Conflict In Ukraine Research Articles

A Socio-Cognitive Account of Ideological Manipulation in Chinese Translation of Political Opinion Articles

ABSTRACT In the realm of politics and media, particularly in situations of conflict, translation plays a critical role in resisting the discourse of news texts towards the socio-political correctness of the target society. Translation researchers have long focused on ideological manipulation and related techniques, notably in the translation of political news, linking ideologically motivated translation techniques to their macro functions (socio-political factors) via critical discursive approaches, but rarely have they examined what mediates these techniques and the social context. The main aim of the present study is to provide a socio-cognitive account of such ideological manipulations based on van Dijk’s notion of Critical Discourse Analysis (CDA). The corpus of the study consists of opinion articles covering the Ukrainian conflict, originally published by American news institutions, and their corresponding Chinese translations in Chinese newspapers. Documented and supported by several examples, the findings suggest that the manipulations are mainly motivated by the polarization of “US” and “THEM”.

The impact of the Ukraine war on Russian military capabilities in the Arctic

ABSTRACT This study examines the impact of the two-year occupation of Ukraine on Russia’s military capabilities in the Arctic and analyzes the strengths and weaknesses of Russia’s military capacity in this region. Using a methodology based on document analysis and SWOT analysis, the study aims to unravel the intricate interplay between the Ukraine conflict and Russia’s military aspirations in the Arctic and thereby improve our understanding of the military implications of these developments. The results of the study highlight a remarkable imbalance in Russia’s military capabilities in the vast Arctic region, which stretches across the western, central, and eastern sectors. The ongoing conflict in Ukraine is acting as a catalyst, forcing Russia to strengthen its conventional forces and improve its military readiness in the immediate future. As a result, there is a discernible inclination to prioritize nuclear capabilities as part of Russia’s strategic calculus in the Arctic region.

Effects of adverse geopolitical risk on price bubbles contagion from European natural gas prices to international energy prices

PurposeThe recent Russia–Ukraine conflict highlights the geopolitical importance of natural gas, especially in Europe. In this light, this study examines the impact of the Russia–Ukraine conflict on the spread of price bubbles from European natural gas to international energy prices.Design/methodology/approachThe Generalized Supremum Augmented Dickey-Fuller (GSADF) test is employed to detect the occurrence of price bubble episodes while the Dynamic Logit Model is used to examine price bubble contagion between the two markets. Further, a tri-variate VAR model is used to examine the determinants of the price bubble.FindingsThe findings reveal multiple bubble episodes in both European natural gas and international energy prices. Further, evidence of bilateral contagion between European natural gas and the international energy market is found. In addition, the Russia–Ukraine conflict triggers price bubble episodes in both markets. Finally, a counterfactual analysis suggests that the conflict increases the bubble contagion from the European natural gas market to the international energy market by about 40%. These findings imply that the Russia–Ukraine conflict is a significant driver of high upside risks to bubble occurrence and subsequent contagion to both European natural gas and international energy prices.Originality/valueTo the best of our knowledge, this study contributes new empirical evidence that the Russian–Ukrainian conflict significantly impacts the spread of price bubbles from the European natural gas market to international energy markets.

The Tradition of Russian Independent Theological Thought: A Complex Interplay between Believers, the Orthodox Church and the State in the Case of the Conflict in Ukraine

The construction of the Russian state has been closely linked with the development of the autocephalous Russian Orthodox Church. Russian identity is deeply rooted in Orthodoxy: Russian literature, music, architecture and philosophy all bear a strong religious mark. The birth of the Russian state is also tied to the concept of Moscow as the Third Rome. Over time, the head of the Russian state has been invested with this mission to preserve orthodoxy embodied in Russian statehood. The attempts of the state to politicise religious institutions or to use religious teachings for political gains are not a new phenomenon and are certainly apparent to Russian Orthodoxy, including in the context of the conflict in Ukraine. The disturbing absence of distance displayed by the Church authorities towards the use of force has isolated the Patriarch, but has also triggered discontent within the ranks of the clergy. Dissonant voices have spoken regardless of the pressure exerted to silence them. In the complex history of State—Church relations, the symphony between the temporal and spiritual powers has fluctuated from complete subjugation of the Church under the authority of the State to a more autonomous and independent Church. On the margins of this volatile relationship, Orthodox believers and movements have always emerged to challenge both. This article pays tribute to the long tradition of dissonant Russian Orthodox voices and attempts to demonstrate the continuity of this tradition in the context of the conflict in Ukraine.

