Cox Proportional Hazards Analysis Research Articles

Does Criminal Versatility Predict Recidivism? Results from Cox Proportional-Hazards and Binomial Logistic Regression Analyses

The purpose of this study was to determine whether criminal versatility predicts future recidivism. A Cox proportional-hazards survival analysis of 1,101 male inmates showed that criminal versatility predicted recidivism after controlling for age, race, education, violent instant offense, sentence length, prior substance abuse, general criminal thinking, age at first conviction, and number of prior convictions. A hazard ratio of 1.09 revealed that a one-point increase on an 11-point criminal versatility scale predicted a 9% increase in the probability of future recidivism. These results were confirmed in a binomial logistic regression controlling for time at risk in the community. This is one of the first studies to highlight the clinical significance of criminal versatility in establishing risk for future offending.

Preoperative fibrinogen level predicts the risk and prognosis of patients with native valve infective endocarditis undergoing valve surgery.

The aim of this study was to assess the clinical significance and prognostic value of the preoperative fibrinogen (FBG) level in patients with native valve infective endocarditis (NVIE) who underwent valve surgery. This retrospective study included a total of 163 consecutive patients who were diagnosed with NVIE and underwent valve surgery from January 2019 to January 2022 in our hospital. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. All-cause mortality was observed in 9.2% of the patients (n = 15). Body mass index (BMI) was lower in the survival group (p = 0.025), whereas FBG (p = 0.008) and platelet count (p = 0.044) were significantly greater in the survival group than in the death group. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that FBG (HR, 0.55; 95% CI, [0.32-0.94]; p = 0.029) was an independent prognostic factor for all-cause mortality. Furthermore, Kaplan‒Meier survival curve analysis revealed that patients with low FBG levels (<3.28 g/L) had a significantly greater mortality rate (p = 0.034) than did those with high FBG levels (>3.99 g/L). In the trend analysis, the FBG tertiles were significantly related to all-cause mortality in all three adjusted models, and the p values for trend were 0.017, 0.016, and 0.028, respectively. Preoperative FBG may serve as a prognostic factor for all-cause mortality, and an FBG concentration less than 3.28 g/L was associated with a greater risk of all-cause mortality in NVIE patients undergoing valve surgery.

Opioid Treatment Is Associated with Recurrent Healthcare Visits, Increased Side Effects, and Pain

Introduction: Pain is a major driver of visits to the emergency department (ED). Clinicians must consider not only the efficacy of treatment options but also subsequent healthcare utilization and patient-centered outcomes such as side effects from prescribed medications. Our goal in this study was to determine whether there was an association between acute pain treatment regimen (opioids, intranasal non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs [NSAIDs], or both) and unscheduled healthcare visits following ED discharge. Methods: This study was a secondary analysis of the Acute Management of Pain from the Emergency Department (AMPED) prospective, observational cohort study. We used Cox proportional hazards analysis to assess the relationship between treatment regimen and time to first unscheduled healthcare visit. Repeated measures logistic regression analyses were used to determine the relationship between treatment regimen and any unscheduled visits, and to evaluate whether this relationship was mediated by pain severity and/or medication side effects. Results: Of 831 total enrolled participants, 141 (16.9%) experienced an unplanned healthcare visit within five days of ED discharge. A majority of these visits happened one day after the ED visit. Those who were treated with intranasal NSAIDs only were less likely to have an unscheduled healthcare visit compared to those who received opioids only, with an adjusted odds ratio (AOR) of 0.63. The higher odds of unscheduled healthcare visits with opioids were mediated by both the presence of side effects and higher pain levels, with AORs of 2.24 and 1.33, respectively. Conclusion: Opioid treatment for acute pain is associated with increased unscheduled healthcare visits compared to those treated with intranasal ketorolac. This difference can be explained by higher levels of ongoing pain and greater medication side effects.

Elevated serum albumin-to-creatinine ratio as a protective factor on clinical outcomes among critically ill patients with sepsis: a retrospective study.

