Cox Proportional Hazards Regression Analysis Research Articles

Unlocking survival benefits: primary tumor resection in de novo stage IV breast cancer patients

ABSTRACT Background For patients with de novo stage IV breast cancer (BC), the conditions under which the primary tumor resection (PTR) may offer benefit remain unclear. Methods The SEER database provides treatment data for patients with de novo stage IV BC. We screened cases of metastatic BC diagnosed from 2010 to 2015, with primary endpoints of overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). Results 9252 patients with stage IV de novo BC were enrolled. For OS, median survival time (MST) was 38 months with systematic treatment (ST) compared to 52 months with ST plus PTR (p < 0.001). For CSS, MST was 38 months for ST versus 54 months for ST plus PTR (p < 0.001). The results of the Cox proportional hazards regression analysis regarding PTR, for OS: bone metastasis (aHR 0.664, 95%CI 0.583–0.756, p < 0.001); liver-lung metastasis (aHR 0.528, 95%CI 0.327–0.853, p = 0.009). For CSS: bone metastasis (aHR 0.655, 95%CI 0.571–0.751, p < 0.001); liver-lung metastasis (aHR 0.549, 95%CI 0.336–0.889, p = 0.017). Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that in patients with bone metastases and liver-lung metastases, PTR could improve survival outcomes. Conclusion Liver-lung metastases and bone metastases in patients with de novo stage IV BC could enhance both OS and CSS through PTR.

The 5-factor modified frailty index as a prognostic factor for stereotactic radiosurgery in meningioma management.

Meningiomas are the most frequent primary intracranial malignancy. While surgical resection can confer long term tumor control, stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is often used for small, asymptomatic tumors in the adjuvant setting. Frailty has been associated with increased rates of peri-operative morbidity but has yet to be defined in the setting of SRS for meningiomas. We therefore sought to examine the relationship between frailty and clinical/radiographic outcomes of patients with meningiomas who have undergone SRS. A single-center, retrospective cohort study classified patients by their 5-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5) score into pre-frail (0-1) and frail (2-5) at the time of SRS treatment. Evaluations of overall survival (OS), progression free survival (PFS), local control (LC), and distant control (DC) were performed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to further define factors associated with OS/PFS. 94 patients met inclusion criteria and underwent SRS for meningioma treatment from 2019 to 2023. Analyses compared prefrail (0-1) and frail (2-5) individuals. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated a near significant association between frailty and OS (HR 3.66, 95% CI 0.49-26.8 p = 0.05) with 3-year OS rates of 75.4% in the pre-frail versus 36.6% in the frail group. However, a significant relationship was demonstrated between frailty and PFS (HR: 2.95 95% CI 1.12-7.81, p = 0.02) with 3-year PFS rates of 90.5% in the pre-frail group versus 49.2% in the frail group. Univariable regression analysis demonstrated that frailty, prior surgical excision, and cumulative tumor volume predicted PFS. Frailty, as assessed by the mFI-5, did not independently predict OS but did predict PFS in individuals with meningioma undergoing SRS.

Impact of Meal Frequency on Insulin Resistance in Middle-Aged and Older Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Insulin resistance (IR) is central to metabolic disorders and significantly influenced by diet. Studies on meal frequency (MF) and metabolic indicators have shown mixed results. This study explores the link between MF and IR in middle-aged and older adults. This prospective cohort study included 4,570 adults aged 40 to 69 years from the Korean Genome and Epidemiologic Study. MF were divided into two groups based on whether they consumed three or more, or fewer than three, meals daily. IR was evaluated using the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR); participants were classified as IR if their HOMA-IR value was ??.5. Multiple Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were conducted to examine the association between MF and the incidence of IR. After adjusting for all variables, individuals in the MF ?? group showed a reduced incidence of IR compared to those in the MF <3 group (hazard ratio, 0.880; 95% confidence interval, 0.782 to 0.990). Additionally, subgroup analyses by sex, diabetes mellitus (DM), and body mass index (BMI) showed that this association persisted only in men, individuals without DM, and those with a BMI <25. Our findings indicate that a higher MF among middle-aged and older adults is associated with a reduced incidence of IR. However, this association was maintained only in men, individuals without DM, and those without obesity.

Mortality after treatment of malignant pleural effusions with indwelling pleural catheters versus chemical pleurodesis: a population-based study.