Refugees’ Storytelling Strategies on Digital Media Platforms: How the Russia–Ukraine War Unfolded on TikTok

The article discusses how TikTok has emerged as a platform for self-representation and political contestation during the Russia–Ukraine war. Shortly after the beginning of the conflict, journalists and broadcasters have begun to associate the events unfolding in those countries with the widespread use of this platform among young content creators, refugees, soldiers, and civilians. Described as the “first TikTok war” or as “WarTok,” the conflict in Ukraine represents an important example to look at to uncover the increasingly central role of platforms as spaces where conflicts can be witnessed, documented, and shared with global audiences in real time. The research findings illustrate how TikTok becomes a space where material and affective practices of “performed refugeeness” can become visible and viral due to its unique language, formatting style, and highly personalized narratives, while creating a transnational streaming of war-related discourses that not only bypass traditional circuits of news sharing, but also activate a digital care network that crosses borders and connects diverse digital publics. While the study is small scale to account for a more in-depth narrative analysis of TikTok videos, it nevertheless returns significant insights into refugees’ digital storytelling strategies in conflict areas.

Extreme risk contagions among fossil energy companies in China: Insights from a multilayer dynamic network analysis

Since the severity and frequency of extreme events have seriously threatened the stability of fossil energy markets, this paper conducts multilayer dynamic network analysis to demonstrate the evolution of the entire market structure during extreme events. Based on the data of 64 Chinese energy firms ranging from March 2018 to February 2023, this paper examines the sectoral discrepancies, and identifies systemically important companies during different crises. The results indicate that the risk transmission mechanisms among fossil energy markets are different induced by the two crises, namely the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine conflict. Specifically, the COVID-19 has rendered greater influence on the oil and gas industry, while the Russia–Ukraine conflict has brought instability to the coal industry. Additionally, the heterogeneous effects of these events on individual energy firms are identified, and the results suggest that both small and large firms have played prominent roles in risk transmission.

Are sanctions costly for the energy industry of sanctioning states? A difference‐in‐differences approach to sanctions during the Russia–Ukraine war

AbstractThis study investigates the economic effects of states' implementing sanctions against Russia during the early stages of the Russia–Ukraine conflict in 2022. It specifically examines the effect of these sanctions on the stock returns of energy firms in a sample of 57 countries between August 2021 and October 2022, employing Difference‐in‐Differences imputation estimators to analyse heterogeneous event studies. The results show that sanctions initially lead to a short‐term increase in energy stock returns in the treatment countries, but this effect diminishes over time. The study also reveals that sanctions affect energy stock returns in NATO countries and flawed democracies significantly more than non‐NATO and fully democratic nations. The research includes robustness tests using stricter sanctions dates and an expanded sample, providing valuable insights for policymakers and investors navigating geopolitical events and their economic consequences.

ACCOUNTING IN UKRAINE: TODAY'S CHALLENGES

The ongoing military conflict in Ukraine has inflicted significant damage on the nation’s infrastructure and economy, disrupting traditional business operations and necessitating a reevaluation of accounting standards and practices. This disruption highlights the critical role of accounting in assessing damage, supporting recovery efforts, and adapting to a rapidly changing economic environment. As such, understanding the modifications and challenges in accounting during this period is essential for ensuring business continuity and aiding national recovery. This article aims to analyze the organizational, legislative, and regulatory changes in accounting and financial reporting practices in Ukraine during the conflict. It seeks to evaluate how these adaptations address the specific needs of businesses operating under crisis conditions and contribute to sustaining economic activity during periods of instability. The study employs a combination of general scientific methods including analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, and theoretical generalization. A comprehensive review of recent legislative acts and modifications to the Ukrainian accounting framework provides a detailed understanding of the current accounting landscape and its evolution in response to the conflict. The findings reveal significant legislative adaptations that have simplified tax systems, reduced tax rates, and introduced exemptions aimed at alleviating the burden on businesses. Additionally, the establishment of emergency-specific accounts for recording the financial impacts of the conflict has enhanced the clarity and accuracy of financial reporting. These changes have not only facilitated the immediate survival of businesses but also laid the groundwork for future economic stability and recovery. Looking forward, continuous adjustments and updates to accounting standards will be crucial as the situation in Ukraine evolves. Future research should focus on the long-term effectiveness of these adaptations and explore further modifications to support the resilience and recovery of the Ukrainian economy. The development of robust accounting practices remains a cornerstone of economic recovery and sustainability, serving as both a record of the impacts of the conflict and a foundation for rebuilding efforts. By documenting and analyzing these changes, this article contributes valuable insights into the role of accounting in crisis management and recovery, providing a resource for academics, practitioners, and policymakers involved in navigating and overcoming the challenges posed by the conflict in Ukraine.

