Coronal Holes Research Articles

SWAN: A multihead autoregressive attention model for solar wind speed forecasting

High speed streams of solar wind can impact Earth’s magnetic environment. Current state of the art geomagnetic effect forecasting methods can predict perturbations up to two hours in advance by using solar wind measurements made in the L1 Lagrange point. By forecasting these solar wind parameters, it should be possible to extend the time range for which said methods can be used.We present Solar Wind Attention Network (SWAN), an attention-based autoregressive model for the forecasting of daily average bulk speed values. We apply a novel automatic design method to create its architecture by developing a pipeline of hyperparameter optimization techniques as a proof of concept. Usage of this pipeline leads to a robust, reliable architecture which we empirically verify the convergence of in a variety of problem configurations regarding solar wind speed forecasting.An improvement in terms of root mean squared error (RMSE) is found when compared to WindNet and convolutional neural networks (CNNs) expanding it, even when SWAN does not incorporate images of the solar disk into the input. SWAN’s RMSE of 68.79 ± 1.05 km s−1 with a lead time of three days compares to RMSE values in the order of 80.28 ± 3.05, 76.30 ± 1.87 and 71.93 ± 0.40 km s−1. From these results, we discuss the possibility of incorporating both autoregressive and image information as input to enhance predictive capability of newly developed models. Furthermore, we analyze the resulting model’s behavior to characterize its main error sources, and find its performance to be at its best in scenarios not involving newly formed coronal holes or coronal mass ejections. It is found that this behavior matches well with a priori expectations derived from the underlying physics. Finally, we briefly discuss the need for an in-depth study of different evaluation metrics to provide a more thorough understanding of modeling results on the field.

Statistical investigation of decayless oscillations in small-scale coronal loops observed by Solar Orbiter/EUI

Decayless kink oscillations are omnipresent in the solar atmosphere, and they are a viable candidate for coronal heating. Although there have been extensive studies of decayless oscillations in coronal loops with lengths of a few hundred megameters, the properties of these oscillations in small-scale (∼10 mm) loops are yet to be explored. In this study, we present the properties of decayless oscillations in small loops embedded in the quiet corona and coronal holes. We use high-resolution observations from the Extreme Ultraviolet Imager on board Solar Orbiter with pixel scales of 210 km and a cadence of 5 s or better. We analysed 42 oscillations in coronal loops with loop lengths varying between 3 to 23 mm. The average displacement amplitude is found to be 134 km. The oscillations period has a range of 28 to 272 s, and the velocity amplitudes range from 2.1 to 16.4 km s−1. The variation in the loop length with the period does not indicate a significant correlation. The wave mode of these waves is uncertain, and standing waves are one possibility. Our results for the coronal seismology and energy flux estimates were obtained considering standing modes. The observed kink speeds are lower than those observed in active region coronal loops. We obtain an average magnetic field value of 2.1 G. We estimated the energy flux with a broad range of 0.6–313 W m−2. Moreover, we note that short-period decayless oscillations are not prevalent in the quiet Sun and coronal holes. Our study suggests that decayless oscillations in small-scale coronal loops are unlikely to provide enough energy to heat the quiet Sun and accelerate solar wind in coronal holes.

Origin and Properties of the Near-subsonic Solar Wind Observed by Parker Solar Probe

We identify and examine the solar wind intervals near the sonic critical point (i.e., M S ∼ 1) observed by the Parker Solar Probe. The near-subsonic wind intervals show similar properties: a low density, an extremely low velocity, a low proton temperature, and essentially no magnetic field deflections compared with the surrounding solar wind. The extremely low velocity is the primary contributor to the near crossing of the sonic critical point rather than the sound speed, which is roughly constant in these intervals. Source tracing with a potential-field source-surface model suggests that the near subsonic intervals all connect to the boundaries inside coronal holes. Heliospheric current sheet (HCS) and partial HCS crossings around the near subsonic intervals indicate that the near subsonic wind is a transition layer between the slow and fast winds. The above scenario is consistent with the nature of the near-subsonic wind as a low-Mach-number boundary layer, which facilitates the crossing of the sonic critical point at 15–20 R S . Moreover, we find a dependence of the amplitude of switchbacks on the radial sonic Mach number. Magnetic field deflections essentially disappear near the sonic critical point, which suggests that switchbacks originate from above the sonic critical point.

