Cumulative Incidence Of Lung Cancer Research Articles

Impact of smoking reduction on lung cancer risk in patients with COPD who smoked fewer than 30 pack-years: a nationwide population-based cohort study

BackgroundThe effects of smoking reduction on the incidence of lung cancer in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are not well known. This study aimed to investigate the effects of changes in smoking habits after COPD diagnosis on lung cancer development in patients who smoked less than 30 pack-years.MethodsThis nationwide retrospective cohort study included 16,832 patients with COPD who smoked less than 30 pack-years at the time of COPD diagnosis. Based on changes in smoking habits in the health screening examination data, smokers were categorized into three groups: quitters, reducers, and sustainers. The primary outcome was the risk of lung cancer development, which was estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model. We also modelled the amount of smoking reduction as a continuous variable.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 4 years, the cumulative incidence of lung cancer was the highest among sustainers, followed by reducers and quitters. Compared with sustainers, reducers (adjusted HR 0.74, 95% CI:0.56–0.98) and quitters (adjusted HR 0.78, 95% CI:0.64–0.96) had a significantly lower risk of lung cancer. Incidence of lung cancer showed a decreasing trend with a decreasing amount of smoking (P for linearity < 0.01).ConclusionsIn patients with COPD who smoked less than 30 pack-years, smoking reduction and cessation lowered the risk of lung cancer.

Association between high levels of nitrogen dioxide and increased cumulative incidence of lung cancer in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

Lung cancer is a fatal complication of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) with a poor prognosis. However, the association between individual exposure to air pollutants and lung cancer development in patients with IPF is unknown. This study aimed to assess the effect of individual exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO2) on lung cancer development in patients with IPF. We enrolled 1085 patients from an IPF cohort in the Republic of Korea (mean age 65.6 years, males 80.6%). We estimated individual-level long-term exposures to NO2 at the patients' residential addresses using a national-scale exposure prediction model based on data from air quality regulatory monitoring stations. To evaluate the association between NO2 levels and lung cancer development in IPF, we used an individual- and area-level covariates adjusted model as our primary model. The estimated average annual NO2 concentration was 23.1 ppb. During a median follow-up of 4.3 years, 86 patients (7.9%) developed lung cancer. NO2 concentration was associated with lung cancer development in an unadjusted model (HR 1.219; p=0.042), while a marginal association was found in the primary model (HR 1.280; p=0.084). When NO2 concentration was stratified by the median value (21.0 ppb), exposure to high NO2 levels (≥21.0 ppb) was associated with a 2.0-fold increase in the risk of lung cancer development (HR 2.023; p=0.047) in the primary model. Individual exposure to high NO2 levels may increase the risk of lung cancer development in patients with IPF.

Effectiveness of a single low-dose computed tomography screening for lung cancer: A population-based perspective cohort study in China.

The purpose of this perspective cohort study was to evaluate the effectiveness of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening for lung cancer in China. This study was conducted under the China Urban Cancer Screening Program (CanSPUC). The analysis was based on participants aged 40 to 74 years from 2012 to 2019. A total of 255 569 eligible participants were recruited in the study. Among the 58 136 participants at high risk of lung cancer, 20 346 (35.00%) had a single LDCT scan (defined as the screened group) and 37 790 (65.00%) not (defined as the non-screened group). Overall, 1162 participants were diagnosed with lung cancer at median follow-up time of 5.25 years. The screened group had the highest cumulative incidence of lung cancer and the non-screened group had the highest cumulative lung cancer mortality and all-cause cumulative mortality. We performed inverse probability weighting (IPW) to account for potential imbalances, and Cox proportional hazards model to estimate the weighted association between mortality and LDCT scans. After IPW adjusted with baseline characteristics, the lung cancer incidence density was significantly increased (37.0% increase) (HR1.37 [95%CI 1.12-1.69]), lung cancer mortality was decreased (31.0% decrease) (HR0.69 [95%CI 0.49-0.97]), and the all-cause mortality was significantly decreased (23.0% lower) (HR0.77 [95% CI 0.68-0.87]) in the screened group. In summary, a single LDCT for lung cancer screening will reduce the mortality of lung cancer and all-cause mortality in China.