Monitoring the physical fitness of students aged 10-15 and 15-18 during online education

Background and Study Aim. The necessity to switch to online learning is closely related to the need to ensure the safety of students, which is jeopardized by the military conflict in Ukraine. In the context of online learning, diagnosing the physical fitness of students becomes more challenging, creating problems for physical education teachers. The purpose of the study is to suggest alternatives to physical fitness tests for students that can be adequately conducted at home. Materias and Methods. The study involved students aged 10-15 (middle school) and 15-18 (high school). The study involved students aged 10-15 (middle school) and 15-18 (high school). The high school group comprised 11 students (7 girls and 4 boys), while the middle school group included 28 students (16 boys and 12 girls). The research was conducted at the Velikosknitsky Lyceum (Khmelnytskyi region, Ukraine) during offline physical education classes at the beginning of the 2023-2024 academic year. The physical fitness testing was carried out using suggested tests that could be performed independently at home. Results. The presence of significant correlational relationships between the outcomes of certain tests has been established. For example, there is a high correlation (0.95) between the results of the standing long jump and physical fitness in higher grades. A moderate correlation was also found between the results of the 30-meter dash and physical fitness in higher grades. Additionally, a weak correlation was established for the 4x9 meter shuttle run in middle grades. Conclusions. The study's findings demonstrate that conducting test exercises at home is a practical and efficient alternative to traditional diagnostics in school sports halls. However, assessing some aspects of physical fitness, such as speed, endurance, and strength, may be more challenging in an online setting.

Criminal liability for the commission of war crimes: analysis of the corpus delicti of unlawful encroachments

The need for a criminal law analysis of military-violent crime is substantiated given the ongoing armed conflict in Ukraine, the annexation of some of its territories and the open calls of the russian authorities to destroy the Ukrainian nation and incite hatred towards everything that identifies Ukraine as a sovereign independent state. The classification of war crimes in the context of the armed conflict in Ukraine is proposed depending on the category of victims Military violent crimes in the context of the armed conflict in Ukraine should be divided into two groups of offences depending on the category of victims. The first group of such unlawful encroachments includes war crimes against the civilian population (Article 433; parts 1 and 2 of Article 438 of the CCU – violation of the laws and customs of war regarding rape and sexual violence, enslavement and torture, forced displacement of civilians, intentional killing of civilians; Article 442 of the CCU). The second group of military-violent offences includes military-violent crimes against servicemen (Article 434 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine; Part 1 of Article 438 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine – violation of the laws and customs of war regarding the ill-treatment of POWs, including cases of use of prohibited means and methods of warfare, as a result of which a serviceman was recognised as a victim). The approaches to the interpretation of certain features of the objective and subjective sides of the corpus delicti of the relevant military-violent crimes in the course of law enforcement are analysed and clarified, and recommendations aimed at forming a unified law enforcement practice regarding their criminal law qualification are provided The emphasis is placed on the fact that for the purpose of qualification and distinction from other war crimes of violation of the laws and customs of war in various forms of the objective side of Part 1 of Article 438 of the CC of Ukraine, not only the features of the objective side, the disposition of which is of a blanket nature, are important, but also the features of the subject of this criminal encroachment, which is not limited to the fact that it can be only a combatant. The author offers recommendations on the qualification features of various types of military violent crimes and their distinction from crimes against humanity, taking into account the existing doctrinal positions.

Stability and Financial Performance of Banks in European Countries Bordering the Military Conflict in Ukraine

Stability and Financial Performance of Banks in European Countries Bordering the Military Conflict in Ukraine

Disinformation on the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine War: Two sides of the same coin?

Recently, Europe has been embroiled in serious disinformation crises. In 2020, the WHO declared the term “infodemic” due to the massive increase in hoaxes about the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2022, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was dubbed the first digital world war. In this context, this research aims to establish similarities and differences between disinformation disseminated in Europe related to the pandemic during 2020–2021 and the war between Russia and Ukraine throughout 2022–2023. The methodology is based on triangulation, combining quantitative content analysis of fact-checking publications (N = 812) from eight fact-checkers representing four European countries (Spain, Germany, the United Kingdom, and Poland) and qualitative interviews with specialized agents (N = 8). Regarding the main findings, the frequency and nature of verified hoaxes during critical events, such as the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukraine conflict, are closely intertwined with peaks in current events. Initially, both crises saw a surge in hoax verifications, but this trend gradually declined, particularly in the case of the Ukraine conflict. Hoaxes related to the pandemic were primarily disseminated in written form, whereas the complexities of the Russian-Ukraine war hindered widespread hoax dissemination in an audiovisual way. The typology of hoaxes correlated with their format, with fabricated content predominant in pandemic hoaxes and out-of-context images prevalent in those related to the conflict. Social media, notably Facebook and X (Twitter), emerged as the primary platforms for hoax dissemination, overshadowing traditional media channels. In both events, disinformation aimed to provoke emotional responses and polarize audiences, emphasizing the role of social networks in amplifying disinformation during crises.

