Compared to single-source fires in tunnels, double-source fires may exhibit more intricate flame merging behavior and higher flame burning rates due to their interaction, thereby escalating the risk of fire propagation within the tunnel. In this investigation, a 1:10 scale model of a horseshoe-shaped tunnel test site was deployed to conduct experiments on lateral double-source fires, scrutinizing flame merging behavior, probability prediction models, and temperature characteristics of tunnel ceiling smoke gas by varying the oil pool size and double-source spacing. Findings from the study suggest that flame merging behavior within the tunnel is contingent upon double-source spacing and heat release rate (HRR), manifesting in three distinct forms: complete merging, intermittent merging, and complete separation. Through the introduction of non-dimensional heat release rate and non-dimensional fire source spacing, a piecewise function has been devised to forecast the probability of flame merging for both fire types. Furthermore, a predictive model for the maximum temperature rise along the longitudinal centerline of a horseshoe tunnel was formulated, drawing from established theoretical frameworks.