Little is known about patient outcomes following treatment of malignant pleural effusions (MPE) in the real-world setting. We aimed to compare post-procedure all-cause mortality between individuals who received indwelling pleural catheter (IPC) insertion versus chemical pleurodesis for managing MPEs. We performed a retrospective population-based study using provincial health administrative data (Ontario, Canada) of adults with a MPE who underwent IPC insertion or chemical pleurodesis between 2015 and 2019. Individuals were followed until death or March 31, 2021. Difference in post-procedure mortality was calculated using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW)-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression analysis to balance potential confounders at baseline. We identified 4,790 (77.3%) individuals who received an IPC and 1,407 (22.7%) who had chemical pleurodesis for MPE. IPC insertions are increasing and chemical pleurodesis procedures are decreasing. The majority of IPCs were inserted in outpatients (61%), by pulmonologists (64.2%) and at sites with higher annual IPC volume, while chemical pleurodesis procedures were generally done by thoracic surgeons (74%) and at sites with higher annual pleurodesis volumes. In unadjusted comparison median time from initial cancer diagnosis to intervention was significantly longer in the IPC group (244 days, interquartile range [IQR]:33-903) compared to pleurodesis group (81 days, IQR:10-737; p < 0.0001). Unadjusted median time from index procedure to death was significantly longer in the pleurodesis group (165[IQR:48-457] days vs. 81[IQR:29-256] days, p < 0.0001), however the difference between groups became insignificant after the IPTW was applied (HR 1.27, 95%CI 0.95-1.69). 35% of IPCs were removed prior to death or end of follow-up. After adjusting for differences in baseline characteristics there was no difference in post-procedure mortality between IPC and chemical pleurodesis groups. In the real world, there are significant differences in the characteristics of patients who receive these two procedures and notable regional practice variation between procedure use. Future research should evaluate these variations in care and their effect on patient outcomes.

Survival status and prognostic factors analysis in patients with hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension

Objective: To analyze the survival status and prognostic factors of patients with hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (HHT-PAH). Methods: This prospective study included patients diagnosed with HHT-PAH at the Fuwai Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Guangdong General Hospital from August 2009 to December 2019. Patients were followed up every 6 months±2 weeks, with all-cause mortality as the study endpoint. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression mode was used to further screen and validate the prognostic factors. Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the log-rank test was used to compare the survival time differences between patients with and without hepatic arteriovenous malformations. Results: A total of 18 HHT-PAH patients were included, with 14 females (77.8%) and a median age [M (Q1, Q3)] of 39 (32, 45) years. The median follow-up time was 129 (51, 156) months. During the follow-up period, 12 patients (66.7%) died, with a median survival time of 70 (32, 123) months. The 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year survival rates were 100.0%, 70.8%(95%CI: 52.3%-96.0%), 53.1%(95%CI: 34.0%-83.0%), and 26.6%(95%CI: 10.6%-66.4%), respectively. HHT-PAH patients with hepatic arteriovenous malformations had a shorter median survival time than those without hepatic arteriovenous malformations [31.0 months (95%CI: 16.6-45.4 months) vs 84.0 months (95%CI: 54.4-113.6 months), P=0.024]. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that hepatic arteriovenous malformation (HR=4.493, 95%CI: 1.064-18.978) was a risk factor for all-cause mortality in HHT-PAH patients. Conclusions: The 10-year survival rate of HHT-PAH patients is poor. The presence of hepatic arteriovenous malformations is a risk factor for mortality in HHT-PAH patients.

Abstract 4136788: Lipoprotein(a) Levels and the Risk of Ventricular Arrhythmia: Insights from a Comprehensive Retrospective Cohort Study

