564 SEER, 83, 3, 2005 Colton, Tomothy J. and MeFaul, Michael. PopularChoiceand Managed Democracy: 7The RussianElections of I999 and2000. Brookings Institution Press, Washington D.C., 2003. x + 3I7 pp. Tables. Appendices. Notes. Index. $22.95: ?4I6.50 (paperback). THIs book setsitselfambitiousgoals, seekingto deal with the I999 Duma and 2000 Presidential elections in a comprehensive way by considering how politicalpartiesand candidatesrantheircampaigns,how the media magnified or ignored them, and how Russianpublic opinion received and respondedto their messages. The authors work with a wide variety of sources, including partypublications,interviewsand media reportsand, extensively,they utilize a unique set of public opinion surveys of Russians that includes a panel of respondentsinterviewedover the course of the two primaryelections, as well as re-interviewswith respondentsfrom election studiesconducted in the midI990S . The panel studies are put to excellent use at times, particularlyin the convincing individual-levelanalysisof voter volatility,the extent of which has been somewhat obscured to researchersby relatively greater stability over time in aggregate-levelpartysupport. The book has several bridging objectives. First, in line with its spread of source materials, it has the self-conscious aim to integratejournalistic and scholarly (by which they seem mainly to mean quantitative) methods of investigation (p. I2). Second, it seeks to 'transport us from understanding voters at the micro level to understandingthe elections at the macro level, which was our principal target in undertaking the project' (p. I99). Third, the evidence presentedin the book points the authorstowardsa political label for Russia -the 'manageddemocracy'of the book'stitle- that theybelieve has programmatic importance for US policy makers and, presumably, for democratsaround the world who are tryingto understandRussianpolitics in the Putinera. The book's laudable bridging objectives, however, also constitute its most serious weaknesses. 'Managed democracy' may have been a reasonable descriptionof the state of affairsin Russia and a politicallyusefulterm in the corridorsof power in Washington,but it is not a term with any comparative value in scholarlypoliticalscience. In each of the chapterson the main parties and presidentialcandidates, readerswill be confrontedby a large number of simple descriptivestatisticsabout the social and attitudinalcharacteristicsof their supporters.The desire to simplify the statisticalpresentation is understandable for a general audience, particularly given the authors' desire to advance theirpolitical message. But the relegation of the real analyticalmeat that sustains the main conclusions in the text to a brief and inadequately explained appendix is a seriousflaw in the book for the simplereason that the scholarly statistical analysis does not in fact sustain many of their main conclusions. Putin wins, the authors conclude, because he 'tapped into the desire of so many Russians to avoid having to make [... .] wrenching choices [between democracy and growth and the strong state], as opposed to opting unreservedlyfor democracy or choosing autocracy' (p. 222). Readers should look at the profileof Putinvoters in Appendix B, TablesBi-B4 (pp. 237-39). (NB, REVIEWS 565 table B4 contains an errorin the presentationof stanceson issue opinions for Putin and Ziuganov supporters positive and negative signs need to be switchedin both cases.)They will see that Putinwas supportedby people who think more highly of how the country is going economically and democratically , by people with stronger democratic ideals, and by people who are less likelyto support strong and delegative leaders bringing order than either supportersof Ziuganov or the supposedlyliberal Iavlinskii.(My own analysis of Putin'ssupportersusingothersurveydatabroadlyconfirmsthis.) The disconnection between the anti-democratic characteristicsof Putin's policies and the ideological characteristicsof his supporters which is a real and pressing question for research is not resolved in the book and one is leftwondering, therefore,what the addedvalue was in the huge investmentby the authorsin surveys.Takeawaythe quantitativeanalysisand one isleftwith thejournalistic side of the story,which is frequentlyexcellent and, of course, theauthors'politicalmessage.But,asan academicwho takessurveysseriously, I would have preferredmore serioussurveyscholarship.As an avid readerof newspapers,I wondered whether asjournalism the book is notjust a little bit late. And Putin'smore recentpolitical actionssuggestthat, as a politicalterm, 'manageddemocracy'might be past its sell-bydate in 2005. Department ofPoliticsandInternational Relations STEPHEN WHITEFIELD andPembroke College, Oxford University ...
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