The aim of this study was to examine the prognostic significance of serum albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) in critically ill patients with sepsis. This retrospective study analyzed sepsis cases admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangsu University between January 2015 and November 2023. The patients were divided into four groups based on their ACR upon admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). Laboratory data were collected at the time of ICU admission, and the primary outcome measure was in-hospital all-cause mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were generated to illustrate the differences in 30-/60-day mortality among the various groups. Multivariate Cox regression models and restricted cubic splines (RCS) were utilized to explore the association between ACR and all-cause mortality in sepsis patients. Subgroup analyses were conducted to examine the impact of other covariates on the relationship between ACR and all-cause mortality. A total of 1,123 eligible patients were included in the study, with a median ACR of 0.169. The in-hospital mortality rate was 33.7%, the ICU mortality rate was 31.9%, and the 30-day mortality rate was 28.1%. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated that patients with higher ACR had a significantly lower risk of 30-/60-day mortality (log-rank p < 0.001). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analyses revealed that ACR was an independent predictor of in-hospital death (HR: 0.454, 95% CI 0.271-0.761, p = 0.003), ICU death (HR: 0.498, 95% CI 0.293-0.847, p = 0.010), and 30-day death (HR: 0.399, 95% CI 0.218-0.730, p = 0.003). For each 1-unit increase in ACR, there was a 1.203-fold decrease in the risk of death during the hospital stay. The RCS curve illustrated a non-linear negative correlation between ACR and in-hospital mortality (p for non-linear =0.018), ICU mortality (p for non-linear =0.005), and 30-day mortality (p for non-linear =0.006). Sensitivity analysis indicated consistent effect sizes and directions in different subgroups, confirming the stability of the results. Low ACR levels were identified as independent risk factors associated with increased in-hospital, ICU, and 30-day mortality in sepsis patients. ACR can serve as a significant predictor of the clinical outcome of sepsis.

High serum growth differentiation factor 15 is a risk factor for the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitisB patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogs.

Patients with chronic hepatitisB (CHB) remain at risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) even with nucleos(t)ide analog therapy. We evaluated risk factors for HCC development, including serum hepatitisB virus (HBV) RNA, hepatitis B core-related antigen level, and growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) level, a predictor of HCC development in patients with chronic hepatitisC. We collected clinical data and stored serum from CHB patients without a history of HCC who were receiving nucleos(t)ide analog treatment for more than 1year and whose HBV DNA level was less than 3.0 log IU/mL. We measured the serum levels of HBV RNA and GDF15. Among 242 CHB patients, 57 had detectable HBV RNA, and GDF15 was quantified in all patients. The median GDF15 level was 0.86ng/mL. Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that male sex and higher GDF15, FIB-4 index, alpha-fetoprotein and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase were independent risk factors for HCC. The presence of HBV RNA above the lower limit of quantification was not a risk factor. When we set cutoff values based on the Youden index, the cumulative incidence of HCC was significantly higher in the male, AFP ≥3.0ng/mL, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase ≥22U/L, FIB-4 index≥1.93, and GDF-15≥1.17ng/mL groups. In patients with no or more than three of these five risk factors, the 10-year HCC cumulative incidence rates were 0% and 41.0%, respectively. High serum GDF15 is an independent risk factor for the occurrence of HCC in CHB patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogs.

Predicting the Time to Relapse Following Withdrawal from Different Biologics in Patients with Psoriasis who Responded to Therapy: A 12-Year Multicenter Cohort Study.