Lung cancer risk score for ever and never smokers in China.

Most lung cancer risk prediction models were developed in European and North-American cohorts of smokers aged ≥ 55 years, while less is known about risk profiles in Asia, especially for never smokers or individuals aged < 50 years. Hence, we aimed to develop and validate a lung cancer risk estimate tool for ever and never smokers across a wide age range. Based on the China Kadoorie Biobank cohort, we first systematically selected the predictors and explored the nonlinear association of predictors with lung cancer risk using restricted cubic splines. Then, we separately developed risk prediction models to construct a lung cancer risk score (LCRS) in 159,715 ever smokers and 336,526 never smokers. The LCRS was further validated in an independent cohort over a median follow-up of 13.6 years, consisting of 14,153 never smokers and 5,890 ever smokers. A total of 13 and 9 routinely available predictors were identified for ever and never smokers, respectively. Of these predictors, cigarettes per day and quit years showed nonlinear associations with lung cancer risk (Pnon-linear < 0.001). The curve of lung cancer incidence increased rapidly above 20 cigarettes per day and then was relatively flat until approximately 30 cigarettes per day. We also observed that lung cancer risk declined sharply within the first 5 years of quitting, and then continued to decrease but at a slower rate in the subsequent years. The 6-year area under the receiver operating curve for the ever and never smokers' models were respectively 0.778 and 0.733 in the derivation cohort, and 0.774 and 0.759 in the validation cohort. In the validation cohort, the 10-year cumulative incidence of lung cancer was 0.39% and 2.57% for ever smokers with low (< 166.2) and intermediate-high LCRS (≥ 166.2), respectively. Never smokers with a high LCRS (≥ 21.2) had a higher 10-year cumulative incidence rate than those with a low LCRS (< 21.2; 1.05% vs. 0.22%). An online risk evaluation tool (LCKEY; http://ccra.njmu.edu.cn/lckey/web) was developed to facilitate the use of LCRS. The LCRS can be an effective risk assessment tool designed for ever and never smokers aged 30 to 80 years.

Trends and risk of lung cancer among people living with HIV in the USA: a population-based registry linkage study

Lung cancer is a common cancer in people living with HIV, but the risk of cancer in this group has not been investigated for over a decade. We investigated trends in relative and absolute risk of lung cancer among people living with HIV of various age groups in the USA. In this population-based registry linkage study, we used 2001-16 data from the HIV/AIDS Cancer Match study, which links data from HIV and cancer registries from 13 regions in the USA. We included non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, and Hispanic individuals living with HIV aged 20-89 years in our study population. Average annual percentage changes in lung cancer rates were estimated with multivariable Poisson regression, and standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) and excess absolute risks were estimated comparing people living with HIV with the general US population. We used non-parametric cumulative incidence curves to estimate the 5-year cumulative incidence of lung cancer and two AIDS-defining cancers (non-Hodgkin lymphoma and Kaposi sarcoma). There were 3426 lung cancers in 4 310 304 person-years of follow-up in our study population. Age-standardised lung cancer incidence rates in people living with HIV declined by 6% per year (95% CI -7 to -5) during 2001-16, with greater declines in the 20-29 age group (-11%, -16 to 6) than in the older age groups (eg, -3% [-6 to 1] in those aged 70-89 years). During 2013-16, the SIR of lung cancer in people living with HIV was 2·01 (95% CI 1·52 to 2·61) in those aged 40-49 years, and 1·31 (1·12 to 1·52) in those aged 60-69 years, whereas the excess absolute risk among people living with HIV was 11·87 (3·95 to 21·89) per 100 000 person-years for those aged 40-49 years and 48·23 (6·88 to 95·47) per 100 000 person-years for those aged 60-69 years. Beginning in 2011, the 5-year cumulative incidence for lung cancer (1·36%, 95% CI 1·17 to 1·53) surpassed that of Kaposi sarcoma (0·12%, 0·06 to 0·17) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (0·45%, 0·35 to 0·56) for people living with HIV aged 60-69 years. Between 2001 and 2016, the risk of lung cancer decreased for people living with HIV aged 20-69 years, but remained substantially elevated compared with the general population, probably due to a combination of smoking and immunosuppression. For people living with HIV aged 60 years and older, the risk of lung cancer exceeds that of two of the most common AIDS-defining cancers, highlighting the importance of lung cancer among the growing older population of people living with HIV. Intramural Research Program of the US National Cancer Institute.

