Introduction: While an association between vascular disease and dementia has been identified, few studies have assessed the longitudinal relationship between aortic valve calcification (AVC) and mild cognitive impairment (MCI). We recently found AVC to be associated with increased atherosclerotic events, and we sought to determine the prognostic value of AVC derived from low dose, lung cancer screening computed tomography (LCSCT) for MCI in a moderate-to-high atherosclerotic risk cohort. Methods: This was a single site, retrospective analysis of 1401 U.S. veterans (65 years [IQI: 61, 68] years; 97% male), who underwent quantification of AVC from LCSCT indicated for smoking history. Exclusion criteria included lung cancer, prior aortic valve replacement and prior MCI diagnosis. The primary outcome was new diagnosis of MCI identified by objective testing (Mini-Mental Status Exam or Montreal Cognitive Assessment) or by ICD coding. Secondary outcome was nonfatal cerebrovascular accident (CVA). Time-to-event analysis was carried out using AVC as a continuous and a categorical variable, and multivariate adjustment included age, diabetes mellitus, glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min, coronary artery disease, and prior CVA. Results: Over a 5-year follow up, 110 patients (8%) were newly diagnosed with MCI and 45 patients (3%) had CVA. By Cox regression, AVC was predictive of MCI (HR: 1.15 [1.07 -1.24], p<0.001) and the association remained significant after multivariate adjustment (HR: 1.09 [1.01-1.18], p=0.026). Non-zero AVC tertiles were: 0.1-115; 116-427; and ≥428 Agatston Units. AVC was associated with MCI at increasing tertiles, and after multivariate analysis, the association remained significant (HR: 1.89 [1.09-3.28], p=0.024 and HR: 1.80 [1.01-3.20], p=0.047; tertiles 2 and 3, respectively). AVC was also associated with CVA (HR: 1.17 [1.05-1.32], p=0.006); however, the association lost significance after multivariate adjustment (HR: 1.12 [0.99-1.26], p=0.080). Conclusions: To our knowledge, this is the first study demonstrating that quantification of AVC from LCSCT is predictive of MCI. The association may be in part due to atherosclerotic thromboembolic events as there was a trend toward increasing nonfatal CVA in this population.
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