Heat Flux Convergence Research Articles

Multiscale mushy layer model for Arctic marginal ice zone dynamics

Perhaps the most dynamic component of the Arctic sea ice cover is the marginal ice zone (MIZ), the transitional region between dense pack ice to the north and open ocean to the south. It widens by a factor of four while seasonally migrating more than 1600 km poleward in the Bering–Chukchi Sea sector, impacting climate dynamics, ecological processes, and human accessibility to the Arctic. Here we showcase a transformative mathematical modeling approach to understanding changes in MIZ location and width, focusing on their seasonal cycles as observed by satellites. We view the MIZ as a liquid-solid phase transition region, or mushy zone, on the scale of the Arctic Ocean. Invoking the physics of phase changes, the MIZ is modeled as a dynamic, multiscale composite material layer; this model captures 96% of the annual cycle of MIZ location and 78% of the annual cycle of MIZ width. Temperature in the upper ocean is described by a nonlinear heat equation with effective parameters obtained using homogenization theory for a random medium of ice floes in a sea water host. Observations and simulations together indicate that MIZ location closely tracks the below-ice 273 K isotherm while the width of the MIZ follows vertical heat flux convergence, but with a three-week lag.

On the Significance of Ageostrophic Meridional Eddy-Induced Heat Flux in the Surface Ocean of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current

Abstract Eddy-induced heat flux (EHF) convergence plays an important role in balancing the cooling of mean flows in the heat budget of the Southern Ocean. This study investigates the EHF in the Southern Ocean and the surface ocean heat budget over the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) estimated through a high-resolution ocean assimilation product. In contrast to previous studies in which the estimation of the EHF in the Southern Ocean was based on the assumption that mesoscale eddies are quasigeostrophic turbulence, we find that more than one-third of the total meridional EHF in the surface layer is attributed to ageostrophic currents of eddies and that the ageostrophic component of the EHF convergence is as important as its geostrophic component for the surface ocean heat budget over the ACC. In particular, the ageostrophic meridional EHF convergence accounts for 22% of the warming needed to balance the cooling from the mean flows during winter, equivalent to warming the surface ocean of the ACC by 0.14°C. The ageostrophic meridional EHF is likely caused by the stirring effect of ageostrophic secondary circulations in mesoscale eddies, which are induced by the turbulent thermal wind balance to restore the vertical shear of the upper layer in mesoscale eddies destructed by intense winter winds.

Influence and characteristics of anticyclonic eddies in active MHW years in the Northwest Atlantic

The Northwest Atlantic contains two subregions, the Gulf of Maine and the Mid-Atlantic Bight. This region is dynamically controlled by the Jet Stream, the Gulf Stream, (GS) and its eddies. Anticyclonic eddies (AEs) (warm core clockwise eddies) and cyclonic eddies (cold core counterclockwise eddies) influence oceanic properties as they are shed by the GS and dissipated in the Northwest Atlantic. Marine Heatwaves (MHWs) are extreme temperature events that cause ecological damage in the Northwest Atlantic where drivers for these events are abundant. This work focuses on four major MHW active years (2012, 2016, 2017, and 2020) and observes the characteristics of MHWs, AEs, and oceanic parameters, such as Ocean Heat Content, Mixed Layer Depth, temperature, and salinity anomalies. Depth profiles, lead-lag covariance and correlations, and comparisons of events reveal dynamics of MHW intensification in these four years. AE radius, amplitude, and eddy kinetic energy (EKE) were less variable in the MHW years of 2012, 2016, and 2017 but have a weak relationship with MHW intensity. The Gulf of Maine had the strongest (above 0.80) correlation between GS eddy heat flux convergence and MHW intensity. The 2012 MHWs were shown to be strongly influenced by the GS in addition to atmospheric forcings, as were the 2017 Gulf of Maine MHWs. The 2020 MHWs experienced a number of forcings from the Jet Stream, the GS, and AEs, with the highest intensity events occurring at depths below 100 m. We conclude that better understanding how regional dynamics and multiple drivers intensify MHWs to form MHW active years is key to modelling and forecasting future extreme events.