Spectroscopic Observations of the Solar Corona during the 2017 August 21 Total Solar Eclipse: Comparison of Spectral Line Widths and Doppler Shifts between Open and Closed Magnetic Structures

The spectroscopic observations presented here were acquired during the 2017 August 21 total solar eclipse (TSE) with a three-channel partially multiplexed imaging spectrometer operating at extremely high orders (>50). The 4 R ⊙ extent of the slit in the north–south direction scanned the corona starting from the central meridian out to approximately 1.0 R ⊙ off the east limb throughout totality. The line widths and Doppler shifts of the Fe x (637.4 nm) and Fe xiv (530.3 nm) emission lines, characteristic of 1.1 × 106 K and 1.8 × 106 K electron temperatures, respectively, varied across the different coronal structures intercepted by the slit. Fe xiv was the dominant emission in the closed fields of an active region and the base of a streamer, with relatively constant 20–30 km s−1 line widths independent of the height. In contrast, Fe x emission exhibited broader (>40 km s−1) line widths in open fields, which increased with height, in particular in the polar coronal hole. Inferences of line widths and Doppler shifts were consistent with extreme ultraviolet (EUV) observations from the Hinode/EUV Imaging Spectrograph, as well as with the near-infrared Fe xiii 1074 nm line observed by Coronal Multichannel Polarimeter. The differences in the spectral line widths between distinct coronal structures are interpreted as an indication of the predominance of wave heating in open structures versus localized heating in closed structures. This study underscores the unparalleled advantages and the enormous potential of TSE spectroscopy in measuring line widths simultaneously in open and closed fields at high altitudes, with minimal exposure times, stray light levels, and instrumental widths.

Identifying Coronal Sources of L1 Solar Wind Disturbances Using the Fisk Heliospheric Magnetic Field and Potential Field Extrapolations during Three Solar Minima

The solar minima between solar cycles 22–23, 23–24, and 24–25 are the best observed minima on record. In situ solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field measurements by the Wind and ACE spacecraft at L1 with 1 hr cadence are explored using wavelet analyses for the most quiescent year during each minimum. Times of local peaks in periodicities are identified in the solar wind velocity, magnetic field components, and proton number densities. The measured radial velocities at these times are used to trace magnetic field lines to the photosphere using two models. The first is the Fisk heliospheric magnetic field that traces field lines from L1 to the photosphere. They connect exclusively to solar poles and in 88% of instances to locations of polar coronal holes (PCHs). The second model uses the Parker spiral to trace from L1 to the solar source surface and potential-field extrapolations from the source surface to the photosphere. These field lines terminate at equatorial and midlatitude coordinates, of which some are located close to coronal holes (CHs). This study connects for the first time CH signatures in the ecliptic plane at L1 with PCHs using the Fisk field. It shows how sources from both the solar equator and poles influence the solar wind at L1 and how the two models complement each other to identify these sources.

Spatial Relationship between CMEs and Prominence Eruptions during SC 24 and SC 25

During their propagation, coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and prominences sometimes display a nonradial motion. During the years after the solar minimum, the CME central position angle tended to be offset closer to the equator compared to that of the associated prominence eruptions (PE). No such effect was observed during solar maximum. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the latitudinal offsets of CMEs with respect to their source regions. We study 256 events from SC 24 and SC 25, listed in the Coordinate Data Analysis Workshop Data Center. We analyzed the CMES radial offset from the associated PEs by comparing their latitudes in the plane of the sky. This work is an extension of the previous work by Gopalswamy et al., but with an independent data set. We have confirmed the systematic equatorward offset of CME from the solar source region for the rising phase of Solar Cycle 25. Our analysis of the relation between CME linear speed and PE-CME latitudinal offset indicated that the velocities of the deflected CMEs are mainly in the range of 200 and 800 km s−1. In this study, we compared the nonradial offsets for the rising and decay phases of SC 24 and our analysis has shown that during the decay phase more events deflected toward the pole can be observed. The observed variation is attributed to the presence of a substantial number of low-latitude coronal holes during the decay phase and to the influence from nearby active regions.

Resolved magnetohydrodynamic wave lensing in the solar corona

Electromagnetic wave lensing, a common physical phenomenon recognized in visible light for centuries, finds extensive applications in manipulating light in optical systems such as telescopes and cameras. Magnetohydrodynamic wave is a common perturbation phenomenon in the corona. By using high spatio-temporal resolution observations from the Solar Dynamics Observatory, here, we report the observation of a magnetohydrodynamic wave lensing in the highly ionized and magnetized coronal plasma, where quasi-periodic wavefronts emanated from a flare converged at a specific point after traversing a coronal hole. The entire process resembles an electromagnetic wave lensing from the source to the focus. Meanwhile, the magnetohydrodynamic wave lensing is well reproduced through a magnetohydrodynamic numerical simulation with full spatio-temporal resolution. We further investigate potential applications for coronal seismology, as the lensing process encodes information on the Alfvén speed, in conjunction with favorable geometric and density variations.