For patients with psoriasis, discontinuation of biologics following remission has become more common in daily practice. We aimed to identify predictors and construct a predictive model for time to relapse following withdrawal from biologics. This 12-year, multicenter, observational cohort study was performed in six dermatology centers between February 2011 and February 2024. We identified biological treatment episodes in patients with moderate-to-severe psoriasis and included only treatment episodes in which a clinical response (≥50% reduction in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score [PASI 50] from baseline) was achieved and the patient withdrew from biological therapy with a well-controlled status (PASI <10 and ≥50% improvement in PASI from baseline). The primary outcome was time to relapse, which was defined as the period from the last biologic administration to relapse. An extended multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis (Prentice-Williams-Peterson Gap time model) was used to predict relapse and generate a predictive model. This study screened 1613 biological treatment episodes, and 991 treatment episodes were enrolled. The time to relapse decreased significantly as the number of previous withdrawals from biological treatment increased (p < 0.001). Similarly, the time to relapse decreased significantly as the number of previous biologics used increased (p < 0.001). The maximum PASI improvement during biological treatment decreased and the PASI score at withdrawal of biological treatment increased in parallel as the number of prior withdrawals from biologics increased. The time to relapse following withdrawal was longest for interleukin (IL)-23 inhibitors (IL-23i), followed by the IL-12/23i, IL-17 inhibitors (IL-17i), and tumor necrosis factor-α inhibitors. After adjustment, multivariate Cox regression identified the following significant predictors of relapse following withdrawal: the mechanisms of action of biologics (hazard ratio [HR] for IL-17i vs IL-12/23i, 1.59; HR for IL-23i vs IL-12/23i, 0.60), number of previous withdrawals from biological treatment (HR 1.23; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13‒1.33), time to achieve PASI 50 (HR 1.01; 95% CI 1.00‒1.02), maximum PASI improvement on biologics (HR 0.98; 95% CI 0.98‒0.99), and PASI at the end of therapy (HR 1.03; 95% CI 1.01‒1.05). The model had good predictive and discriminative ability. These results have the potential to help physicians and patients make individualized treatment decisions; information on the risk of relapse of psoriasis at specific timepoints following the withdrawal of biologics is particularly valuable for patients considering discontinuation of biologics or as-needed biologic therapy. However, the benefit and risk of repeated withdrawals of biologics should be carefully weighed, as the treatment efficacy and duration of remission decline as the number of withdrawals increases.

Motor function is associated with cerebral small vessel disease and can predict mortality and poor functional outcome.

Primary outcome of this study is to elucidate the predictive role of subtle motor impairment evaluated using the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS) Part III on mortality and functional outcome. Secondary outcome is to evaluate the association of motor impairment with small vessel disease (SVD) severity. We derived data from a Japanese cohort of patients with evidence of SVD who were enrolled from 2015 to 2019, and followed until 2023. The present study included 586 participants who agreed for UPDRS Part III evaluation. The severity of white matter hyperintensities (WMH) and the presence of lacunes were evaluated. Cox proportional hazard models and multiple logistic regression analysis were used to examine the association between UPDRS Part III score, and all-cause death and functional outcome defined by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score at last visit, respectively. The median age was 71 years, and the median UPDRS Part III score was 2. The UPDRS Part III score was associated with the severity of WMH (r=0.225, P&lt;0.001) and the number (0, 1, &gt;2) of lacunes (P&lt;0.001). During a mean follow-up period of 4.8 years, 29 patients died. The Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that high UPDRS Part III scores (&gt;5) were associated with higher risk of all-cause death compared to low (score 0) and middle (score 1-4) scores (adjusted hazard ratio 3.04; 95% confidence interval, 1.50-7.34, P=0.005). In multivariate logistic analysis, high UPDRS Part III scores were associated with poor functional outcome (mRS of 3 or more) compared with low and middle scores after adjusting for confounding factors (adjusted odds ratio 1.86; 95% confidence interval 1.02-3.41, P=0.043). Subtle motor impairment was associated with the severity of WMH and numbers of lacunes, and could predict mortality and poor functional outcome independently of vascular risk factors and severity of WMH and lacunes.

Early and Late Surgery-Free Rates of Conservative Management Strategy for Thrombosed Type A Acute Aortic Dissection and Acute Intramural Hematoma.