Background: Sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) are associated with an elevated risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). Lipoprotein(a) (Lp[a]) is a recognized risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), which in turn associated with increased risk of VAs. However, whether Lp(a) is linked with VAs independent of ASCVD remains unknown. Objective: To examine the association of Lp(a) with VAs in a population-based, retrospective cohort study utilizing data from the TriNetX Research Network. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of the data from 89 healthcare organizations within the TriNetX Research Network. Patients over 18 years old with available serum Lp(a) measurement were included. Participants were divided into two cohorts based on their Lp(a) levels: cohort 1 (Lp(a) ≤75 nmol/L), and cohort 2 (Lp(a) ≥76 nmol/L). Follow-up time to VA occurrence was calculated from the time of Lp(a) level measurement within each cohort. The composite endpoint was the incidence of VAs to include ventricular tachycardia, ventricular fibrillation, ventricular flutter, or cardiac arrest due to underlying cardiac conditions. We compared the two cohorts using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis along with cox proportional hazard regression analysis after propensity score matching. Results: 50,752 patients were included in cohort 1 and 24,474 in cohort 2. After propensity score matching, both cohorts had 23,668 patients. In cohort 1, 307 patients experienced VAs, compared to 303 in cohort 2 (Table 1). The mean age was 53.3 ± 15.7 years, with 53.35% of participants being female, 10.75% being Black, and 69.89% being White. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a higher survival probability at the end of the study period for the Lp(a) ≤75 compared to the Lp(a) ≥76 cohort (95.11% vs 85.35%, p=0.002). The hazard ratio (HR) for VA was 0.768 (95% CI: 0.652-0.904, p = 0.002), indicating that lower Lp(a) levels are associated with reduced VA risk. Conclusion: This study shows that increased Lp(a) levels are independently associated with a higher incidence of VA. Future research should focus on the mechanisms underlying the relationship between Lp(a) levels and VA, and whether Lp(a) reduction can reduce the risk of VA and other cardiovascular outcomes.

Income-Related Disparities in Mortality Among Young Adults With Type 2 Diabetes.

Previous studies have indicated an inverse association between income and mortality. However, differences in health outcomes according to the income level of young adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) compared with older adults with T2D have not been elucidated. To estimate the overall and cause-specific mortality risks among patients with T2D according to income and age. This retrospective nationwide cohort study in South Korea included adults aged 20 to 79 years who were diagnosed with T2D between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2013, and followed up until December 31, 2019, and age- and sex-matched controls without diabetes. Data were analyzed between January 1, 2023, and August 27, 2024. Risks of all-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortality were estimated according to participants' income, which was categorized into 3 levels (low, middle, and high) based on the health insurance premium. Logistic regression analyses and Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were performed according to age groups (20-39, 40-59, and 60-79 years). A total of 1 240 780 adults (604 975 patients with T2D and 635 805 age- and sex-matched controls without diabetes) were included in the analyses. Their mean (SD) age was 56.9 (11.8) years, and 626 176 (50.5%) were men. Overall, the risk of mortality increased with lower income among patients with T2D, as well as in comparison with controls without diabetes. There was an inverse association between income and mortality risk in younger individuals (adjusted hazard ratios of all-cause mortality in the low income vs high income subgroups with T2D were 2.88 [95% CI, 2.25-3.69] in those aged 20 to 39 years, 1.90 [95% CI, 1.81-2.00] in those aged 40 to 59 years, and 1.26 [95% CI, 1.23-1.29] in those aged 60 to 79 years; P < .001 for comparing risk ratios between age groups). The pattern of income-related disparities in younger individuals was observed in cardiovascular mortality but less in cancer mortality. In this cohort study of 1 240 780 individuals aged 20 to 79 years, the risk of mortality with low income was most prominent among individuals with T2D aged 20 to 39 years. These findings highlight the need for socioeconomic support to reduce income-related health disparities in younger individuals.

Abstract 4137424: Circulating Levels of the Pro-Fibrotic Collagen Hormone Endotrophin are Associated with the Risk of Experiencing Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Individuals with Type 2 Diabetes – The Thousand&amp;2 Study