On the Origin of the Sudden Heliospheric Open Magnetic Flux Enhancement During the 2014 Pole Reversal

Coronal holes are recognized as the primary sources of heliospheric open magnetic flux (OMF). However, a noticeable gap exists between in situ measured OMF and that derived from remote-sensing observations of the Sun. In this study, we investigate the OMF evolution and its connection to solar structures throughout 2014, with special emphasis on the period from September to October, where a sudden and significant OMF increase was reported. By deriving the OMF evolution at 1 au, modeling it at the source surface, and analyzing solar photospheric data, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the observed phenomenon. First, we establish a strong correlation between the OMF increase and the solar magnetic field derived from a potential-field source-surface model (cc Pearson = 0.94). Moreover, we find a good correlation between the OMF and the open flux derived from solar coronal holes (cc Pearson = 0.88), although the coronal holes only contain 14%–32% of the Sun’s total open flux. However, we note that while the OMF evolution correlates with coronal hole open flux, there is no correlation with the coronal hole area evolution (cc Pearson = 0.0). The temporal increase in OMF correlates with the vanishing remnant magnetic field at the southern pole, caused by poleward flux circulations from the decay of numerous active regions months earlier. Additionally, our analysis suggests a potential link between the OMF enhancement and the concurrent emergence of the largest active region in solar cycle 24. In conclusion, our study provides insights into the strong increase in OMF observed during 2014 September–October.

Unveiling the journey of a highly inclined CME

Context. A fast (∼2000 km s−1) and wide (> 110°) coronal mass ejection (CME) erupted from the Sun on March 13, 2012. Its interplanetary counterpart was detected in situ two days later by STEREO-A and near-Earth spacecraft, such as ACE, Wind, and Cluster. We suggest that at 1 au the CME extended at least 110° in longitude, with Earth crossing its east flank and STEREO-A crossing its west flank. Despite their separation, measurements from both positions showed very similar in situ CME signatures. The solar source region where the CME erupted was surrounded by three coronal holes (CHs). Their locations with respect to the CME launch site were east (negative polarity), southwest (positive polarity) and west (positive polarity). The solar magnetic field polarity of the area covered by each CH matches that observed at 1 au in situ. Suprathermal electrons at each location showed mixed signatures with only some intervals presenting clear counterstreaming flows as the CME transits both locations. The strahl population coming from the shortest magnetic connection of the structure to the Sun showed more intensity. Aims. The aim of this work is to understand the propagation and evolution of the CME and its interaction with the surrounding CHs, to explain the similarities and differences between the observations at each spacecraft, and report what one of the most longitudinal expanded CME structures measured in situ would be. Methods. Known properties of the large-scale structures from a variety of catalogues and previous studies were used to have a better overview of this particular event. In addition, multipoint observations were used to reconstruct the 3D geometry of the CME and determine the context of the solar and heliospheric conditions before the CME eruption and during its propagation. The graduated cylindrical shell model (GCS) was used to reproduce the orientation, size and speed of the structure with a simple geometry. Also, the Drag-Based Model (DBM) was utilised to understand the conditions of the interplanetary medium better in terms of the drag undergone by the structure while propagating in different directions. Finally, a comparative analysis of the different regions of the structure through the different observatories was carried out in order to directly compare the in situ plasma and magnetic field properties at each location. Results. The study presents important findings regarding the in situ measured CME on March 15, 2012, detected at a longitudinal separation of 110° in the ecliptic plane despite its initial inclination being around 45° when erupted (March 13). This suggests that the CME may have deformed and/or rotated, allowing it to be observed near its legs with spacecraft at a separation angle greater than 100°. The CME structure interacted with high-speed streams generated by the surrounding CHs. The piled-up plasma in the sheath region exhibited an unexpected correlation in magnetic field strength despite the large separation in longitude. In situ observations reveal that at both locations there was a flank encounter – where the spacecraft crossed the first part of the CME – then encountered ambient solar wind, and finally passed near the legs of the structure. Conclusions. A scenario covering all evidence is proposed for both locations with a general view of the whole structure and solar wind conditions. Also, the study shows the necessity of having multipoint observations of large-scale structures in the heliosphere.

