The thermal inertia of alkaline water electrolysis (AWE) system under dynamic operation reduces efficiency and poses security risks. To mitigate this, predictive model control (MPC) emerges as a potential solution, aiming to precisely regulate temperature through temperature trend prediction, which relies on accurate voltage predictions. However, the current MPC implementation for AWE system utilizes empirical model for voltage prediction, requiring extensive experimental data for calibration, making it time-consuming and costly for large-scale water electrolysis projects. Data-driven models are a promising alternative for voltage prediction, but research is limited by the lack of long-term commercial AWE operational data and the ambiguity in developing effective data-driven models. In this study, a 10-kW level AWE test system underwent 300 h of simulated solar-driven dynamic operation to assess the resilience of AWE system to dynamic conditions. Subsequently, a robust data-driven workflow using artificial neural networks (ANNs) was developed for precise dynamic voltage prediction based on obtained operational data. The data-driven workflow incorporates automated processes for voltage prediction, including data importing, data cleaning, ANN architecture optimization, model training, and ultimately voltage prediction, avoiding the need for manual parameters fitting. The model’s performance was evaluated and compared with empirical model across four dynamic operation types (cold-start, ramp, stepwise, and random response), achieving an impressive accuracy over 98 %. Furthermore, the ANN model also exhibits application potential in U-I curves prediction (accuracy > 98 %), influential features assessment, operational optimization and MPCs. This ANN-based workflow serves as a versatile framework for precise voltage prediction under dynamic operations and provides an analytical platform for operational data analysis, system optimization, and advanced control system development.
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