Yield Of Wheat Crop Research Articles

Wheat Crop Productivity in Berseem-Rice -Wheat Cropping System in Comparison with the Conventional Wheat-Rice-Wheat Cropping System Planted in Rice-Wheat Area of Punjab Pakistan

Rice-wheat cropping system has an important role in ensuring the food security of Pakistan. Inclusion of a leguminous crop like Berseem (Egyptian clover) in this cropping system can have positive effects on the yields of subsequent crops. To find out the effects of different cropping systems on the productivity of wheat crop, during crop season 2014-15, wheat crop adaptation plots were planted on 10 different farmers’ fields in five major rice crop growing districts of Punjab province including Sheikhupura, Hafizabad, Mandi Bahaouddin, Gujranwala and Sialkot in two different cropping systems i.e., wheat-rice-wheat and berseem-rice-wheat. Although there were variations in grain yields of wheat crop planted under both cropping systems on different sites, but on overall basis 5.4 % more grain yield was recorded in case of berseem-rice-wheat cropping system as compared to the crop planted in conventional wheat-rice-wheat cropping system. In case of some sites less wheat crop grain yields were recorded in case of berseem-rice-wheat cropping system as compared to the crop planted in wheat-rice-wheat cropping system and it ranged from 7.5% to 16.7% but in case of maximum number of sites, more wheat crop grain yields were recorded in case of berseem-rice-wheat cropping system as compared to the crop planted in wheat-rice-wheat cropping system and these differences ranged from 5.47% to 30.76% respectively. This shows that planting of berseem crop instead of wheat after two to three years can be helpful in getting the more yields of subsequent crops, and it is also soil health and environment friendly. SAARC J. Agric., 22(2): 115-126 (2024)

The allelic mutation of NBS-LRR gene causes premature senescence in wheat.

Premature senescence has a significant impact on the yield and quality of wheat crops. The process is controlled by multiple and intricate genetic pathways and regulatory elements, whereby the discovery of additional mutants provides important insights into the molecular basis of this important trait. Here, we developed a premature senescence wheat mutant je0874, its leaves started to show yellow before heading stage; with plant growth and development, the degree of yellowing worsened rapidly, and chlorophyll content in flag leaf was reduced by 93.8% at 15 days after heading, all other leaves became dryness at the grain filling stage. In the mutant, the reactive oxygen species (ROS) and its metabolites increased up to 34.8%~47.3%, while activities of ROS scavenging enzymes were reduced by 62.7% to 96.7%. Premature senescence resulted in a reduction of thousand grain weight by over 50%. Genetic analysis showed the mutation of senescence was controlled by a single recessive gene, and target gene was finely mapped to a 338kb region of the long arm of chromosome 2D. This region contained a total of 6 annotated genes, while only gene TraesFLD2D01G513900 carried a SNP mutation. The gene contained an NBS-LRR domain, we named it Taps1. Allelic mutants of Taps1 exhibited a lesion mimic phenotype, and the mutant allele resulted in cell death in tobacco, which represent a novel gene controlling wheat senescence. Two haplotypes were identified in 180 accessions, which did not lead to cell death. These results contribute to increase our understanding of the regulation of premature plant senescence.

Response of Different Phosphorus Levels on Growth and Productivity of Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.), Under Agro- Climatic Conditions in Kabul

Agriculture is a major contributor to the national economy and food security of developing countries especially in Afghanistan. Wheat is a crucial crop for ensuring food security. It is among the most significant crops grown in Afghanistan. It is the leading source of carbohydrates for humans. To fine the effect of fertilizer especially (P) on enhancing this crop productivity, the study was conducted at the agricultural research farm of agriculture faculty of Kabul University over two years (March 17, 2020, and March 4, 2021). The experimental design was a simple randomized complete block (RCB) design with three replications and five phosphorus levels (0, 30, 60, 90, and 120 kg P ha-1) and a constant dose of 120 kg N ha-1. Each sub-plot measured 3m x 2m. The row spacing was maintained at 30 cm, and the Maqawim-09 wheat variety was sown at a seed rate of 140 kg ha-1. Di-ammonium phosphate (DAP) was used as the phosphorus source and urea for nitrogen. Agronomical practices were uniform across all plots. Data were collected on various parameters during the study, including plant height (cm), stem number per m2, leaf number per plant, spike number per m2, spike length (cm), grain number per spike, spikelet number per spike, grain number per spikelet, grain yield (ton/ha), thousand grain weight, and dry matter (ton/ha). The results indicated that applying phosphorus in the form of DAP at a rate of 90 kg ha-1, along with 120 kg ha-1 of nitrogen, significantly improved the growth and productivity of the Maqawim-09 wheat variety. All parameters were significantly affected by the phosphorus rates. Thus, it is recommended that phosphorus in the form of DAP at a rate of 90 kg ha-1 and nitrogen in the form of urea at a rate of 120 kg ha-1 should be applied to maximize wheat crop yield.

