11 (25%) were not. All patients had long-term engraftment. The grade Ⅱ-Ⅳ GVHD and severe acute GVHD rates were 20.5% and 9.1%, respectively. Chronic GVHD was found in 20.5% of limited patterns and 22.7% of severe patterns. CMV and EBV reactivation rates were 29.5% and 6.8%, respectively. Hemorrhage cystitis occurred in 15.9% of cases, grade Ⅰ or Ⅱ. The 1-yr disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), and cumulative recurrence incidence (RI) rates of all patients were 72.5% (95% CI, 54.5%-84.3%), 80.6% (95% CI, 63.4%-90.3%), and 25.1% (95% CI, 13.7%-43.2%), respectively, with a median follow-up of 14 (2-39) months. There were eight deaths (seven relapses and one infection). The rate of non-relapse mortality (NRM) was only 2.3%. The CR patients' 1-yr RI rate was significantly lower than the NR patients (16.8% vs 48.1%, P=0.026). The DFS rate in CR patients was greater than in NR patients, although there was no statistical difference (79.9% vs 51.9%, P=0.072). Univariate analysis revealed that CR before the second allo-HSCT was an important prognostic factor. Conclusion: With our RIC regimens, donor change, and post-transplant maintenance therapy, the second allo-HSCT in relapsed hematological malignancies after the first allo-HSCT is a safe and effective treatment with high OS and DFS and low NRM and relapse rate. The most important factor influencing the prognosis of the second allo-HSCT is the patient's illness condition before the transplant.

Percutaneous cholecystostomy as a definitive treatment for acute acalculous cholecystitis: clinical outcomes and risk factors for recurrent cholecystitis.

To investigate the outcomes of percutaneous cholecystostomy (PC) as a definitive treatment for acute acalculous cholecystitis (AAC) and to identify the risk factors for cholecystitis recurrence after catheter removal. Between January 2008 and December 2017, 124 patients who had undergone PC as definitive treatment for moderate or severe AAC. The initial clinical success, complications, and recurrent cholecystitis after PC removal were retrospectively assessed. Twenty-one relevant variables were analyzed to identify risk factors for recurrent cholecystitis. Clinical effectiveness was achieved in 107 patients (86.3%) at 3 days and in all patients (100%) at 5 days after PC placement. Six Grade 2 adverse events occurred, including catheter dislodgement (n = 3) and clogging (n = 3), which required catheter exchange. The PC catheter was removed in 123 patients (99.2%), with a median indwelling duration of 18 days (range 5-116 days). During the follow-up period (median, 1624 days; range, 40-4945 days), five patients experienced recurrent cholecystitis (4.1%). The cumulative recurrence rates were 3.3%, 4.1%, and 4.1% at 6 months, 1 year, and 5 years, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that an age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI)≥7 positively correlated with recurrence (OR, 1.97; 95% confidence interval, 1.07-3.64; p = 0.029). Definitive PC is a safe and effective treatment option for patients with AAC. The PC catheters can be safely removed in most patients. An aCCI≥7 was a risk factor for cholecystitis recurrence after catheter removal. 1. Percutaneous cholecystostomy (PC) is a safe and effective as a definitive treatment in patients with acute acalculous cholecystitis (AAC).2. PC can be safely removed after recover from AAC in the majority of patients (99.2%) with low rate of recurrence of cholecystitis (4.1%).3. Age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index ≥7 was a risk factor for recurrence of cholecystitis after PC removal.

To explore the effects of herbal medicine among cancer patients in Taiwan: A cohort study.

Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) is widely used by ethnic Chinese communities. TCM is covered by Taiwan's National Health Insurance (NHI) program. We evaluated the efficacy and outcomes of complementary Chinese herbal medicine (CHM) therapy in patients with cancer. This population-based cohort study was conducted using the data of patients who received a cancer diagnosis between 2005 and 2015 in Taiwan. Eligible patients were divided into standard and complementary CHM therapy groups. The complementary CHM therapy group was further divided into low cumulative dosage (LCD), medium cumulative dosage (MCD), and high cumulative dosage (HCD) subgroups. Overall survival (OS), mortality risk, cancer recurrence, and metastasis were analyzed for all cancers and five major cancers (lung, liver, breast, colorectal, and oral cancers). We included 5707 patients with cancer (standard therapy, 4797 [84.1%]; complementary CHM therapy, 910 [15.9%]; LCD, 449 [7.9%]; MCD, 374 [6.6%], and HCD, 87 [1.5%]). For the LCD, MCD, and HCD subgroups, the mortality risk was 0.83, 0.64, and 0.45, and the 11-year OS, 5-year cumulative cancer recurrence, and 5-year cumulative cancer metastasis rates were 6.1 ± 0.2, 6.9 ± 0.2, and 8.2 ± 0.4 years; 39.2%, 31.5%, and 18.8%; and 39.5%, 32.8%, and 16.6%, respectively. The cumulative cancer recurrence and metastasis rates of the standard therapy group were 40.9% and 32.8%, respectively. The cumulative recurrence and metastasis rates of all cancers, lung cancer, and liver cancer and all cancers, colorectal cancer, and breast cancer, respectively, were significantly lower in the HCD subgroup than in the other subgroups and standard therapy group ( p < 0.05). Patients receiving complementary CHM therapy may have prolonged OS and reduced risks of mortality, recurrence, and metastasis. A dose-response relationship was noted between CHM therapy and mortality risk: increased dosage was associated with improved OS and reduced mortality risk.