Features of Local Finite-Amplitude Wave Activity during Extreme Cold Waves over Eastern China

Abstract The frequent occurrence of extreme cold waves under climate change has attracted widespread attention. Based on the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis daily dataset from 1958 to 2021, we use a newly developed dynamic metric, the local finite-amplitude wave activity (LWA), to explore the precursory signals, outburst conditions, and key dynamic features of extreme cold waves over eastern China from the perspective of synoptic climatology. The statistical results show that approximately 40% of extreme cold waves have the following features. First, the formation of significant positive LWA anomalies over the Balkhash–Baikal region is an evident precursory signal, which is accompanied by significant cold surface air temperature anomalies that accumulate over mid- and high-latitude Eurasia. Second, the appearance of extreme positive LWA anomalies over the region east of Lake Baikal (ELB) is necessary for subsequent outbursts of extreme cold waves. These extreme positive LWA anomalies indicate the meridionally enhanced planetary trough over East Asia and advection of the accumulated cold air masses southeastward to eastern China. Third, the evident positive change in the LWA anomalies over the ELB is mainly attributable to the convergence of the zonal LWA flux due to the zonal wind in the eddy-free state and Stokes drift flux over the eastern area of the ELB and the convergence of the meridional eddy heat flux over the western area. This study demonstrates that the LWA could be used as a simple and feasible metric for monitoring and forecasting extreme cold waves. Significance Statement Enhanced waviness in circulation usually occurs before and during the outburst of extreme cold waves over eastern China. With a state-of-the-art diagnostic tool, the local finite-amplitude wave activity (LWA), the present study reveals both precursory signals and outburst conditions of these extreme cold events from the perspective of synoptic climatology. This study not only deepens our understanding of the dynamic process for extreme cold events over eastern China but also offers a method for monitoring and forecasting those extreme events. Our work also provides a method for studying other extreme climate events that are closely related to large-amplitude circulation waviness over the middle and high latitudes.

Vertical Convergence of Turbulent and Double-Diffusive Heat Flux Drives Warming and Erosion of Antarctic Winter Water in Summer

Abstract The seasonal warming of Antarctic Winter Water (WW) is a key process that occurs along the path of deep water transformation to intermediate waters. These intermediate waters then enter the upper branch of the circumpolar overturning circulation. Despite its importance, the driving mechanisms that mediate the warming of Antarctic WW remain unknown, and their quantitative evaluation is lacking. Using 38 days of glider measurements of microstructure shear, we characterize the rate of turbulent dissipation and its drivers over a summer season in the northern Weddell Sea. Observed dissipation rates in the surface layer are mainly forced by winds and explained by the stress scaling (r2 = 0.84). However, mixing to the base of the mixed layer during strong wind events is suppressed by vertical stratification from sea ice melt. Between the WW layer and the warm and saline circumpolar deep water, a subsurface layer of enhanced dissipation is maintained by double-diffusive convection (DDC). We develop a WW layer temperature budget and show that a warming trend (0.2°C over 28 days) is driven by a convergence of heat flux through mechanically driven mixing at the base of the mixed layer and DDC at the base of the WW layer. Notably, excluding the contribution from DDC results in an underestimation of WW warming by 23%, highlighting the importance of adequately representing DDC in ocean models. These results further suggest that an increase in storm intensity and frequency during summer could increase the rate of warming of WW with implications for rates of upper-ocean water mass transformation. Significance Statement Around Antarctica, the summer warming of the subsurface cold Antarctic Winter Water feeds the upper layer of the overturning circulation. This study aims to quantify the mechanisms that mediate the warming of Antarctic Winter Water. Our results reveal that the observed warming of this layer can be explained by both surface wind-driven mixing processes as well as double-diffusive convection occurring beneath the Winter Water layer. Understanding the role of these mechanisms is important for understanding the regions upper-ocean heat distribution, the rates of water mass transformation and how they might respond to changes in sea ice, stratification, and the overlying large-scale winds.