Assessment of wheat (Triticum aestivum) growth, yield and economics under varying nutrient and weed management options

A field experiment was carried out during rabi seasons of 2020–21 and 2021–22 at research farm of ICAR-Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, to study the effect of nutrient and weed management on crop growth, yield and economics of wheat. Experiment was carried out in factorial randomized complete block design and replicated thrice. First factor, nutrient management comprised of three levels viz., control, 100% recommended dose of fertilizer (RDF) and 75% RDF + biofertilizer (BF) consortia and second factor weed management comprised of five levels viz. weedy check, Sulfosulfuron 75% + Metsulfuron 5% WG @40 g/ha (ready mix) at 28-30 DAS of wheat, hand weeding at 45 DAS + Sulfosulfuron 75% + Metsulfuron 5% WG) @40 g/ha (ready mix) at 28-30 DAS, mulch + hand weeding at 45 DAS and weed free check. Crop growth, yield attributes and grain yield (4.63 and 4.48 t/ha) of wheat were recorded higher under 100% RDF and these were at par with 75% RDF + BF and the lowest growth and yield was reported under control. The plant growth, yield attributes, grain and straw yield were highest under weed free check and those were at par with hand weeding + sulfosulfuron + metsulfuron and sulfosulfuron + metsulfuron. Gross returns were significantly higher with 100% RDF over 75% RDF + BF and control but net returns and B: C with 100% RDF were at par with 75% RDF + BF over control. Significantly higher net returns and B:C was obtained with Sulf + Mets and HW + Sulf + Mets. It was concluded that 75 % RDF + biofertilizer consortia application in along with Sulfosulfuron + metsulfuron ready mix use met the nutrition and weed management requirement in wheat and gave higher growth, productivity and profitability of the crop.

Assessment of wheat (Triticum aestivum) growth, yield and economics under varying nutrient and weed management options

A field experiment was carried out during rabi seasons of 2020–21 and 2021–22 at research farm of ICAR-Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, to study the effect of nutrient and weed management on crop growth, yield and economics of wheat. Experiment was carried out in factorial randomized complete block design and replicated thrice. First factor, nutrient management comprised of three levels viz., control, 100% recommended dose of fertilizer (RDF) and 75% RDF + biofertilizer (BF) consortia and second factor weed management comprised of five levels viz. weedy check, Sulfosulfuron 75% + Metsulfuron 5% WG @40 g/ha (ready mix) at 28-30 DAS of wheat, hand weeding at 45 DAS + Sulfosulfuron 75% + Metsulfuron 5% WG) @40 g/ha (ready mix) at 28-30 DAS, mulch + hand weeding at 45 DAS and weed free check. Crop growth, yield attributes and grain yield (4.63 and 4.48 t/ha) of wheat were recorded higher under 100% RDF and these were at par with 75% RDF + BF and the lowest growth and yield was reported under control. The plant growth, yield attributes, grain and straw yield were highest under weed free check and those were at par with hand weeding + sulfosulfuron + metsulfuron and sulfosulfuron + metsulfuron. Gross returns were significantly higher with 100% RDF over 75% RDF + BF and control but net returns and B: C with 100% RDF were at par with 75% RDF + BF over control. Significantly higher net returns and B:C was obtained with Sulf + Mets and HW + Sulf + Mets. It was concluded that 75 % RDF + biofertilizer consortia application in along with Sulfosulfuron + metsulfuron ready mix use met the nutrition and weed management requirement in wheat and gave higher growth, productivity and profitability of the crop.