The BUILT study: a single-center 5-year experience of Lung Cancer screening in Taiwan.

Background: There are no uniform guidelines on low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) follow-up in lung cancer screening. Few studies have analyzed the incidental abnormalities and role of tumor markers in lung cancer screening. The purpose of this study was to investigate the diagnostic performance of LDCT, optimal follow-up duration, incidental findings, and role of tumor markers in diagnosing lung cancer.Methods: We retrospectively analyzed subjects who underwent their first LDCT in Taipei Tzu Chi Hospital between September 1, 2015, and August 31, 2016. All chest CT scans until August 31, 2020, were recorded. A non-calcified nodule with a diameter ≥2 mm on LDCT was defined as a positive result. We extracted the data, including possible risk factors of lung cancer and follow-up outcomes.Results: A total of 1502 subjects were recruited. Of the 38 subjects who underwent biopsy, 31 had confirmed lung cancer. Lung cancer in all patients was diagnosed within 4 years. Univariate logistic regression analysis revealed that a family history of lung cancer in first-degree relatives and abnormal serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) levels were the significant risk factors for lung cancer. A cumulative lung cancer incidence of 54.7 patients per 1000 person-years was determined solely via radiological follow-up. In total, 271 (18%) subjects exhibited incidental findings on baseline LDCT.Conclusion: The overall lung cancer detection rate in this study was 2.1% in the 5-year study period. A family history of lung cancer and abnormal serum CEA levels are important risk factors for lung cancer. A minimum of 4-year follow-up is required to track suspicious nodules. A purely radiological follow-up detects a high incidence of lung cancer.

Guidelines for Reporting of Figures and Tables for Clinical Research in Urology.

In an effort to improve the presentation of and information within tables and figures in clinical urology research, we propose a set of appropriate guidelines. We introduce six principles: (1) include graphs only if they improve the reader's ability to understand the study findings; (2) think through how a graph might best convey information, do not just select a graph from preselected options on statistical software; (3) do not use graphs to replace reporting key numbers in the text of a paper; (4) graphs should give an immediate visual impression of the data; (5) make it beautiful; and (6) make the labels and legend clear and complete. We present a list of quick "dos and don'ts" for both tables and figures. Investigators should feel free to break any of the guidelines if it would result in a beautiful figure or a clear table that communicates data effectively. That said, we believe that the quality of tables and figures in the medical literature would improve if these guidelines were to be followed. Patient summary: A set of guidelines were developed for presenting figures and tables in urology research. The guidelines were developed by a broad group of statistical experts with special interest in urology.

Diabetes, Metformin, and Lung Cancer: Retrospective Study of the Korean NHIS-HEALS Database

BackgroundMetformin is the first option in managing type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) and has pleotropic effects. We studied the incidence of lung cancer in patients who received metformin therapy. Patients and MethodsThis study was retrospectively designed and based on the Korean National Health Insurance Service–National Health Screening Cohort to determine whether metformin reduces lung cancer risk in the diabetic population. At baseline, all participants were 40 to 69 years old and were categorized into 3 groups: metformin nonrecipients with DM, metformin recipients with DM, and the nondiabetic group. ResultsA total of 336,168 individuals were included in the final analysis (314,291 nondiabetic individuals, 8806 metformin recipients, and 13,071 metformin nonrecipients). The study median follow-up period was 12.86 years. The estimated cumulative lung cancer incidence of metformin nonrecipients, metformin recipients, and the nondiabetic group was 1.80%, 1.97%, and 1.24% in men and 1.87%, 0.61%, and 0.41% in women, respectively (P < .05). Compared to metformin nonrecipients, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for lung cancer incidence of metformin recipients and the nondiabetic group were 1.287 (0.979-1.691) and 0.835 (0.684-1.019) in men and 0.664 (0.374-1.177) and 0.553 (0.359-0.890) in women, respectively. The hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) were statistically significant in male ever smokers (0.784 [0.627-0.979]) and female nonsmokers (0.498 [0.320-0.774]) after stratification according to smoking status. ConclusionMetformin therapy did not reduce lung cancer incidence in the diabetic population. However, individuals without DM were at a lower risk of lung cancer, especially in male ever smokers and female nonsmokers.