Nanoscale contact state design for nodal energy transfer at crossed Ag nanowires

The thermal conduction properties of the cross-junction formed by one pair of Ag nanowires were characterized using experiments and simulations. By laser-sintering crossed nanowires on a substrate on which the Ag ion complex ink was dispersed, we succeeded in visualizing the heat flow trajectory of the junction according to the application of energy. To theoretically understand the energy transfer behavior at the junctions, Ag nanowires with penta-twinned cross-sections were modeled by all-atom molecular dynamics simulations. The equilibrium and non-equilibrium simulation results showed the structural stability at the interface junction, convergence of heat flux in an unsteady state, and effective thermal conductivity of the entire system in a steady state. In particular, we focused on the dependence of the diameter on the nanoscale region, which is the most important design variable for Ag nanowires. Accordingly, a structure–property relationship governed by the nanoscale geometry of the junction was identified.

Oceanic mesoscale eddies as crucial drivers of global marine heatwaves

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are prolonged extreme warm water events in the ocean, exerting devastating impacts on marine ecosystems. A comprehensive knowledge of physical processes controlling MHW life cycles is pivotal to improve MHW forecast capacity, yet it is still lacking. Here, we use a historical simulation from a global eddy-resolving climate model with improved representation of MHWs, and show that heat flux convergence by oceanic mesoscale eddies acts as a dominant driver of MHW life cycles over most parts of the global ocean. In particular, the mesoscale eddies make an important contribution to growth and decay of MHWs, whose characteristic spatial scale is comparable or even larger than that of mesoscale eddies. The effect of mesoscale eddies is spatially heterogeneous, becoming more dominant in the western boundary currents and their extensions, the Southern Ocean, as well as the eastern boundary upwelling systems. This study reveals the crucial role of mesoscale eddies in controlling the global MHW life cycles and highlights that using eddy-resolving ocean models is essential, albeit not necessarily fully sufficient, for accurate MHW forecasts.

Asymmetry in the Seasonal Cycle of Zonal‐Mean Surface Air Temperature

AbstractAt most latitudes, the seasonal cycle of zonal‐mean surface air temperature is notably asymmetric: the length of the warming season is not equal to the length of the cooling season. The asymmetry varies spatially, with the cooling season being ∼40 days shorter than the warming season in the subtropics and the warming season being ∼100 days shorter than the cooling season at the poles. Furthermore, the asymmetry differs between the Northern Hemisphere and the Southern Hemisphere. Here, we show that these observed features are broadly captured in a simple model for the evolution of temperature forced by realistic insolation. The model suggests that Earth's orbital eccentricity largely determines the hemispheric contrast, and obliquity broadly dictates the meridional structure. Clouds, atmospheric heat flux convergence, and time‐invariant effective surface heat capacity have minimal impacts on seasonal asymmetry. This simple, first‐order picture has been absent from previous discussions of the surface temperature seasonal cycle.

A Positive Low Cloud–Sea Surface Temperature Feedback in the East Asian Marginal Seas during El Niño Mature Winters and Their Following Spring

Abstract During the winter and subsequent spring of an El Niño year, the East Asian marginal sea (EAMS) exhibits positive sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) and fewer low clouds, while the western North Pacific experiences negative SSTAs. In this study, we suggest that the positive SSTAs in EAMS are maintained by a positive low cloud–SST feedback. In neutral winters and springs, the EAMS is covered by low clouds, which have a cooling effect on surface temperatures. During an El Niño year, a western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone is established, and along its northwestern flank, there are favorable conditions for convergence of moisture and weaker surface latent heat flux over the EAMS. Once a positive SSTA has been established, a further reduction of turbulent mixing results in less low cloud and enhanced solar heating of the ocean mixed layer; this reinforces and maintains both the positive SSTA and the lack of low cloud via a positive feedback mechanism. The concurrent increase of low cloud–SST feedback and anticyclone circulation strengths is evident in the coupled-model simulations from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. Furthermore, sensitivity experiments, performed with the atmospheric components of Community Earth System Model (CESM2), reveal that a positive SSTA helps to maintain the western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone. Four pacemaker-coupled experiments by CESM2, with sea surface temperature in the equatorial Pacific restored to the observational anomalies plus the model climatology and altered low cloud feedback over EAMS, suggest that the low cloud–SST feedback results in more than the maintenance of a positive SSTA over the EAMS: the positive feedback is also a previously overlooked mechanism for the maintenance of the western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone. Significance Statement The East Asian marginal sea (EAMS) and western North Pacific are important areas that bridge El Niño and the climate of East Asia. Unlike the cold sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) over the western North Pacific during El Niño, the positive SSTA over EAMS, which is covered by winter low cloud, has received less attention. We suggest that a “low cloud–SST” feedback—namely, one in which decreasing low-level clouds allows more sunlight to strike the ocean surface and favors higher SST—maintains the positive SSTA over EAMS. We also configure a widely used atmospheric model with a set of preset SSTA patterns that mimic different climate patterns. Our experiments with different climate patterns and CMIP6 historical runs show that the low cloud–SST feedback (through the positive SSTA) is a possible supplementary mechanism for reinforcing the WNP anomalous anticyclone.