Legumes and cereal crop rotation effect on soil fertility under selected agronomic practices in central farming region, Mongolia

The experimental study aimed at identifying the effects on soil fertility and resources using five different treatments, fallow, non-cultivated land, serial plants, leguminous plants, and grass, was conducted in a central agricultural region of Mongolia. The findings highlight the beneficial effects of cooperative agriculture for food and fodder on the restoration of soil fertility and its resulting useful effect on wheat crop yield. To ensure the stability of soil fertility in the central agricultural region, the key results of the suggest that mobile macro element nitrogen in the soil increased by 45-75.9 per cent over a 3-year rotation with spring soft wheat as the major crop grown along with leguminous plants. Furthermore, the implementation of a two-year rotation of Melilotus albus as intercropping for fodder and food purposes has been found to enhance the rate of soil cellulose decomposition. Furthermore, it has been observed that the continuation of favorable weather conditions and availability of moisture directly correlate with the extent of cellulose decomposition. The aggregate structure of the soil with a diameter of 1-3 mm, which is crucial for growing perennial grass (Agropyron cristatum), is improved by 11.87 per cent to enhance the field's soil structure and reduce erosion. In our research, it was found that legumes have a high protein content and are important role in meeting the needs of livestock and human food, while enriching the soil with nitrogen and increasing the yield of other crops. However, the practical importance of our research lies in the fact that it was established that perennial plants improve the structure of the soil. Legumes, according to our research, are rich in protein and contribute significantly to the provision of food for humans and livestock, as well as to the enhancement of soil nitrogen levels and the growth of other crops. Nevertheless, our study holds practical significance because it proves that grasses enhance the soil's structure as well.

Development of multistage crop yield estimation model using machine learning and deep learning techniques.

In this research paper, machine learning techniques were applied to a multivariate meteorological time series data for estimating the wheat yield of five districts of Punjab. Wheat yield data and weather parameters over 34years were collected from the study area and the model was developed using stepwise multi-linear regression (SMLR), artificial neural network (ANN), support vector regression (SVR), random forest (RF) and deep neural network (DNN) techniques. Wheat yield estimation was done at the tillering, flowering, and grain-filling stage of the crop by considering weather variables from 46 to 4th, 46 to 8th, and 46 to 11th standard meteorological week. Weighted and unweighted Meteorological variables and yield data were used to train, test, and validate the models in R software. The evaluation results showed a consistent and promising performance of RF, SVR, and DNN models for all five districts with an overall MAPE and nRMSE value of less than 6% during validation at all three growth stages. These models exhibited outstanding performance during validation for the Faridkot, Ferozpur, and Gurdaspur districts. Based on accuracy parameters MAPE, RMSE, nRMSE, and percentage deviation, the RF model was found better followed by SVR and DNN models and, hence can be used for district-level wheat crop yield estimation at different crop growth stages.

Heavy metal accumulation, yield and health risk assessment of wheat crop grown in contaminated soil amended with bioash for sustainable agriculture

Heavy metal accumulation, yield and health risk assessment of wheat crop grown in contaminated soil amended with bioash for sustainable agriculture

Effect of different level of fertilizer and various organic manure on growth and yield of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) crop in Chitrakoot area

Effect of different level of fertilizer and various organic manure on growth and yield of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) crop in Chitrakoot area

Combined application of biochar and silicon nanoparticles enhance soil and wheat productivity under drought: Insights into physiological and antioxidant defense mechanisms

Agricultural drought periods are enhanced by the change in global climate that threatens food security. One of the main factors affecting soil and wheat productivity worldwide is drought stress. Especially, in semi-arid climates, studies are not found about adding organic amendments may be a viable way to reduce the adverse impacts of drought on crops while enhancing soil qualities and water use efficiency. In this study, we aimed to explore the effects of combined application of biochar (BC = 5 %) and silicon nanoparticles (SiNP = 900 mg/L) on soil and wheat drought resistance. Drought stress was applied at the three most critical growth stages of wheat, tillering (DTS), flowering (DFS), and grain filling (DGFS) stages, then evaluated the soil nutrients and wheat drought physiological resistance under applied treatments (BC, SiNP, BC+SiNP). Results showed that combined treatment of BC and SiNP greatly reduced the adverse effects of drought by enhancing plant height (9.36 %), spike length (25.63 %), number of fertile tillers (29.26 %), grains per spike (10.86 %), thousand-grain weight (18.25 %), and biological yield (16.34 %) with comparison to the control application. Additionally, physiological measures like water use efficiency (20.58 %), stomatal conductance (29.26 %), chlorophyll a (16.25 %), chlorophyll b (18.96 %), transpiration rate (21.65 %), photosynthetic rate (22.94 %), electrolyte leakage (-17.77 %), MDA (29.25 %), hydrogen peroxide (-19.88 %), superoxide dismutase (11.19 %), catalase (9.26 %), peroxidase (18.59 %), nitrogen (14.81 %), phosphorus (13.89 %), and potassium (17.61 %) were also meaningfully improved by treated application. BC and SiNP also significantly amended the organic carbon, nitrogen, and minerals percentage in soil. In conclusion, using the synergistic application of BC and SiNP could be a successful strategy to promote the biological soil properties, plant growth, yield, and quality of wheat crops as compared to all other treatments via dropping the dangerous effects of drought stress.