Introduction: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) complications are the leading cause of mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Abnormal extracellular matrix (ECM) remodelling leads to the release of ECM protein fragments into circulation, reflecting these complications. Endotrophin, a pro-fibrotic and -inflammatory hormone, released during collagen type 6 formation, has been linked to adverse outcomes in T2D, but not previously in a long-term perspective. Aim: To assess the 12-year prognostic value of circulating endotrophin levels, measured by PRO-C6, to predict the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in a large cohort of individuals with T2D. Methods: Endotrophin levels were measured with the NordicPRO-C6™ ELISA in 909 serum samples from the Thousand&amp;2 study, which was initiated in 2011 and examined individuals with T2D, with and without known CVD. Clinical data were collected at baseline. Follow-up was 100% complete and performed on the 1 st of May 2024 with the registration of data on MACE from the Danish national registers. The primary outcome was MACE, defined as incident events of hospital admission for ischemic heart disease, heart failure, stroke, or all-cause mortality. PRO-C6 was split into tertiles and examined for survival probability by Kaplan-Meier analysis. Univariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was conducted to examine the association between PRO-C6 and the risk of MACE. A multivariable Cox model was additionally conducted, adjusted for age at baseline, sex, systolic blood pressure, duration of diabetes, HbA1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate, use of statins, albuminuria status, and current or prior smoking. Results: The baseline mean (±SD) age of the cohort was 64 (±10) years, 66% were males, mean (±SD) PRO-C6 was 11.9 (±7.01) ng/ml, the median follow-up time was 10.6 years, and number of MACE recorded was 472. The risk of experiencing MACE was significantly higher in the third tertile compared to the first and second tertile (Log-Rank p &lt; 0.001). In the univariate Cox model, the estimated hazard ratio (HR), corresponding to a 2-fold increase of PRO-C6, was HR [95% Confidence Interval(CI)] = 2.1 [1.8-2.4], P &lt;0.001. In the fully adjusted Cox model, PRO-C6 remained significantly associated with the risk of MACE (HR [95% CI] = 1.5 [1.2-1.8], P &lt;0.001). Conclusion: Elevated circulating endotrophin is associated with MACE in T2D, independent of common risk factors.

NIMG-83. THE PROGNOSTIC VALUE OF PARAMETRIZED KI-67 MAPS DERIVED FROM CONVENTIONAL MRI AND MACHINE LEARNING IN A LARGE RETROSPECTIVE COHORT OF ADULT-TYPE DIFFUSE GLIOMAS

Abstract BACKGROUND Ki-67 is a well-established proliferation marker relied upon for glioma grade assessment. Advances in machine learning (ML) now allow researchers to non-invasively predict the voxelwise Ki-67 index with reasonable accuracy based on anatomical MRI.The purpose of this study is to evaluate the prognostic ability of these predictions in adult-type diffuse gliomas. METHODS We included adult patients with untreated gliomas of various histopathologic grades who underwent their first resection at a comprehensive cancer center from 1993 to 2018. Anatomic MR images were pre-processed, segmented, normalized, then run through a pre-trained ML algorithm to generate Ki-67 parametric maps. The maximum estimated Ki-67 (maxKi-67) for each patient was documented, and the optimal threshold stratifying the cohort into low- and high-risk patients was computed using 10-fold cross-validation. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were then generated for both risk groups and compared using the log-rank and Breslow tests. MaxKi-67 was correlated with OS using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis adjusted for age and preoperative KPS. RESULTS 1,179 patients (age 52±15; 701 males) were included in this study. 727 tumors were histologic grade IV, while 246 and 206 were histologic grade III and II. The mean maxKi-67 was 15.9± 5.2. A maxKi-67 threshold of 13 was computed from the 10-fold cross-validation to dichotomize the cohort by OS. The low-risk group (maxKi-67&amp;lt;13) had a median OS = 2,435 days, significantly different from the high-risk group (maxKi-67&amp;gt;13) which had median OS = 551 days (p&amp;lt;.001). A maxKi-67 index above this threshold significantly increased the hazard of death: unadjusted HR = 2.53 [95% CI 2.17-2.96] and adjusted HR = 1.55 [1.31-1.83]. Age &amp;gt; 55 and preoperative KPS &amp;lt; 90 were also negative prognosticators in the Cox model: adjusted HR for age = 2.79 [2.36-3.31] and for KPS = 2.08 [1.77-2.46]. CONCLUSION Image-based derivation of maxKi-67 index using ML accurately predicts survival in glioma patients with a cut-off of 13 segregating these patients into 2 risk groups.