Background: We have employed a conservative management approach, including intensive control of both blood pressure and heart rate, in patients with aortic intramural hematoma (AIMH) and retrograde thrombosed type A acute aortic dissection (RT-TAAAD), sharing common clinical and imaging characteristics. Methods: To evaluate the outcomes of our conservative management approach, we retrospectively reviewed the clinical records of 98 patients diagnosed with AIMH or RT-TAAAD from January 2008 to March 2023. A conservative management approach was applied, except for those patients with an aortic diameter ≥ 55 mm, false lumen expansion, or cardiac tamponade, who underwent emergency aortic repair. Results: Besides 2 patients, who declined surgery and subsequently died from aortic rupture, 18 patients underwent urgent aortic surgery, while 78 did not. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified the extrusion type of ulcer-like projections (ULPs) on admission and a maximum aortic diameter ≥ 45 mm on Day 1 as risk factors for acute aortic surgery. Among the 78 patients who were discharged, 9 (12%) underwent aortic surgery, while 69 (88%) did not, with a median follow-up of 44 months. The overall actuarial aortic surgery-free rates were 78% at 1 year and 72% at 5 years, respectively. A Cox proportional hazards analysis identified ULPs and an aortic diameter ≥ 45 mm at discharge as risk factors for late aortic surgery. Conclusions: The early and late outcomes of our conservative strategy for AIMH and RT-TAAAD demonstrate favorable surgery-free rates. The extrusion type of ULPs on admission and an aortic diameter ≥ 45 mm on Day 1 are predictors of acute aortic surgery, while ULPs and an aortic diameter ≥ 45 mm at discharge are predictors of late surgery.

Risk Factors for Glaucoma and Ocular Hypertension and Post-Transplant Complications in Keratoconus: A Multivariable Analysis.

Background: The purpose of this study was to investigate the risk factors for glaucoma in patients with keratoconus following keratoplasty and to identify potential factors that could affect post-transplant complications. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on the medical records of 192 keratoconus patients who underwent keratoplasty. Data on treatment history, perioperative information, tissue bank data, postoperative regimens, complications, and infections were collected and analyzed. Statistical analysis was performed to identify risk factors associated with glaucoma and transplant complications. Results: There was a 41.6% incidence of glaucoma (high IOP) (p < 0.001), with the median time to glaucoma development being 314 ± 67 days post-transplant. A significant number of patients required surgical intervention, accounting for 48.05%. Our analysis revealed a 14% graft failure rate. On univariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, the following factors demonstrated statistically significant associations with the risk of glaucoma after transplantation: donor endothelial cell density, the use of a single continuous suture type, and the surgeon (performing the surgery). For many variables, the only factor that remained significant was the surgeon. Among the factors analyzed for risks of failure post-transplantation, significant associations were observed for the donor age, the time from harvest to transplant, and the surgeon. In the multivariable analysis, donor age emerged as a significant predictor of post-transplant complications. Conclusions: Risk factors such as donor endothelial cell density, suture type, surgeon, host and donor size, and host gender were found to increase the risk of developing glaucoma post-keratoplasty. Surgeon type was identified as a significant risk factor, while donor age was predictive of post-transplant complications.

Effect of the geometry and severity of left ventricular hypertrophy on cardiovascular mortality in dialysis patients.

Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is a vital risk factor for mortality of dialysis patients. The association of the geometry and severity of LVH with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients remains unknown. This study investigated clinical outcomes among HD patients with different LVH geometric patterns and severity. The monocentric retrospective cohort study enrolled chronic HD patients who underwent echocardiography for the assessment of LVH. The patients with LVH were divided into concentric and eccentric groups and then subdivided into four groups based on LVH severity: mild-to-moderate eccentric, mild-to-moderate concentric, severe eccentric, and severe concentric LVH. The risks of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality between groups were evaluated using Cox proportional hazard analysis. Of the 237 patients on HD with LVH, 131 had concentric LVH, and 106 had eccentric LVH, with 33, 44, 73, and 87 having mild-to-moderate eccentric, mild-to-moderate concentric, severe eccentric, and severe concentric LVH, respectively. Compared with eccentric LVH, the crude hazard ratio (cHR) of cardiovascular mortality of concentric LVH was 2.03 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13-3.65). Severe concentric LVH was a significant risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality compared with mild-to-moderate eccentric LVH (cHR: 2.58 [95% CI, 1.00-6.65] and 3.73 [95% CI, 1.13-12.33], respectively). After adjustment for all variables, concentric LVH and severe concentric LVH remained significant risk factors for cardiovascular mortality (adjusted HR: 2.13 [95% CI, 1.13-4.01] and 3.71 [95% CI, 1.07-12.82], respectively). Concentric LVH, especially severe concentric LVH, was associated with a high risk of cardiovascular mortality among patients with chronic HD.

Waitlist and transplant outcomes in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and autoimmune hepatitis.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), in the context of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) among liver transplantation (LT) candidates or recipients remains poorly understood. This study compares waitlist and post-LT outcomes in patients with MASLD/AIH to MASLD and AIH alone. Using the united network organ sharing database (2002-2022), we compared waitlist outcomes and post-LT survival among patients with MASLD/AIH (n = 282), AIH (n = 5812), and MASLD (n = 33 331). Competing risk, Kaplan Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazard analyses were performed. MASLD/AIH group had the highest rates of encephalopathy and ascites, and highest MELD scores. MASLD/AIH patients had higher transplantation incidence (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] 1.64, 95% CI 1.44-1.85; p < .001) and lower waitlist removal risk (aSHR .30, 95% CI .20-.44; p < .001) compared to MASLD alone. One-year post-LT survival favoured MASLD compared to AIH (patient: 92% vs. 91%, p < .001; graft: 89% vs. 88%, p < .001) and MASLD/AIH (patient: 92% vs. 90%, p = .008; graft: 89% vs. 88%, p = .023). Recipients with MASLD/AIH showed no significant difference in survival at 10-year post-LT compared to MASLD (patient: 63% vs. 61%, p = .68; graft 60% vs. 59%, p = .83) and AIH (patient: 63% vs. 70%, p = .07; graft: 60% vs. 64%, p = .42). Our study showed that MASLD/AIH patients demonstrate higher LT incidence and lower dropout rates. Long-term post-LT outcomes did not significantly differ between groups. Further prospective multicenter studies are needed to validate these findings.

Ultrasound-measured quadriceps thickness and mortality in older patients with heart failure

BackgroundUltrasound may be helpful for muscle mass assessment in heart failure (HF). We aimed to determine the feasibility and prognostic implications of ultrasound-measured quadriceps muscle thickness (QMT) in older patients with HF. MethodsThis was a post-hoc analysis of a multicenter prospective cohort study including patients hospitalized for HF aged ≥ 65 years. QMT at rest and during isometric contractions was measured in the supine position using ultrasound before discharge. ResultsThe interobserver agreement for measuring QMT was excellent, with intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) of 0.979 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.963–0.988) at rest and 0.997 (95% CI 0.994–0.998) during isometric contraction. The intra-observer reproducibility was also excellent (ICC >0.92). Of the 595 patients (median age: 81 years, 56% male), median QMT at rest and during contraction were 18.9 mm and 24.9 mm, respectively. The patients were grouped according to sex-specific tertiles of height-adjusted QMT. During the median follow-up of 735 days, 157 deaths occurred, and Kaplan–Meier curve analysis showed that the lowest tertile of the height-adjusted QMT was associated with higher mortality. Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that thinner height-adjusted QMT was independently associated with higher mortality, even after adjusting for conventional risk factors (per 1 mm/m increase: hazard ratio [HR] 0.94, 95% CI 0.89–0.99, P=0.030 [at rest] and HR 0.94, 95% CI 0.90–0.99, P=0.015 [during isometric contraction]). ConclusionsUltrasound-measured QMT in older patients with HF is feasible, and thinner height-adjusted QMT at rest and during isometric contraction was independently associated with higher mortality.