Association between Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors and Lung Cancer-A Nationwide, Population-Based, Propensity Score-Matched Cohort Study.

Background: Direct evidence of lung cancer risk in Asian users of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) is lacking. Methods: The ACEI cohort comprised 22,384 patients aged ≥ 18 years with a first prescription of ACEI. The comparison angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) cohort consisted of age-, sex- and comorbidity-matched patients at a ratio of 1:1. The primary outcome was the incidence of lung cancer, which was evaluated using a proportional hazard model. Results: The overall incidence rates of lung cancer in the ACEI and ARB cohorts were 16.6 and 12.2 per 10,000 person-years, respectively. The ACEI cohort had a significantly higher risk of lung cancer than the ARB cohort (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]. = 1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI]. = 1.11–1.67). Duration–response and dose–response analyses revealed that compared with patients who did not receive ACEIs, patients who received ACEIs for more than 45 days per year (aHR = 1.87; 95% CI = 1.48–2.36) and patients who received more than 540 defined daily doses of ACEIs per year (aHR =1.80; 95% CI = 1.43–-2.27) had a significantly higher risk of lung cancer. The cumulative incidence of lung cancer was also significantly higher in the ACEI cohort than in the ARB cohort (log-rank test, p = 0.002). Conclusions: ACEI use is associated with an increased risk of lung cancer compared with ARB use. Patients using ARBs have a significantly lower risk of lung cancer than non-ARB users.

The Change Trend of Cause of Death in Patients With Stage I Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer After Surgery in US: A Long-Term Follow-Up Study Based on SEER Database.

There are few studies on the cause of death in patients with stage I non-small cell lung cancer after surgery. Our aim is to study the trend of cause of death and risk factors affecting prognosis in the patients. We retrospectively reviewed patients in Surveillance, Epidemiology and End results database from 2004 to 2015. The change trend between cause of death and follow-up time was studied by calculating the proportion of cause of death at different periods and analyzing the cumulative risk. COX risk regression model was performed by univariate and multivariate analyses for survival analysis. Finally, 23,652 patients were enrolled. In the whole cohort, lung cancer accounted for 18.68% of deaths, followed by other causes (9.57%), heart disease (5.12%) and COPD (3.89%). With the increasing of follow-up time, the cumulative incidence of lung cancer was always the highest, but the growth rate in the late follow-up period was slower than that caused by heart disease and COPD. The proportion of death due to lung cancer decreased from 53.1%-73.1% in 0-30 months after follow-up to 7.8%-41.4% in 90 months after follow-up, while the proportion of deaths due to heart disease and COPD increased. Age was an independent risk factor for lung cancer-, heart disease- and COPD-specific survival, while lobectomy resection was a protective factor, even in patients older than 70 years old. In conclusion, during the follow-up period, lung cancer was still the main cause of death, but the proportion of patients died of heart disease and COPD increased gradually, especially in elderly. Furthermore, age was an important independent factor affecting prognosis, particularly for heart disease- and COPD-related mortality. The application of wedge resection in elderly patients needs further exploration.