Prediction for Arrival Time and Parameters of Corotation Interaction Regions using Earth–Mars Correlated Events from Tianwen-1, MAVEN, and Wind Observations

Using the Stream Interaction Regions list from the Tianwen-1/Mars Orbiter Magnetometer (MOMAG) data between 2021 November and 2021 December and from Wind observations, we present an accurate prediction for the arrival time and in situ parameters of corotating interaction regions (CIRs) when the Earth and Mars have large longitudinal separations. Since CIRs were detected earlier at Earth than at Mars during the period examined, we employ Earth-based CIR detections for predicting CIR observations at Mars. The arrival time is calculated by the Parker spiral model under the assumption of steady corotation of the Sun and coronal holes, while the in situ parameters are derived from Wind data through radial dependent scaling laws. The CIR prediction results are compared to the actual observations obtained from the MOMAG and Mars Ion and Neutral Particle Analyzer instruments onboard Tianwen-1, as well as the Magnetometer and Solar Wind Ion Analyzer instruments onboard MAVEN. The predicted arrival time is close to the observed values with relative errors less than 10%, and the expected in situ data show a good consistency with the Martian measurements. The comparison results indicate that the prediction method has good performance and will be helpful for comparative analysis with Tianwen-1 observations at Mars in the future.

Ultra-relativistic Electron Acceleration during High-intensity Long-duration Continuous Auroral Electrojet Activity Events

Magnetospheric relativistic electrons are accelerated during substorms and strong convection events that occur during high-intensity long-duration continuous auroral electrojet activity (HILDCAA) events, associated with solar wind high-speed streams (coming from coronal holes). From an analysis of ∼2–20 MeV electrons at L ∼ 2–7 measured by the Van Allen Probe satellite, it is shown that ∼3.4–4.1 days long HILDCAA events are characterized by ∼7.2 MeV electron acceleration in the L ∼ 4.0–6.0 region, which occurs ∼2.9–3.4 days after the onset of HILDCAA. The dominant acceleration process is due to wave–particle interactions between magnetospheric electromagnetic chorus waves and substorm-injected ∼100 keV electrons. The longer the HILDCAA and chorus last, the higher the maximum energy of the accelerated relativistic electrons. The acceleration to higher and higher energies is due to a bootstrap mechanism.

Rotation Profiles of Coronal Bright Points Inside and Outside of Coronal Holes

Rotation Profiles of Coronal Bright Points Inside and Outside of Coronal Holes

Imaging spectroscopy of a spectral bump in a type II radio burst

Context. Observations of solar, type II radio bursts provide a unique opportunity to analyze the nonthermal electrons accelerated by coronal shocks and diagnose the plasma density distribution in the corona. However, there are very few high-frequency resolution interferometric observations of type II radio bursts that are capable of tracking these electrons. Aims. Recently, more spatially resolved high-resolution observations of type II radio bursts have been recorded with the Low-Frequency Array (LOFAR). Using these observations, we aim to track the location of a type II radio burst that experienced a sudden spectral bump. Methods. We present the first radio imaging observations of a type II burst with a spectral bump. We measured the variation in source location and frequency drift of the burst and deducted the density distribution along its propagation direction. Results. We have identified a type II burst that experiences a sudden spectral bump in its frequency-time profile. The overall frequency drift rate is 0.06 MHz s−1, and this corresponds to an estimated speed of 295 km s−1. The projected velocity of the radio source obtained from imaging is 380 km s−1 toward the east. At the spectral bump, a deviation in the source locations of the type II split bands is observed. The band separation increases significantly in the north–south direction. Conclusions. The spectral bump shows an 8 MHz deviation at 60 MHz, which corresponds to a 25% decrease in the plasma density. The estimated crossing distance during the spectrum bump was 29 mm, suggesting that this density variation occurs in a confined area. This indicates that the shock most likely encountered the upper extent of a coronal hole.

