Abstract Ionospheric electron density (IED) and vertical total electron content (VTEC) are two of the most important characteristics that interpret the ionosphere. Today, satellite geodesy plays an important role in providing these data. Apart from monitoring the ionosphere by means of Global Navigation Satellite System observations, predictions of these ionospheric characteristics have also been taken into consideration. The majority of prediction methods in the ionosphere are focused on VTEC prediction. The continuity equation in the ionosphere is a spatiotemporal partial differential equation that can be used to predict both IED and VTEC. In this study, we address this issue during May 8, 2016, which was a day of high geomagnetic activity. For this purpose, first, high-accuracy IED grids with a spatial resolution of 0.5° × 0.5° in longitude and latitude, 50 km in altitude, and a temporal resolution of 10 min are prepared. These IED grids are called analysis grids and are derived by assimilation of GPS-derived VTECs into the background IED grids provided by international reference ionosphere. Second, the analysis grids can be utilized as the initial and boundary values in the continuity equation to predict IED for the next 3 h with a step of 10 min. The analysis grids are constructed over the Iran region, and the performance of the continuity equation in the ionosphere prediction is investigated during the strongest geomagnetic storm of 2016. Finally, the accuracy of the predictions has been evaluated in two ways. First, analysis grids with high accuracy are available for each epoch in which the prediction is presented. On average, the root mean square (RMS) of the differences between the predicted IEDs and the analysis IEDs is 1.66 × 1010 el/m3 for 1-h predictions and 5.33 × 1010 el/m3 for 3-h predictions. Second, by numerical integration of the predicted grids in the vertical direction, VTECs are estimated and compared with VTEC values of test data that were already known. On average, the RMS of their difference was 1.29 total electron content unit (TECU) for 1-h predictions and 2.57 TECU for 3-h predictions. An acceptable accuracy for both IED and VTEC prediction by a continuity equation has been obtained up to 3 h on the most active ionospheric day.
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