Newsprint Consumption Research Articles

Assessing economic impacts of internet adoption through reduced pulp and paper demand

We use a dynamic, global computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to capture the economic impacts of internet adoption, modeled through reduced demand in the newsprint and printing and writing paper (pulp and paper) industries. Global newsprint consumption is estimated to fall dramatically by 2030. We rely on estimates from another study that captures the change in global pulp and paper consumption using the global forest products model (GFPM), based on two scenarios: (i) full per capita internet adoption by 2100 and (ii) more rapid full internet adoption by 2050. We incorporate reductions in pulpwood consumption into a global multiregional dynamic CGE model to estimate economy-wide impacts in Canadian provinces, the United States, and the rest of the world. Results indicated that the year 2050 internet adoption scenario would result in a reduction in cumulative discounted gross domestic product (GDP) by as much as 17% in some regions of Canada, reduce GDP by 5.8% in the United States, and increase GDP by 3.3% in the rest of the world from 2006 to 2030. These findings highlight the costs of internet adoption, leaving net benefit analysis of adoption to future work.

Propaganda, Chicago Newspapers, and the Political Economy of Newsprint during the First World War

Between April 1917 and November 1918, more than 7 percent of the country's publications stopped production. The vast majority closed not because of government harassment, but rather the combination of soaring newsprint costs and shrinking advertising accounts. In Chicago, a focal point in the federal war against dissent, newspaper publishers neither feared nor respected Committee on Public Information Chairman George Creel. They were, however, deeply concerned by severe shortages in newsprint and government regulation of paper. Under pressure to make drastic cuts in their consumption of newsprint and to surrender their pages to publicity from multiple governmental propaganda offices, Chicago editors vied to demonstrate their utility to the wartime state. As the war progressed, so did the intensity of anti-German messages in Chicago newspapers.

Global paper market forecasts to 2030 under future internet demand scenarios

The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) was applied to forecast the effect of increased per capita Internet adoption on the global paper products industry to 2030. Two scenarios were examined: (a) full per capita Internet adoption by 2100, and (b) more rapidly by 2050. Global newsprint consumption is estimated to be 34.2–37.1 million tonnes lower in 2030 than in the US Forest Service 2010 Resources Planning Act report, and the 2010 report from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Similarly, global printing and writing paper consumption is forecasted to be 76.7–87.1 million tonnes lower by 2030. By including controls for per capita Internet use in the demand equations for print based media, this article reflects the recent declines in global paper product consumption. Out-of-sample forecasts over a two-year period indicate global model prediction errors from 0 to 3%, depending on the product and exogenous assumptions. The results highlight the importance of considering market evolution in long-term global forecasting, and a failure to account for future rates of Internet adoption will result in an upward bias on paper product market forecasts.

Será o Fim do Papel? Os Avanços Tecnológicos e seus possíveis Impactos no Consumo de Papel

The supply and use of information technology have changed the profile of individuals worldwide. The analysis of the profile of Brazilian citizens indicates that the supply of information technology and the profile of the population changed in recent decades, separately or together. By obtaining an index such as, education, access to mobile telephony and computers with internet access, we can perceive changes in the habits of Brazil in recent years. With the increasing technological advances such as the emergence of tablet-PCs, e-paper, smartphones, digital cameras, among others, there is a growing expectation of a decrease in paper consumption. On the other hand, greater access to information - with internet available in several locations at low cost - and technologies such as printers increasingly affordable prices, tends to increase the volume of impressions, as well as the consumption of equipment increases the consumption of packaging based on paper. This study drew statistical studies between the increased use of information technology and paper consumption in the Brazilian market, using data for twenty years - from 1990 to 2009 - Bracelpa (Associacao Brasileira de Celulose e Papel) and the Annual Survey of Management Resources for Informatics at the Fundacao Getulio Vargas – Escola de Administracao do Estado de Sao Paulo (FGV-EAESP). Through the literature review on the topic and statistical tests, it was investigated whether corporate investments in information technology provided to reduce the consumption of certain types of papers in Brazilian marketplace. To answer the hypotheses, we performed a correlation between the development of paper consumption, according to the types (newsprint, printing and writing), and investments in information technology, according to the sectors (services, industry and trade). The results corroborate the earlier study, developed by Moraes Meirelles and Nacimiento (2010), which was analyzed in a period of six years, indicating that the use of IT did not bring benefit to the reduction of paper consumption in the Brazilian market, considering the types of roles impacted by this use. It is evident through this study that the values of IT investments by companies participating in this research had positive correlation with the fall in consumption of newsprint and writing paper type, indicating that, possibly, access to digital information through reduced the use of newspapers for circulation of news. It is also evident in the increased consumption of other types of paper such as newsprint and packaging, consumption increased along with IT investments, thus we can deduce that the easy access to computer equipment, including printers would lead to the printing of electronic files, unnecessarily, as well as increased sales of electronic equipment tends to increase the use of paper packaging.