Association between serum glucose potassium ratio and mortality in critically ill patients with intracerebral hemorrhage

The effect of serum glucose-to-potassium ratio (GPR) on cerebrovascular diseases has been previously validated. However, the value of the GPR in patients with severe intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) requiring ICU admission remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between the GPR and the clinical prognosis of critically ill patients with ICH. This study identified patients with severe ICH requiring ICU admission from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database and divided them into quartiles based on GPR levels. Outcomes included 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality rates. The association between the GPR and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with ICH was elucidated using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and restricted cubic splines. In total, 2018 patients (53.8% male), with a median age of 70 years, were enrolled in the study. The 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality rates were 23.9%, 30.1%, and 38.4%, respectively. Per multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, an elevated GPR was significantly associated with all-cause mortality. After adjusting for age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index, white blood cell count, red blood cell count, platelet count, and Glasgow Coma Scale, patients with an elevated GPR had a higher 30-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.32; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22–1.42; P < 0.001), 90-day mortality (HR: 1.27; 95% CI: 1.18–1.37; P < 0.001) and 1-year mortality (HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.14–1.31; P < 0.001) when analyzed as a continuous variable. Furthermore, analysis using restricted cubic splines demonstrated a consistent and progressive escalation in the risk of all-cause mortality with an elevated GPR. The GPR was significantly associated with short- and long-term all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with ICH. This finding demonstrates that GPR may be useful in identifying patients with ICH at a high risk of all-cause mortality.

Clinical features and prognostic factors of IV combined small cell lung cancer: A propensity score matching analysis.

Nowadays, the characteristics and treatment of combined small-cell lung carcinoma (CSCLC) remain controversial. This study aimed to analyze the features of clinical demographics, survival outcomes and treatment modalities among IV CSCLC, IV SCLC and IV NSCLC, to provide more evidence for the study of IV CSCLC. All CSCLC, SCLC and NSCLC patient data were obtained from the SEER database (2010-2020). Pearson's χ2 test was used to compare the differences in clinical characteristics. Propensity score matching (PSM) was utilized to balance the bias of the variables between patients. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to identify prognostic factors. KM analysis was used to calculate survival. Adjusted analyses for the primary outcome of different treatment modalities of IV CSCLC, IV SCLC and IV NSCLC were performed using Cox regression models. A total of 493 patients with IV CSCLC, 35503 patients with SCLC, 122807 patients with IV NSCLC were included in this study. The demographic characteristics and tumor characteristics of the three groups were different. Before PSM, there were significant differences in OS and CSS among IV CSCLC, IV SCLC and IV NSCLC, After PSM, there was a significant difference in OS and CSS between the IV CSCLC and IV NSCLC. Risk/protective factors for OS and CSS were different in three groups. Chemotherapy, radiotherapy, and surgery can improve IV CSCLC's survival time. The combination of surgery and chemoradiotherapy treatment group for patients with IV CSCLC demonstrated best OS compared to control treatment groups, and the surgery combined chemotherapy treatment group exhibited the best CSS. Additionally, for select patients with stage IV CSCLC who have missed the window for surgical intervention at the time of initial diagnosis, chemoradiotherapy presents a viable and effective treatment option. The clinical characteristics IV CSCLC, IV SCLC and IV NSCLC were significantly different. The prognosis for IV CSCLC is notably poorer than IV NSCLC, similar to IV SCLC. Surgery combined therapy emerged as the preferred treatment modalities and chemoradiotherapy was a good choice for patients who have lost the indication of surgery for patients diagnosed with IV CSCLC.

Behavioral and Psychological Symptoms of Dementia and Mortality Risk Among People With Cognitive Impairment: An 8-year Longitudinal Study From the NCGG-STORIES.

Behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia (BPSD) are common among people with dementia from the early stages and can appear even in mild cognitive impairment (MCI). However, the prognostic impact of BPSD is unclear. This study examined the association between BPSD and mortality among people with cognitive impairment. This longitudinal study involved 1,065 males and 1,681 females (mean age: 77.1 years for males and 78.6 years for females) with MCI or dementia diagnosis from the National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology-Life Stories of People with Dementia (NCGG-STORIES), a single-center memory clinic-based cohort study in Japan that registered first-time outpatients from 2010-2018. Information about death was collected through a mail survey returned by participants or their close relatives, with an up to 8-year follow-up. BPSD was assessed using the Dementia Behavior Disturbance Scale (DBD) at baseline. During the follow-up period, 229 (28.1%) male and 254 (15.1%) female deaths occurred. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that higher DBD scores were significantly associated with increased mortality risk among males, but not females (compared with the lowest quartile score group, hazard ratios for the highest quartile score group were 1.59; 95% confidence interval, [CI] 1.11-2.29 for males and 1.06; 95% CI, 0.66-1.70 for females). Among the DBD items, lack of interest in daily living, excessive daytime sleep, and refusal to receive care had a higher mortality risk. The findings suggest a potential association between BPSD and poor prognosis among males with cognitive impairment.

