Cross-border Merger Activity Research Articles

An extended event study methodology and its application in the HNA group's overseas market contraction

This paper introduces a novel framework for analyzing the performance of cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activities in international business. It investigates whether the contraction of overseas market activities can mitigate financial crises, using the case study of a Chinese multinational enterprise (MNE). Traditional event study methodology, commonly used for assessing business performance changes, relies on assumptions of normality and homoscedasticity in data. However, real financial data often exhibits high volatility and non-normal distribution, rendering traditional methods inadequate for estimation. To address this limitation, we propose an enhanced analytical framework integrating the Shapiro–Wilk test, event studies, quantile regression, and nonparametric rank tests. This approach provides more robust estimates, facilitating a more accurate and comprehensive analysis of business performance changes under specific events. Applying this methodology to assess the short-term performance of HNA Group, a cross-border airline in China, during its financial crisis, we find that while overseas market contraction events generate overall positive short-term value for enterprises, the impact varies depending on the assets sold. However, given HNA Group's substantial debt burden, the positive effect is minimal, indicating that overseas market contraction alone is insufficient as a "self-help" strategy in addressing corporate financial crises.

CEO International Background and Cross-Border M&As

We investigate whether having a CEO with an international background affects U.S. firms’ cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activities. By defining international background as having either non-U.S. nationality, overseas education, or foreign work experience, we provide robust evidence that when a CEO possesses these characteristics, a firm is more likely to acquire international targets, and these deals are more value-enhancing. Moreover, our results indicate that when a firm’s CEO has all of these international characteristics (compared to just one), both the likelihood of cross-border deals and announcement returns increase. The observed gains are related, at least in part, to CEOs with this background being associated with lower acquisition premium and mitigating the negative impact of paying for these deals with equity.

Diplomatic relations and cross-border investments in the European Union

This study investigates the extent to which diplomatic relations are related to cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activities in the European Union during the years 2001–2019. Implementing a gravity model, we find a positive relationship between diplomatic distance and M&A activities, meaning that weaker diplomatic relations are linked to increases in inward M&As. This finding holds when foreign investors target high-tech firms, are private rather than state-owned enterprises, or buy larger shares of the target companies. This evidence suggests that cross-border acquisitions could be a way for the investing firm to mitigate issues related to weak diplomatic relations, such as access to host markets’ information and technological knowledge.

Multinational ownership patterns and anti-tax avoidance legislation

We investigate whether controlled foreign corporation (CFC) rules influence cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activity on a global scale. CFC rules are one main anti-tax avoidance measure and potentially lead to immediate taxation of foreign subsidiaries’ income at parent level. Analyzing a large M&A data set and detailed self-compiled CFC rule data from 27 countries using two different econometric perspectives, we show if and how CFC rules distort firm behavior and ownership patterns. First, we find that the probability of being the acquirer of a low-tax target decreases if CFC rules may be applicable to this target’s income. Second, we show that CFC rules alter an acquirer’s choice of targets’ location. Altogether, our study shows that for affected acquirer countries, CFC rules lead to less M&A activity in low-tax countries due to potentially reduced incentives to shift income. However, these effects appear to be rather small in size and decrease over time. Thus, our study suggests that CFC rules do not substantially bias the market for corporate control as lobby groups partially claim and policy makers can be confident in reaching their goals of diminishing profit shifting with this increasingly important anti-tax avoidance rule.

Measuring Synergies of Banks’ Cross-Border Mergers by Real Options: Case Study of Luminor Group AB

Applying the real options valuation to measure merger and acquisition (M&A) synergy is highly debatable, with questions arising from the usefulness of this approach in real-world settings. Understanding the full benefits (and possible limits) of real options applications to measure synergy in cross-border merger activities remains a challenge. The main objective of the paper is to explore multiple types of synergies in the recent, highly strategic cross-border merger—the Luminor Group AB deal—and to value those synergies with the real options application. The research found that the sum of values of different types of synergies in M&A deals as the market value added provided by this deal could be valued with real options applications. A real options application may serve as a decision-making tool and at the same time be a useful valuation method of M&A deal synergies. The implications of this paper are twofold. First, the research contributes to corporate financing by providing relevant synergy measurement models in M&A deals. Second, the paper contributes to “grand challenges’’ research topics of international businesses by illustrating how a group of multinational banks solved the problem of income inequality across countries, and balanced inequality within their networks through a cross-border merger.

Do state visits affect cross-border mergers and acquisitions?