MS10.06 Interstitial Lung Diseases

Patients with a history of smoking are enriched population for studying pulmonary fibrosis and as patients are living longer with fibrosis, they are becoming an enriched population for studying lung cancer (1). Usual interstitial Pneumonitis is the most frequent pattern of pulmonary fibrosis in the United States. There are 48,000 new patients with IPF each year in the US and 40,000 die (2). Ozawa found that the cumulative incidence of lung cancer is 3.3%, 15.4%, and 54.7% at 1, 5, and 10 years of IPF (3). Adenocarcinoma is most common lung cancer in the general population. Kawasaki found that of 53 patients with IPF and lung cancer, there was no predominant histology. There are similarities between lung cancer and fibrosis, which include invasion of normal tissue, lack of monoclonality, mutation of tumor suppressor genes and epithelial mesenchymal transformation (4). The tumor microenvironment often causes cancers in fibrosis to have shorter doubling times. The survival of patients with lung fibrosis and cancer is poor with up to 93% 5-year mortality (5). Screening for lung cancer in patients with fibrosis is different from screening in non-fibrotic patients because of the potential rapid growth of some cancers. Lung cancer occurring in a patient with fibrosis are different from lung cancer occurring in a patient with emphysema. The patients are often not candidates for surgery. If they have surgery, it should be as limited as possible to decrease the risk of exacerbation (6). Chemotherapy increase risk of an exacerbation as does immunotherapy (7). Radiation has an increased risk of exacerbation as well; perhaps proton therapy may have better outcomes (8). In summary as patients are living longer with fibrosis the incidence of lung cancer is increasing however the treatments for early cancer in patients with lung cancer increase the risk of fibrosis exacerbation and further study is necessary in this area to make recommendations for best practices.

PL02.04 Blood MicroRNA and LDCT Reduce Unnecessary LDCT Repeats in Lung Cancer Screening: Results of Prospective BioMILD Trial

The National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) showed that lung cancer (LC) screening by three annual rounds of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) reduced lung cancer mortality, and MILD trial provided additional evidence that extended intervention beyond 5 years, with annual or biennial rounds, enhanced the benefit of screening. The new bioMILD trial tested the additional value of blood microRNA (miRNA) assay at the time of LDCT on a large series of volunteers, with the aim of targeting next LDCT intervals on the basis of individual risk profile. BioMILD trial offered a lung cancer screening program combining LDCT and blood microRNA assay, to heavy smokers (current or former ≤10 years) aged 50-75 years (clinicaltrials.gov ID: NCT02247453). At baseline, LDCT and miRNA were tested independently with blind evaluation, choosing a 3-year interval for the next repeat in participants with double negative LDCT and miRNA. From January 2013 to March 2016, bioMILD prospectively enrolled 4,119 volunteers at Istituto Nazionale Tumori of Milan. The median age was 60 years, median pack-years 42, current smokers 79% and females 39%. According to baseline LDCT and miRNA profile, 2384 subjects (58%) with double negative LDCT and miRNA (2neg) were sent to 3-year LDCT repeat, 1526 (37%) with positive miRNA or indeterminate/positive LDCT (1pos) and 209 (5%) with positive miRNA and indeterminate/positive LDCT (2pos) were sent to annual or shorter LDCT repeat, depending on LDCT results. After four screening runs (LDCT 0/1/2/3), a total of 115 LCs were diagnosed (2.8%). Cumulative LC incidence was significantly different in the three groups: 0.6% for 2neg subjects, 3.8% for 1pos and 20.1% for 2pos (p<0.0001); LC mortality was 0.1%, 0.6% and 3.8% respectively (p<0.0001). Interval cancer incidence, proportion of stage I and resected LC were not statistically different among groups. The combination of microRNA assay and LDCT is a valuable and safe tool to assess individual risk profile and reduce unnecessary LDCT repeats in lung cancer screening. Targeting LDCT intervals on individual risk profile did not cause any detrimental effects on LC detection or mortality.

