The problem of soil fertility imbalance in hilly agriculture is prominent, and accurate estimation of soil potassium balance is key to achieving precision fertilization at the regional level. Crop distribution has a significant impact on potassium balance, but studies on potassium balance with a focus on crop cultivation types are scarce, especially with regard to hilly areas. In this study, the spatial distribution characteristics of soil potassium balance under different cropping conditions and its influencing factors were analyzed for a hilly region. The results showed that (1) the soil rapidly available potassium (RAK) and slowly available potassium (SAK) content in the 0–20 cm soil layer ranged from 29.37 to 122.07 mg kg−1 and from 472.31 to 772.77 mg kg−1, respectively. (2) The soil potassium equilibrium status varied considerably among different cropping systems and the soil potassium deficit was greatest under the rapeseed–maize rotation, reaching −129.50 kg K ha−1 yr−1. The difference in soil potassium deficits between the rice–rapeseed and wheat–maize rotations was not significant, at −46.79 kg K ha−1 yr−1 and −44.07 kg K ha−1 yr−1, respectively, and only the rice–wheat rotation showed a potassium surplus. Due to the low potassium absorption of crops, the equilibrium value of soil potassium is higher than that of crop rotation, and rice and wheat can achieve different degrees of potassium surplus. Rapeseed planting was generally under-applied with potassium, and the potassium deficit could reach −70 kg K ha−1 yr−1. (3) Climate, topography, anthropogenic activity, and soil available potassium explained 20.8% of the variance in soil potassium balance. Anthropogenic activity such as roads and population density had the greatest influence, with 0.797. Topography and average annual precipitation had the weakest influences. These findings emphasize the importance of anthropogenic activity for soil potassium balance, and also provide regional evidence for formulating efficient measures for regional potassium resources management.
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