Bolstering the Prognostic Utility of Coronary Risk Assessments with PAI: A Physical Activity Metric.

Personal Activity Intelligence (PAI) translates heart rate during physical activity (PA) into a weekly score, that credits vigorous over low- and moderate intensity PA. We prospectively investigated the association between PAI and fatal and non-fatal coronary heart disease (CHD) in self-reported healthy participants from Norway, with specific reference to improving the accuracy of conventional coronary risk assessment. We studied 40 961 healthy adults (56% women) from the population based Trøndelag Health Study (the HUNT study). Individual data were linked to hospital and cause of death registries. The weekly PAI score of each participant was divided into four groups (PAI scores of 0, ≤50, 51-99, or ≥ 100). Adjusted hazard ratios [aHRs] and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for fatal and non-fatal CHD related to PAI were estimated using Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. During a median follow-up period of 13.1 years (IQR, 12.7-13.6), 3303 (3109 non-fatal, 194 fatal) CHD events occurred. Compared with the inactive group (0 PAI), weekly PAI scores at baseline of 51-99 and ≥ 100 were associated with a lower risk of CHD [0.80 (0.71-0.91) and 0.86 (0.78-0.95), respectively]. By adding PAI to traditional risk factors, the net reclassification improvement of CHD was 0.472 (P < 0.001). PAI was inversely associated with CHD risk among healthy participants at baseline, and it's cardioprotective effect persisted across diverse risk factor profiles. A PAI score > 50 was substantially associated with a reduced risk of CHD. These findings have implications for improving the accuracy of conventional coronary risk assessments with PAI.

Risk factors for occurrence and death of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury in children with sepsis

IntroductionThe 28th Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) Workgroup proposed the first international consensus on definition of SA-AKI in June 2023. The incidence and mortality of ADQI-defined SA-AKI in septic children is unknown, and the risk factors for the occurrence and death of SA-AKI is unexplored. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective study of septic children between January 1, 2018 and December 31, 2022. Logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for SA-AKI. COX proportional hazards regression analysis was utilized for analyzing the risk factors for 30-day mortality in SA-AKI and septic children. Results221 children were included, of which 81 (36.7 %) developed SA-AKI, with 25.9 % developed into acute kidney disease. Older age, lower baseline eGFR and mechanical ventilation were independently associated with SA-AKI (P < 0.001, P < 0.01 and P < 0.05 respectively). Among the 81 SA-AKI children, 32.1 % died within 30 days from sepsis diagnosis, with higher mortality in children with late SA-AKI than early SA-AKI (72.2 % versus 20.6 %, P < 0.001). Septic shock was independently associated with 30-day death in SA-AKI children (P < 0.05). The overall 30-day mortality of septic children was 19.0 %, with mechanical ventilation, SA-AKI, and septic shock identified as independently associated with 30-day death (P < 0.001, P < 0.05 and P < 0.001 respectively). ConclusionsSA-AKI is of high incidence and mortality in septic children. Older age, lower baseline eGFR and mechanical ventilation were independent risk factors for SA-AKI. SA-AKI was independently associated with 30-day mortality in septic children.

Establishment and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram for Predicting Postoperative Overall Survival in Advanced Stage III-IV Colorectal Cancer Patients.

Most colorectal cancer (CRC) patients are at an advanced stage when they are first diagnosed. Risk factors for predicting overall survival (OS) in advanced stage CRC patients are crucial, and constructing a prognostic nomogram model is a scientific method for survival analysis. A total of 2956 advanced stage CRC patients were randomised into training and validation groups at a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to screen risk factors for OS and subsequently construct a prognostic nomogram model for predicting 1-, 3-, 5-, 8- and 10-year OS of advanced stage CRC patients. The performance of the model was demonstrated by the area under the curve (AUC) values, calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA). Kaplan-Meier curves were used to plot the survival probabilities for different strata of each risk factor. There was no statistically significant difference (p > 0.05) in the 32 clinical variables between patients in the training and validation groups. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses demonstrated that age, location, TNM, chemotherapy, liver metastasis, lung metastasis, MSH6, CEA, CA199, CA125 and CA724 were risk factors for OS. We estimated the AUC values for the nomogram model to predict 1-, 3-, 5-, 8- and 10-year OS, which in the training group were 0.826 (95% CI: 0.807-0.845), 0.836 (0.819-0.853), 0.839 (0.820-0.859), 0.835 (0.809-0.862) and 0.825 (0.779-0.870) respectively; in the validation group, the corresponding AUC values were 0.819 (0.786-0.852), 0.831 (0.804-0.858), 0.830 (0.799-0.861), 0.815 (0.774-0.857) and 0.802 (0.723-0.882) respectively. Finally, the 1-, 3-, 5-, 8- and 10-year OS rates for advanced stage CRC patients were 73.4 (71.8-75.0), 49.5 (47.8-51.4), 43.3 (41.5-45.2), 40.1 (38.1-41.9) and 38.6 (36.6-40.8) respectively. We constructed and validated an original nomogram for predicting the postoperative OS of advanced stage CRC patients, which can help facilitates physicians to accurately assess the individual survival of postoperative patients and identify high-risk patients.