Conventional Western Treatment Combined With Chinese Herbal Medicine Alleviates the Progressive Risk of Lung Cancer in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Nationwide Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background and purpose: Lung cancer has high global incidence and mortality rates. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is strongly associated with lung cancer and is an independent risk factor for lung cancer with or without smoking. Chinese herbal medicines (CHMs) are used to treat COPD. This study sought to determine whether CHM treatment effectively decreases the incidence of lung cancer in COPD patients receiving conventional Western medical treatment. Methods: Records obtained from the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) were used to identify 81,780 adults aged ≥18 years newly diagnosed with COPD in Taiwan between 2000 and 2010. Among them, 11,180 received CHMs after COPD diagnosis and 23,319 did not (non-CHM). After excluding patients with missing basic demographic information, each group consisted of 2,682 patients. Statistical methods analyzed the baseline characteristics for both groups and we performed a Cox proportional hazard regression analysis to examine the incidence of lung cancer. The cumulative incidence of lung cancer in COPD patients with or without CHM treatment was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. The association between herbs and formulas was examined by NodeXL to perform a network analysis of CHM. Results: COPD patients using CHM had a lower risk for lung cancer (adjusted hazards ratio [aHR] = 0.36, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.24–0.53, p < 0.001). Older age was associated with a higher risk of lung cancer: patients aged 40–59 years (aHR = 5.32, 95% CI = 2.19–12.94, p < 0.001) and those aged ≥60 years (aHR = 16.75, 95% CI = 7.54–37.23, p < 0.001) were at significantly greater risk compared with patients aged 18–39 years. CHM use was associated with a trend for a lower cumulative incidence of lung cancer compared with non-CHM use (p < 0.001). Among the 10 most commonly used single herbs and formulas used to decrease the risk of lung cancer in COPD patients, Fritillariae thunbergii was the most commonly used single herb and Xiao Qing Long Tang the most commonly used formula. Conclusion: The findings from this nationwide retrospective cohort study indicate that CHM as adjunctive therapy in COPD treatment regimens may reduce the risk of lung cancer in this vulnerable patient population.

The determinants of lung cancer after detecting a solitary pulmonary nodule are different in men and women, for both chest radiograph and CT.

ObjectivesTo determine the factors associated with lung cancer diagnosis and mortality after detecting a solitary pulmonary nodule (SPN) in routine clinical practice, in men and in women for both chest radiograph and CT.Materials and methodsA 5-year follow-up of a retrospective cohort of of 25,422 (12,594 men, 12,827 women) patients aged ≥35 years referred for chest radiograph or CT in two hospitals in Spain (2010–2011). SPN were detected in 893 (546 men, 347 women) patients. We estimated the cumulative incidence of lung cancer at 5-years, the association of patient and nodule characteristics with SPN malignancy using Poisson logistic regression, stratifying by sex and type of imaging test. We calculated lung cancer specific mortality rate by sex and SPN detection and hazard rates by cox regression.Results133 (14.9%) out of 893 patients with an SPN and 505 (2.06%) of the 24,529 patients without SPN were diagnosed with lung cancer. Median diameter of SPN in women who developed cancer was larger than in men. Men who had a chest radiograph were more likely to develop a lung cancer if the nodule was in the upper-lobes, which was not the case for women. In patients with an SPN, smoking increased the risk of lung cancer among men (chest radiograph: RR = 11.3, 95%CI 1.5–83.3; CT: RR = 7.5, 95%CI 2.2, 26.0) but smoking was not significantly associated with lung cancer diagnosis or mortality among women with an SPN. The relative risk of lung cancer diagnosis in women with SPN versus those without was much higher compared to men (13.7; 95%CI 9.2, 20.4 versus 6.2; 95%CI 4.9,7.9).ConclusionThe factors associated with SPN malignancy and 5-year lung cancer mortality were different among men and women, especially regarding smoking history and SPN characteristics, where we observed a relatively high rate of lung cancer diagnosis among female non-smokers.

The relationship between inflammatory markers and the risk of lung cancer: a prospective cohort study

Objective: To investigate whether elevated levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) and neutrophil (NE) in the blood is associated with an increased risk of lung cancer incidence. Methods: From 2006 to 2007, all employees and retirees from Kailuan (Group) Limited liability Corporation were included in this Kailuan Cohort study. The last follow-up date was December 2015. Data on new cases of lung cancer were collected, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to the relationship between baseline CRP and NE at baseline and risk of lung cancer. Results: A total of 92 735 participants were enrolled in this study. During the follow-up, 850 new cases of lung cancer were identified. All subjects were divided into four groups according to the combination level of CRP and NE at baseline: CRP≤3 mg/L and NE≤4×10(9)/L(Group A), CRP≤3 mg/L and NE>4×10(9)/L(Group B), CRP>3 mg/L and NE≤4×10(9)/L(Group C), CRP>3 mg/L and NE>4×10(9)/L(Group D). The cumulative incidence of lung cancer were 950/100 000, 1 030/100 000, 1 081/100 000 and 1 596/100 000 in these four groups, respectively (P<0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional risk model showed that participants from Group D had an significantly increased 72% risks of lung cancer when compared to Group A (95% CI: 1.40~2.12, P<0.001). Stratified analyses gender showed that males in Group D had higher risk of lung cancer when compared with participants in Group A (HR=1.73, 95% CI: 1.40~2.15, P<0.001). Conclusion: Elevated levels of CRP and NE might increase the risk of lung cancer.