This paper studies the relation between state visits and cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activity. Based on 1161 state visits and 11,531 cross-border acquisitions, we find that corporations from visiting countries are more likely to acquire corporations in countries hosting the visit. Domestic acquisitions in the host country or M&As with non-visiting countries are not elevated. Evidence from instrumental variable analysis points towards a causal effect of state visits on M&A activity. Further analysis shows that the elevated M&A activity originating from visiting countries can be attributed to business networking and a reduction in investment uncertainty and cultural barriers.

Cross-Border M&A and Currency Returns

We uncover a novel source of currency return predictability stemming from cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activity: abnormally large M&A inflows lead exchange rate appreciations, while depreciations follow unusually large M&A outflows. We show that a simple cross-sectional currency strategy exploiting this predictability generates a Sharpe ratio of over 0.70 and is orthogonal to existing currency strategies. The portfolio weights are found to coincide with local extremes in macroeconomic fundamentals: countries experiencing the largest abnormal M&A outflows are growing most above their economic growth trend - a pattern that reverses following portfolio formation - while the opposite reversal in macroeconomic fundamentals is observed in countries experiencing unusually large M&A inflows.

Potential Regulatory Obstacles to Crossborder Mergers and Acquisitions in the EU Banking Sector

Over the past decade, cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activity in the EU banking sector has remained far below its pre-crisis levels, despite the regulatory reforms implemented after the financial crisis. While the EU equipped itself with the Single Rulebook, convergent supervisory practices, a common crisis management framework and the creation of the Banking Union, ring-fencing and limits to the circulation of funds across borders are still present and the EU still does not reap the full benefits of the Single Market. The purpose of this paper is to map and analyse the elements of the current EU prudential framework that create obstacles to banking groups operating across borders. The results highlight the existence of a number of potential issues at both regulatory and supervisory levels. First, policy reviews, cases and survey-based evidence suggest that the current regulatory framework relies on a territorial approach (cross-border waivers for capital and minimum requirements for own funds and eligible liabilities (MREL), inefficient intra-group financial support arrangements, a multiplicity of macroprudential tools and the existence of options and national discretions within the Single Rulebook), favours pre-positioning resources with the subsidiaries and entails market fragmentation. Ultimately, this may endanger the comparability of institutions across countries and reduce the incentive to conduct cross-border consolidation. Second, despite the progress made in achieving convergence of supervisory practices across the EU, a number of approaches are not yet fully consistent, in particular with respect to the link between prudential requirements and restrictions on distributions, and to a more transparent approach when setting risk-by-risk requirements. The absence of common and fully transparent EU practices for prudential assessment of M&A transactions, including the determination of capital requirements, further adds to the complexity. Finally, it is also suggested that the completion of the Banking Union, by further strengthening the institutional cooperation among Member States and national authorities, has a fundamental role to play in freeing up the potential of enhanced financial integration. There should also be no further delay in the progress made towards the Banking Union’s achievement of single jurisdiction status.

CEO International Background and Cross-Border M&As

We investigate whether having a CEO with international background affects U.S. firms’ cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activities. By defining international background as having: a non-U.S. nationality, overseas education, or overseas work-experience, we find that when a CEO has these characteristics, the firm is more likely to acquire international targets and these deals are more likely to be value-enhancing. Moreover, our results indicate that having multiple dimensions of international background (as opposed to one), for example, having both overseas education and work experience, increases the likelihood, and announcement returns of cross-border deals. The observed gains are largely from greater due diligence, lower acquisition premiums, and greater likelihood of financing the deal with stocks. We also find that firms typically undertake their first cross-border acquisition within five years of hiring a CEO with international background, suggesting that this may be a strategic decision of U.S. firms when they plan to expand their operations overseas.

Testing Operating Performance of Chinese Listed Firms before and after Cross-border M&As: The Role of Entrepreneurial Orientation

t a time when China encourages its firms to go overseas, especially to countries and regions involved in its “Belt and Road Initiative”, and sets up a favorable domestic environment for innovation and entrepreneurship, this paper is a first trial looking along both the two dimensions to test whether Chinese firms' operating performance changes after cross-border merger and acquisition (CBM&A) activities, using entrepreneurial orientation (EO) as a moderating factor. The paper combines data from Chinese listed firms’ annual reports, Chinese stock market financial statements database and the Zephyr database from 2001 to 2015 to examine how acquirers’ operating performance changes after CBM&A activities using EO as a moderating factor. In order to test whether the results are affected by the stock market, this paper also defines abnormal return on equity (ROE) to detect abnormal operating performance. After these, the paper divides the sample into separate industry groups to see whether results will change. The results obtained for the whole sample show that the performance of Chinese listed firms is fluctuant after CBM&As within the sample years. It increases one year after the acquisition but drops two years later and then follows an increasing trend again. The moderating factor of EO is not significant for the sample as a whole. However, after dividing the sample into separate industry groups, it becomes clear that different industries have their own characteristics. EO helps Chinese listed firms to adjust to the post-acquisition situation and even to improve their performance to some extent in the metal mining industry and the business services industry. When ROE is substituted with abnormal ROE, the results do not change much.

Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Activity and Wage Dynamics

Using detailed administrative data that link French firms and workers over the years 2002 to 2007, the authors document declines in worker-level wages ahead of the time their employer is acquired by a foreign firm that are more than offset by gains in wages that emerge after cross-border acquisition. Specifically, relative wages fall by an estimated 7.5% in the years just before foreign acquisition, and they rise by approximately 12.5% in the years afterward. Changes in workers’ earnings are evident in both wages and in-kind payments given to workers. Moreover, the authors provide theoretical foundations for the conditional mean independence assumption that underlies commonly applied empirical techniques.

Post-M&A technological capability-building of emerging market firms in China: the case of Lenovo

ABSTRACT Technological acquisitions have become a strong motivation for cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activities by firms in emerging countries. However, whether these companies achieve their objectives remains an open question. This article presents a case study of Lenovo’s acquisition of IBM’s PC division with a focus on inventor productivity after acquisition. Our case study suggests that while a ‘light-touch’ integration approach helped avoid the all-too-common post-M&A productivity drop, intra-firm knowledge transfers to veteran inventors of the acquirers remained difficult due to the knowledge gap. However, M&A events create other opportunities to improve the technological capability of the acquiring company by sourcing new talent globally, offering unignorable merit that justifies outbound M&A activities by emerging market firms.

Cross-border merger and acquisition activities in Asia: the role of macroeconomic factors

PurposeThis paper aims to examine the influence of key macroeconomic factors on the inward and outward acquisition activities of six ASEAN (ASEAN: Association of Southeast Asian Nations) countries, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam, over the 1996-2015 period.Design/methodology/approachThe study uses alternative panel data methods, including pooled mean group, mean group and dynamic fixed-effect estimators.FindingsThe results indicate that gross domestic product (GDP), interest rate, exchange rate, money supply and inflation rate are the most important macroeconomic factors explaining the trends of cross-border mergers and acquisition outflows of the ASEAN-6 countries. Specifically, GDP, money supply and inflation rate have significant positive relationships with acquisition outflows, while interest rate and exchange rate exert significant negative influence. On the other hand, the authors find four significant macroeconomic factors explaining the trends of the inward acquisitions. Essentially, GDP, money supply and inflation rate have significant positive impacts on inward acquisitions, while the impact of exchange rate is negatively significant.Research limitations/implicationsUnavailability of data limits this study to pool six sample countries from ASEAN, instead of ten representative member countries.Practical implicationsThe results of this study can signal to firms or investors, involving in cross-border mergers and acquisitions, where to direct foreign resources flows. Moreover, having the knowledge about the relative levels of market size and other macroeconomic factors in both home and host countries can be of great importance for investment decision. Therefore, policymakers of ASEAN countries should make appropriate macroeconomic policies that can stimulate inward and outward acquisitions.Originality/valueThe main contribution of this paper is that it is the first to present the analysis of macroeconomic influences on the trends of inward and outward merger and acquisition activities in six ASEAN countries.

Acquiring global footprints: Internationalization strategy of Chinese multinational enterprises and human resource implications

The expansion of the Chinese firms' global footprints in recent years reveals their growingly evident strategic intent and emerging capability, and calls for the need to (re)examine how emerging multinational enterprises' (EMNEs) internationalization strategies could be conceptualized with implications for human resource management (HRM). However, there remains insufficient research on cross-border merger and acquisition activities by emerging economy firms in general and by Chinese firms more specifically. This review paper fills part of this research gap by examining the acquisition intent and post-acquisition strategy of Chinese MNEs (CMNEs). Specifically it examines the post-acquisition challenges they are likely to encounter, and the implications for organizational and HRM capability building. We identify a set of research avenues for future investigation that may shed further light on how institutional and cultural factors at various levels and CMNEs' strategy impact various aspects of HRM practices.