Multidecadal Fluctuations of SST and Euphotic Zone Temperature off Northwest Africa

Abstract The Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) switched from a cool to a warm phase in 1995 and the mean euphotic zone (EZT) and sea surface temperature (SST) shifted upward by 0.57° and 0.69°C, respectively, between 1982–91 and 2006–15 in the Atlantic region off northwest Africa. This ocean margin has many marine fisheries, and water temperature fluctuations may cause fish there to switch their habitats. Net radiation flux did not significantly change between these two decades. So, we hypothesized that the key driver of the EZT and SST increase is wind, which controls turbulent (sensible and latent) heat exchange with the atmosphere as well as bulk vertical and horizontal heat transport. Using satellite-derived SST and atmospheric and oceanic reanalyses to analyze the ocean top-200-m heat budget, we compared the relative contributions of the heat budget components to the cyclical changes in EZT and SST between these two decades. Results showed that the dominant heat source is horizontal heat flux convergence: weaker northeasterly trades and stronger southerly winds and monsoon enabled the southerly winds to drive warm water northward that subsequently warmed the domain. The dominant heat sink is latent heat loss: onshore–offshore atmospheric pressure gradients caused a complex wind adjustment that enabled the Sahara wind to accelerate evaporation over large subregions. These results highlight the important roles of ocean heat transport and atmosphere–ocean coupling for the tropical branch of the AMV. The regional EZT and SST anomalies associated with this AMV phase switch are mainly a consequence of wind-driven processes occurring at larger spatial scales.

Computational simulation of aircraft electrothermal de-icing using an unsteady formulation of phase change and runback water in a unified framework

Accurately predicting de-icing processes is essential to ensure the proper sizing and design of ice protection systems in aircraft icing. A unified framework was developed to simulate an unsteady electrothermal de-icing process, using an unsteady formulation to account for phase change and runback water. Two physically-motivated concepts were newly introduced to the icing model to accurately describe the unsteady electrothermal de-icing (ice accretion/melting) process. A conjugate heat transfer method was utilized to tightly couple the ice and conduction solvers. Sub-iterations were incorporated at every time step to ensure the convergence of temperature and heat flux at the interface. The unsteady de-icing framework consists of a compressible Navier-Stokes-Fourier airflow solver, Eulerian droplet impingement solver, unsteady ice accretion/melting solver, and heat conduction solver, which can handle multilayer composite materials. All solvers were formulated based on partial differential equations and developed in a unified finite volume framework, enabling the use of a single grid system and eliminating unnecessary grid generation for the ice layer. The results showed better agreement with experimental data compared to other results. The unified solver was used to analyze the unsteady electrothermal de-icing process by investigating the ice accretion, ice melting, runback water film, and freezing of water film in unprotected areas. Runback water film due to ice melting may exceed the impingement limits and freeze in unprotected areas, leading to ice ridge formation.