Risk factors and clinical characteristics of lung cancer in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundLung cancer is a common comorbidity of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and has poor outcomes. The incidence and clinical factors related to development of lung cancer in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) are unclear. The aim of this study was to elucidate the cumulative incidence, risk factors, and clinical characteristics of lung cancer in IPF.MethodsIn this retrospective study, we analyzed clinical data for 938 patients who were diagnosed with IPF without lung cancer between 1998 and 2013. Demographic, physiologic, radiographic, and histologic characteristics were reviewed. Cumulative incidence of lung cancer and survival were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Risk factors of lung cancer development were determined by Cox proportional hazard analysis.ResultsAmong 938 IPF patients without lung cancer at initial diagnosis, lung cancer developed in 135 (14.5%) during the follow-up period. The cumulative incidences of lung cancer were 1.1% at 1 year, 8.7% at 3, 15.9% at 5, and 31.1% at 10 years. Risk factors of lung cancer were male gender, current smoking at IPF diagnosis, and rapid annual decline of 10% or more in forced vital capacity (FVC). Patients who developed lung cancer were mostly elderly men with smoking history. Squamous cell carcinoma followed by adenocarcinoma was the most common histologic type. Lung cancer was frequently located in areas abutting or within fibrosis. Survival was significantly worse in patients with lung cancer compared to patients with IPF alone.ConclusionLung cancer frequently developed in patients with IPF and was common in current-smoking men with rapid decline of FVC.

Will That Pulmonary Nodule Become Cancerous? A Risk Prediction Model for Incident Lung Cancer.

This prospective investigation derived a prediction model for identifying risk of incident lung cancer among patients with visible lung nodules identified on computed tomography (CT). Among 2,924 eligible patients referred for evaluation of a pulmonary nodule to the Stony Brook Lung Cancer Evaluation Center between January 1, 2002 and December 31, 2015, 171 developed incident lung cancer during the observation period. Cox proportional hazard models were used to model time until disease onset. The sample was randomly divided into discovery (n = 1,469) and replication (n = 1,455) samples. In the replication sample, concordance was computed to indicate predictive accuracy and risk scores were calculated using the linear predictions. Youden index was used to identify high-risk versus low-risk patients and cumulative lung cancer incidence was examined for high-risk and low-risk groups. Multivariable analyses identified a combination of clinical and radiologic predictors for incident lung cancer including ln-age, ln-pack-years smoking, a history of cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and several radiologic markers including spiculation, ground glass opacity, and nodule size. The final model reliably detected patients who developed lung cancer in the replication sample (C = 0.86, sensitivity/specificity = 0.73/0.81). Cumulative incidence of lung cancer was elevated in high-risk versus low-risk groups [HR = 14.34; 95% confidence interval (CI), 8.17-25.18]. Quantification of reliable risk scores has high clinical utility, enabling physicians to better stratify treatment protocols to manage patient care. The final model is among the first tools developed to predict incident lung cancer in patients presenting with a concerning pulmonary nodule.