Information technology and the newsprint demand in Western Europe: a Bayesian approach

This paper focuses on the impacts of new information technology on newsprint demand in a sample of West European countries (Germany, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom). It is hypothesized that information technology, through the ready and free availability of news content on the Internet, could induce a structural shift in the newsprint consumption pattern in these markets. Econometric analyses based on historical data for the four countries mentioned above do not yet support this hypothesis. Based on evidence from the United States, where Internet penetration is higher, and several recently published market studies, there is, however, reason to expect stagnating newsprint consumption in Western Europe. By using Bayesian demand models, we try to incorporate prior information from these market studies in the econometric analysis. A classical demand model, based solely on historical data from 1971 to 1999, is estimated for comparison with the Bayesian models. Predictions for newsprint consumption based on the Bayesian approach show lower future consumption levels than those predicted by the classical models, which are commonly used in forest product demand studies. We conclude that Bayesian models carry the potential to improve the quality of forest products demand analyses when a structural break can be expected and sufficient information on its dynamics is available.

Plant population effects on stalk growth, yield, and bark fiber content of sunn hemp

As worldwide consumption of newsprint and wood-based products grows, potential demands for supplemental nonwood fiber sources like sunn hemp ( Crotalaria juncea L.) increase. Studies were conducted in 1994 and 1995 at Weslaco, TX to determine the influence of four plant populations (161 300, 225 800, 290 320, and 354 840 plants ha −1) and two sunn hemp cultivars (PI248491, a Brazilian introduction and Tropic Sun) on final stand, stalk height, basal stalk diameter, total stalk yield, and bark fiber percentage from two stalk locations. A split-plot experimental design with four row plots, 6.7 m long, and 1.0-m row spacing was used. Results from the 2 years indicated that plant population did not significantly influence stalk height or total yield; however, basal stalk diameter of plants in the two lower plant populations was significantly greater than for plants in the highest population. Final stand and percent plant stand reduction (initial vs. final population) differed between each of the four populations. Bark fiber percentage of the lower 0–30 cm stalk section did not differ between populations. Differences in the bark percentage occurred between populations for the middle 120–150 cm stalk section, with the highest and second highest plant populations having bark percentages of 24.0 and 21.8, respectively, compared to 16.6 for the lowest population. Stalk yield differed among cultivars, with Tropic Sun producing 16.4 Mg ha −1 of total stalk fiber compared to 15.1 Mg ha −1 for PI248491. Cultivars had similar stalk height, basal stalk diameter, final stand, and percent stand reduction. Plant height and basal diameter averaged across the four plant populations were positively correlated, r=0.41; P≤0.01 and r=0.39; P≤0.01, respectively, with stalk yield. Correlation coefficients calculated within each individual plant population indicated that basal diameter ( r=0.49; P≤0.05), not stalk height ( r=0.31; P≤0.15), was more closely correlated with stalk yield at the lowest population; whereas, plant height ( r=0.43; P≤0.05) was more closely correlated than basal diameter ( r=0.21; P≤0.33) with yield in the highest plant population. Results indicated that increasing the plant population above 161 300 plants ha −1 would not necessarily produce significant increases in total stalk yield. The effect of plant population on bark percentage suggests the possibility of manipulating bast and core fiber yields through specific plant densities. The ability to manipulate core and bark fiber yields could be an important crop management tool when growing fiber for core and bark fiber-specific products. Additional studies are needed to determine the best sampling techniques for estimating bark percentage of sunn hemp.

Toxicological evaluation of milk from lactating dairy cows following consumption of newsprint

ADVERTISEMENT RETURN TO ISSUEPREVArticleNEXTToxicological evaluation of milk from lactating dairy cows following consumption of newsprintBarbara S. Shane, Caroline A. Metosh-Dickey, Joseph G. Ebel, Michael L. Gross, Huayi Y. Tong, Stephen J. Monson, Kevin P. Kenny, and Donald J. LiskCite this: J. Agric. Food Chem. 1993, 41, 2, 240–245Publication Date (Print):February 1, 1993Publication History Published online1 May 2002Published inissue 1 February 1993https://doi.org/10.1021/jf00026a019RIGHTS & PERMISSIONSArticle Views74Altmetric-Citations1LEARN ABOUT THESE METRICSArticle Views are the COUNTER-compliant sum of full text article downloads since November 2008 (both PDF and HTML) across all institutions and individuals. These metrics are regularly updated to reflect usage leading up to the last few days.Citations are the number of other articles citing this article, calculated by Crossref and updated daily. Find more information about Crossref citation counts.The Altmetric Attention Score is a quantitative measure of the attention that a research article has received online. Clicking on the donut icon will load a page at altmetric.com with additional details about the score and the social media presence for the given article. Find more information on the Altmetric Attention Score and how the score is calculated. Share Add toView InAdd Full Text with ReferenceAdd Description ExportRISCitationCitation and abstractCitation and referencesMore Options Share onFacebookTwitterWechatLinked InReddit PDF (865 KB) Get e-Alerts Get e-Alerts