Controlled Foreign Corporation Rules and Cross-Border M&A Activity

We investigate the influence of one main anti tax avoidance measure, controlled foreign corporation (CFC) rules, on cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activity on a global scale. Using three different statistical methods and a large M&A data set, we find that CFC rules distort ownership patterns due to a competitive advantage of multinational entities whose parents reside in non-CFC rule countries. First, we show that the probability of being the acquirer of a low-tax target decreases if CFC rules may be applicable to this target’s income. Second, we show that CFC rules distort the acquirer’s location choice of targets. Third, we show that CFC rules negatively affect the probability of being the acquirer in a cross-border M&A. Altogether, this study shows that for affected acquirer countries, CFC rules lead to less M&A activity in low-tax countries because profit shifting seems to be less feasible. This behavior change could result in an increase in global corporate tax revenue.

Inside the Board Room: Nationality, Cultural Diversity and Cross-Border Merger Outcomes

In recent years, an increase in the number of foreign directors on corporate boards of large multinational corporations has seemingly gone hand in hand with significant growth in cross-border merger (CBM) activity. We analyze the influence of internationalization of the board of directors on announcement returns and post-merger performance of U.S. acquirers. In a sample of completed CBMs by U.S. corporations between 1996 and 2013, we find a negative association between the presence of foreign directors on the board and CBM announcement returns and post-merger operating performance. This negative relationship is driven mainly by directors from countries with greater cultural distance relative to the United States. Furthermore, the negative effect of foreign directors in connection with culture diversity on merger performance is more pronounced in diversifying, high-tech CBMs. The negative association remains when the directors are domiciled in the country where a merger takes place. However, their presence contributes to lower bid premiums, reflecting some benefits from their local expertise. Finally, such negative impact is mitigated by the gender diversity of the acquiring firm’s corporate board, which suggests a more inclusive tone helps to reduce potential cultural conflicts inside the board room.

Intellectual property rights and cross-border mergers and acquisitions

We investigate the role of intellectual property rights protection in cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activity. We document a significant increase in inbound cross-border M&As after a country implements reforms that strengthen local intellectual property rights. Importantly, we find that intellectual property rights have an impact on merger activity only in industries that are more intellectual capital-intensive, and when the target country has weaker intellectual property rights protection than the acquirer country. We also find that synergy gains in cross-border M&As are positively related to reforms of intellectual property rights. These results are consistent with the notion that acquirers are concerned about the local protection of intellectual capital when considering foreign acquisitions, and care the most when the target firm is in an industry that uses intellectual property intensely and in a country that has lesser-developed protections that their own country does.

Intellectual Property Rights and Cross-Border Mergers and Acquisitions

We investigate the role of intellectual property rights protection in cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activity. We document a significant increase in inbound cross-border M&As after a country implements reforms that strengthen local intellectual property rights. Importantly, we find that intellectual property rights have an impact on merger activity only in industries that are more intellectual capital-intensive, and when the target country has weaker intellectual property rights protection than the acquirer country. We also find that synergy gains in cross-border M&As are positively related to reforms of intellectual property rights. These results are consistent with the notion that acquirers are concerned about the local protection of intellectual capital when considering foreign acquisitions, and care the most when the target firm is in an industry that uses intellectual property intensely and in a country that has lesser-developed protections that their own country does.

International Trade and Propagation of Merger Waves

Cross-border merger activity is growing in importance. We map the global trade network each year from 1989 to 2016 and compare it to cross-border and domestic merger activity. Trade-weighted merger activity in trading partner countries has statistically and economically significant explanatory power for the likelihood a given country will be in a merger wave state, at both the cross-border and domestic levels, even controlling for its own lagged merger activity. The role of trade as a channel for transmitting merger waves is confirmed using import tariff cuts and trade sanctions as instruments to mitigate endogeneity. Overall, the full trade network helps our understanding of merger waves and how merger activity propagates across borders.

Bilateral Political Relations and Cross-Border M&As

We examine the role of bilateral political relations on cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) activities. Based on a large sample of cross-border deals during 1990- 2010, we find strong and robust evidence that bilateral political relations have large and significant causal effects on cross-border M&As. A one-standard-deviation increase in political affinity leads to a 23% increase in the number of deals and a 44% increase in the total deal value. This effect is stronger for targets in strategic industries and targets owned by government, suggesting direct government involvement. We also find a stronger effect in acquisitions with higher investment irreversibility, suggesting higher 2 investor caution with declining political affinity. Our findings are robust to alternative model specifications, different variable measurements, and tests for endogeneity.