BackgroundDifferent individuals with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) exhibit substantial heterogeneity in histomorphology, genetic alterations in the proteome, immune cell infiltration patterns, and clinical behavior. ObjectivesThis study aims to use single-nucleus sequencing on ten samples (four normal, three clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC), and three chromophobe renal cell carcinoma (chRCC)) to uncover pathogenic origins and prognostic characteristics in patients with RCC. MethodsBy using two algorithms, inferCNV and k-means, the study explores malignant cells and compares them with the normal group to reveal their origins. Furthermore, we explore the pathogenic factors at the gene level through Summary-data-based Mendelian Randomization and co-localization methods. Based on the relevant malignant markers, a total of 212 machine-learning combinations were compared to develop a prognostic signature with high precision and stability. Finally, the study correlates with clinical data to investigate which cell subtypes may impact patients’ prognosis. Results & conclusionTwo main origin tumor cells were identified: Proximal tubule cell B and Intercalated cell type A, which were highly differentiated in epithelial cells, and three gene loci were determined as potential pathogenic genes. The best malignant signature among the 212 prognostic models demonstrated high predictive power in ccRCC: (AUC: 0.920 (1-year), 0.920 (3-year) and 0.930 (5-year) in the training dataset; 0.756 (1-year), 0.828 (3-year), and 0.832 (5-year) in the testing dataset. In addition, we confirmed that LYVE1+ tissue-resident macrophage and TOX+ CD8 significantly impact the prognosis of ccRCC patients, while monocytes play a crucial role in the prognosis of chRCC patients.