Recent and Future Economic Status of U.S. Newspapers

This study, using economic measures, finds that newspapers have held up well in competition with radio, television, videotex, and other media. Using newsprint consumption as a measure, the study finds that newspapers grew faster than the U.S. economy in general in 1976–84. Since then, the rate of growth has declined somewhat. Using advertising carried as a measure, newspapers expanded 279% in the 1975–1988 years—a period in which U.S. GNP increased 205%. People are working longer today, with less time for reading, but the study suggests several trends that are likely to contribute to continued newspaper economic growth.

Modeling newsprint consumption: a Finnish case study for the period 1960-1986

Modeling newsprint consumption: a Finnish case study for the period 1960-1986

VOLUNTARY INTAKE OF SHREDDED NEWSPRINT BY DAIRY COWS

Shredded newsprint is a potential source of bedding for livestock, but because it may contain certain heavy metals and polychlorinated biphenyls significant voluntary consumption of newsprint by animals would be undesirable. To determine consumption levels, 18 Holstein cows in mid-lactation (average 19 wk) were used in a double latin square design. Squares represented access to shredded newsprint or chopped hay in the feed manger except during feeding time. Within squares, cows were allotted to each of three complete mixed rations over three 6-wk treatment periods. Rations comprised hay crop silage, corn silage, high moisture grain corn and soybean meal with roughage:concentrate ratios of 30:70 (LR), 50:50 (MR) and 70:30 (HR). Mixed rations were fed according to individual cow requirements for energy depending on body weight, milk yield and milk fat percent. Cows were allowed 4 h after each of two feedings per day to consume their allotted mixed ration. Voluntary consumption of newsprint was only 0.3 kg per cow per day or 2% of total dry matter intake while for those offered hay consumption was 2.6 kg∙cow−1∙day−1 or 15% of total dry matter intake. Intakes of mixed rations were unaffected by roughage:concentrate ratio or newsprint versus hay. However, total dry matter consumption (mixed ration plus newsprint or hay) was higher for cows offered hay (17.3 kg∙cow−1∙day−1) than for those offered newsprint (15.1 kg∙cow−1∙day−1). Levels of heavy metals in milk or blood samples of cows with access to newsprint were within normally accepted ranges. PCBs were at undetectable levels in all cases. Bedding cows with newsprint is unlikely to result in significant consumption or contamination of animals or their products. Key words: Lactating cows, newsprint consumption, heavy metals

A microeconomic planning model for the new york times newspaper

AbstractThe New York Times model is a large‐scale model which forecasts sales and earnings for the New York Times newspaper. Sturcturally, it is composed of two major blocks; a demand module, and a production, cost and revenue module. The demand module, the heart of the model, is a set of simultaneous nonlinear econometric equations which forecast physical volume, approximately 35 categories of advertising lines and 10 categories of circulation. The second block is recursive and contains roughly 300 equations, some of which are stochastic behavioral equations. This block converts the volume forecasts into paging, newsprint consumption, newsprint distribution and manning requirements. These physical flows are then monetized, using price and wage forecasts, to produce estimates of revenue, fixed and variable costs, and operating profit. This paper summarizes the development of the model, with emphasis on the advertising and circulation model. It should be noted that the structure of the model is constantly evolving. Consequently, emphasis is placed on the conceptual underpinnings of the model not on a detailed presentation of the current structure.

Economic Consequences of Recycling for the Canadian Newsprint Industry

The probable future structure of the Canadian newsprint industry is outlined and the likely economic consequences to Canadian newsprint producers of the increased consumption of newsprint made within the United States from recycled fiber is demonstrated. The overmature nature of the Canadian newsprint industry is shown. Old mills and plant capital, stabilized markets, asset fixity, and real cost increases are given as major short-run structural weaknesses, especially for eastern Canadian mills, which make the industry susceptible to marginal market shifts such as competition from recycled newsprint paper.Densely populated areas adjacent to eastern Canada are shown to attract not only the output from Ontario, Quebec, and the Maritimes but also the secondary fiber newsprint mills. Such an intrusion in the market, while marginal in effect, only magnifies the structural weaknesses of a mature industry.Two factors much more critical to the structure of the Canadian newsprint industry appear to be the probable movement up and to the right along the industry's long-run cost curve (real cost increases) and mill capacity increases within the United States. Changes in these two factors should overshadow the influence of recycling at least through 1985.