The internal melting of landfast sea ice in Prydz Bay, East Antarctica

Summertime internal melting of Antarctic sea ice is common due to the penetration of solar radiation below the snow and ice surface. We focus on the role of internal melting and heat conduction in generating gap layers within the ice. These often occur approximately 0.1 m below the ice surface. In a small-scale survey over land-fast sea ice in Prydz Bay, East Antarctica, we observed, for the first time, gap layers 0.6–1.0 m below the surface for both first-year ice and multi-year ice. A 1D snow/ice thermodynamic model successfully simulated snow and ice mass balance and the evolution of the gap layers. Their spatial distribution was largely controlled by snow thickness and ice thickness. A C-shaped ice temperature profile with the lowest values in the middle of the ice layer resulted in heat flux convergence causing downward progression of the internal melt layer. Multidecadal (1979–2019) seasonal simulations showed decreasing air temperature favored a postposed internal melting onset, reduced total internal melt, and delayed potential ice breakup, which indicated a higher chance for local coastal ice to be shifted from first-year ice to multi-year ice.

An anomalous warm-season trans-Pacific atmospheric river linked to the 2021 western North America heatwave

Atmospheric rivers are long and narrow bands of enhanced water vapour transport concentrated in the lower troposphere. Many studies have documented the important role of cold-season atmospheric rivers in producing heavy precipitation and extreme flooding events. Relatively little research has been conducted on the warm-season atmospheric rivers and their impacts on heatwave events. Here we show an anomalous warm-season atmospheric river moving across the North Pacific and its interaction with the extreme western North American heatwave in late June 2021. This system transported moisture and heat energy from Southeast Asia to the northeast Pacific. Its landfall over Southeast Alaska resulted in substantial spillover of moisture and sensible heat beyond the Pacific Coast Ranges. We provide evidence indicating that the sensible heat flux convergence and the short-lived greenhouse effect of the trapped moisture could form a positive feedback mechanism leading to the northward expansion of the heatwave event across western Canada.

The Future Intensification of the North Atlantic Winter Storm Track: The Key Role of Dynamic Ocean Coupling

AbstractClimate models project an intensification of the wintertime North Atlantic Ocean storm track, over its downstream region, by the end of this century. Previous studies have suggested that ocean–atmosphere coupling plays a key role in this intensification, but the precise role of the different components of the coupling has not been explored and quantified. In this paper, using a hierarchy of ocean coupling experiments, we isolate and quantify the respective roles of thermodynamic (changes in surface heat fluxes) and dynamic (changes in ocean heat flux convergence) ocean coupling in the projected intensification of North Atlantic transient eddy kinetic energy (TEKE). We show that dynamic coupling accounts for nearly all of the future TEKE strengthening as it overcomes the much smaller effect of surface heat flux changes to weaken the TEKE. We further show that by reducing the Arctic amplification in the North Atlantic, ocean heat flux convergence increases the meridional temperature gradient aloft, causing a larger eddy growth rate and resulting in the strengthening of North Atlantic TEKE. Our results stress the importance of better monitoring and investigating the changes in ocean heat transport, for improving climate change adaptation strategies.Significance StatementBy the end of this century, the North Atlantic Ocean storm track is projected to intensify on its eastward flank. Such intensification will have large societal impacts, mostly over western Europe. Thus, it is critical to better understand the mechanism underlying the intensification of the storm track. Here we investigate the role of ocean coupling in the future intensification of the North Atlantic storm track and find that ocean heat transport processes are responsible for the strengthening of the storm track. Our results suggest that better monitoring the changes in ocean heat transport will hopefully improve climate change adaption strategies.

Response of atmospheric quasi‐stationary waves to La Niña conditions in Northern Hemisphere winter

AbstractLarge‐scale atmospheric quasi‐stationary waves (QSWs) are strongly linked to synoptic variability and extreme events such as blocking and heatwaves. It is therefore essential to gain a deeper insight into the drivers of QSW variability. Previous research highlighted the El Niño Southern Oscillation as one of the main drivers for global QSW variability with La Niña conditions of particular interest because of their link to anomalous strong QSW amplitudes. This connection between La Niña and QSW activity in the Northern Hemisphere is analysed in this study using a set of aquaplanet experiments with a slab ocean, mimicking La Niña conditions of varying strengths. The experiments demonstrate La Niña conditions are consistent with a weaker zonal mean Hadley cell and a corresponding northward shift in the midlatitude wave guide associated with strong meridional gradients in absolute vorticity. The QSW region generally follows this shift in the wave guide with an overall increase in QSW amplitudes along a slightly weaker mean vorticity gradient. For weak to moderate modifications of the ocean heat flux convergence, there is an approximately linear relationship with the associated QSW response, though for stronger slab heat fluxes the overall response becomes highly nonlinear. It is therefore concluded that the ENSO state may have significant consequences for QSW activity across the Northern Hemisphere.

