Accurately predicting the critical differential pressure (CDP) of sand production contributes to improving the peak-shaving capacity and ensuring safe operation of underground gas storage (UGS). The CDP of sanding production in the target wells of the UGS was predicted coupling laboratory tests, inversed analysis with well logging data and numerical simulations. The in-situ mechanical properties of rock were estimated by coupling the laboratory test results and well-logging data. The in-situ stress field of the target formation was then deduced through inversed analysis coupled finite element method (FEM) and genetic algorithm (GA), based on the existing known stress data and the seismic data of the measured points. Using the critical strain limit (CSL) of 5‰ as the sanding criterion of the wellbore, the CDPs of the gas production in the UGS were predicted, which was 5.59 MPa, 3.98 MPa, and 4.01 MPa for well #1, well #2 and well #3, when the pressure of the gas storage was 30 MPa, respectively. The simulation results showed good agreements with the field-measured benchmark data of well #2 and well #3. The effects of moisture contents (ranging from 10 to ~40%), and cycling times of gas injection and withdrawal (ranging from 40 to ~200 cycling times) on the critical differential pressure were simulated and analyzed. The results indicated that the CDP decreased with an increase of the moisture content and the cycling times. This study provides a reliable tool for the sanding prediction of the wellbore in the UGS.
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