International humanitarian law and ecocide: the war in Ukraine as a case study

Ecocide, an illegal act that causes serious damage to the environment, has become one of the greatest threats to the planet. Ukraine, which has recently been exposed to ecocide, strives to bring the perpetrators to justice by applying to international judicial bodies and creating mechanisms for collecting evidence. Ecocide should be included in the list of crimes against humanity and properly regulated at the international level, which will contribute to the preservation of the environment and human security. The purpose of this article is to define the crime of ecocide under international humanitarian law, apply it to the conflict in Ukraine, and discuss possible international mechanisms for bringing to justice those who have committed ecocide. This paper showcases Ukraine’s legal and factual basis for holding Russia accountable for ecocide, which includes the destruction of natural resources, water and air pollution and actions that could result in environmental catastrophes. This paper emphasizes the importance of filing lawsuits with international bodies, international cooperation, public engagement, and resource mobilization for effective prosecution. Ukraine’s commitment to environmental protection through the pursuit of ecocide accountability is of global significance for the preservation of the planet and well-being of future generations.

Forecasting Crude Oil Volatility Using the Deep Learning‐Based Hybrid Models With Common Factors

ABSTRACTBased on empirical evidence of the Chinese commodity futures volatility dynamics, we propose a novel and flexible hybrid model, denoted as SAE‐HAR‐DL, which combines a supervised autoencoder (AE) with the deep learning‐based HAR model framework to capture essential common factor information and uses the reconstruction error of the AE component as a regularizer to enhance the generalization ability of the testing subsample. The empirical findings strongly support the effectiveness of this model in accurately forecasting crude oil futures volatility in the post‐COVID‐19 era, compared to the HAR, HAR‐PCA, and HAR‐DL models. Moreover, a robustness check also demonstrates the positive contribution of common factors to the volatility prediction of other commodity futures. Notably, we establish that these common factors act as effective regularizers, mitigating prediction losses within the HAR model in extreme risk events such as the COVID‐19 pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine conflict.

Cyber Operations in Ukraine: Emerging Patterns in Cases

The Ukrainian state has been a target of cyber-related incidents since the annexation of Crimea in 2014. Cyberattacks have targeted Ukrainian critical infrastructure, government offices, and several public and private organisations. Sometimes, these cyberattacks have caused significant impacts within the nation's borders. Some of the most well-known cyber-incidents in Ukraine include attacks on the Ukrainian electrical grid, which cut out the power supply for hundreds of thousands of people in 2015 and 2016. Attacks have also targeted presidential election systems and financial entities operating in Ukraine. The majority of attacks within Ukraine's borders have been attributed to Russian-affiliated non-state actors and organisations, and the number of attacks correlates with the escalation of the war in 2022. This implies previous cyberattacks potentially belonging to a series of hybrid operations related to the Ukrainian conflict and the general geopolitical situation since the annexation of Crimea. The paper focuses on this context by examining cyber incidents targeting Ukraine since 2014. We study the unifying factors related to Ukrainian cyber incidents, and we will discuss emerging patterns related to the attacks during the last ten years. This study will uncover the general traits of state-affiliated attacks in Ukraine, which will help uncover emerging patterns. Our particular focus will be cyber-attacks, where the target is the Ukrainian state and its critical infrastructure. We will examine methods of attacks, the attack targets, and the impacts, among other things. With the patterns emerging from our study, we can predict future cyber-attacks targeting Ukraine, providing tools for preparing for future incidents. We can use the information to improve national cyber-defences, where the attacks are likely to happen in the future. Studying the Ukrainian cases may also provide additional insights for improving cyber defences in other nation-states within the parts that apply to these nation-states and their geopolitical contexts.