Association Between Changes in Skeletal Muscle Quality and Prognosis in Postoperative Patients with Early Gastric Cancer.

Identifying accurate prognostic factors is crucial for postoperative management of early gastric cancer (EGC) patients. Skeletal muscle quality (SMQ), defined by muscle density on computed tomography (CT) images, has been proposed as a novel prognostic factor. This study compared the prognostic significance of SMQ changes with the well-established factor of body weight (BW) loss in the postoperative EGC setting. This single-center retrospective study included 297 postoperative EGC patients (median age 69 years, 68.4% male) who had preoperative and 1-year-postoperative gastrectomy CT images. SMQ was defined as the modified intramuscular adipose tissue content (mIMAC = skeletal muscle density-subcutaneous fat density on CT images) and the change as ΔmIMAC. Log-rank test, Kaplan-Meier survival, and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to assess the associations between prognosis and either ΔmIMAC or BW change (ΔBW). Prognosis prediction by ΔmIMAC and ΔBW was compared by using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve. ΔmIMAC was significantly associated with prognosis (log-rank test; P = 0.037), but ΔBW was not (P = 0.243). Prognosis was significantly poorer in the severely decreased mIMAC group than in the preserved group (multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis; P = 0.030) but was unaffected by BW changes (P = 0.697). The AUC indicated a higher prognostic value for ΔmIMAC than ΔBW (ΔmIMAC: AUC = 0.697, ΔBW: AUC = 0.542). One-year post-gastrectomy SMQ changes may be better prognostic EGC predictors than BW changes.

Prognostic nomogram models for elderly patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma: A population-based study.

This study aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model for elderly patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) based on various demographic and clinical parameters in order to accurately predict patient outcomes. Patients who were diagnosed with DTC and were over 55 years old between 2010 and 2019 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The patients were then randomly divided into a training set and a validation set in a 7:3 ratio, and patients from our center were included as an external validation group. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors, which were then utilized to develop nomograms for predicting the prognosis. The discriminative ability of the nomograms was evaluated using the concordance index, and the calibration was assessed using calibration plots. The clinical usefulness and benefits of the predictive models were determined through decision curve analysis. The findings of the stepwise Cox regression analysis revealed that several variables, including age, marital status, sex, multifocality, T stage, N stage, and M stage, were significantly associated with overall survival in elderly patients with DTC. Additionally, age, tumor size, multifocality, T stage, N stage, and M stage were identified as the primary determinants of cancer specific survival in elderly patients with DTC. Using these predictors, nomograms were constructed to estimate the probability of overall survival and cancer specific survival. The nomograms demonstrated a high level of predictive accuracy, as evidenced by the concordance index, and the calibration plots indicated that the predicted outcomes were consistent with the actual outcomes. Furthermore, the decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomograms provided substantial clinical net benefit, indicating their utility in clinical practice.

Early adverse outcomes remain challenging to prevent in morbidly obese patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty.