Impact of age at diagnosis of head and neck cancer on incidence of metachronous cancer

BackgroundMetachronous cancer in patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) is common and is associated with a poor prognosis. We aimed to evaluate the incidence of metachronous cancer at different sites according to age at diagnosis of index HNC.MethodsWe collected data on 2011 patients with oral cancer, oropharynx cancer, hypopharyngeal cancer, and laryngeal cancer as index cancers using the Osaka International Cancer Institute Cancer Registry database between 2005 and 2016. Among these, we analyzed 1953 patients after excluding 5 patients who were not followed-up and 53 patients with simultaneous multiple index cancers. We evaluated the cumulative incidence of metachronous cancer in the esophagus, lung, and other sites according to age at diagnosis of the index HNC using the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to identify factors that influenced the incidence of metachronous cancers following HNC.ResultsThe cumulative incidence of metachronous esophageal cancer in young patients (< 65 years) was significantly higher than that in old patients (≥ 65 years) (12.1% vs 8.5% at 5 years, and 16.5% vs 11.2% at 10 years; p = 0.015). On the other hand, the cumulative incidence of the other cancers in young patients was significantly lower than that in old patients (7.8% vs 12.2% at 5 years, and 13.9% vs 15.3% at 10 years; p = 0.017). The cumulative incidence of lung cancer was not significance according to age at diagnosis of the index HNC. In the multivariate analysis, histological type (squamous cell carcinoma) and lesion location (hypopharynx and larynx) were independently associated with metachronous cancers. Moreover, age at diagnosis of the index HNC (< 65 years), histological type (squamous cell carcinoma) and lesion location (hypopharynx) were significant predictors of metachronous esophageal cancer incidence and lesion location (hypopharynx) was a significant predictor of metachronous lung cancer incidence.ConclusionRisk stratification of metachronous cancers with age and other predictors may help to properly manage patients with HNC.Trial registrationThe present study is a non-intervention trial.

Risk of lung cancer in patients with gastro-esophageal reflux disease: a population-based cohort study.

This large-scale, controlled cohort study estimated the risks of lung cancer in patients with gastro-esophageal reflux disease (GERD) in Taiwan. We conducted this population-based study using data from the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan during the period from 1997 to 2010. Patients with GERD were diagnosed using endoscopy, and controls were matched to patients with GERD at a ratio of 1:4. We identified 15,412 patients with GERD and 60,957 controls. Compared with the controls, the patients with GERD had higher rates of osteoporosis, diabetes mellitus, asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pneumonia, bronchiectasis, depression, anxiety, hypertension, dyslipidemia, chronic liver disease, congestive heart failure, atrial fibrillation, stroke, chronic kidney disease, and coronary artery disease (all P < .05). A total of 85 patients had lung cancer among patients with GERD during the follow-up of 42,555 person-years, and the rate of lung cancer was 0.0020 per person-year. By contrast, 232 patients had lung cancer among patients without GERD during the follow-up of 175,319 person-years, and the rate of lung cancer was 0.0013 per person-year. By using stepwise Cox regression model, the overall incidence of lung cancer remained significantly higher in the patients with GERD than in the controls (hazard ratio, 1.53; 95% CI [1.19–1.98]). The cumulative incidence of lung cancer was higher in the patients with GERD than in the controls (P = .0012). In conclusion, our large population-based cohort study provides evidence that GERD may increase the risk of lung cancer in Asians.

Association of lung cancer with skin diseases: A nationwide cohort study based on the “lung governing skin and hair” theory

IntroductionThis population-based cohort study based on the “lung governing skin and hair” theory of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) to investigate the association of lung cancer with non-eczema skin and subcutaneous diseases. MethodsBy using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database, we identified 13,034 patients who had been newly diagnosed with non-eczema skin and subcutaneous diseases from 2000 to 2010. 26,068 age-matched patients without non-eczema skin and subcutaneous diseases were randomly selected as the comparison cohort. ResultsThe mean follow-up of the non-eczema skin and subcutaneous disease cohort was 7.66 years and control cohort was 7.53 years, respectively. The cumulative incidence of lung cancer was higher in the non-eczema skin and subcutaneous disease cohort than that in the control cohort by 2.89% at the end of follow-up. The non-eczema skin and subcutaneous disease cohort had a higher lung cancer incidence than the control cohort. The non-eczema skin and subcutaneous disease patients with or without comorbidity were associated with lung cancer. ConclusionsThese results suggest that non-eczematous skin and subcutaneous diseases is associated with lung cancer, thus supporting the lung governing skin and hair theory of TCM.