Assessing Salinity, Drought and High Temperature Stress in Maize (Zea mays L.) and Wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) Varieties: Theoretical Combination as Multifactorial Stress

ABSTRACTMaize and wheat are two important cereal crops for the food security of the world population. However, constant climate change and the intensification of anthropic activities have intensified the emergence of stressful environmental in the various agricultural production systems around the world. Therefore, in this study we evaluate the chlorophyll content, photosynthesis, transpiration and grain yield of maize and wheat crops exposed to soil salinity, drought and high temperatures and determine the damage intensity of these stressing conditions and the theoretical multifactorial damage intensity. Field experiments were conducted during the 2022 and 2023 agricultural seasons in the Yaqui Valley, Sonora, Mexico. The treatments consisted of the cultivation of maize and wheat in three stressful production environments (soil salinity, drought and high temperatures) and a non‐stressful production environment (Control), with four repetitions. The tolerance and intensity index of abiotic stresses, as well as the intensity of theoretical multifactorial stress (salinity, drought and high temperatures), for morphological traits and grain yield, were calculated. The results reported that physiological traits and yield of maize and wheat are severely affected by drought stress conditions. High temperatures are the second abiotic stress factor that most limits physiological traits and grain yield of maize and wheat crops, being more harmful than soil salinity. The theoretical multifactorial stress has a greater negative impact on the yield of the elite maize and wheat varieties. The sum of a stressful environmental factor increases the intensity of multifactorial stress on grain yield of both cereal crops, especially for maize crop.

INOCULATION OF MULTI-TRAIT PLANT GROWTHPROMOTING RHIZOBACTERIA FOR WHEAT GROWTH PROMOTION IN POTHOUSE CONDITIONS

Plant growth-promoting rhizobacteria (PGPR) are commonly used as inoculants to improve the growth and yield of wheat crops. Thus, the present study focused on the isolating and screening of effective isolates with multi-traits PGPR activities related to plant growth and development. Bacterial strains RA4, RA11 and RA26 were showing plant growth promoting activities like potassium solubilization, phosphate solubilization, indole acetic acid production (IAA), hydrogen cyanide production (HCN), ammonium production, zinc solubilization, anti-fungal activity. The antibiotic pattern showed that bacterial isolates RA11 and RA26 were resistant against azithromycin, ampicillin and gentamicin. Identification of multi trait PGPR was carried out by 16s rRNA sequencing. Bacterial strains RA4, RA11 and RA26 were showing 99.93 %, 100 % and 99.97 % similarity and identified as Pseudomonas paraeruginosa, Bacillus cereus and Pseudomonas aeruginosa respectively. A pot house experiment was conducted in order to check the efficacy of multi-trait PGPR as inoculants for wheat growth. In our study, bacterial strain Bacillus cereus (RA11) was showing maximum plant growth promotion in the presence of the RDK of NPK in pot house conditions. Generally, results of this study revealed that use of bio fertilizers had an effective and significant role in the growth of plants.

Insights into the Response of Elemental Sulfur Fertilization on Crop Yield and Nutritional Quality of Durum Wheat

Insights into the Response of Elemental Sulfur Fertilization on Crop Yield and Nutritional Quality of Durum Wheat