The prevalence of obesity is increasing substantially around the world. Elevated BMI increases the risk of complications following total hip arthroplasty (THA). We sought to evaluate trends in BMI and complication rates of obese patients undergoing primary THA over the last 30 years. Through our institutional total joint registry, we identified 15,455 primary THAs performed for osteoarthritis from 1990 to 2019. Patients were categorized according to the World Health Organization (WHO) obesity classification and groups were trended over time. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis controlling for confounders was used to investigate the association between year of surgery and two-year risk of any reoperation, any revision, dislocation, periprosthetic joint infection (PJI), venous thromboembolism (VTE), and periprosthetic fracture. Regression was stratified by three separate groups: non-obese; WHO Class I and Class II (BMI 30 to 39 kg/m2); and WHO Class III patients (BMI ≥ 40 kg/m2). There was a significant increase in the proportion of all obesity classes from 1990 to 2019, and the BMI values within each WHO class significantly increased over time. Risk of any reoperation did not change over time among non-obese or WHO Class I/II patients, but increased for WHO Class III patients (hazard ratio (HR) 1.04; p = 0.044). Risk of dislocation decreased over time for non-obese (HR 0.96; p < 0.001) and WHO Class I/II (HR 0.96; p = 0.002) patients, but did not change over time for WHO Class III (HR 0.94; p = 0.073) patients. Risks of any revision and PJI did not change over time for any group. The proportion of patients undergoing THA who are obese has increased dramatically at our institution between 1990 and 2019. Despite BMI values increasing within all WHO classes over time, two-year complication risks have remained stable or decreased in WHO Class I/II patients. However, continued efforts will be required to mitigate risks in the heaviest WHO Class III patients.

Development and validation of nomograms based on the SEER database for the risk factors and prognosis of distant metastasis in gastric signet ring cell carcinoma.

Poor prognosis in patients with distant metastasis of gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (GSRC), and there are few studies on the development and validation of the diagnosis and prognosis of distant metastasis of GSRC. The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was used to identify patients with GSRC from 2004 to 2019. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to identify independent risk factors for distant metastasis of GSRC, while univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were used to determine independent prognostic factors for patients with distant metastasis of GSRC. Two nomograms were established, and model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis. A total of 9703 cases with GSRC were enrolled, among which 2307 cases (23.78%) were diagnosed with distant metastasis at the time of diagnosis. Independent risk factors for distant metastasis included age, race, and T stage. Independent prognostic factors included T stage, chemotherapy, and surgery. The receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, decision curve analysis curve, and Kaplan-Meier survival curve of the training set and validation set confirmed that the 2 nomograms could accurately predict the occurrence and prognosis of distant metastasis in GSRC. Two nomograms can serve as effective prediction tools for predicting distant metastasis in GSRC patients and the prognosis of patients with distant metastasis. They have a certain clinical reference value.

Dual Mobility Articulations in Primary Total Hip Arthroplasty: Midterm Outcomes from the American Joint Replacement Registry

In recent years, there has been an increased utilization of dual mobility (DM) implants in primary total hip arthroplasty (THA) to mitigate the risk of postoperative hip instability. This study aimed to present midterm outcomes of DM bearings in primary THA using data from the American Joint Replacement Registry (AJRR). Screening was conducted on patients aged ≥ 65 years who underwent primary THA between 2012 and 2018. Patients were categorized into three groups: (1) DM articulation, (2) ≤ 32 mm femoral head, and (3) ≥ 36 mm femoral head. Multivariable statistical modeling was employed to analyze patient and hospital characteristics, minimizing potential confounding variables and identifying independent associations with revision. Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to assess all-cause revision and revision specifically for instability. A total of 207,526 primary total hip arthroplasties (THAs) were identified. Among them, 13,896 (6.7%) utilized dual mobility (DM) articulation, 60,358 (29.1%) had a femoral head size of ≤ 32 mm and 133,272 (64.2%) had a femoral head size of ≥ 36 mm. At the eight-year follow-up, the all-cause revision rate was higher in the DM group (3.5%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.1 to 4.1) compared to the ≤ 32 mm (2.6%, 95% CI 2.5 to 2.8) and ≥ 36 mm (2.7%, 95% CI 2.5 to 2.9) groups. However, the revision rate for instability was comparable among the DM (0.4%, 95% CI 0.2 to 0.5), ≤ 32 mm (0.5%, 95% CI 0.4 to 0.5), and ≥ 36 mm (0.3%, 95% CI 0.3 to 0.4) groups at eight-year follow-up. The utilization of DM was associated with higher overall revision rates. However, no significant differences in rates of revision for instability were observed among any of the bearing surface groups. These findings may be attributed to surgeons selectively utilizing DM articulations in higher-risk patients.