Upper-Ocean Processes Controlling the Near-Surface Temperature in the Western Gulf of Mexico from a Multidecadal Numerical Simulation

The upper-ocean processes controlling the near-surface layer temperature in the western Gulf of Mexico (GOM) are examined by estimating the contributing terms in the heat equation based on a 54-year simulation of an eddy-resolving HYbrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM). An eddy-active region defined by large surface eddy kinetic energy, representing the Loop Current eddies (LCEs) primary trajectory region, is selected for analysis. Both observations and the simulation reveal that the mean net surface heat flux cools the northern GOM and warms the southern GOM. Mean horizontal heat advection contributes to an overall cooling in the eddy-active region. Mean vertical heat advection has a strong seasonal variability associated with the strong seasonal cycle of the mixed layer process: winters tend to have a strong downward heat advection in the eddy-active region and a strong upward heat advection in the rest of the western GOM, while summers tend to have a weak advective heat flux. The downwelling (upwelling) is primarily due to the dominant anticyclonic (cyclonic) wind stress curl. Mean eddy heat flux convergence contributes to the overall warming in the upper ocean of the western GOM. Diffusive flux is not small across the thermocline, and it is expected to have an insignificant influence on the near-surface temperature.

Causes of the Arctic’s Lower-Tropospheric Warming Structure

AbstractArctic amplification has been attributed predominantly to a positive lapse rate feedback in winter, when boundary layer temperature inversions focus warming near the surface. Predicting high-latitude climate change effectively thus requires identifying the local and remote physical processes that set the Arctic’s vertical warming structure. In this study, we analyze output from the CESM Large Ensemble’s twenty-first-century climate change projection to diagnose the relative influence of two Arctic heating sources, local sea ice loss and remote changes in atmospheric heat transport. Causal effects are quantified with a statistical inference method, allowing us to assess the energetic pathways mediating the Arctic temperature response and the role of internal variability across the ensemble. We find that a step-increase in latent heat flux convergence causes Arctic lower-tropospheric warming in all seasons, while additionally reducing net longwave cooling at the surface. However, these effects only lead to small and short-lived changes in boundary layer inversion strength. By contrast, a step-decrease in sea ice extent in the melt season causes, in fall and winter, surface-amplified warming and weakened boundary layer temperature inversions. Sea ice loss also enhances surface turbulent heat fluxes and cloud-driven condensational heating, which mediate the atmospheric temperature response. While the aggregate effect of many moist transport events and seasons of sea ice loss will be different than the response to hypothetical perturbations, our results nonetheless highlight the mechanisms that alter the Arctic temperature inversion in response to CO2forcing. As sea ice declines, the atmosphere’s boundary layer temperature structure is weakened, static stability decreases, and a thermodynamic coupling emerges between the Arctic surface and the overlying troposphere.

Characteristics of Transient Eddies During Ural Blocking Events With Different Lifetime in Winter

Ural blocking high (hereafter UB) is one of the most important weather systems influencing the weather and climate of China, with its onset and development closely connected with transient eddies. Herein, we classified the wintertime UB events during 1979–2015 into three types according to their lifetime, i.e., short, medium, and long lifetime UB events and further analyzed the characteristics of momentum and heat fluxes transported by transient eddies during the three types of UB events. The results show that the eddy momentum and heat transport by transient eddies over the Ural regions is strong, while the westerly is weak, favorable for the establishment and maintenance of the UB. Before the onset of all the UB events there are enhanced lower-level temperature disturbances, decelerated westerly and convergence of transient momentum and heat fluxes. After the onset of the UB, the upper-level jet stream is accelerated and eddy flux convergence is enhanced. Furthermore, it is found that the duration and position of convergence could be one of important factors determining the lifetime of UB event. The long-time strong convergence of transient eddies favors the maintenance of UB. During long UB events, the polar jet and the convergence of eddy momentum fluxes have the strongest intensity and northward shifted position. The convergence is further strengthened until Day +2 and weakened since Day +7, favorable for the long-time maintenance of UB. There is convergence on Day -3 of both short and medium UB events, which disappears on Day +4 during short events, while strengthened after the onset of medium events, leading to a long-time maintenance of UB. Furthermore, among the three types of UB events, the upward propagation of wave activity and E-P flux divergence are the strongest and most long-lasting during long UB events, while the weakest and shortest during short UB events, which can also verify strong atmospheric baroclinicity and long-lasting strong convergence of transient eddies are favorable for long duration of the UB.