Economic Effects of Fertilizer Subsidy on Major Crops Productivity in Pakistan

Based on time series data set (1990-2022) this study was conducted to estimate the economic effects of fertilizer subsidies on major crops productivity in Pakistan. Majority (90%) of the farmers having small land holding size are not in a position to apply inputs like fertilizer which incurred 15-20% of total cost of production. Three types of analysis were employed i.e., Trend analysis, Correlation analysis and Regression analysis. The trends in growth rate of fertilizer use along with trends in growth rate of respective crop yield have been sketched with different trends. The correlation analysis between fertilizer subsidy and yield (kg ha-1) of major crops i.e. wheat, rice, sugarcane, cotton and maize has been calculated with positive correlation coefficient values as 0.459, 0.468, 0.351, 0.224 and 0.551 respectively. The simple linear regression analysis depicted that a rupee of one billion PKR subsidies is significantly increased the crop fertilizer usage (000 tons nutrients) of wheat (37.10), rice (14.97), sugarcane (13.60) and cotton (40.12) as well as increased the crop yield (mound acre-1) of wheat (0.26), rice (2.04), sugarcane (32.93), maize (62.17) and cotton (0.19) respectively which indicated that the yield of the crops is also positively affected by fertilizer use and fertilizer subsidy. The elasticity of yield with respect to fertilizer subsidy also confirmed the regression analysis results. Although yield is inelastic to subsidies; however, one % increase in fertilizer subsidy resulted in 0.043, 0.061, 0.044, 0.022 and 0.207 (%) increased in yield of wheat, rice, sugarcane, cotton and maize respectively. Based on positive values of coefficients, it is concluded that the fertilizer subsidies should be distributed more efficiently to enhance the productivity of crops.

Selecting an optimal sorghum cultivar can improve nitrogen availability and wheat yield in crop rotation.

Sorghum (Sorghum bicolor L. Moench) is a cereal crop known for its biological nitrification inhibition (BNI) capacity, a plant-mediated activity limiting nitrification pathway. The use of BNI-producing plants represents an environmentally friendly and cost-effective approach to reduce nitrogen (N) losses, such as nitrate (NO3 -) leaching and nitrous oxide (N2O) gas emissions. The present study aimed to test the effectiveness of different S. bicolor cultivars in rotation to retain ammonium (NH4 +) in soils and promote N availability for the subsequent wheat crop. A two-year field rotation was established with four sorghum cultivars followed by winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.). Urea alone or combined with the urease inhibitor N-(n-butyl) thiophosphoric triamide was applied to promote a NH4 +-based fertilization regimes. AddingN-(n-butyl) thiophosphoric triamide maintained higher soil NH4 + content and reduced ammonia-oxidizing bacteria population during sorghum cultivation. However, the benefits of the inhibitor on sorghum growth were cultivar-dependent. Notably, the further reduction in ammonia-oxidizing bacteria abundance for sorghum Voyenn and the increased soil NH4 + content for Vilomene suggested a BNI potential for these cultivars. Importantly, the Vilomene precedent enhanced wheat yield for both fertilization regimes. Overall, the present study confirms that sorghum is a suitable catch crop and emphasizes the importance of selecting the proper sorghum cultivar to maximize the yield of the target wheat crop, at the same time as minimizing N losses. Furthermore, developing combined strategies with selected sorghum cultivars and the application of urease inhibitors enables to enhance sorghum productivity as forage, achieving added value to the rotation. © 2024 The Author(s). Journal of the Science of Food and Agriculture published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.

Identification of influential environmental factors in wheat crop yield based on feature selection techniques

Identification of influential environmental factors in wheat crop yield based on feature selection techniques

THE IMPACT OF SEED SIZE ON INITIAL DROUGHT STRESS RESILIENCE AND YIELD IN WHEAT CULTIVATION

Wheat yield is affected severely by drought in this era of changing climate patterns, including high temperatures and altered precipitation patterns. Drought is among the most challenging environmental stressors, limiting wheat cultivars' growth, productivity, and performance. The current study was conducted during the rabi season 2022 at the Research Area, Department of Agronomy, University of the Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan. Therefore, the present study evaluated the potential of diverse seed sizes to advance wheat crop growth, development, and yield when subjected to different drought levels. The study comprised two experiments. The first was a lab experiment that included different drought levels (DL), DL0: 0.0 bar, DL1: -2 bar, DL2: -4 bar, and DL3: -6 bar (drought levels were induced by solutions of PEG-6000 at different concentrations) and three wheat seed size classes, i.e., bold grain (>38 g), medium grain (<33 g), and small grain (<25 g). In the field experiment, drought stress levels were DL0 (regular irrigation), DL1 (first irrigation at 30 days), DL2 (first irrigation at 45 days), and DL3 (first irrigation at 60 days). Seed sizes included W1 (bold >38 g), W2 (medium <33 g), and W3 (small <25 g). Drought severity increased with DL1 to DL3. The outcomes of the field experiment revealed that varying levels of drought stress and seed size classes significantly affected parameters such as emergence time, growth traits, biomass allocation, tiller count, plant height, and grain and biomass outcomes. Bold seeds contributed to higher biomass and grain yield, while severe drought decreased yields. Notably, the Harvest Index was affected, indicating bold seeds allocate more biomass to grains. In conclusion, proper seed size selection, favouring bold seeds, can enhance resilience to drought, benefiting wheat cultivation in water-scarce regions.