Arterial stiffness is associated with new-onset chronic kidney disease.

Background: A potential independent association between arterial stiffness (AS) and the development of new-onset chronic kidney disease (CKD) has not been thoroughly examined. Patients and methods: A total of 6929 participants were collected from the Kailuan study. All participants were free of CKD at the baseline. The participants were divided into four groups based on their brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) values. Cox regression models were used to analyze the relationship between baPWV values and the risk of new-onset CKD. Results: Over the course of a 10.06-year follow-up period, a total of 962 cases of new-onset CKD were documented. Cox proportional hazards analyses showed that a higher baPWV quartile was linked to an increased risk of new-onset CKD. Conclusions: Brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity has a strong correlation with the development of new-onset CKD. Therefore, baPWV can be considered an innovative indicator for predicting the occurrence of new-onset CKD.

Remnant cholesterol is superior to other lipid-related parameters for the prediction of cardiometabolic disease risk in individuals with hypertension: The Kailuan study

BackgroundIt is uncertain which lipid-related parameter is most suitable for predicting the risk of cardiometabolic disease (CMD) in individuals with hypertension. AimsTo explore which lipid-related parameter is most suitable for predicting the risk of CMD. Methods and resultsWe studied 30,378 patients with hypertension who completed the 2006–2007 Kailuan health examination and followed up until December 31, 2021. In the constructed model, the utilities of lipid-related parameters for the prediction of CMD were compared using the C-index, NRI, and IDI. The best predictor (remnant cholesterol, RC) was identified and the participants were grouped according to RC quartile. Cox proportional hazard analysis was then used to evaluate the relationship between RC and the risk of CMD. During a median follow-up period of 14.7 years (IQR 5.3–15.1), 9502 (31.27 %) participants with hypertension developed CMD. The C-index, NRI, and IDI values for RC were higher than those for the other lipid parameters. After adjustment for multiple potential confounding factors, compared with the quartile (Q)1 RC group, the adjusted hazard ratios for CMD of the Q2–Q4 groups were 1.09 (1.03–1.16), 1.17 (1.11–1.24), and 1.25 (1.18–1.33) (P < 0.0001). Restrictive cubic spline analysis revealed dose-dependent relationships of lipid parameters with the risk of CMD. ConclusionsRC is superior to other lipid parameters for the prediction of the risk of CMD in individuals with hypertension. As the concentration of RC increases, the risk of CMD in such individuals also increases.

Congenital hypothyroidism and risk of subsequent autism spectrum disorder and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder in Taiwan.

Evidence suggests an association between maternal hypothyroidism and risk of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) or autism spectrum disorder (ASD) in offspring. We examined the risk of ASD and ADHD in individuals with congenital hypothyroidism (CHT). A nationwide population-based cohort study enrolled a total of 1260 children younger than 12 years with a confirmed diagnosis of CHT and no prior diagnosis of any neurodevelopmental disorders, selected from the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan between 1998 to 2013. In addition, 12,600 controls matched for sex, age, and residence were selected. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to investigate the association among CHT, ASD, and ADHD. Children with CHT were associated with a higher incidence of ASD (7.1‰ vs 1.3‰, P < 0.001) and ADHD (39.7‰ vs 18.7‰, P < 0.001) than the control group. Cox regression analyses demonstrated that children with CHT were associated with elevated risks of ASD (hazard ratio [HR], 4.72 [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.08-10.70]) and ADHD (HR, 2.03 [95% CI, 1.49-2.77]), after adjusting for demographic data and family history of major psychiatric disorders, compared with the control group. Children with CHT were associated with approximately a two-fold increased risk of ADHD and a four-fold increased risk of ASD than the control group. Our study highlights the need for future research to elucidate the potential pathophysiology among CHD, ASD, and ADHD.