Asymmetry of the spectral lines of the coronal hole and quiet Sun in the transition region

ABSTRACT The asymmetry of line profiles, i.e. the secondary component, is crucial to understanding the energy release of coronal holes (CH), quiet Sun (QS), and bright points (BPs). We investigate the asymmetry of Si iv 1393.75 Å of the transition-region (TR) line recorded by Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS) and co-spatial-temporal Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) and Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) data onboard Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) for three time series on 2015 April 26, 2014 July 24, and 2014 July 26. Most asymmetric profiles are in the complex magnetic field regions of the networks. The asymmetric profiles are fitted with both single and double Gaussian models. The mean value of Doppler velocity of the second component is almost zero (with a significant standard deviation) in QS/CH, which may indicate that the physical process to trigger the secondary Gaussian originates at the formation height of Si iv. While the mean Doppler velocity from secondary Gaussian in BPs is around +4.0 km s−1 (redshifted). The non-thermal velocities of the secondary Gaussian in all three regions are slightly higher than the single Gaussian. The statistical investigation leads to the prevalence of blueshifted secondary components in QS/CH. However, secondary Gaussian in the BPs redshifted, i.e. the BPs redshift behaviour could be interpreted due to the site of reconnection located above the formation height of the Si iv line. The peak intensity of the second component for all three regions is likely to follow a power law that is a signature of the small-scale flaring-like trigger mechanism.

Proposed Resolution to the Solar Open Magnetic Flux Problem

The solar magnetic fields emerging from the photosphere into the chromosphere and corona are comprised of a combination of closed (field lines with both ends rooted at the Sun) and open (field lines with only one end at the Sun) fields. Since the early 2000s, the magnitude of total unsigned open magnetic flux estimated by coronal models has been in significant disagreement with in situ spacecraft observations, especially during solar maximum. Estimates of total open unsigned magnetic flux using coronal hole observations (e.g., using extreme ultraviolet or helium (He) I) are in general, in average agreement with the coronal model results and thus show similar disagreements with in situ observations. This paper provides a brief overview of the problem, summarizes the proposed explanations for the discrepancies, and presents results that strongly support the explanation that the discrepancy is due to dynamics at the open-closed boundary. These results are derived from the determination of the total unsigned open magnetic flux, utilizing the Wang–Sheeley–Arge model at a particular spatial resolution and different field-line tracing methods. One of these methods produces excellent agreement with in situ observations. Our results imply that strong magnetic fields in close proximity to active regions and residing near the boundaries of mid-latitude coronal holes are the primary source of the missing open flux. Furthermore, the results outlined here resolve many of the seemingly contradictory facts that have made the open-flux problem so difficult.

The Effect of Fast Solar Wind on Ion Distribution Downstream of Earth’s Bow Shock

The solar wind gets thermalized and compressed when crossing a planetary bow shock, forming the magnetosheath. The angle between the upstream magnetic field and the shock normal vector separates the quasi-parallel from the quasi-perpendicular magnetosheath, significantly influencing the physical conditions in these regions. A reliable classification between both magnetosheath regions is of utmost importance since different phenomena and physical processes take place on each. The complexity of this classification is increased due to the origin and variability of the solar wind. Using measurements from the Time History of Events and Macroscale Interactions during Substorms mission and OMNI data between 2008 and 2023, we demonstrate the importance of magnetosheath classification across various solar wind plasma origins. We focus on investigating the ion energy fluxes in the high-energy range for each solar wind type, which typically serves as an indicator for foreshock activity and thus separating the quasi-parallel from quasi-perpendicular magnetosheath. Dividing the data set into different regimes reveals that fast solar wind plasma originating from coronal holes causes exceptionally high-energy ion fluxes even in the quasi-perpendicular environment. This stands in stark contrast to all other solar wind types, highlighting that magnetosheath classification is inherently biased if not all types of solar wind are considered in the classification. Combining knowledge of solar wind origins and structures with shock and magnetosheath research thus contributes to an improved magnetosheath characterization. This is particularly valuable in big-data machine-learning applications within heliophysics, which requires clean and verified data sets for optimal performance.

Spatial resolution effects on the solar open flux estimates

Context. Spectropolarimetric observations used to infer the solar magnetic fields are obtained with a limited spatial resolution. The effects of this limited resolution on the inference of the open flux over the observed region have not been extensively studied. Aims. We aim to characterize the biases that arise in the inference of the mean flux density by performing an end-to-end study that involves the generation of synthetic data, its interpretation (inversion), and a comparison of the results with the original model. Methods. We synthesized polarized spectra of the two magnetically sensitive lines of neutral iron around 630 nm from a state-of-the-art numerical simulation of the solar photosphere. We then performed data degradation to simulate the effect of the telescope with a limited angular resolution and interpreted (inverted) the data using a Milne-Eddington spectropolarimetric inversion code. We then studied the dependence of the inferred parameters on the telescope resolution. Results. The results show a significant decrease in the mean magnetic flux density – related to the open flux observed at the disk center – with decreasing telescope resolution. The original net magnetic field flux is fully resolved by a 1m telescope, but a 20 cm aperture telescope yields a 30% smaller value. Even in the fully resolved case, the result is still biased due to the corrugation of the photospheric surface. Conclusions. Even the spatially averaged quantities, such as the open magnetic flux in the observed region, are underestimated when the magnetic structures are unresolved. The reason for this is the presence of nonlinearities in the magnetic field inference process. This effect might have implications for the modeling of large-scale solar magnetic fields; for example, those corresponding to the coronal holes, or the polar magnetic fields, which are relevant to our understanding of the solar cycle.