Effect of Crop Establishment Method, Residue and Nutrient Management on Productivity of Rice-Wheat Cropping System at Rupandehi, Bhairahawa, Nepal

The puddling operation and multiple tillage operations done in traditional rice-wheat system have negative impact on soil resulting into low productivity of rice - wheat system. A field experiment was conducted to find the alternate practices for enhancing the productivity of rice-wheat system at National Wheat Research Program, Bhairahawa during 2018/19. Three crop establishment methods: surface seeded wheat (SSW) followed by (fb) unpuddled transplanted rice (U-TPR), zero tilled wheat (ZTW) fb zero tilled direct seeded rice (ZT-DSR) and conventionally tilled wheat (CTW) fb puddled transplanted rice (PTR) were tested in two levels of residue management: residue removed (R0) and residue retention (R50). Three levels of nutrient management: recommended dose of NPK (F100), 25% higher dose of NPK (F125) and farmer’s practice (FP) were assigned in wheat. Strip-split plot design with 3 replications was used in wheat while strip-plot design with 9 replications was used in rice. Crop establishment methods (CSM) were assigned in vertical strips; residue management in horizontal blocks and nutrient management were assigned in subplots. The number of tillers at maximum tillering stage, maximum leaf area index, effective tiller per square meter and number of grains per spike of wheat were significantly affected by CSM, where ZTW had shown better results (413.7 tillers, 2.12 LAI, 224.1 effective tiller per square meter and 34.27 grains per spike) than SSW and CTW but the CSM had no significant effect on grain yield of both rice and wheat crop. R0 had produced significantly higher straw yield than R50 of both rice and wheat, whereas, R50 had produced significantly higher harvest index than R0 in rice. The application of 25% more nutrients than the recommended dose resulted in the significantly better growth, yield attributes, and yield of wheat. The ZTW fb ZT-DSR had produced significantly higher system yield than SSW fb U-TPR where, CTW fb PTR was statistically at par with both systems. The recommended dose of nutrients (F100) and 25% higher than F100 (F125) had produced significantly higher system yield than farmer’s practice (FP) dose. Research results revealed that ZTW fb ZT-DSR system can be suggested instead of traditional CTW fb PTR system without significant yield differences.

Effect of foliar application of zinc, mg and urea on growth, yield and economics of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) crop

Effect of foliar application of zinc, mg and urea on growth, yield and economics of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) crop

Temperature increase may not necessarily penalize future yields of three major crops in Xinjiang, Northwest China

Future food production is at risk due to climate change, particularly in arid regions with limited water resources and extensive irrigated agriculture. This study utilized the DSSAT model in conjunction with downscaled data from 21 global climate models (GCMs) under two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP2–4.5 and SSP5–8.5) to assess the impact of projected climate change on irrigated crop phenology, yield, and evapotranspiration (ETc) of cotton, maize, and winter wheat in the Shihezi region of Xinjiang, China. The results indicated that temperature and precipitation in the region were expected to increase gradually from 2021 to 2100. Climate change has resulted in earlier anthesis and physiological maturity of all three crops. Future climatic conditions could reduce maize yields to 16.02 %. Conversely, the yields of cotton and winter wheat increased, with cotton yields rising by 1.23–10.94 % and winter wheat yields by 3.19–14.07 %. Additionally, ETc for cotton, maize, and winter wheat could rise in the future. The irrigation water demands could increase by 41.1–96.4 mm for cotton and 27.3–37.9 mm for maize, while the demand for winter wheat could decrease by 0.5–36.2 mm. Warming was significantly correlated with the changes in the yield and water use efficiency (WUE) of cotton, maize, and winter wheat. The temperature increases of +0.5°C to +3.0°C (relative to baseline) at 0.5°C intervals were analyzed to evaluate their effects on yield and WUE. The yields varied from −0.93 % to 6.15 % for cotton, −43.42 % to −7.99 % for maize, and 4.28–9.92 % for winter wheat. The WUE changes ranged from −29.03 % to −1.08 % for cotton, −43.06 % to −7.66 % for maize, and 0.69–3.47 % for winter wheat. Contrary to the common belief that rising temperatures generally harm crop yields, our study suggests that temperature fluctuations may benefit certain crops in specific regions. These results could provide theoretical guidance for implementing adaptive measures to future climate change in regions with conditions similar to Shihezi, Xinjiang, China, to ensure crop security and sustainable water management.