Radiative Cooling, Latent Heating, and Cloud Ice in the Tropical Upper Troposphere

Abstract The radiative cooling rate in the tropical upper troposphere is expected to increase as climate warms. Since the tropics are approximately in radiative–convective equilibrium (RCE), this implies an increase in the convective heating rate, which is the sum of the latent heating rate and the eddy heat flux convergence. We examine the impact of these changes on the vertical profile of cloud ice amount in cloud-resolving simulations of RCE. Three simulations are conducted: a control run, a warming run, and an experimental run in which there is no warming but a temperature forcing is imposed to mimic the warming-induced increase in radiative cooling. Surface warming causes a reduction in cloud fraction at all upper-tropospheric temperature levels but an increase in the ice mixing ratio within deep convective cores. The experimental run has more cloud ice than the warming run at fixed temperature despite the fact that their latent heating rates are equal, which suggests that the efficiency of latent heating by cloud ice increases with warming. An analytic expression relating the ice-related latent heating rate to a number of other factors is derived and used to understand the model results. This reveals that the increase in latent heating efficiency is driven mostly by 1) the migration of isotherms to lower pressure and 2) a slight warming of the top of the convective layer. These physically robust changes act to reduce the residence time of ice at any particular temperature level, which tempers the response of the mean cloud ice profile to warming. Significance Statement Here we examine how the amount of condensed ice in part of the atmosphere—the tropical upper troposphere (UT)—responds to global warming. In the UT, the energy released during ice formation is balanced by the emission of radiation to space. This emission will strengthen with warming, suggesting that there will also be more ice. Using a model of the tropical atmosphere, we find that the increase in ice amount is mitigated by a reduction in the amount of time ice spends in the UT. This could have important implications for the cloud response to global warming, and future work should focus on how these changes are manifested across the distribution of convective cloud types.

Constraints from Invariant Subtropical Vertical Velocities on the Scalings of Hadley Cell Strength and Downdraft Width with Rotation Rate

AbstractWeak-temperature-gradient influences from the tropics and quasigeostrophic influences from the extratropics plausibly constrain the subtropical-mean static stability in terrestrial atmospheres. Because mean descent acting on this static stability is a leading-order term in the thermodynamic balance, a state-invariant static stability would impose constraints on the Hadley cells, which this paper explores in simulations of varying planetary rotation rate. If downdraft-averaged effective heating (the sum of diabatic heating and eddy heat flux convergence) too is invariant, so must be vertical velocity—an “omega governor.” In that case, the Hadley circulation overturning strength and downdraft width must scale identically—the cell can strengthen only by widening or weaken only by narrowing. Semiempirical scalings demonstrate that subtropical eddy heat flux convergence weakens with rotation rate (scales positively) while diabatic heating strengthens (scales negatively), compensating one another if they are of similar magnitude. Simulations in two idealized, dry GCMs with a wide range of planetary rotation rates exhibit nearly unchanging downdraft-averaged static stability, effective heating, and vertical velocity, as well as nearly identical scalings of the Hadley cell downdraft width and strength. In one, eddy stresses set this scaling directly (the Rossby number remains small); in the other, eddy stress and bulk Rossby number changes compensate to yield the same, ~Ω−1/3 scaling. The consistency of this power law for cell width and strength variations may indicate a common driver, and we speculate that Ekman pumping could be the mechanism responsible for this behavior. Diabatic heating in an idealized aquaplanet GCM is an order of magnitude larger than in dry GCMs and reanalyses, and while the subtropical static stability is insensitive to rotation rate, the effective heating and vertical velocity are not.