Slow Gait Speed Predicts Incident Dementia, Mortality, and Long-Term Functional Outcome in Cerebral Small-Vessel Disease.

Gait impairment is observed in patients with small vessel disease (SVD); however, the association between gait function and long-term outcome remains unclear. This study aimed to clarify the predictive value of gait function on incident dementia, survival and functional outcome. Data were derived from a Japanese cohort of patients with SVD. This study included 522 participants who underwent 3-m timed up and go test (TUG), and gait speed, TUG time, was divided into tertiles. Magnetic resonance imaging was used to evaluate severity of white matter hyperintensities, lacunes, and medial temporal atrophy. Primary outcome was dementia. All-cause death and functional outcome by modified Rankin scale at the last visit was also evaluated. The median age was 71 years, and median TUG time was 9.91 s. During follow-up period of 4.8 years, 32 cases of dementia occurred. Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that slow gait speed (TUG time > 10.88 s) was associated with a significantly higher risk of incident dementia than fast (TUG time < 9.03) and middle (TUG time, 9.04-10.87 s) speeds after adjusting risk factors, Mini-Mental State Examination, SVD severity and brain atrophy (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-6.42, p = 0.022). Slow speed was also associated with mortality and poor functional outcome compared with other speeds (adjusted odds ratio, 4.19; 95% confidence interval 1.92-9.18, p < 0.001). Gait function was associated with incident dementia, mortality and poor functional outcome independently of cognitive function, brain atrophy, and SVD severity.

Impact of Cardio-Ankle Vascular Index on Future Cancer in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease.

Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with increased risk of future cancer. However, the relationship between quantitative parameters of atherosclerosis and future cancer risk is unclear. A total of 1,057 consecutive patients with coronary artery disease was divided into 2 groups according to the cutoff value of the cardio-ankle vascular index (CAVI) derived by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis: low CAVI group (CAVI <8.82; n=487), and high CAVI group (CAVI ≥8.82; n=570). Patients in the high CAVI group were older and had a higher prevalence of diabetes, chronic kidney disease, anemia and history of stroke compared with patients in the low CAVI group. There were 141 new cancers during the follow-up period. The cumulative incidence of new cancer was significantly higher in the high CAVI group than in the low CAVI group (P=0.001). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, high CAVI was found to be an independent predictor of new cancer diagnosis (hazard ratio 1.62; 95% confidence interval 1.11-2.36; P=0.012). In the analysis of individual cancer types, high CAVI was associated with lung cancer (hazard ratio 2.85; 95% confidence interval 1.01-8.07; P=0.049). High CAVI was associated with the risk of future cancer in patients with coronary artery disease.

Differences in disease characteristics and treatment exposures between paediatric and adult-onset inflammatory bowel disease using a registry-based cohort.

Previous studies highlighted a more extensive phenotype for paediatric-onset than adult-onset inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). However, most lacked long-term follow-up, and some were conducted before the era of biologics. The aim of this study is to compare disease characteristics and treatment exposures between paediatric-onset and adult-onset IBD. From a registry that periodically and uniformly retrieves demographics, disease characteristics/phenotype, and treatments, we compared the characteristics of paediatric-onset (diagnosed at ≥6 and <18 years) and adult-onset IBD, diagnosed during 2000-2022 and with ≥12 months follow-up. Of the 2837 patients with Crohn's disease and 1332 with ulcerative colitis, 3316 had adult-onset and 853 paediatric-onset IBD. The median follow-up was 6 years. Patients with paediatric-onset presented with more extensive disease and received more intensified therapies, including biologics and JAK inhibitors than those with adult-onset IBD. Paediatric-onset ulcerative colitis showed a higher prevalence of E3 extensive colitis including pancolitis and a greater requirement for systemic steroids, immunomodulators, and biologics than adult-onset ulcerative colitis. Paediatric-onset versus adult-onset Crohn's disease exhibited greater L3 ileocolonic involvement and perianal disease phenotype, and higher exposure to immunomodulators and biologics. Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox proportional hazards analyses showed significantly lower 15-year biologic-free survival from diagnosis among those with paediatric-onset IBD than with adult-onset IBD (p = <0.001), indicating greater and earlier use of biologics in the former. Paediatric-onset presents with more extensive disease with higher exposures to immunomodulators and biologic therapies than adult-onset IBD.