The Martian Ionospheric Response to the Co‐Rotating Interaction Region That Caused the Disappearing Solar Wind Event at Mars

AbstractAn unusually low density solar wind event was observed in December 2022 moving past both Earth and Mars. The source was traced back to a coronal hole and active region on the Sun's surface. The resulting solar wind lead to the development of a co‐rotating interaction region (CIR) and trailing rarefaction region that lasted for multiple solar rotations. Within this structure, the solar wind conditions, including density, velocity, and magnetic field magnitude and orientation drastically changed. In this study we analyze the response of the Martian ionosphere using MAVEN data to these changing solar wind conditions. The low density solar wind region associated with the December event resulted in the expansion of the Martian ionospheric boundaries. We show that the ion composition boundary (ICB) is located at extreme altitudes that are beyond previously observed locations from the MAVEN mission between 2015 and 2018. Furthermore, the boundary between shocked solar wind and the Martian ionosphere identified using electron and ion data moved together on the dayside of the planet with the changing solar wind conditions. However, at the flank region these boundaries do not move together, and we show here that the decoupling of the two boundaries may be the result of a change in the interplanetary magnetic field azimuthal angle.

Calculated brightness temperatures of solar structures compared with ALMA and Metsähovi measurements

AbstractThe Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) allows for solar observations in the wavelength range of 0.3–10 mm, giving us a new view of the chromosphere. The measured brightness temperature at various frequencies can be fitted with theoretical models of density and temperature versus height. We use the available ALMA and Metsähovi measurements of selected solar structures (quiet sun (QS), active regions (AR) devoid of sunspots, and coronal holes (CH)). The measured QS brightness temperature in the ALMA wavelength range agrees well with the predictions of the semiempirical Avrett–Tian–Landi–Curdt–Wülser (ATLCW) model, better than previous models such as the Avrett–Loeser (AL) or Fontenla–Avrett–Loeser model (FAL). We scaled the ATLCW model in density and temperature to fit the observations of the other structures. For ARs, the fitted models require 9%–13% higher electron densities and 9%–10% higher electron temperatures, consistent with expectations. The CH fitted models require electron densities 2%–40% lower than the QS level, while the predicted electron temperatures, although somewhat lower, do not deviate significantly from the QS model. Despite the limitations of the one‐dimensional ATLCW model, we confirm that this model and its appropriate adaptations are sufficient for describing the basic physical properties of the solar structures.

Forbush decreases and geomagnetic disturbances: 2. Comparison of solar cycles 23–24 and events with sudden and gradual onset

Statistical relationships between the values of geomagnetic indices and the characteristics of cosmic rays and interplanetary disturbances are studied for Forbush decreases with sudden and gradual onset associated with different types of solar sources: a) coronal mass ejections from active regions accompanied by solar flares; b) filament eruptions outside active regions; c) high-speed streams from coronal holes; d) several sources. Using statistical methods, the dependence of geomagnetic indices on cosmic ray and solar wind parameters for Forbush decreases in solar cycles 23 and 24 is also compared. The results obtained showed: a) interplanetary disturbances associated with coronal mass ejections from active regions cause mainly magnetic storms with a sudden onset; b) interplanetary disturbances associated with high-speed streams from coronal holes cause mainly storms with a gradual onset; c) interplanetary disturbances associated with filament eruptions outside active regions cause equally probable storms with a sudden and gradual onset. For sporadic Forbush decreases the values of cosmic ray and geomagnetic activity parameters are, on average, higher for events with a sudden onset; for recurrent Forbush decreases, the nature of the event onset does not affect the value of these parameters. For all types of solar sources the parameters of the disturbed solar wind are, on average, higher in events with a sudden onset. The geoefficiency of interplanetary disturbances is much higher in the 23rd cycle for events associated with ejections from active regions; for other types of disturbances, the difference between the cycles is weak.