Modeling Religious Coexistence: The Turkish and Tatar Muslim Communities in Romania’s Dobruja

The peaceful coexistence of different religions is crucial today, especially with the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Levant and the arrival of new refugees and immigrants with diverse faith traditions. In Romania, while immigrants may face challenges integrating into the predominantly Romanian Orthodox religious majority, the Dobrogean Model of Religious Pluralism is a pattern of inter-religious coexistence with the potential to clarify the critical factors needed to facilitate peaceful pluralism among religious groups. Utilizing Rogers Brubaker’s triadic-nexus configuration of national minorities, nationalizing states, and external national homelands alongside various qualitative methods, this paper will investigate the historical and institutional elements for promoting peaceful coexistence, particularly with an eye toward the Islamic minority in the Dobruja region. The study will also examine the crucial role of state and affiliated institutions in promoting tolerance and coexistence by protecting freedom of religion. Romania's location at the crossroads of the East and West and the Dobruja region's reputation as a model of religious pluralism makes it an excellent case study for identifying critical factors for the peaceful coexistence of religions in contemporary societies.

Multifractal Analysis of International Energy and Agricultural Markets Under the Influence of Russia–Ukraine Conflict

Taking six representative futures in the international energy and agricultural markets as the research objects, we use multifractal analysis methods to study the fluctuation characteristics, market risks and cross-correlations within and between these markets before and after the outbreak of the Russia–Ukraine conflict in this paper. The empirical results show that both the auto-correlations and cross-correlations have obvious multifractal features. It is confirmed that the multifractal strength and market risks of the international energy markets have weakened, while those of the international agricultural markets have enhanced after the Russia–Ukraine conflict broke out. In addition, the Russia–Ukraine conflict has intensified the strength of the multifractality and the degree of fluctuation complexity between these two classes of international markets. Further, the intrinsic multifractal natures of cross-correlations are tested, and the apparent and intrinsic multifractality before and after the conflict are revealed. Finally, some policy suggestions are put forward based on the empirical results.

Новый раскол (Украинский кризис и религиозный фактор в контексте перспектив социально-политического развития)

The article is devoted to the role of the religious factor in the context of the socio-political development of modern societies against the background of military-political confrontation. The ongoing processes are analyzed at several levels — national, international, and ecclesiastical. Utilizing the post-secular paradigm, as well as actor and identitarian approaches, the authors examine the religious dimension of the Ukrainian crisis. They draw a particular attention to the situation in the world Orthodox Christianity. The authors reveal the reasons why the main line of cleavage in the modern Christianity formed precisely in its Orthodox segment and was closely intertwined with the largest international political crisis of the first quarter of the 21st century. The article shows that the Ukrainian crisis has a destabilizing effect on the situation in the world Orthodox Christianity, reactivating old conflicts and creating new sources of tension. Having stated that the Ukrainian crisis served as a trigger and catalyst for dynamics in different spheres, covering a significant number of different types of actors, the authors at the same time point out that socio-political development in the context of the religious factor has deeper roots. From their viewpoint, the observed phenomena and processes indicate the formation of new models of interaction between the state, society and church within the framework of post-secular or traditionalist discourse, which in turn is associated with the rapid establishment of a new scientific and technological order. According to the authors’ conclusion, as it already happened many times in history, the religious factor is obtaining key importance in determining the basic features of the new era. The transformation of Modernity into something else, which is taking place before our eyes, does not result in the “elimination” of this factor, but, on the contrary, transforms religious factor into an important component of the formula for a new way of life. The Ukrainian conflict intensifies the search for post-secular models of socio-political development in the Western political areal. At the same time, Russia and the West itself are moving in different ways, since the Russian model is closer to pre-secular practices.

Russia – Ukraine Conflict and the Travesty of Sanctions: A Study of Nordstream 2 Gas Pipeline

Russia – Ukraine Conflict and the Travesty of Sanctions: A Study of Nordstream 2 Gas Pipeline

From global tensions to regional integration: An analysis of bond market convergence in East Asia

Against the backdrop of the Russia–Ukraine (R–U) conflict, this paper investigates the convergence process of the bond market in East Asia from 2010 to 2024, focusing on the impact of the R–U crisis on bond yield convergence. Our findings show convergence toward both benchmarks, with an accelerated rate during the conflict. Malaysia, China, Indonesia, and the Philippines exhibit significant convergence toward Japan, particularly for long-term bonds, while the Philippines consistently converges toward the United States. Large discrepancies in interest rates and inflation spreads cause bond yield divergence, while geopolitical risk related to Russia narrows bond yield spreads, indicating a flight-to-quality effect. Conversely, global financial risk widens yield spreads to the U.S. benchmark but narrows them to Japan. This research highlights bond market convergence in East Asia amid geopolitical tensions, with significant implications for investors, policymakers, and researchers.