Patency and factors related to patency after percutaneous transluminal angioplasty for inflow arterial stenosis in native arteriovenous fistula dysfunction: a single-center retrospective study

Controversy still exists regarding how much the inflow arterial percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) contributed to maintaining fistula function for hemodialysis. We aimed to analyze patency and risk factors after inflow arterial PTA. Hemodialysis patients with inflow arterial primary stenosis who were admitted to our institution from January 2017 to December 2022 were examined. One group had arterial-venous fistula with inflow artery stenosis alone (AVF + iAS) and another group had AVF with inflow artery stenosis and any vein stenosis (AVF + iAS + VS). The characteristics of patients, stenotic lesions, and PTA procedures were recorded. Kaplan–Meier analysis was used to compare primary patency, assisted primary patency, and secondary patency in the two groups. Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to identify risk factors associated with patency. We examined 213 patients, 53 in the AVF + iAS group (51 radial arterial stenosis and 2 ulnar arterial stenosis) and 160 in the AVF + iAS + VS group (159 radial arterial stenosis and 1 ulnar arterial stenosis). Kaplan–Meier analysis indicated the AVF + iAS group had better primary patency and assisted primary patency (both P < 0.05), but the groups had similar secondary patency. Cox proportional hazard analysis indicated that none of the analyzed clinical and biochemical indexes had clinically meaningful effects on primary patency, assisted primary patency, or secondary patency in either group. The patency and safety after PTA for inflow arterial stenosis were satisfactory, and none of the examined risk factors had a major clinical impact on patency. We recommend PTA as treatment for inflow stenosis of an AVF.

Associations between different insulin resistance indices and the risk of all-cause mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients

BackgroundInsulin resistance (IR) is prevalent in individuals undergoing peritoneal dialysis (PD) and is related to increased susceptibility to coronary artery disease and initial peritonitis. In recent investigations, correlations have been found between indices of IR and the incidence of all-cause mortality in various populations. However, such correlations have not been detected among individuals undergoing PD. Hence, the present study’s aim was to explore the connections between IR indices and the incidence of all-cause mortality in PD patients.MethodsPeritoneal dialysis patients (n = 1736) were recruited from multiple PD centres between January 2010 and December 2021. Cox proportional hazards and restricted cubic spline regression models were used to evaluate the connections between the triglyceride–glucose (TyG) index, triglyceride–glucose/body mass index (TyG–BMI), and triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio and the occurrence of all-cause mortality. All three IR indices were integrated into the same model to assess the predictive stability. Furthermore, a forest plot was employed to display the findings of the subgroup analysis of PD patients.ResultsOverall, 378 mortality events were recorded during a median follow-up time of 2098 days. Among PD patients, a higher TyG index, TyG–BMI, and TG/HDL-C ratio were identified as independent risk factors for all-cause mortality according to Cox proportional hazards analyses (hazard ratio (HR) 1.588, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.261–2.000; HR 1.428, 95% CI 1.067–1.910; HR 1.431, 95% CI 1.105–1.853, respectively). In a model integrating the three IR indices, the TyG index showed the highest predictive stability. According to the forest plot for the TyG index, no significant interactions were observed among the subgroups.ConclusionSignificant associations were found between the TyG index, TyG–BMI, and TG/HDL-C ratio and the incidence of all-cause mortality among PD patients. The TyG index may be the most stable of the three surrogate IR markers. Finally, a correlation was identified between IR and the risk of all-cause mortality in patients undergoing PD.