<p class="MsoBlockText" style="margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt;"><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">This study serves two purposes.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>First, it demonstrates a method of estimating and projecting annual poverty at sub-national levels.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>Data are obtained from decennial censuses to form the benchmarks from which poverty is estimated and projected for various demographic groups.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>Projections are based upon historical curvilinear trends for each group.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>The methodology can be easily applied in a variety of jurisdictional settings and levels.</span></span></span></p><p class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="text-indent: 0in; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 9pt; mso-bidi-font-style: italic;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">&nbsp;</span></span></p><p class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="text-indent: 0in; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt;"><span style="mso-bidi-font-style: italic;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">The second objective is to provide a specific portrait of poverty by demographic group within the County of Sacramento in the State of California.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>The evidence indicates that, by the end of the decade, the County poverty rate will rise to 16% and the number of poor persons will expand to 216 thousand.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">&nbsp; </span>There will be large differences among the various demographic groups in their rates of change.</span></span></span></p>